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A 14-point plan… Still “too soon” for a deal… AMD’s blowout quarter… Tipping our hat to The Total Portfolio… Big tech is heavily reliant on AI startups… Hiring’s at a two-year high… Why the Fed’s focus is now back on inflation…
The deal was there, until it wasn’t…
Early this morning, Axios reported that the U.S. and Iran were close to agreeing on a “one-page memorandum of understanding” to end the Iran conflict. The memo included 14 “points” – like a 30-day negotiating period to finalize a deal and a temporary ban on Iranian uranium enrichment.
Shortly after, in a Truth Social post, President Donald Trump said the Strait of Hormuz will be “OPEN TO ALL” if Iran agrees to “give what has been agreed to.”
Those headlines sent stocks higher and oil crashing, with West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) crude falling below $90 per barrel.
But just before 9 a.m. Eastern time, Trump told the New York Post that it’s “too soon” to make a deal with Iran.
Markets reversed a bit after those headlines, with stocks giving back some of their gains and WTI jumping back around $95 per barrel.
However, as we’ve covered in recent weeks, the market seems to believe that we’re getting closer to the end of the conflict.
Both the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite Index hit new all-time highs this afternoon, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 1% – near its February high.
Elsewhere, the ‘melt up’ in semiconductors rages on…
Chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported its first-quarter earnings yesterday after market close. The company beat Wall Street’s expectations on both earnings and revenue. Sales surged 38% in the quarter from the same period a year ago, with revenue in its data center and AI segment up 57% year over year.
CEO Lisa Su said that the company’s data-center business is now the “primary driver” of AMD’s growth. On the company’s earnings call, Su said that AMD expects to cross above $10 billion in quarterly revenue for its data-center business next year – about as much as the company’s total revenue at the end of the first quarter.
Total Portfolio subscribers heard it first…
In the March issue of The Total Portfolio, senior research analyst Brett Eversole wrote that AMD hadn’t taken off like other semiconductor stocks at the time, and it was trading near multiyear lows on a price-to-earnings basis.
It turned out to be a great call…
AMD’s shares are up around 20% today. And they’re up 112% since the Portfolio Solutions team recommended them in March.
AI companies are still spending…
Last week, Alphabet (GOOGL) announced that it will invest an initial $10 billion and up to $40 billion in AI startup Anthropic over the next few years.
Then, last night, digital news outlet the Information reported that Anthropic has agreed to spend $200 billion on chips and cloud computing from Alphabet’s Google over the next five years. Anthropic now makes up more than 40% of Google’s cloud-revenue backlog.
It’s simply more evidence of the “circular” financing we’ve seen in the AI space over the past year.
In short, companies like Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), and Alphabet are investing billions of dollars in AI startups like OpenAI. These companies then use the funds to buy chips or computing power back from the investing company.
We’ve shared this image from Bloomberg in previous Digests, showing just how interconnected the AI-investment landscape is:
If just one of these companies falls through on its orders or investments, the entire web collapses.
As the Information founder Jessica Lessin shared on social platform X, OpenAI and Anthropic make up about half of Microsoft, Google, Amazon (AMZN), and Oracle’s (ORCL) collective cloud-services backlog. Take a look…
We’ve written a few times about how OpenAI is a bellwether of the AI bubble. Trouble for OpenAI could be the first signs of a peak.
And just last week, there were reports that OpenAI is falling behind on its revenue goals.
Today is just one day, but if things are as bad at OpenAI as this latest report suggests, and if the company pulls out the rug on most or all of its spending promises, look out for the companies that have been known as the “AI leaders” in the past few years.
While its spending commitments aren’t as large as OpenAI’s, Anthropic has pledged to spend $330 billion on chips, computing, and other tools from Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon.
That’s enough to make Anthropic another company to watch in the AI space. If, like OpenAI, it falls short of its revenue goals, it won’t be able to meet its spending obligations.
If either – or both – of those startups has any hiccups in its growth story, it could take the wind right out of the AI boom’s sails.
In other news, hiring hits a two-year high…
In Tuesday’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that hires jumped to 5.55 million in March. That’s the most hires in a month since February 2024.
Payroll processor Automatic Data Processing (ADP) showed that the private sector added 109,000 jobs in its April jobs report. That was more than the 61,000 jobs added in March and beat Wall Street’s expectation for 84,000 jobs. By ADP’s measure, private payrolls have now increased every month since June 2025.
You can bet the Federal Reserve will be keeping its eye on this data.
During last month’s meeting – where the Fed held its benchmark federal-funds rates steady – three voters wanted to take out language in the Fed’s post-meeting statement that suggested a rate cut could still be appropriate.
If the labor market is stable and adding jobs, the economy doesn’t need rate cuts for support. Instead, the Fed could turn its focus solely back to inflation, which is rising at its fastest pace since May 2023.
According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders see a higher chance of a rate hike than a rate cut by the end of 2026.
The Fed will meet again in June, which will likely mark the first meeting for Kevin Warsh as the new Fed chair. If Warsh doesn’t show an inclination to cut rates, he could find himself in Trump’s crosshairs (Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell for not lowering rates). We could also see some market volatility as investors reprice stocks based on a higher-rate environment.
But there will be a lot more data to come between now and June – including Friday’s labor market report.
Thousands of people tuned in for 50-year Wall Street legend Marc Chaikin and Silicon Valley investor Jeff Brown’s “Dark AI Summit.” These two financial legends shared what they believe could be the biggest danger facing investors today… a paradigm shift creating a stunning opportunity for investors who understand what’s happening. They also reveal the name of the new AI company whose technology they say will be essential to averting a crisis in 2026, including how you can take a stake in this private firm right now through your brokerage account, before it goes public. Click here to watch a free replay of the “Dark AI Summit.”
A breakthrough tech backed by Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang could soon be worth more than the stocks of Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon – combined. It’s likely the only answer to a $33 trillion problem… but most people don’t know it exists. A man who has consulted for the Pentagon and FBI just flew into a heavily secured site to get the full story and discover the stocks involved. Click here to see this tech with your own eyes – and learn how you could invest in the companies that own it.
New 52-week highs (as of 5/5/26): ABB (ABBNY), Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI), Amazon (AMZN), Air Products and Chemicals (APD), Broadcom (AVGO), CBOE Global Markets (CBOE), Ciena (CIEN), Cisco Systems (CSCO), DigitalOcean (DOCN), DXP Enterprises (DXPE), Ecovyst (ECVT), Emcor (EME), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China Fund (EMXC), EnerSys (ENS), iShares MSCI South Korea Fund (EWY), Cambria Emerging Shareholder Yield Fund (EYLD), FirstCash (FCFS), Flex LNG (FLNG), Alphabet (GOOGL), Helmerich & Payne (HP), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), iShares Convertible Bond Fund (ICVT), Intel (INTC), KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index Fund (KBA), KraneShares Global Humanoid Robotics and Physical AI Index Fund (KOID), Keyence (KYCCF), Lumentum (LITE), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Nucor (NUE), Invesco WilderHill Clean Energy Fund (PBW), ProShares Ultra Technology (ROM), USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund (SDCI), U.S. Global Sea to Sky Cargo Fund (SEA), Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS), State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value Fund (SPYV), and State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor Fund (XSD).
In today’s mailbag, feedback on yesterday’s Digest, which discussed rising gas prices… and another reply to a question recently raised by a subscriber in the mail… Do you have a comment or question? As always, e-mail us at feedback@stansberryresearch.com.
“[Yesterday you wrote] ‘… pity the Californians paying $6.13 per gallon of regular gas… ‘ Well, here in the UK we are paying a minimum of £1.55 per litre for gas (or petrol as we call it). That is [around $8.50] per gallon. Diesel is [near $10.50] per gallon. How do you like that?” – Subscriber S.J.I.
“In answer to your question: What would I give up [to help lower government spending], Let me say this: Long, long ago (I’m really old, see) in civics class we were taught that the federal government had two basic jobs – to provide for the common defense and to protect our liberties within the union. Sometimes those things (and others) get partnered with state governments, for example building and maintaining roads which is mostly a state responsibility, but with the invention of the interstate road system, now the federal government gets involved. Protecting liberties is mostly done through the courts which encompasses both local, state and federal systems including prison, parole, etc.
“But in the last 50 years or so and especially in the last 25, we (meaning the U.S. collectively) have expanded the scope of both the federal and state governments into a Great Big Expensive Babysitter. And the younger a person is, the more they seem to be willing to embrace the sitter.
“I don’t need anything from government except the military, the court system (which I haven’t needed yet, thank God) and the infrastructure built and maintained – a duty of which both the feds and the states do a terrible job.” – Stansberry Alliance member Jacqueline G.
All the best,
Nick Koziol Baltimore, Maryland May 6, 2026
Stansberry Research Top 10 Open Recommendations
Top 10 highest-returning open stock positions across all Stansberry Research portfolios. Returns represent the total return from the initial recommendation.InvestmentBuy DateReturnPublicationMSFT Microsoft11/11/101,367.8%Retirement MillionaireMSFT Microsoft02/10/121,328.0%Stansberry’s Investment AdvisoryCIEN Ciena10/20/22861.1%Stansberry Innovations ReportGOOGL Alphabet12/15/16856.8%Retirement MillionaireADP Automatic Data Processing10/09/08814.8%Extreme ValueBRK.B Berkshire Hathaway04/01/09759.2%Retirement MillionaireALS-T Altius Minerals03/26/09667.8%Extreme ValueLITE Lumentum04/15/21626.2%Stansberry Innovations ReportWRB W.R. Berkley03/15/12617.8%Stansberry’s Investment AdvisorySII Sprott01/11/18585.5%Extreme Value
Please note: Securities appearing in the Top 10 are not necessarily recommended buys at current prices. The list reflects the best-performing positions currently in the model portfolio of any Stansberry Research publication. The buy date reflects when the editor recommended the investment in the listed publication, and the return shows its performance since that date. To learn if a security is still a recommended buy today, you must be a subscriber to that publication and refer to the most recent portfolio.
Top 10 Totals3Extreme ValueFerris3Retirement MillionaireDoc2Stansberry Innovations ReportEngel2Stansberry’s Investment AdvisoryPorter
Top 5 Crypto Capital Open Recommendations
Top 5 highest-returning open positions in the Crypto Capital model portfolioInvestmentBuy DateReturnPublicationBTC/USD Bitcoin11/27/182,053.2%Crypto CapitalWSTETH/USD Wrapped Staked Ethereum12/07/181,913.5%Crypto CapitalONE/USD Harmony12/16/191,009.8%Crypto CapitalPOL/USD Polygon02/26/21642.8%Crypto CapitalQRL/USD Quantum Resistant Ledger01/19/21453.5%Crypto Capital
Please note: Securities appearing in the Top 5 are not necessarily recommended buys at current prices. The list reflects the best-performing positions currently in the Crypto Capital model portfolio. The buy date reflects when the recommendation was made, and the return shows its performance since that date. To learn if it’s still a recommended buy today, you must be a subscriber and refer to the most recent portfolio.
^ These gains occurred with a partial position in the respective stocks. * Editor Dave Lashmet closed the first leg of this Nvidia position in November 2016 for a gain of about 108%. Then, he closed the second leg in July 2020 for a 777% return. And finally, in May 2022, he booked a 1,466% return on the final leg. Subscribers who followed his advice on Nvidia could’ve recorded a total weighted average gain of more than 600%.
Stansberry Research Crypto Hall of Fame
Top 5 highest-returning closed positions in the Crypto Capital model portfolioInvestmentDurationGainAnalystBand Protocol (BAND)0.31 years1,169%Crypto CapitalTerra (LUNA)0.41 years1,166%Crypto CapitalPolymesh (POLYX)3.84 years1,157%Crypto CapitalFrontier (FRONT)0.09 years979%Crypto CapitalBinance Coin (BNB)1.78 years963%Crypto Capital
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This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we’ve learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn’t make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It’s your money and your responsibility.
After a month of relative peace during the ceasefire (although attacks still continued, especially in northern Israel), the bomb shelters have been reopened in preparation for the return of open war. The demonic Jew-hatred that drives the leaders of Iran is not satisfied with death and destruction of thousands…they want Israel completely destroyed. We have received a generous matching gift challenge that will double your gift to help twice as many people—so please be as generous as you can when you send your gift today.
The situation is urgent. So many people have lost homes, family members, and even everything they owned in the missile attacks. I’m thinking about families like the Cohens. They buried six family members on the day their son was supposed to have his bar mitzvah. We helped them with the medical bills, buying clothing, and more, and they were so grateful. But there are so many others in urgent need.
The people of Israel are suffering greatly right now, and while they need our prayers, they also need our help. Together we are answering the command of God, “Comfort ye My people.” Together we are telling, and more importantly showing, the people of Israel that they are not alone. Please send your most generous gift today and share this with everyone you know.
Your support of the Friends of Zion today allows us to comfort the people of Israel who have survived the terrorist attacks, minister to the families of the hostages, continue to purchase and deliver food, medicine, clothing, and other necessities of life for the poor Holocaust survivors and refugees of Ukraine, continue to operate the Friends of Zion Museum, and to meet urgent humanitarian needs among the poor Jewish people living in Israel. Thank you so much for being part of this vital worldwide prayer movement.
Our thoughts…this bottle represents the pinnacle of Chianti classification, a true Gran Selezione crafted exclusively from estate-owned fruit, aged a minimum of 30 months, and produced from low-yield vineyards for maximum concentration and character. Ruffino helped introduce American drinkers to the concept of reserve-level Chianti—and moved it beyond the iconic straw basket into the realm of world-class fine wine. In the glass, it shows a deep ruby color with garnet hues and an unmistakably Tuscan bouquet of violet, cherry, and plum, layered with chocolate, cinnamon, and clove. The palate is both powerful and refined, with beautifully integrated tannins and vibrant fruit wrapped in spice, leading to a long, elegant finish marked by notes of coffee and dark chocolate.
95 points – James Suckling
“An elegant and forthright Gallo Nero with a precise nose of red cherries, eucalyptus and licorice with balsamic nuances. A lush and supple palate with a full body and dense, velvety tannins that are precise and spicy. Crisp yet integrated acidity in the finish. Savory aftertaste. Drink or hold.”
About the Winery…Ruffino is one of Tuscany’s most historic and influential producers, founded in 1877 and instrumental in bringing Chianti to international prominence—especially in the United States. The estate helped elevate the reputation of Chianti from its humble beginnings in straw-covered bottles to a globally respected fine wine category, pioneering quality-focused production and reserve-level expressions. Today, Ruffino remains deeply rooted in Tuscany, sourcing from estate vineyards across the region and continuing a legacy of combining tradition with modern precision to craft wines that reflect the authenticity and elegance of Chianti Classico.
Quantities are limited, so order now for this special…
Two of our latest collections are now available in-store at State Forty Eight.
Our National Parks Collection is all about getting outside, appreciating what’s around us, and representing the places that make Arizona special.
Our military-inspired collection is a simple, thoughtful way to wear respect—created for those who feel connected to the meaning behind it.
Both are now ready to see, feel, and try on in person.
If you’re nearby, come through and spend some time with us. We’ve been continuing to make improvements to the space and experience every week, and we’d love for you to check it out.
Prefer to shop from home? You can still grab your favorites online while supplies last.
Whether you’re picking up a gift or just adding something you’re proud to wear, we’re grateful you choose to do it with us.
Thank you for continuing to support a hometown brand that’s built on love for Arizona and the people in it.SHOP NOW
Love New Times? Thanks to a recent Google update, you can now select us as a preferred source to see our stories first in search results. Thank you in advance for your ongoing support of local journalism.
Love New Times? Thanks to a recent Google update, you can now select us as a preferred source to see our stories first in search results. Thank you in advance for your ongoing support of local journalism.
Shooting. They call it “sport”. Dress it in the language of tradition, countryside stewardship, and conservation. Wrap it in tweed and tie it with the reassuring ribbon of British heritage.
But what Protect the Wild’s investigators found behind the gates of a British farm tells a very different story – one the shooting industry has spent decades and millions of pounds keeping hidden from public view.
Earlier this evening ITV aired footage from our undercover investigation. We are very grateful they listened to us, looked at our evidence and decided to cover it.
If you missed it or would like to watch again, here it is:
The shooting industry produces tens of millions of pheasants and Red-legged Partridges every year for the gun. Birds are crammed into wire pens, unable to express natural behaviours, suffering injuries that go untreated, living short and brutal lives from hatchery to gun barrel. The scale is staggering. The indifference is worse.
The footage is shocking. Distressing. Already, the reaction has been one of shock and disgust from ordinary people across the country seeing, for the first time, what is done to prepare living creatures for “sport”.
We’ve been receiving emails from people who knew things were bad – just not THIS bad.
But it was far from the worst of it. It was just a few minutes. A glimpse. What ITV showed was just a fraction of the evidence we collected.
We recorded hundreds of hours. Multiple breaches. Across many farms.
“…Sounds cruel…”
Over the past 12 months, Protect the Wild’s undercover investigators placed hidden cameras at half a dozen farms across the UK. What we recorded over months and months of painstaking work tells the same story everywhere we looked.
Suffering on an industrial scale.
The shooting industry has spent years selling the public a lie. That it cares. That ‘welfare’ is baked into the operations.
Heart of England scrambled to release Facebook post just after the broadcast claiming “Welfare is at the heart of everything we do.”
Nonsense! It is part of a sprawling, greedy industry that has normalised mass suffering.
This is big business, operating in plain sight, propped up by decades of countryside mythology and political cowardice. Politicians from the current Labour government actually describe this system as ’sustainable’.
Over the coming months, Protect the Wild will be releasing many more findings from this investigation.
We will be documenting the conditions, the cruelty, the casual suffering treated as an acceptable cost of doing business.
We will be examining the legal frameworks that allow this industry to operate in ways that would be unacceptable in any other context.
We will be asking why birds that would be protected under animal welfare law in almost every other setting are excludedthe moment they become “game.”
“…high welfare standards…”
The industry’s response to ITV’s programme on our investigation was just what we expected: denial, deflection, and a shrug of the shoulders.
But this isn’t about a few rotten apples. We found pain and suffering everywhere we looked.
The shooting industry has friends in powerful places. It has lobbying groups, friendly ministers, and a carefully curated public image built on country fairs and charity shoots.
What it does not have – what it has never had – is a convincing answer to the question of how what our cameras recorded can be described as anything other than industrialised cruelty.
The birds you saw on ITV last night have no voice. The investigators who risked their safety to expose this have given them one. And we at Protect the Wild will not stop until the full picture is understood, the public debate is had, and those responsible are held to account.
Please share this article. Share our socials. Follow us for updates.
We are at the beginning of something. Months of undercover work. Hundreds of hours of footage. Farms across the UK exposed. And we are only just getting started.
But investigations alone do not end industries. People do.
We are asking you to become a Game Changer. To stand with us as we take this fight forward, week by week, piece by piece, until the public, the media and the politicians can no longer look away. The first 500 people to sign up will receive a limited edition pin badge.
At a time when heat, drought, and wildfires are shattering records across the central and western United States, people and birds need reliable water supplies now more than ever. The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation’s Cooperative Watershed Management Program has assisted communities across the western United States in their efforts to restore and improve their watersheds.
For more than a decade, projects supported by this program have reduced risks from drought, wildfire, and flooding; supported restoration work that enhances water quality and reliability; and bettered local economies through water improvements.
Birds and communities depend on healthy watersheds for sustenance and habitat. Community-led projects funded by this program have improved habitat that benefits hundreds of bird species including the Northern Yellow Warbler, Bell’s Vireo, and Southwestern Willow Flycatcher, along with species residing in and migrating to Alaska, Hawaii, and U.S. territories.
RJ Hamster 