♟ The Market Punished UPS for Making the Right Decision. Here’s Your Payoff.

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“Buying below $100 represents the best Buy Low opportunity in this market today.”

Bryan Bottarelli, Co-Founder, Monument Traders Alliance 

Bryan Bottarelli

Dear Reader,

FedEx is up 30% over five years. UPS is down 40%.

Same industry. The S&P ran 68% in the same stretch. That spread is the story.

Here is why it happened.

UPS made a deliberate choice to walk away from Amazon.

Amazon accounted for nearly 12% of its revenue, but it was low-margin volume that looked good on the top line and killed margins everywhere else. UPS cut it.

At the same time, they absorbed one of the most expensive Teamsters labor contracts in the company’s history. The market punished the stock hard and kept punishing it while FedEx restructured and ran.

UPS sat there.

That punishment is now priced in. The leaner, higher-margin business UPS is building starts showing up in the second half of 2026. The market is pricing in a problem that is already over.

Consider this…

At $97.22, UPS trades at 13.4x forward earnings, a valuation it has not seen in over a decade. It has raised its quarterly dividend for 16 consecutive years. At this price, the yield is nearly 7%. You are getting paid to own it while you wait for the recovery.

So far this year, UPS is flat. The selling has stopped. The question is whether the bottom is already in.

Buying below $100 represents the best Buy Low opportunity in this market today.

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YOUR ACTION PLAN

After bottoming last October at around $85, UPS is back in a recovery move that could retest the 2026 high at $115. If that breaks, the next stop is $130. Below $100, you are getting the recovery move and locking in a nearly 7% yield while you hold.

You are not speculating on a bounce. You are getting paid to wait for the move.

You won’t find a better setup in this market right now.

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INSIGHTS YOU MAY HAVE MISSED

The Market Punished UPS for Making the Right Decision. Here’s Your Payoff.

This CEO Just Spent $10 Million of His Own Money on His Own Stock.

Retail’s Silver Lining Playbook: How to Profit in a Broken Sector

The Overnight Earnings Strangle… JUST DO IT!

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Published by RJ Hamster

I was born on 6 August 1956 in San Francisco, California to Janet and (the late) Richard Hovis. I grew up in Santa Monica, California where I attended elementary, junior high school, and high school (graduating in 1974), in addition to involvement in sports and recreation (Little League +, the Boy’s Club ++). Further, it was in elementary school – St. Augustine’s By-the -Sea Parish School that I found, and made the choice to truly journey with God. I attended Arizona State University from 1974 to 1977 – seeking to become an architect, however, I was not accepted, and, as such, I graduated with a Liberal Arts degree. Upon graduation from Arizona State University, I attended Cal Poly San Luis Obispo and studied City and Regional Planning at the Master’s level. I successfully completed one (1) year in a two (2) year program – I did not complete the Master’s degree in City and Regional Planning – due to personal reasons. I returned to Santa Monica where I started (October 1979) my career as graphic designer with Exxon Company, USA. I spent five years with Exxon Company, USA. While working with Exxon Company, USA I was accepted into architectural school – Sci-Arc in Southern California, however, I did not attend preferring to stay with Exxon.. In 1982 I married Laura Flosi and in April 1983 we had our one and only child – Lauren Alain Hovis – a gift from God. We moved to Phoenix, Arizona in 1984 from Los Angeles, where I went to work as a graphic designer with Kitchell CEM (from 1985 -1987). From 1987 – 1995 I was an independent contractor, and a registered representative in mortgage finance, financial management, graphic design, and drafting. Further, I attended the University of Phoenix and successfully obtained a Master’s in Business Administration (MBA) in 1982. I was also a member of the Scottsdale Jaycees, where I became very involved in community events and projects. In 1994, I accepted a cartography position with the Defense Mapping Agency in Reston, Virginia. As such, I relocated from Phoenix to Reston. In 1998, I was accepted and worked as a Visual Information Officer with the Central Intelligence Agency. In 2002, I worked as a Support Officer until my retirement (due to a need for shoulder surgery) in September 2018. Away from my Federal Government service, I have been involved in various organizations and activities in Northern Virginia. In November of 2011, I married Rebecca Ouellette in Santa Monica, California. I reside in San Tan Valley, AZ with my two hamster - Jess and Timothy, our fish, our lizard - RJ Lizard., and our cats - Pearl and Grey. As to hobbies, I enjoy playing sports, attending sporting events, mentoring individuals from financial management to hamsters, building models, photography, travel, multimedia design, managing partner for RJ Hamster, and jazz – smooth jazz to a samba or a bossa nova. Love and God Bless, Peter – aka RJ Hamster Jo hi

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