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This Month’s Exclusive Content
Why Taiwan Semiconductor and Meta Could Be the Hidden Bull Case for Broadcom
Written by Leo Miller. Article Published: 1/22/2026.

Key Takeaways
- Broadcom shares are struggling to recover after a steep December drop, down meaningfully in 2026.
- However, news coming from huge players in semiconductors and AI is fueling support for the stock’s outlook.
- META’s soon-to-be-released CapEx guidance could result in the next significant move for AVGO shares.
After ending 2025 poorly, shares of semiconductor giant Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) have continued to face pressure in 2026. Year-to-date, shares are down nearly 4%. Broadcom isn’t alone: artificial intelligence (AI) processor stock NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is down about 4.5%.
Broadcom’s 2026 weakness has come despite encouraging signals from other key players in the AI ecosystem, notably Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM) and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META). Recent announcements from those companies suggest momentum in areas that matter to Broadcom could continue in 2026 and beyond.
TSMC Signals Strong AI Accelerator Demand Going Forward
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On Jan. 15, TSMC released its latest earnings report, which showed a strong quarter. Revenues rose by more than 25%, outpacing the roughly 19% growth analysts had forecast. As one of Broadcom’s key manufacturing partners, TSMC’s robust sales growth is a positive signal for Broadcom and its customers.
More important is TSMC’s outlook. For 2026 the firm expects sales to rise close to 30%, a slight deceleration from 2025’s 31.6% growth. That points to continued strong demand from Broadcom’s customer base.
Even more encouraging are TSMC’s projections for AI-accelerator revenues — the category that includes Broadcom’s XPUs and NVIDIA’s GPUs. TSMC now expects these AI-accelerator sales to grow at a compound annual rate approaching the mid-to-high 50% range from 2024 to 2029, up from its previous long-term projection in the mid-40% range. That suggests AI-accelerator demand may have more durability than some have expected, which is a clear positive for Broadcom.
Meta Compute Benefits AVGO’s Custom Chip Outlook
Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg also signaled opportunities relevant to Broadcom in his Meta Compute announcement, describing it as the company’s initiative to greatly expand its data center capacityover coming years.
Within the announcement Zuckerberg referenced Meta’s “silicon program,” its effort to develop chips in-house. While the two companies haven’t publicly confirmed the relationship, Broadcom is widely believed to be Meta’s partner in developing those custom chips, which Meta calls its Meta Training and Inference Accelerators (MTIA).
There are clear economics behind Meta’s push for custom silicon. In June 2025, Meta published research on its second-generation MTIA 2i, finding that for supported models the chip reduced total cost of ownershipby 44% versus GPUs. While that is impressive, Meta is still early in its silicon development journey, leaving room for further improvements in future chip generations.
Broadcom’s largest custom-chip partner is Google’s parent, Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL). Alphabet recently released the seventh edition of its tensor processing unit (TPU), and Goldman Sachs notes the TPU v7 offers a 70% reduction in cost per token versus TPU v6 — markedly improving the economics of running AI workloads and putting it “on par” with NVIDIA’s Grace Blackwell 200, according to Goldman.
Meta’s reference to its silicon program in the Meta Compute announcement signals a long-term commitment to in-house chip development. If Broadcom remains a partner in that effort — as its track record with Google suggests it could — the company stands to benefit from rising demand for custom chips.
META’s 2026 CapEx Guidance: A Potential Catalyst for AVGO
Despite Broadcom’s slow start to 2026, there are reasons for optimism. Meta is scheduled to report full-year 2025 earnings on Jan. 28, and analysts expect the company to provide its capital expenditure (CapEx) guidance for 2026. Given Meta’s relationship with Broadcom, the level of planned spending could be an important catalyst for AVGO shares, either positive or negative depending on the magnitude of the guidance.
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