The Most Expensive Market Since the Dot-Com Bubble

View in browser

“When the market is this stretched, the quick option trade isn’t the risky play. It’s the safe one.”

Bryan Bottarelli, Co-Founder, Monument Traders Alliance 

Bryan Bottarelli

Dear Reader,

My War Room partner, Karim, watches the fundamentals like a hawk, and there’s one number he keeps pointing to that should make you sit up.

It’s called the Shiller CAPE ratio. It’s one of the broadest measures of how expensive stocks are. And it just hit 41.

The long-term median is about 16. The only time in history it’s been higher was during the dot-com bubble peak in 2000.

Translation: this market is priced for perfection, and then some.

Two Approaches… Same Results

Karim and I approach the market from different angles.

He digs into the fundamentals and the valuations. He’s also like a shark with blood in the water when it comes to sniffing out insider buying. He’ll go into much more detail about that in this special event next week…

But I learned my trade on the floor of the CBOE, where I cut my teeth on fast, defined-risk option plays, getting in and out before the market knew what hit it.

But we land in the same place with a market like this one.

And here’s where most people get it wrong.

They see that Shiller CAPE number and think it’s time to short.

Bad idea.

The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent, and betting against a market this stretched has been a great way to lose your shirt while it grinds higher for months.

So if you can’t safely short it, and buying and holding up here makes you nervous, what’s left?

You do what I was trained to do on the floor: You get in fast, take a quick defined-risk option trade, and ring the register before the market has a chance to turn on you.

Let me show you exactly what I mean, because I just did it twice on the same stock inside 24 hours.

SPONSORED

Tesla’s About to Prove Everyone Wrong… Again

Back in 2018, when Jeff Brown told everyone to buy Tesla…

The “experts” said Elon was finished and Tesla was headed for bankruptcy.

Now they’re saying the same thing, but Jeff has uncovered Tesla’s next breakthrough.

Click here to see why Tesla’s about to prove everyone wrong… again.

A Flippin’ Great Strategy

The stock is Procter & Gamble (PG).

Boring, steady, the kind of name nobody panics over.

Yesterday afternoon, over in our Post Market Profits service, I flipped it for a quick overnight winner.

Then this morning, I liked the chart setup right back into the same level, so I sent War Room members into the PG calls.

Within six minutes, we were up 20%, and I sent the alert to ring the register.

And at no point were we exposed to some big, scary headline that could gap the thing against us overnight.

We were in, the money was booked, and we were on to the next one.

That’s the whole game in a market like this.

You don’t have to predict where the S&P lands by Christmas or short a freight train to make money.

You just have to be in the right setup for a few hours and disciplined enough to take the money when it’s sitting there.

Rinse and repeat.

When the market is this stretched, the quick option trade isn’t the risky play. It’s the safe one.Logo

YOUR ACTION PLAN

Stop trying to guess the top of this market, and stop trying to short it. Both are good ways to get hurt right now.

The smarter move in a stretched market is to take fast, defined-risk trades like the back-to-back PG winners we just booked, where your downside is capped, and you’re out before any headline can touch you.

That’s exactly what I do in Post-Market Profits. I set up late-day flips just before the market close for a move the next morning.

And so far this year, we’re hitting them at a 90% win-rate… and we’re currently siting on a 7-for-7 win streak.

If you want to see how I find them, come join me.Want more content like this?

INSIGHTS YOU MAY HAVE MISSED

The Most Expensive Market Since the Dot-Com Bubble

The Buy Signal I Trust the Most

3 NBA Finals Trades To Take A Shot On

The Only Gold Miner I Trust With My Money

SPONSORED

Better Than Oil Stocks

The best way to profit from energy is NOT a stock…

Rather, it’s this little-known alternative investment.

CLICK HERE TO FIND OUT MOREMonument Traders Alliance

Monument Traders Alliance, LLC

You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Trade of the Day.
To unsubscribe from Trade of the Day, click here.

Questions? Check out our FAQs. Trying to reach us? Contact us here.
Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox.

To cancel by mail or for any other subscription issues, write us at:
Trade of the Day | 14 West Mount Vernon Place | Baltimore, MD 21201
North America: 800.507.1399 | International: +1.443.353.4977
Website | Privacy Policy
Keep the emails you value from falling into your spam folder. Whitelist Trade of the Day.

© 2026 Monument Traders Alliance, LLC | All Rights Reserved

Nothing published by Monument Traders Alliance should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed personalized investment advice. We allow the editors of our publications to recommend securities that they own themselves. However, our policy prohibits editors from exiting a personal trade while the recommendation to subscribers is open. In no circumstance may an editor sell a security before subscribers have a fair opportunity to exit. The length of time an editor must wait after subscribers have been advised to exit a play depends on the type of publication. All other employees and agents must wait 24 hours after publication before trading on a recommendation.

Any investments recommended by Monument Traders Alliance should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Monument Traders Alliance, LLC, 14 West Mount Vernon Place, Baltimore, MD 21201.

REF: 000142349377

Unknown's avatar

Published by RJ Hamster

I was born on 6 August 1956 in San Francisco, California to Janet and (the late) Richard Hovis. I grew up in Santa Monica, California where I attended elementary, junior high school, and high school (graduating in 1974), in addition to involvement in sports and recreation (Little League +, the Boy’s Club ++). Further, it was in elementary school – St. Augustine’s By-the -Sea Parish School that I found, and made the choice to truly journey with God. I attended Arizona State University from 1974 to 1977 – seeking to become an architect, however, I was not accepted, and, as such, I graduated with a Liberal Arts degree. Upon graduation from Arizona State University, I attended Cal Poly San Luis Obispo and studied City and Regional Planning at the Master’s level. I successfully completed one (1) year in a two (2) year program – I did not complete the Master’s degree in City and Regional Planning – due to personal reasons. I returned to Santa Monica where I started (October 1979) my career as graphic designer with Exxon Company, USA. I spent five years with Exxon Company, USA. While working with Exxon Company, USA I was accepted into architectural school – Sci-Arc in Southern California, however, I did not attend preferring to stay with Exxon.. In 1982 I married Laura Flosi and in April 1983 we had our one and only child – Lauren Alain Hovis – a gift from God. We moved to Phoenix, Arizona in 1984 from Los Angeles, where I went to work as a graphic designer with Kitchell CEM (from 1985 -1987). From 1987 – 1995 I was an independent contractor, and a registered representative in mortgage finance, financial management, graphic design, and drafting. Further, I attended the University of Phoenix and successfully obtained a Master’s in Business Administration (MBA) in 1982. I was also a member of the Scottsdale Jaycees, where I became very involved in community events and projects. In 1994, I accepted a cartography position with the Defense Mapping Agency in Reston, Virginia. As such, I relocated from Phoenix to Reston. In 1998, I was accepted and worked as a Visual Information Officer with the Central Intelligence Agency. In 2002, I worked as a Support Officer until my retirement (due to a need for shoulder surgery) in September 2018. Away from my Federal Government service, I have been involved in various organizations and activities in Northern Virginia. In November of 2011, I married Rebecca Ouellette in Santa Monica, California. I reside in San Tan Valley, AZ with my two hamster - Jess and Timothy, our fish, our lizard - RJ Lizard., and our cats - Pearl and Grey. As to hobbies, I enjoy playing sports, attending sporting events, mentoring individuals from financial management to hamsters, building models, photography, travel, multimedia design, managing partner for RJ Hamster, and jazz – smooth jazz to a samba or a bossa nova. Love and God Bless, Peter – aka RJ Hamster Jo hi

Leave a Comment