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This Week’s Featured Article

Alphabet Has Fallen 16% From Its Highs: Panic or Opportunity?

Authored by Ryan Hasson. Article Posted: 3/27/2026. 

Key Points

• Alphabet has fallen almost 20% from its record high and broken below key $300 support, but the higher-timeframe uptrend remains intact.
• Fundamentals have rarely been stronger, with Q4 EPS and revenue both beating estimates.
• Despite the selloff, 46 of 51 analysts rate GOOGL a Buy, with a consensus price target of $367.18, implying nearly 26% upside. 
• Special Report: Elon Musk: This Could Turn $100 into $100,000

Shares of Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), last year’s top-performing Magnificent Seven stock, have sold off sharply from their record February high. The stock has now declined by almost 20%, entering correction territory. In late March it broke below the key $300 support level, signaling a potential short-term shift in momentum.

A jury’s March 25 ruling added to the negative sentiment, finding its subsidiary YouTube liable in a social media addiction case and ordering a $3 million payment. That amount is negligible next to a company valued at roughly $3.5 trillion.

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With the stock in correction territory, investors may reasonably ask: is this a time to sell, or a buying opportunity for patient investors?

Correction Territory, But the Higher Timeframe Trend Remains Intact

Technically, this appears to be a pullback within a broader, higher-timeframe uptrend. On the weekly chart the stock remains in a firm uptrend, and the current decline represents the first major pullback and retest since the breakout in July of last year.

Now that the stock is below $300, the next potential support area is around $280, where Alphabet spent several weeks consolidating in November. If the correction accelerates along with broader market weakness, the most critical support zone would be the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently near $260. That level would be a meaningful, lower-risk area to watch for signs of stabilization and possible re-entry.

The Fundamentals Have Rarely Been Stronger

If the technical picture calls for patience, the fundamentals provide conviction. Just over a month ago, Alphabet reported its Q4 and full-year 2025 results, and the numbers were strong across the board. For the third consecutive quarter the company beat both earnings and revenue expectations and surpassed $400 billion in annual revenue for the first time.

Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $2.82 versus a $2.59 consensus estimate. Revenue reached $113.83 billion, topping forecasts of $111.43 billion. For the full year Alphabet generated $402.8 billion in revenue and $10.81 in EPS, representing year-over-year growth of 17% and 34%, respectively.

Google Cloud remains the standout growth driver. Fourth-quarter cloud revenue was $17.66 billion, up 48% year over year and well above estimates. On an annualized basis, Google Cloud has passed a $70 billion revenue run rate. Cloud backlog surged 55% quarter over quarter to $240 billion from $155 billion the prior quarter, providing strong forward visibility.

The core advertising business also remains resilient. Search revenue rose 17% year over year in Q4, suggesting AI-related disruption has not materially dented Google’s primary revenue engine. YouTube generated more than $60 billion in combined advertising and subscription revenue in 2025, and Alphabet now reports 325 million paid consumer subscriptions across its platforms. On the AI front, Gemini surpassed 750 million monthly active users, with over 10 billion tokens processed per minute through direct API usage, signaling rapid enterprise and developer adoption.

Analysts and Institutions Aren’t Worried

Despite the selloff, Wall Street sentimenttoward the tech giant remains broadly bullish. Of 51 analysts covering the stock, 46 rate it a Buy, producing a consensus Moderate Buy. The consensus price target of $367.18 implies nearly 26% upside from current levels — a move that would take the stock to new all-time highs.

Institutional flows tell a similar story. Over the past 12 months, about $164 billionflowed into the stock versus $82 billion in outflows, a net inflow of roughly $82 billion that reflects sustained confidence in Alphabet’s execution, fundamentals and long-term positioning.

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