Gamma Gone Wild

Friday, April 17, 2026

Smoke Pattern. Heat Gauge. Fuel Line. Draft.

Four criteria. When two or more align on the same stock at the same time, institutional algorithms are already piling in, quietly, before the headline hits.

Jeff Bierman spent 38 years building this, from the NASDAQ floor to a Beverly Hills hedge fund to Chief Market Technician at TD Ameritrade.

He already bagged +250% on ETSY options. Some members have paid for their subscription cost and then some.

Twice a week he runs the scan. When a real BURN fires, you get the ticker.

The BURN SIGNAL Masterclass runs Wednesday, April 22nd at 1pm EST.

👉 See the framework before the next signal drops

Don here…

The market just logged the largest gamma squeeze I have ever seen.

The S&P 500 moved 300 points this week against a $120 expected move. That adds up to almost three standard deviations and the third consecutive weekly breach to the upside.

I have recorded expected moves in the SPX all the way back to 2017. Three consecutive breaches in the same direction is completely unheard of in my data.

Microsoft tells the story best. The stock opened the week at $370 with an $11 expected move and closed at $422 for a 4.74 sigma move.

In tonight’s video, I walk through the data driving the squeeze:

  • The SPX traded 6 million option contracts today with calls slightly outnumbering puts. Institutions normally buy puts as hedges in this product, so this flip tells me retail is piling into call options.
  • Every SPX strike below 7175 held over 100,000 contracts in open interest from yesterday’s close. Move out to Monday’s expiration and the biggest strike shows only 13,000 contracts.
  • SPDRs added another 15 million contracts on top of the SPX’s 7 million for over 21 million combined. The QQQ kicked in another 8 million on the same day.
  • Next week’s SPX expected move sits at $110, only 10% below this week’s $120.Volatility did not collapse during this rally, with the VIX finding a floor near 18.

I am not playing this rally on the long side. My opportunities right now are all on the short side.

Financials remain down 4% on the year while the private credit squeeze keeps building at the major banks. Home builders got swept up in the move despite bond market pressure, and crypto continues to lag the broader index.

I walk through exactly how this gamma feedback loop works and break down three specific short setups I am watching next week.

👉 Click here to watch me break down the largest gamma squeeze ever recorded

To your success,

Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE

The Market’s No. 1 Trading Guide, Free

This is the perfect time to make sure you’re up to speed on your trading know-how. So I want to ensure you’ve read our free Rebel’s Guide to Trading Options – it covers all the basics of trading options. Like everything we do, the course is in plain  English. It’s specially geared toward beginners but all traders will get something out of it. Yours absolutely free, of course – right here…

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Warm regards,

Don Kaufman

Disclaimer: Neither TheoTrade or any of its officers, directors, employees, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors is, in such capacities, a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. TheoTrade does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. TheoTrade is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does TheoTrade agree to direct your brokerage accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. Nothing contained in our content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, or endorsement of any particular security, other investment product, transaction or investment. Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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‘Starlets’ Examines Hollywood’s Early Leading Ladies at 9 pm Sunday

Breaking News from Newsmax.com

‘Starlets’ Examines Hollywood’s Early Leading Ladies at 9 pm Sunday

Hollywood’s A-list stars of today owe a lot of credit to Tinsel Town’s original leading ladies.

The stories of the iconic actresses of the Golden Age are featured in Newsmax TV’s new original “Starlets: The Ladies Who Made Hollywood,” which premieres Sunday at 9 p.m.

When to Watch:

9pm ET Starlets: The Ladies Who Made Hollywood
Sunday on Newsmax — Find It Here

The new documentary not only takes a look back at the early Hollywood days, and the women who shaped the system for generations to follow, but what these women originally contributed to the industry and how the studio system has changed.

“‘Creating ‘Starlets’ was a journey into the DNA of cinema,” said Philip Hopkins, president of Film Masters, a consortium of historians and film enthusiasts who seek to celebrate and preserve classic film. “We wanted to go beyond the silent frames of the silver screen to show the raw ambition and talent of icons like Clara Bow, Barbara Stanwyck, Joan Crawford, and Bette Davis.”

“These women didn’t just star in movies, they invented the very concept of the modern movie star and built the foundation of the industry we know today,” he added.

Pulling from Film Masters’ vast collection of archival film and images, leading film historians, including Maria Tura and Sloan De Forest, author of the Turner Classic Movies book “The Essential Directors: The Art and Impact of Cinema’s Most Influential Filmmakers,” speak to the subject matter.

Film historian and writer Julie Kirgo also contributed, while historian, film expert, and screenwriter C. Courtney Joyner penned the script. Together, these experts bring to light how these women of early Hollywood paved their own way and expanded roles both in front of and behind the camera.

Specifically, the film looks at Mary Pickford, who lobbied and advocated for actors and fundamentally changed the studio system, to Barbara Stanwyck, who blazed across the screen and pushed the boundaries of what could be done on camera.

The influence of Clara Bow, who challenged societal norms and thrilled audiences in the Jazz Age, and Joan Crawford, who proved she could act across all genres, are also explored.

Directed and edited by Daniel Griffith, it also examines how early Hollywood often found new stars from the stage and how the studio system will continue to change in the future.

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Encanterra Golf Team Updates

View in your browser #MYTRILOGYLIFE Encanterra® Encanterra Golf Team Updates Apr 17, 2026    

BlueStar Cactus Classic
Inter-Club Golf EventGolf Members OnlyMay 18, 2026 | 9:00am Shotgun Start at Vistancia, Peoria
Join us for the second annual BlueStar Cactus Classic Inter-Club Golf Event! All four BlueStar-managed Clubs in Arizona will come together for a day of golf, camaraderie and friendly competition.

Who will take the coveted Cactus Classic trophy from 2025 winners IronOaks? You’ll have to play to find out!

Team scoring
All members will use the Stableford scoring system to accumulate points for their Club. At the end of the round, the top 25 scores from each Club will be counted towards their overall team score. The Club with the most Stableford points will be crowned the 2026 Cactus Classic Champions and take home the travelling Cactus Classic trophy to be showcased at their Club.

Points
Hole in One / Double Eagle: 6 | Eagle: 5 | Birdie: 3 | Par: 2 | Bogey: 1 | Double Bogey or more: 0
Once a member has reached net double bogey, they may pick up.

Cost for Encanterra Members: $120
Includes golf, carts, lunch, a custom tee gift, raffle prizes and more.

For more details, get in touch with your Golf Professional team or sign up directly on Foretees.Hit it straighterThe biggest impact on shot accuracy is clubface angle at impact. How straight is your clubface at impact? Can you control your face angle at impact?Next time you’re at the range, practice deliberately. Hit shots with the face slightly open, slightly closed, and then square.The rotation of the hands and wrists through the golf swing will impact on the face angle at impact. Is your lead wrist cupped or bowed at impact?Check your face angleIt is a very good idea to come and let us check your face angle at impact. We’ll also look at your hand and wrist rotation. There’s a chance we can identify a way to become more accurate. 

Book a Swing CheckOr, book a full swing assessmentIf you’ve already decided you want to improve your golf game and your golfing experience, then let’s start with a swing assessment. 

Book a Swing AssessmentThe TaylorMade Qi Max is to all intents and purposes a game improvement iron. Forgiving. Higher launch. Longer. But it doesn’t look like it. It doesn’t sound like it. And it doesn’t feel like it. 

Revolutionary internal structures change everything. A ‘sound stabilization bar’ connects the rear bar to the top line. The sound is not only improved. The top line also becomes more stable with much less twist. It feels more solid through impact. The new sound bar allows for the Echo Damping Materials to be extended further up towards the top line. Vibration is now reduced. 

All parts of the face are then designed to flex in unison. Even a less perfect strike feels and sounds solid. The outcome is also a straighter shot with less fade bias. Would you like a personal experience?We’d love to show you just how much game improvement performance is in an iron that looks, sounds, and feels like a club the best ball strikers would want to use.  

Book the Qi Max Experience#MTL ShopAlways Open. Always Original. Shop exclusive Trilogy gear. Shop NowNewsKeep up to date with the latest news in your community 24 hours a day. Visit NewsEventsLog in and find out about the latest events in your community. Visit EventsBulletinsShare your interests and Buy & Sell items with your neighbors. Visit BulletinsVisit MyTrilogyLife.com © 2026 All rights reserved. Use of the Website and the E-Newsletter is subject to website Terms of Use. Please review our Privacy Policy before providing any Personal Information. If you no longer wish to receive the E-Newsletter, please adjust your settings at the Website to unsubscribe

The Middle East Crisis Just Sent Oil into Overdrive

Zacks | Our Research. Your Success.

The Middle East Crisis Just Sent Oil into Overdrive

Fellow Investor,

Oil just shattered the $100-a-barrel barrier, but the biggest gains may still lie ahead.

That’s why some of the biggest banks on Wall Street say we could be standing on the precipice of a historic oil surge.

In fact, both JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs predict oil could rocket higher to $150 in the coming weeks.

Turn on the nightly news and you’ll see why.

Events unfolding in the Middle East are dominating headlines around the world.

And every new development sends shockwaves through the financial markets—with stocks surging one day only to reverse sharply the next.

But beneath all that chaos and volatility, one powerful shift is impossible to ignore.

Oil stocks are exploding higher.

And we’ve identified three oil companies uniquely positioned to lead the charge.

That’s why Zacks has just released an urgent special report called:

“The $100 Oil Portfolio: 3 Stocks to Buy Right Now”

The companies detailed in the report are proven outperformers that could be among the biggest winners if crude spikes toward $150.

But make no mistake: This situation is evolving fast.

Energy markets can move in days… sometimes even hours… which means you must strike while the iron is hot.

Click here now to download your FREE report.

Good Investing,

Kevin Matras - signature


Kevin Matras, EVP
Zacks Investment Research

 



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Trump: Strait of Hormuz Open; Trump: Won’t Pay for Iran’s Uranium; Comer: Epstein Probe Growing

Breaking News from Newsmax.com

• Trump: Strait of Hormuz Open for ‘Full Passage’

Special: This Pre-IPO Stock Is Up 4,000%.

• Trump Rejects Cash-for-Uranium Deal With Iran

• Comer: Epstein Probe Still Expanding


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Immersed is offering securities through the use of an Offering Statement that has been qualified by the Securities and Exchange Commission under Tier II of Regulation A. A copy of the Final Offering Circular may be obtained here. The valuation is set by the Company and there is currently no public market for the Company’s Common Stock. NASDAQ ticker “IMRS” has been reserved by Immersed and any potential listing is subject to future regulatory approval and market conditions. Investor references reflect factual individual or institutional participation and do not imply endorsement or sponsorship by the referenced companies. Forward-looking statements appear here based on current information and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause outcomes to differ. Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.immersed.com.

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Log into Keith’s $5,000 AI Signals Trading system

Editor’s Note: Recently, we met with a fintech CEO. He told us about a system he created after tracking $29 billion. A website that shows you the day’s best trades, 90 minutes before they occur, by using AI on 2,467 stocks. At first, it sounded like “pie in the sky” – until we saw the results. Read on…

– Stephen Prior, Publisher


Log Into Keith’s $5,000 AI Signals Trading System

Dear Reader,

Today, we’re sharing a new AI “trade detector” for 2026.

Each morning, it shows you the most lucrative trades taking shape – 90 minutes before they occur.

See how it works – right now – on 2,467 different stocks:

Last year alone, it returned 124% in a backtest, crushing the market nearly 3-fold in a model portfolio.

We developed this system by using AI on a new “micro” level most people have never seen before. In fact, we used the same platform that helped us call last year’s crash and rally (even posting a free pick that doubled in 4 months).

I urge you to try our new system (no purchase required) by April 22… to prepare for an echo of the late 1990s set to slam stocks this month.

So far, our 2026 beta results have been remarkable…

37.7% gain in 33 days on 
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21.4% gain in 4 days on (DECK)
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18.3% gain in 16 days on (GRMN)
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15.2% gain in 7 days on (EFX)
15% gain in 2 days on (DASH)
14.9% gain in 30 days on (LMT)
14.2% gain in 5 days on (TER)
14% gain in 2 days on (DDOG)
13.9% gain in 1 day on (PAYC)
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…and dozens more

We value this new AI system at $5,000.

But today, April 17, you can claim free access here (no purchase required).

Regards,

Keith Kaplan
CEO, TradeSmithMonument Traders Alliance

Monument Traders Alliance, LLC

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Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox.

Nothing published by Monument Traders Alliance should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed personalized investment advice. We allow the editors of our publications to recommend securities that they own themselves. However, our policy prohibits editors from exiting a personal trade while the recommendation to subscribers is open. In no circumstance may an editor sell a security before subscribers have a fair opportunity to exit. The length of time an editor must wait after subscribers have been advised to exit a play depends on the type of publication. All other employees and agents must wait 24 hours after publication before trading on a recommendation.

Any investments recommended by Monument Traders Alliance should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Monument Traders Alliance, LLC, 14 West Mount Vernon Place, Baltimore, MD 21201.

REF: 000142349377

♟️The Strategy That Turns Patience Into Income

View in browser

“The mistake most investors make is treating put selling like a lottery ticket rather than an investment commitment.”

Karim Rahemtulla, Co-Founder, Monument Traders Alliance 

Karim Rahemtulla

Dear Reader,

Most investors get stuck in the same trap.

They wait for a pullback that takes too long, miss the move, and then chase it higher out of FOMO. Either they buy too late and overpay, or they wait forever and never buy at all.

Put selling is the way out of that trap.

Here is how it works.

When you sell a put option, you are making a specific agreement with the market. You are saying: I am willing to buy this stock at a price I choose, below where it is trading today.

In exchange for that commitment, the market pays you cash upfront. That cash is yours to keep regardless of what happens.

How a Trade Becomes Profitable

Most people assume you have to wait until expiration to see the outcome. You do not. You can close the trade at any time by buying the put back in the open market.

If the stock holds steady or moves higher after you sell the put, the premium you collected decays in value. You can buy it back for less than you sold it for and pocket the difference as profit. That is exactly what happened in the trade below.

If the stock falls sharply and the put moves against you, you can close it for a loss rather than wait for assignment. You are never locked in.

There are three possible outcomes when you sell a put. First: the stock stays above your strike, the put expires worthless, and you keep the full premium. Second: the stock moves in your favor and you close early for a partial profit.

Third: the stock falls to your strike and you get assigned shares at the price you chose.

Two of those three outcomes put cash in your pocket without you owning a single share.

The biggest risk is not the market. It is leverage. If you sell puts using more margin than you can cover, a sharp move can turn a manageable situation into a serious problem.

The mistake most investors make is treating put selling like a lottery ticket rather than an investment commitment. If you sell a put, you need to be willing and able to own the shares at that price. That discipline is what separates consistent winners from the ones who blow up.

Here is a real example.

Last year, I liked Marvell Technologies(MRVL) as a company, but not at the price it was trading. I wanted to own it cheaper. So instead of buying shares, I sold puts below the market price.

My War Room members sold puts for between $1.02 and $1.06 per contract. That premium was theirs to keep the moment the trade was placed.

The thesis was simple. Either MRVL would fall to my strike price, and I would get the shares at the discount I wanted, or it would stay above that level, and I would keep the cash. Both outcomes were acceptable.

Thirty-five days later, members bought the puts back for 42 cents, keeping a profit of 60 cents to 64 cents. That is a 63% return on premium in just over a month.

Marvell never had to fall. The trade worked simply because time passed and the stock stayed above the strike price. That is the part most people never consider when they first learn about put selling.

Options are “time-decaying assets.”

Next week, I will explain exactly how I found that trade and the specific criteria I used to select it. For now, the mechanics are what matter.

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Two Ways I Use Put Selling

The first is as an anti-chasing strategy.

Everyone has done it. A stock you have been watching for months finally starts to move, you buy it because you are afraid it will get away, and then it pulls back immediately.

Chasing is one of the most expensive habits in investing.

Put selling removes the emotional decision entirely. Instead of chasing, you set the price you are willing to pay and collect cash while you wait.

If the stock comes to you, great. If it does not, you kept the premium and you look for the next opportunity.

The second is as an investment strategy. A cheaper way into stocks you actually want to own.

Most investors see put selling as a trading strategy. I see it differently. When I find a company I want to own for the long term, I use put selling to get in at a discount.

Instead of buying shares at the current price, I sell puts at a strike price 20% to 30% below the market. The premium I collect lowers my effective cost even further.

If I never get assigned, I have been paid for my patience. If I do get assigned, I own a quality company at a price well below what everyone else paid.

That is not a consolation prize. That is the plan.Logo

YOUR ACTION PLAN

Put selling works because of a structural advantage. Option sellers collect premium that is almost always priced slightly above the actual risk.

Over time, that edge compounds. It is why market makers and institutional desks sell far more options than they buy.

The retail investor rarely gets to be on that side of the trade. Put selling is one of the cleanest ways to get there.

Done correctly, it is one of the most consistent strategies I have used across decades of investing. It turns patience into income and discipline into returns.

Next week, I will walk you through exactly how I apply this: the specific criteria I use, how I choose strike prices, and what my track record looks like on this strategy.

You’ll want to read that one.Want more content like this?


FUN FACT FRIDAY

The world’s first documented “options trader” was a broke philosopher (Thales) who used his weather-prediction skills and a small upfront payment to corner the olive-press market – and made a fortune without ever owning a single olive tree or press outright.

He essentially turned a smart bet into leveraged upside with limited risk, proving that options (and selling the other side of them) have been a clever way to play uncertainty for over 2,600 years!

Modern option selling (especially on exchanges) is much safer today thanks to clearinghouses and standardization, but the core idea – collecting premium for taking on obligation – hasn’t changed since those ancient Greek days.


INSIGHTS YOU MAY HAVE MISSED

The Strategy That Turns Patience Into Income

Quantum Stocks Signal the Return of Speculation

I Missed Gold In 1979. I’m Not Missing This.

Saudi Arabia Walked Away. Nobody Noticed.

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It’s Critical for National Security. Here’s Why a Major White House Investment Could Send Shares Soaring.Monument Traders Alliance

Monument Traders Alliance, LLC

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© 2026 Monument Traders Alliance, LLC | All Rights Reserved

Nothing published by Monument Traders Alliance should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed personalized investment advice. We allow the editors of our publications to recommend securities that they own themselves. However, our policy prohibits editors from exiting a personal trade while the recommendation to subscribers is open. In no circumstance may an editor sell a security before subscribers have a fair opportunity to exit. The length of time an editor must wait after subscribers have been advised to exit a play depends on the type of publication. All other employees and agents must wait 24 hours after publication before trading on a recommendation.

Any investments recommended by Monument Traders Alliance should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Monument Traders Alliance, LLC, 14 West Mount Vernon Place, Baltimore, MD 21201.

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The SpaceX filing just happened. You’ve got weeks.

APRIL 17, 2026   |   READ ONLINE

Elon’s filing for the SpaceX IPO just hit the mainstream news…

And everyone is wondering how I called it… almost to the exact day being reported.

Well…

I met Elon Musk face to face.

At a private gathering of the world’s financial elite, I was one of just two people selected to speak with him personally.

That conversation — combined with three years studying patterns at CIA headquarters — is why my SpaceX prediction was dead on accurate.

And while the mainstream media was playing catch-up…

I had already helped nearly 15,000 Main Street Americans discover the “backdoor” way to stake a claim pre-IPO.

Now the stakes are even higher.

The filing just happened.

21 banks — including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley — are preparing to underwrite what they’re calling “Project Apex.”

The framework for the biggest IPO in Wall Street history.

Everyone is now looking at June.

So here’s what that means for you and your money…

You just got a gift.

A few more weeks to position yourself before the biggest gains are gobbled up by Wall Street insiders.

Once the roadshow kicks off… once the media frenzy begins… once millions of investors scramble to get in…

The window slams shut.

But right now — today — you still have time.

I’m giving away my top pre-IPO SpaceX pick completely free.

No credit card. No email required.

But I wouldn’t wait.

June is coming fast.

Click here to get my FREE SpaceX pre-IPO recommendation now.

Yours for peace, prosperity, and liberty, AEIOU,

Dr. Mark Skousen
Macroeconomic Strategist, The Oxford Club

P.S. I’ve already helped nearly 15,000 everyday investors get positioned before this historic IPO. Now it’s your turn. But the window is closing fast.

Get my free recommendation here… before it’s too late.


This Month’s Featured Story

Palantir Faces Skepticism Despite Strong Growth

Written by Chris Markoch. Originally Published: 4/7/2026. 

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR)remains one of the most hotly debated stocks among investors and analysts. On April 1, Benchmark initiated coverage of PLTR with a Hold rating and a $150 price target.

That target is close to the stock’s trading range over the past two months, but it sits more than 20% below the consensus price target of $197.77.

The recent weakness in PLTR has been driven in part by the broader rotation out of technologyand, more specifically, software stocks.


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Analyst sentiment on Palantir has generally skewed bullish. The question now is whether Benchmark’s call is an outlier or an early warning of further downside.

A Familiar Story for the Bears

Behind Benchmark’s Hold are familiar bearish themes that have followed Palantir for years. Their concerns can be summarized as follows:

  • Benchmark argues that to justify its lofty valuation, Palantir must sustain annual revenue growth in the 60%–70% range; anything materially below that could trigger market drawdowns.
  • In fiscal 2025, Palantir’s international commercial revenue grew just 2.5% year over year, a signal to Benchmark that demand among even U.S. allies may be limited.
  • While $1.3 billion in total contract value (TCV) bookings shows Palantir can maintain client relationships, the company will need many more new customers to validate its valuation.

The Numbers Behind the Bull Case

Benchmark’s concerns largely hinge on valuation. The bears cite fundamentals, but the bulls point to strong recent results and a committed base of retail holders.

The bullish case rests on facts from Palantir’s most recent earnings report. The company reported total revenue of $1.41 billion in Q4 2025, up 70% year over year, with U.S. commercial revenue surging 137% year over year to $507 million. That level of domestic acceleration is difficult to dismiss as a fluke.

Palantir also recorded an 8% sequential increase in commercial customers, and a 49% increase year over year. High single-digit sequential gains may not wow every investor, but Palantir has a history of upside surprises.

The company posted a record total contract value of $4.26 billion for the quarter, up 138% year over year, which suggests the demand pipeline is expanding rather than contracting.

Perhaps most striking was Palantir’s Rule of 40 score of 127% in Q4 2025 — the combined measure of revenue growth and adjusted operating margin. By that metric, Palantir outpaces enterprise software peers such as Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE), Salesforce (NYSE: CRM), and Workday (NASDAQ: WDAY).

The company’s adjusted operating income reached $798 million at a 57% margin, and it finished the quarter with $7.2 billion in cash and no debt. Management guided U.S. commercial revenue for full-year 2026 above $3.14 billion, implying growth of at least 115%. Those figures don’t look like the results of a company suffering from demand weakness.

Investors may accept Benchmark’s concerns about commercial growth, but the government side of Palantir’s business is harder to ignore. Palantir’s Maven Smart System is now a formal program of record, which helps make Maven a long-term fixture across multiple branches of the U.S. military.

That designation strengthens Palantir’s military funding and helps secure future contracts, stabilizing the government business as the commercial segment grows. For skeptics focused on valuation risk, durable multiyear government commitments like these provide structural support that makes the premium easier to justify.

The Timing Could Be on Benchmark’s Side

PLTR is down nearly 20% in 2026. Although the stock has bounced off roughly $129—suggesting a short-term floor—it has experienced drops of 30% or more several times over the past five years.

PLTR stock chart displaying a failure to reclaim a previous high after a recent pullback.

KEY POINTS

  • A recent analyst rating highlights ongoing concerns that high growth expectations may already be priced into shares.
  • Strong domestic growth, expanding bookings, and industry-leading profitability metrics continue to support the bullish case.
  • The stock remains under pressure in the near term, making timing a key factor for both bullish and bearish investors.
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No matter which side of Benchmark’s view investors take, PLTR remains under selling pressure. In late March the stock pushed toward $165—the level it traded at before the most recent pullback—but that advance was rebuffed. Reclaiming $165 is the first hurdle the stock needs to clear before it can attempt the next move higher.

Investors who agree with Benchmark may see a lower price as necessary before the stock becomes a clear buy. Others, looking at the consensus price target, may view this consolidation as an opportunity to accumulate shares.

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