2026 = Growth + Faster Disinflation

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Hello Peter Anthony Hovis,

2026 = Growth + Faster Disinflation

The year of 2026 is looking extremely bullish.

Yes, the Federal Reserve hinted at pausing its rate-cutting cycle. It could have been viewed as a bearish catalyst, but the central bank shared its 2026 outlook which looked strong for the market.

First, officials boosted their median outlook for economic growth in 2026 to 2.3% from 1.8% they projected in September. That’s a big boost. Not only that, but they also saw inflation declining to 2.4% next year, from the 2.6% in the previous projection.

In other words, the Fed sees faster growth and slower inflation.

That’s a “dream” scenario for most investors.

  • “The Fed’s ‘hawkish-but-bullish’ cut last night reinforces this: stronger 2026 growth, faster disinflation,” said Florian Ielpo, head of macro at Lombard Odier Investment Managers. “Cuts are continuing, but they’re no longer automatic — and that’s usually a constructive backdrop for equities.”

Florian Ielpo, head of macro at Lombard Odier Investment Managers (Photo: EQD)

Sure enough, global stocks hit a new record high after yesterday’s trading session. The MSCI All Country World Index is on track to deliver its best year since 2019.

There are even more positive catalysts for next year. President Trump’s stimulus package is set to kick in. The new Fed chair will begin their tenure, and more rate cuts are expected. Earnings growth is projected to accelerate.

  • “The momentum should continue into year-end. With rate cuts underway, a new Fed chair on deck, and earnings trending higher, the bull market looks positioned to extend into 2026,” said Gina Bolvin, President of Bolvin Wealth Management Group.
  • “As more companies adopt AI, participation should broaden and sectors beyond the Magnificent Seven may start to show strength.”

(Source: Bloomberg)

Applications for US employment benefits rose last week by the most since the start of the pandemic. Initial claims increased by 44,000 to 236,000 in the week ended Dec. 6. However, Wall Street isn’t reading too much into it because of volatility surrounding the holiday week of Thanksgiving.

  • “Don’t read too much into the jump in jobless claims,” Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, said in a note. “Smoothing it out, this still looks like an economy averaging 215,000 to 220,000 new jobless claims a week. That’s not a cause for concern.”

(Source: Bloomberg)

Notably, the tech sector struggled yesterday. Oracle’s disappointing earnings report crushed the stock. Nvidia fell 1.6% while the Magnificent Seven index of tech giants declined 0.6%.

This shows how investors are bullish on the overall economy but have become anxious about those companies that spend billions of dollars on AI infrastructure projects.

  • “Markets have grown far more wary of AI-related spending, which is a sharp contrast with mid-2025 when anything hinting at higher capex sparked excitement,” said Susana Cruz, a strategist at Panmure Liberum. “Oracle has been the weakest link in all this, largely because it’s funding a big chunk of its investment with debt.”

With the catalysts winding down (the earnings season and the Fed’s FOMC meeting), the market looks poised to establish a new trend in either direction.

Couchbase: 20% Growth, Positive Free Cash Flow, and a Massive TAM.

Today’s Stock Pick: Couchbase (BASE)

Salesforce pioneered the SaaS industry with a tagline of “No Software.”

Users no longer needed to download software on the desktop computer. Rather, they can easily access it on the cloud by typing in the website address.

The concept is obvious now, but it was revolutionary back then.

Couchbase is attempting to do the same thing with the SQL database, with the motto of “NoSQL.”

Let’s compare the difference between SQL and NoSQL.

Imagine you have a giant filing cabinet where everything is neatly organized in folders and labeled in a strict, structured way—that’s like a SQL database (relational database).

Everything has to follow a set format, like rows and columns in a spreadsheet.

Now, imagine instead of that rigid filing system, you have a big box where you can toss in notes, photos, lists, or whatever you want, without worrying about strict organization—that’s like a NoSQL database.

It gives you more flexibility, making it easier to store and retrieve data, especially when dealing with huge amounts of information (like social media posts or product recommendations).

NoSQL is great for speed, scalability, and handling messy, ever-changing data—perfect for modern apps, big data, and real-time updates.

(Source: ScyllaDB)

Among many benefits, NoSQL is especially important in the cloud era. Companies rely on data more than ever to offer world-class customer service, but more data means higher cloud computing costs.

Antiquated database designs lead to excessive resource consumption and Couchbase’s products lower costs with modern designs.

(Source: Couchbase)

The market for Couchbase’s solutions is immense.

The company estimates its TAM to be at $149.6 billion by 2028. Why? AI will likely accelerate the trend for high-performance applications because companies need innovative ways to run AI models at lower costs.

(Source: Couchbase)

Couchbase has an enviable roster of corporate clients, including Verizon, GE, Zynga, Carnival, Domino’s Pizza, PEPSICO, United Airlines, and Marriott.

(Source: Couchbase)

Sure enough, Couchbase delivered a 21% ARR CAGR growth since the first quarter of FY’24. The total customer base is 937, and it has penetrated 29% of Fortune 100 companies.

(Source: Couchbase)

At the same time, costs are falling. Total operating expenses as % of revenue plunged from 106% (FY’24) to 96% (Q1-26). Meaning? Couchbase is poised to generate bigger cash flows down the road.

(Source: Couchbase)

Bottom line: Couchbase expects to deliver 20%+ revenue growth and positive FCF in FY’26. These are strong forecasts, so the stock looks like an elite play during the artificial intelligence era.

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The $20 Move That Gives You Exposure to 2 Ounces of Gold

Stansberry Research

The $20 Move That Gives You Exposure to 2 Ounces of Gold


Gold has been breaking record after record this year…

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Fed Pivots to a “Meeting-by-Meeting” Approach

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Hello Peter Anthony Hovis,

Fed Pivots to a “Meeting-by-Meeting” Approach

The verdict is in.

The Federal Reserve announced another 25 basis-point cut, along with the authorization of fresh Treasury bill purchases to expand its reserves.

The Treasury purchasing plan softened the blow when the central bank hinted at a possible pause in the rate-cutting cycle, with an outlook of just one interest rate cut in 2026.

Wall Street waited anxiously for Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference, and he suggested that the central bank has done enough to propel the labor market while leaving rates high enough to push inflation down to the 2% target.

  • “This further normalization of our policy stance should help stabilize the labor market while allowing inflation to resume its downward trend toward 2% once the effects of tariffs have passed through,” Powell said.

(Photo: Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images)

Powell talked about how difficult it is to navigate in the current environment. Unemployment moved higher to 4.4% in September — a jump from 4.1% in June. At the same time, the PCE index rose 2.8% in the year through September.

Naturally, the central bank sounded like it was inclined to leave rates unchanged for a while to bring both mandates to their targets.

The Fed also released its quarterly projections, and officials’ median projections showed one cut in 2026, and one in 2027. There’s a big division in the outlook, with seven officials seeing no cuts in 2026, while eight signaled at least two.

(Source: Federal Reserve / Bloomberg)

All in all, it sounded like a slightly hawkish cut.

The Treasury purchasing plan was the key that avoided an outsized reaction by the market. Over the next few months, the Fed will depend on incoming data to make decisions.

  • “The Fed emphasized that future moves will be data-dependent, shifting firmly to a meeting-by-meeting approach,” said Daniel Siluk, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.
  • “Chair Powell reinforced this stance in his press conference, noting that the Committee sees today’s cut as a ‘prudent adjustment’ rather than the start of a new cycle.”

Right now, traders will likely look at incoming economic data to try and gauge what the Fed might do in the first half of 2026. And, of course, President Trump’s next Fed Chair pick will play a big role in the market’s outlook on rates.

Down 75% from Highs: Why Trex at $35 Looks Like a Screaming Buy

Today’s Stock Pick: Trex Company, Inc (TREX)

After the Fed’s recent rate cut, the environment is looking better for small-cap stocks that rely on lower rates for a strong business cycle.

Trex is one of them.

It operates in the home improvement industry that relies on lower rates to drive spending activity.

Now, listen: We’re trying to go green in everything. And wood decks would require a lot of trees, which bucks the trend of sustainability.

What’s more, wood decks are painful to maintain.

Wood will rot, warp, and splinter. And you’ll need to paint or stain wood seasonally. And eventually, it will fade due to termites and age. Anybody who owns a wood deck will remember these splinters that can pierce your fingers or feet.

Trex is leading the revolution of using materials that are 95% recycled and reclaimed, like plastic bags, to create high-quality, attractive decks. In fact, they often look better than wood. And best of all, it requires virtually zero maintenance (except for regular cleaning) and lasts for 25+ years.

(Source: Trex)

And you can see how composite materials last longer than wood in the photo below:  

As a result, consumers are switching to composite decks more than ever. Composite has about 25% of the market share in decking, as of the most recent quarter. And composite continues to take about 2% share from wood every year.

Trex CEO Bryan Fairbanks believes that composite would eventually hold about 45-50% of the market share*:*

  • “…we estimate composites account for approximately 25% of the total decking market but expect it will reach 45% to 50% in the future.”

Each 1% market share would add ~$80 million to annual composite sales. Using the average of 2% growth, the composite market could grow by $160 million each year from taking the market share from wood alone.

(Source: Trex)

Cost comparison: Wood is slightly cheaper upfront versus composite deck, but composite wood is two times cheaper to maintain over the 25-year lifecycle.

The long-term comparison is simply a no-brainer in favor of composite deck. It lasts longer and requires far less maintenance.

(Source: Trex)

Best of all, Trex thoroughly dominates this niche in composite decks. The company commands more than 55% of category web traffic through its sites – trex.com and decks.com.

(Source: Trex)

And it won multiple prestigious awards for top products, brand awareness, sustainability, fastest-growing business, and best mid-size companies.

(Source: Trex)

Sure enough, the company grew 101%, which is nearly two times faster than the repair & remodeling market in the same period.

(Source: Trex)

The company sees its 2025 revenue to be at $1.16 billion, which would be almost unchanged from its 2024 full-year revenue. The company is perfectly positioned to grow when the remodeling activity recovers, as the CEO said in the recent earnings call.

  • “I’m confident that our strategy for long-term growth positions us to realize significant gains as R&R spending recovers,” said CEO Bryan Fairbanks.

The stock is cheap: With its strong financials, dominant market share, and solid growth, Trex’s stock was formerly popular. But due to higher rates, the stock has been beaten down.

The price was at $140 in 2022, and it is now trading at $35 a share.

Its P/E ratio is just 19.

This is a good value since Trex is a rare company that is in the right trend, dominates its niche, and holds pricing power.

Bottom line: The decking industry is going through a massive change, and Trex is at the forefront of this industry. It is known as the “Apple of the composite deck,” where its products are generally accepted as the highest-quality ones in the market. So, this is a high-quality stock.

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ncreasing Demand For Critical Minerals = PNPNF

Power Metallic Mines Inc. (PNP)NF has just released blockbuster results from its Lion Zone at the Nisk Project, including 4.40 meters grading 12.18% copper (14.34% CuEqRec) within 20.40 meters of 2.91% Cu (3.58% CuEqRec). With gold breaking past $4,300 per ounce, silver over $50, and copper and battery metals surging, PNPNF sits at the intersection of booming precious metals and industrial mineral demand. The company’s fully funded 100,000-meter drilling program through 2026 aims to expand high-grade mineralization across Nisk, Lion, and Tiger zones, offering investors rare exposure to ethically sourced polymetallic resources.

Strategically located near Hydro-Québec power, the Nisk Project benefits from low operating costs, shallow deposits, and exceptional potential for carbon sequestration, aligning with green mining initiatives. As global supply constraints tighten and Fed rate cut expectations lift metals markets, PNPNF emerges as a potential North American leader in critical minerals and precious metals. Its high-grade deposits of nickel, copper, cobalt, PGEs, gold, and silver are strategically positioned to supply the green energy revolution while offering diversified exposure for investors. Backed by leading figures in mining and resource development, PNPNF benefits from strategic guidance and credibility in the global minerals market.

Discover why PNPNF is a must-watch polymetallic powerhouse with upside potential across multiple metals markets






This Week’s Featured Article

3 Reasons Casey’s General Stores Will Continue Trending Higher

Reported by Thomas Hughes. Date Posted: 12/10/2025. 

Casey's General Stores logo centered in front of Casey's storefront.

Key Takeaways

  • Casey’s General Stores had a solid fiscal Q2, providing fuel for a potential 2026 rally.
  • Cash flow and capital returns underpin CASY’s price action.
  • Broad market support, including from institutions and analysts, and a tendency toward accumulation, are driving the action.

There are three reasons Casey’s General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) stock price will likely continue to trend higher despite valuation concerns. The stock isn’t cheap as of late 2025, trading at roughly 33 times its current-year earnings. Still, that price reflects a reliable growth trajectory, which could represent meaningful upside for long-term, buy-and-hold investors.

It is trading at about 10 times its 2035 earnings outlook, implying the potential for roughly 100% upside over the coming years. Below, we explore three reasons investors might expect the stock to trend higher in 2026—growth, cash flow and capital returns, and broad market support. 

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CASY stock chart displaying the stock price in a strong uptrend.

Reason #1: Casey’s Revealed Momentum in Its FQ2 Report

Casey’s General Stores delivered a solid fiscal second quarter (FQ2), with earnings resultsshowing strength and momentum that are expected to carry through to year-end. Net revenue of $4.51 billion rose 14.2% year-over-year (YOY), slightly ahead of consensus, driven by new-store expansion and comp-store increases. Store count was up 9% YOY and 0.6% year-to-date (YTD), helped by last year’s acquisition of Fike’s.

Strength appeared in both the inside and outside segments, with total inside sales up 13%, inside comps up 3.3%, and fuel-gallon comps up 0.8%.

Within the inside segment, both grocery and prepared foods showed meaningful improvement, including margin expansion.

The company widened its fuel margin, which helped offset higher costs elsewhere and preserve overall profitability versus the prior year. That margin strength contributed to a 17.5% increase in EBITDA, a 14% rise in net income, and GAAP EPS of $0.33.

Notably, the $0.33 EPS was about 630 basis points above MarketBeat’s reported consensus forecast. These results support a stronger full-year profitability outlook, and operating momentum is expected to continue into 2026.

Reason #2: Casey’s Generates Healthy Cash Flows and Value

While Casey’s operates with the modest margins typical of the retail sector, its operational efficiency and balance sheet strength allow it to generate substantial free cash flow. In FQ2, positive cash flow helped strengthen the balance sheet, with assets growing faster than liabilities. Total liabilities stood at about 1.25 times equity, and shareholder equity is rising.

Shareholder equity increased roughly 8% YTD even as the company continued to return capital through dividends and buybacks.

Neither the dividend nor the buybacks are aggressive; they are disciplined and consistent. The 0.4% yield as of mid-December represents only about 10% of the earnings forecast and is expected to grow over time. The company is a Dividend Aristocrat and is on track to extend its streak toward 50 years and potential Dividend King status.

Share repurchases have been modest but steady, reducing the share count incrementally each quarter. Investors should note that Casey’s share count rose YOY earlier in the year because the company preserved capital ahead of the acquisition of Fike’s. Buybacks have since resumed, lowered the share count in FQ2, and are expected to continue in 2026. 

Reason #3: Casey’s Has Broad Market Support

Beyond the earnings momentum and capital returns, broad market support has been an important tailwind for the stock’s longer-term appreciation. That support shows up in analyst coverage and institutional behavior.

Analysts who rate the stock a Moderate Buy have been nudging up their 2026 price targets, and that trend continued after the FQ2 release.

One notable update was a price-target increase from RBC to $591, above consensus and sufficient to drive a new all-time high. Institutions own roughly 85% of the shares and were net buyers in every quarter of 2026, purchasing about $2 for every $1 sold.

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DECEMBER 12TH, 2025

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How Traders Are Navigating 2025’s Political Volatility
The Over Sold A.I Tech Stock?? (NASDAQ:BNZI)
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Former Trump Advisor Reveals “Mandatory Payout” Opportunity
This week's 20x (missed it?)

Market Swings Are Back—2 Options Plays to Watch Now (ad)Markets don’t like uncertainty — and this summer has delivered plenty of it. Political gridlock, legal disputes, and rising global tensions have fueled sharp swings across major indexes.

For active traders, though, volatility isn’t a risk — it’s opportunity. That’s why a new briefing reveals how to harness these conditions with clear, practical options strategies designed for 2025’s politically charged market.

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Today’s Top Stories

Santa Claus May Be Coming Early for Palantir Investors

BY CHRIS MARKOCH  |  DECEMBER 12, 2025 08:33 AM

3 Little Known AI Stocks With 10X Potential  (Ad)

BY TRADINGTIPS

Dividend Powerhouses: 3 Blue-Chip Stocks Built for the Long Haul

BY CHRIS MARKOCH  |  DECEMBER 12, 2025 06:07 AM

Beyond the Magnificent 7: Meet 3 of Tech’s Rising Stars

BY JEFFREY NEAL JOHNSON  | DECEMBER 11, 2025 03:12 PM

Before 2026 Hits: See If You Qualify  (Ad)

BY DARWIN

The Quantum Fleet: Investing in the New Quantum Standard

BY JEFFREY NEAL JOHNSON  | DECEMBER 11, 2025 02:14 PM

Tesla Bulls See $500 Ahead—But Bears Warn of a Painful Reversal

BY SAM QUIRKE  |  DECEMBER 11, 2025 09:36 AM

The Chip Boom Is Back: 3 Stocks Positioned for HUGE Gains

Quick Links

Analyst RatingsMy MarketBeatAccount SettingsMarketBeat All AccessStock ListsStock ScreenerCalculatorsPremium ReportsBest Stocks to Buy in DecemberBNZI: Big Wins in Small-Cap AI (ad)AI-powered marketing platform Banzai International (NASDAQ: BNZI) just delivered a standout Q3, reporting $2.8 million in revenue (+163% YoY) and $11 million in ARR (+168%), while expanding gross margins to 82% and sharply reducing losses. With more than 90,000 customers — including Cisco, HP, and New York Life — BNZI is seeing accelerating adoption of its AI-driven tools like Curate, Demio, and Superblocks. Strengthened equity, a scalable recurring-revenue model, and strategic acquisitions position the company to capitalize on the $1.5 trillion marketing technology market as demand for automation surges.

SEE WHY BNZI MAY BE AN OVERLOOKED SMALL-CAP POISED FOR BREAKOUT AI GROWTH.

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$228.01 -2.27 (-0.99%)  As of 12/12/2025 9:47 AM ET

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Analysts’ Upgrades

Citigroup (NYSE:C) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating. They now have a $124.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 10.2% upside from the current price of $112.52.Choice Hotels International (NYSE:CHH) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from an “underweight” rating to a “neutral” rating. They now have a $95.00 price target on the stock, down previously from $102.00. This represents a 4.8% upside from the current price of $90.68.Freddie Mac (OTCMKTS:FMCC) was upgraded by analysts at Wedbush from an “underperform” rating to an “outperform” rating. They now have a $13.35 price target on the stock. This represents a 21.5% upside from the current price of $10.99.Gaming and Leisure Properties(NASDAQ:GLPI) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating. They now have a $53.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $52.00. This represents a 22.1% upside from the current price of $43.41.Intercontinental Hotels Group (NYSE:IHG) was upgraded by analysts at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating.The current price is $139.31.Magnolia Oil & Gas (NYSE:MGY) was upgraded by analysts at Mizuho from a “neutral” rating to an “outperform” rating.The current price is $23.34.SoundHound AI (NASDAQ:SOUN) was upgraded by analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating. They now have a $15.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $13.00. This represents a 21.9% upside from the current price of $12.30.CLEAR Secure (NYSE:YOU) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating. They now have a $42.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $35.00. This represents a 4.2% upside from the current price of $40.31.
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Analysts’ Downgrades

easyJet (OTCMKTS:ESYJY) was downgraded by analysts at Kepler Capital Markets from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating.The current price is $6.49.M&T Bank (NYSE:MTB) was downgraded by analysts at Truist Financial Corporation from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating. They now have a $217.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 6.0% upside from the current price of $204.75.Roblox (NYSE:RBLX) was downgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from an “overweight” rating to a “neutral” rating. They now have a $100.00 price target on the stock, down previously from $145.00. This represents a 9.5% upside from the current price of $91.29.Sociedad Quimica y Minera (NYSE:SQM) was downgraded by analysts at Citigroup Inc. from a “buy” rating to a “neutral” rating. They now have a $74.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 12.2% upside from the current price of $65.96.
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Analysts’ New Coverage

British American Tobacco (NYSE:BTI) is now covered by analysts at Kepler Capital Markets. They set a “buy” rating on the stock.The current price is $56.81.Genpact (NYSE:G) is now covered by analysts at Susquehanna. They set a “neutral” rating and a $50.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 5.4% upside from the current price of $47.45.Huntington Ingalls Industries (NYSE:HII) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc.. They set a “buy” rating and a $376.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 13.9% upside from the current price of $330.03.Palatin Technologies(NYSEAMERICAN:PTN) is now covered by analysts at Laidlaw. They set a “buy” rating and a $60.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 135.1% upside from the current price of $25.52.Science Applications International(NYSE:SAIC) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc.. They set a “buy” rating and a $122.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 19.5% upside from the current price of $102.11.SouthState Bank (NYSE:SSB) is now covered by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co.. They set an “overweight” rating and a $115.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 20.4% upside from the current price of $95.54.Teledyne Technologies (NYSE:TDY) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc.. They set a “neutral” rating and a $567.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 8.6% upside from the current price of $521.87.Tyler Technologies (NYSE:TYL) is now covered by analysts at TD Cowen. They set a “buy” rating and a $650.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 41.5% upside from the current price of $459.51.
VIEW MORE NEW COVERAGE

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How to Profit When the Herd Panics

Morning Watchlist

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Dear Fellow Investor,

How to Spot Excessively Oversold Opportunities

In 2005, a bizarre and tragic incident made global headlines. According to USA Today, 450 sheep in a remote Turkish village jumped to their deaths after falling off a cliff. The cause wasn’t a predator, an earthquake, or a sudden shock.

It was one sheep.

One sheep wandered too close to the drop and fell. Another followed. And suddenly, hundreds—eventually more than 1,500—blindly followed the flock, piling over the cliff’s edge simply because the others were doing it. Many didn’t survive. The ones that did lived only because they landed on the massive pile of wool beneath them.

As odd as this sounds, it’s not a rare occurrence in nature. Herd mentality is a powerful force.

And traders fall for it every day.

Most investors buy because everyone else is buying. They sell because everyone else is selling. They chase headlines, social media hype, and emotional narratives. They jump when the market jumps, panic when the market panics, and often have no idea why they’re taking action at all.

It’s one of the costliest mistakes in all of investing.

Charles Mackay captured this phenomenon more than 180 years ago in his classic, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. He wrote:
“Men… think in herds; they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.”

Even though he wrote those words in 1841, they apply just as much today—arguably more. Markets now move faster, information travels instantly, and fear spreads across screens in milliseconds. The more connected we become, the stronger herd mentality gets.

But here’s the good news: herd mentality is predictable. And if you know how to identify it, you can exploit it—just as some of the world’s most successful investors have done.


The Billionaire Blueprint for Exploiting Fear and Greed

Warren Buffett has repeated one of the most valuable market principles of all time:

“Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”

Baron Rothschild famously advised investors to “buy when there’s blood in the streets.”

Sir John Templeton, who built one of the world’s most successful global mutual funds, bought stocks at the peak of pessimism—often when markets were in total panic.

Each of these investors made fortunes by identifying moments when the crowd was acting irrationally—and doing the opposite.

But there’s one key difference between their era and ours:

They relied primarily on fundamental analysis—studying earnings, valuations, and economic conditions.

We can combine that with technical analysis, giving us a more precise way to spot major turning points.

And that leads to one of the most profitable patterns in all of trading:

The Excessively Oversold Opportunity.

This is what happens when the herd has sold so aggressively—and so emotionally—that prices fall far below reasonable value. When sentiment collapses, panic replaces logic… and that’s exactly when smart investors step in.


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Company: Palantir (SYM: PLTR) 

Let’s look at Palantir (PLTR), which recently gave investors a textbook setup.

In early November, fears of an “AI bubble” sent shares tumbling from about $210 down to $147.56—a steep drop driven almost entirely by emotion. There was no collapse in earnings. No loss of major customers. No negative guidance. Just widespread fear that AI stocks had run up “too far, too fast.”

Investors panicked… and sold.
Analysts piled in with gloomy predictions… and more sold.
Momentum traders saw the drop… and sold.

But here’s the irony:

The AI bubble they were terrified of still doesn’t exist. AI adoption is accelerating, not slowing. And the companies powering it—including Palantir—continue to post strong fundamentals.

So what happened next?

As the panic faded, the stock rebounded sharply—rallying to $186.47.

The real question is:
How could investors have spotted this oversold opportunity before the bounce?

The Four Indicators You Must Watch

The answer lies in four key technical pivot points. Each of these signals helps reveal when fear has reached an extreme:

1. Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price moves.

When RSI dips to or below 30, a stock is considered “oversold.” Extreme drops toward that line often precede powerful reversals.

2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

MACD shows momentum.

When it dips well below its mean or crosses into deeply negative territory, it signals that selling momentum is overstretched.

3. Williams’ %R

This indicator measures overbought/oversold conditions on a scale of 0 to -100.

When it falls below the -80 line, it indicates oversold conditions.

4. Full Stochastics

Like Williams’ %R, this is another momentum indicator.

When Full Stochastics dip below 20, selling pressure is approaching extreme levels.

Now here’s where it gets interesting.

When all four indicators reach these oversold lines at the same time, it’s often a major turning point.


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What We Saw in Palantir

Around November 21, every one of these indicators flashed oversold:

  • RSI fell to the 30-line
  • MACD dropped sharply below its mean
  • Williams’ %R sank beneath -80
  • Full Stochastics plunged under 20

Even more important: when you zoom out and view these indicators across one or two years of price action, a clear pattern emerges.

Each time all four indicators hit extreme oversold levels simultaneously… PLTR bounced.

This is the power of studying the herd.
This is how you identify irrational selling.
This is how you exploit emotionally-driven panic.

Does It Work 100% of the Time?

Of course not.

No strategy in the market is perfect.
There will always be false signals, unexpected news, and periods when the herd stays irrational longer than expected.

But here’s what this method will do:

  • Help you avoid panic selling
  • Put you on the right side of sentiment
  • Identify price levels the crowd has pushed too far
  • Give you objective confirmation that selling pressure is fading
  • Improve timing on entries and exits
  • Increase your odds of capturing major reversals

When combined with solid fundamentals—just as the great investors consistently demonstrated—these technical signals become even more powerful.


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Strong community momentum building behind it right now…
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Are there any other lesser known oversold stocks that you’re buying right now? What other sectors of the market are you currently interested in? Hit “reply” to this email and let us know your thoughts!

Our mailing address is: 
Behind the Markets, LLC 
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Giving Jon Najarian a Great Call

Editor’s note: We’ve seen plenty of volatility in the market over the past couple of months…

After the incredible recovery from the April lows, the S&P 500 Index kept hitting all-time highs. Then, volatility crept back in October and November.

Of course, we can’t know for sure what lurks around the corner…

Next year could bring a painful era for the market. In fact, our founder Marc Chaikin has said that there’s a 65% chance of a bear market happening in 2026.

In uncertain environments, using the best available data for stock picking is critical. That also goes for figuring out which stocks to avoid.

As Marc explains in this classic essay, his one-of-a-kind Power Gauge system shines in this area…

Giving Jon Najarian a Great Call

By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics“Based on the bearish Power Gauge rating, I think the risk of a negative earnings surprise is too great.”

I said those words in 2012, as I was appearing for the first time on CNBC’s Fast Money Halftime Report.

On the panel next to me was Jon Najarian. I’m guessing you’ve heard of him…

The NFL-linebacker-turned-high-profile-trader had become a household name in the financial world by then. He would go on to sell his publishing and trading platforms, optionMONSTER and tradeMONSTER, to E-Trade just a few years later for $750 million.

Jon was at the peak of his financial career. And although I’d been making the rounds on CNBC, this was the first time we had crossed paths.

The stock we were talking about was online travel agency Priceline, which later changed its name to Booking Holdings (BKNG).

Priceline was one of Jon’s bullish trades at the time. And I had just told CNBC viewers that it looked too risky.

The thing is, I didn’t know anything about Priceline.

But I did have the Power Gauge to guide me. And that was all I needed…Recommended Links:

Is It Time to Sell Everything and Run for the Hills?

On December 16, legendary market veteran Marc Chaikin is officially sounding the alarm on the U.S. stock market… and will reveal the No. 1 step to take with your money BEFORE January 1 to protect yourself and prepare as hundreds of stocks could soon suffer swift, brutal sell-offs. The last time he issued a warning like this, the average investor went on to lose up to 44% of their portfolio in the months that followed. Before it’s too late, learn more here.

A Dangerous Signal Is Flashing for AI Stocks

As one market veteran is now warning, if you want to protect yourself from the chaos surrounding the AI bubble – and potentially triple your money – you need to make this ONE move before January 1, 2026.  Click here to learn more.As longtime readers know, the Power Gauge is the culmination of my life’s work.

It combines more than five decades’ worth of data-driven market research. And it packages everything I’ve learned about the markets into actionable information for every stock it processes.

So I didn’t need to know much about Priceline. I just typed in the ticker and got my report.

Immediately, I saw that Priceline was set up to release disappointing earnings. The Power Gauge made it clear.

Obviously, the interface for the Power Gauge has gotten more refined over the years. Here’s an example of another stock that the Power Gauge turned “very bearish” on recently…You’ve probably never heard of Kingsway Financial Services (KFS).

But that’s not important – because the Power Gauge has.

Each of these sliders is backed by data that can be further explored. And the data shows us that Kingsway is in a risky spot for investors right now.

That was the kind of setup I saw when I told Jon that Priceline looked like a no-go. The Power Gauge had provided me with the most important (and most relevant) information.

Again, Jon was excited about the stock. But he was a professional. And he was willing to reexamine his ideas.

The interview ended with Jon saying, “I’m going to take a harder look, since Marc Chaikin doesn’t like it.”

That was Monday, August 6, 2012. On Wednesday, the day after Priceline’s earnings, the Halftime Report did a highly unusual follow-up.

The host started by asking Jon, “Chaikin spooked you a little bit?”

“He did indeed. And I think… a lot of folks followed Mr. Chaikin. Those of us that picked up some cheap out-of-the-money puts… well, they worked out like a charm.

“Those puts went from like $1.80 last night to $15, $16,” Jon continued. “Again, great call by Marc Chaikin. And thanks, Marc, for helping me out.”

In short, the Power Gauge was right. Priceline missed earnings. And Jon listened to me, made a bet against the stock, and racked up big profits instead of taking major losses.

Now, one great call is just that – a single great call.

But it was only possible because I had the Power Gauge at my side.

The Power Gauge uses the best data available to help individual investors make consistently great calls. And my goal is to share that power with as many investors as I can.

Good investing,

Marc Chaikin


Editor’s note: Looking ahead to 2026, it’s critical that investors have the right data and tools at their disposal…

This coming Tuesday, December 16, Marc is going on camera for a big event. During it, he’ll explain why we’re likely to see a volatile ride ahead in 2026. To share the message, he’ll also be joined by a special guest who has essentially devoted his career to accurately timing the markets.

Marc and this special guest will also discuss a brand-new tool designed to safeguard your portfolio against the volatility we’re likely to see in 2026. That also includes a string of devastating “flash crashes” that could be headed for hundreds of popular stocks.

Don’t miss out… You can register to attend this free event here.


Also note that today’s edition of the Chaikin PowerFeed does not include the usual data from the Power Gauge below. Power Gauge users can still log on to the Chaikin Analytics platform to access our system’s most recent data.

Look forward to our usual PowerFeed format returning on Monday, December 15.

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© 2025 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. www.chaikinanalytics.com.

Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors.

Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation.

This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we’ve learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn’t make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It’s your money and your responsibility.