Will Traders Be “Lovin’ It” This Thursday?

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“As of Last Week, Karim and I Have Put Up Some of the Strongest Numbers in the 6-Year History of The War Room. This Trade Could Keep It Going in May!”

Bryan Bottarelli, Co-Founder, Monument Traders Alliance 

Bryan Bottarelli

Dear Reader,

What an April for the ages!

The S&P 500 gained 10.4% in April, the best monthly performance since November of 2020.

If you recall, that’s when a pandemic-stricken market got news of a Covid-19 vaccine and triggered a face-ripping move higher.

Even better, the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) blasted 38% higher, one of the best monthly performances in the index’s history. The last time we saw a move like that, it was in February 2000, one month before the dot-com boom started to bust.

Yes, April was a great month. But now what?

The Takeaway: CAUTION

Let’s refer to history to set the game plan our next tactical trading bias.

The S&P 500 has gained 10% or more in a month 30 times since 1928, and in just four cases since 1992. The average gain the following month was just 1.6%.

So a cooling-off period is the best odds outcome as we start May.

If you look at today’s news, it’s easy to see why this could happen.

First, the Iran conflict continues to worry investors. Oil is still above $100 a barrel, and gas prices are above $5 a gallon in some states.

And second is the affordability crisis in the U.S., a widespread economic challenge in which rising costs of essentials outpace stagnant wages, leaving millions of families struggling to meet basic needs.

The key drivers of the crisis are housing costs, healthcare expenses, childcare and education, and food and utilities.

All of these are on the rise, which is why inflation and the economy now rank as Americans’ top national concerns according to a CBS News poll.

“Everything is going up in price very quickly,”said Jeremy Tolbert, a 47-year-old web developer in Lawrence, Kansas.

But it’s what he said next that caught my attention….

“Our food budget is going to go down. We’re not talking about eating beans and rice, but going from a comfortable middle-class lifestyle to eating how we did when we first got out of college.”

While this doesn’t sound like good news, it could be a boon for a company like McDonald’s (MCD).

The company reports earnings report Thursday. Will high oil prices, combined with an affordability crisis, provide a lift?

In other words, will higher prices across the board mean that more and more Americans are scaling down their lunch and dinner spending, leading to more frequent “cheaper” meals at McDonald’s?

We’ll know later in the week, but I think there could be an opportunity to make an overnight trade.

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YOUR ACTION PLAN

With MCD trading around $285, down nearly 20% from its March high, could this be an ideal time to bottom-feed on MCD before it pops? Join us inside The War Room to see how we’re playing it!

And speaking of The War Room…

We’re ON FIRE!

As of last week, Karim and I have put up some of the strongest numbers in the six-year history of The War Room. In April alone, we won on 28 out of 29 trades, good for an eye-popping 96% accuracy rate!

Want to see how we do it? Click here or on the image below to learn more about our trading community and our 252-win guarantee. Want more content like this?

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Published by RJ Hamster

I was born on 6 August 1956 in San Francisco, California to Janet and (the late) Richard Hovis. I grew up in Santa Monica, California where I attended elementary, junior high school, and high school (graduating in 1974), in addition to involvement in sports and recreation (Little League +, the Boy’s Club ++). Further, it was in elementary school – St. Augustine’s By-the -Sea Parish School that I found, and made the choice to truly journey with God. I attended Arizona State University from 1974 to 1977 – seeking to become an architect, however, I was not accepted, and, as such, I graduated with a Liberal Arts degree. Upon graduation from Arizona State University, I attended Cal Poly San Luis Obispo and studied City and Regional Planning at the Master’s level. I successfully completed one (1) year in a two (2) year program – I did not complete the Master’s degree in City and Regional Planning – due to personal reasons. I returned to Santa Monica where I started (October 1979) my career as graphic designer with Exxon Company, USA. I spent five years with Exxon Company, USA. While working with Exxon Company, USA I was accepted into architectural school – Sci-Arc in Southern California, however, I did not attend preferring to stay with Exxon.. In 1982 I married Laura Flosi and in April 1983 we had our one and only child – Lauren Alain Hovis – a gift from God. We moved to Phoenix, Arizona in 1984 from Los Angeles, where I went to work as a graphic designer with Kitchell CEM (from 1985 -1987). From 1987 – 1995 I was an independent contractor, and a registered representative in mortgage finance, financial management, graphic design, and drafting. Further, I attended the University of Phoenix and successfully obtained a Master’s in Business Administration (MBA) in 1982. I was also a member of the Scottsdale Jaycees, where I became very involved in community events and projects. In 1994, I accepted a cartography position with the Defense Mapping Agency in Reston, Virginia. As such, I relocated from Phoenix to Reston. In 1998, I was accepted and worked as a Visual Information Officer with the Central Intelligence Agency. In 2002, I worked as a Support Officer until my retirement (due to a need for shoulder surgery) in September 2018. Away from my Federal Government service, I have been involved in various organizations and activities in Northern Virginia. In November of 2011, I married Rebecca Ouellette in Santa Monica, California. I reside in San Tan Valley, AZ with my two hamster - Jess and Timothy, our fish, our lizard - RJ Lizard., and our cats - Pearl and Grey. As to hobbies, I enjoy playing sports, attending sporting events, mentoring individuals from financial management to hamsters, building models, photography, travel, multimedia design, managing partner for RJ Hamster, and jazz – smooth jazz to a samba or a bossa nova. Love and God Bless, Peter – aka RJ Hamster Jo hi

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