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Today’s Bonus Article

Intel Went From Market Reject to Musk’s AI Partner — What Happens Next?

By Sam Quirke. Article Posted: 4/13/2026. 

Key Points

  • Intel has surged more than 220% since last summer and 50% since the end of March, with the latest leg driven by its involvement in Elon Musk’s Terafab AI chip project.
  • Partnering with Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI has boosted its credibility, but analysts remain split on how much near-term upside remains. 
  • With shares starting to look overbought ahead of earnings, the setup might lean toward caution rather than exuberance. 
  • Special Report: Wall Street banks are fighting over one IPO (From Behind the Markets)

Tech giant Intel Corp (NASDAQ: INTC) has staged one of the most dramatic turnarounds in the market over the past couple of quarters. Having been at multi-year lows this time last year and almost a byword for disappointment, Intel shares are now on the verge of a five-year high — up more than 220% since last August.

Those gains have accelerated in recent weeks, adding roughly a 50% increase since the end of March alone.

The latest leg higher was driven by news this week that Intel is joining Elon Musk’s Terafab AI chip production project alongside his Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA), SpaceX, and xAI companies. That development injected new excitement into the story, positioning Intel at the center of one of the most ambitious artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure initiatives currently being built.

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The question now is whether this renewed momentum still has room to run, or whether the stock has already priced in much of the upside ahead of its next earnings report on April 23. Let’s take a closer look.

A Narrative Shift Is Underway

While the Terafab update is newsworthy, the most important change in Intel’s story over the past year has been the shift in perception around its foundry business. What was once viewed as a long-term, uncertain turnaround effort is increasingly framed as a credible path back to relevance in the semiconductor industry.

Intel Foundry Services gaining traction as a supplier in the broader AI ecosystem is evidence of that shift. Once considered an “also-ran,” Intel is re-entering conversations about the next phase of technology growth instead of being dismissed as lagging its younger, more nimble peers. That change in perception has driven a significant re-pricing of the stock, even as many underlying improvements remain in their early stages.

Terafab Has Put Intel Back in the Spotlight

The Terafab announcement has been a welcome catalyst for bulls. Intel’s involvement alongside Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI has eased bearish concerns about its turnaround and effectively validated its role in the emerging AI supply chain. These are some of the most aggressive players in the AI space, and their choice to work with Intel signals the company is being taken seriously at the highest level.

Considering Intel shares have gained close to 20% since the news broke, the market appears to be taking it seriously as well. At the same time, analysts are not fully aligned on how to interpret the shift. Firms such as KeyCorp have leaned into the opportunity, reiterating their Buy rating and raising their price target to $70 — still implying meaningful upside ahead of the company’s upcoming report.

Others, like Cantor Fitzgerald and Wells Fargo, have taken a more cautious stance, issuing Hold or equivalent ratings that reflect uncertainty about how quickly the new narrative will translate into financial results.

The Rally Has Moved Faster Than the Fundamentals

From the sidelines, the skeptics have a reasonable point. Intel’s story has improved dramatically since this time last year, but the stock has moved even faster.

A 220% rally — and the roughly 50% surge since the end of March — suggests a significant amount of optimism is already priced in. The Terafab news accelerated that move, but it also raised expectations at a time when much of the underlying progress is still early.

Key elements of the bull case, including the success of the foundry business and the economics of projects like Terafab, remain largely unproven. Execution risk is still meaningful, and the path to realizing Intel’s full potential has yet to become clear. That creates an exciting, but potentially risky, situation in which a strong emerging narrative outpaces the fundamentals.

Earnings Will Be the Next Major Test

Intel’s next earnings report, due on April 23, will be closely watched. After such a sharp run higher, investors will look for confirmation that the narrative shift is backed not only by a clear vision from management but also by tangible progress.

If Intel can deliver on those fronts, the rally could extend further, supported by both momentum and improving fundamentals. In that scenario, the stock could still be undervalued and attractive to buyers ahead of the report.

Conversely, the risk and scale of a potential pullback would increase if the report disappoints. For investors on the sidelines, that makes for an interesting setup: the long-term opportunity may be increasingly compelling, but the risk of near-term volatility could outweigh the potential for immediate gains.

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Published by RJ Hamster

I was born on 6 August 1956 in San Francisco, California to Janet and (the late) Richard Hovis. I grew up in Santa Monica, California where I attended elementary, junior high school, and high school (graduating in 1974), in addition to involvement in sports and recreation (Little League +, the Boy’s Club ++). Further, it was in elementary school – St. Augustine’s By-the -Sea Parish School that I found, and made the choice to truly journey with God. I attended Arizona State University from 1974 to 1977 – seeking to become an architect, however, I was not accepted, and, as such, I graduated with a Liberal Arts degree. Upon graduation from Arizona State University, I attended Cal Poly San Luis Obispo and studied City and Regional Planning at the Master’s level. I successfully completed one (1) year in a two (2) year program – I did not complete the Master’s degree in City and Regional Planning – due to personal reasons. I returned to Santa Monica where I started (October 1979) my career as graphic designer with Exxon Company, USA. I spent five years with Exxon Company, USA. While working with Exxon Company, USA I was accepted into architectural school – Sci-Arc in Southern California, however, I did not attend preferring to stay with Exxon.. In 1982 I married Laura Flosi and in April 1983 we had our one and only child – Lauren Alain Hovis – a gift from God. We moved to Phoenix, Arizona in 1984 from Los Angeles, where I went to work as a graphic designer with Kitchell CEM (from 1985 -1987). From 1987 – 1995 I was an independent contractor, and a registered representative in mortgage finance, financial management, graphic design, and drafting. Further, I attended the University of Phoenix and successfully obtained a Master’s in Business Administration (MBA) in 1982. I was also a member of the Scottsdale Jaycees, where I became very involved in community events and projects. In 1994, I accepted a cartography position with the Defense Mapping Agency in Reston, Virginia. As such, I relocated from Phoenix to Reston. In 1998, I was accepted and worked as a Visual Information Officer with the Central Intelligence Agency. In 2002, I worked as a Support Officer until my retirement (due to a need for shoulder surgery) in September 2018. Away from my Federal Government service, I have been involved in various organizations and activities in Northern Virginia. In November of 2011, I married Rebecca Ouellette in Santa Monica, California. I reside in San Tan Valley, AZ with my two hamster - Jess and Timothy, our fish, our lizard - RJ Lizard., and our cats - Pearl and Grey. As to hobbies, I enjoy playing sports, attending sporting events, mentoring individuals from financial management to hamsters, building models, photography, travel, multimedia design, managing partner for RJ Hamster, and jazz – smooth jazz to a samba or a bossa nova. Love and God Bless, Peter – aka RJ Hamster Jo hi

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