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Qualcomm Gets Crushed: $150 Is the Level to Watch Going Forward
Submitted by Sam Quirke. Published: 1/22/2026.
Summary
Qualcomm has fallen sharply over the past week, breaking its multi-month uptrend and pushing momentum indicators firmly into oversold territory.
The stock now trades at levels it was at years ago, despite no material company-specific bad news driving the move.
Recent analyst updates suggest the selloff may already be overdone, and an opportunity may be opening up.
Shares of Qualcomm Inc (NASDAQ: QCOM) have been hit hard, plunging roughly 17% over seven consecutive sessions and finding little resistance from buyers.
The tech giant has given up all its gains from 2025 and is trading near levels last seen in 2020 — a sobering reversal for investors who had been keyed into its improving narrative.
Part of the blame lies with the rapidly escalating geopolitical backdrop, which has driven a broad flight out of tech stocks and contributed to the S&P 500 logging its worst single session since October.
Still, it’s hard to ignore the technical damage done to Qualcomm’s chart, especially after the stock fought hard for its gains last year.
The rising uptrend that underpinned much of Qualcomm’s rally since before last summer has been broken, and that shift matters. For contrarian investors watching from the sidelines, however, a potential opportunity may be opening up — let’s take a closer look.
Why the Oversold Signal Matters
As if the run of red days wasn’t enough, the ongoing selloff has pushed Qualcomm’s momentum indicators sharply lower. The stock’s relative strength index (RSI) has plunged into extremely oversold territory — its most stretched reading since April of last year. That’s not pretty, but what happened after the prior extreme makes this setup more interesting.
Extreme RSI readings don’t call bottoms by themselves; oversold stocks can always become more oversold. Still, such readings often indicate selling pressure is becoming unsustainable. When an oversold signal appears without a clear company-specific catalyst, as is happening now, it suggests the move may be driven more by market-wide sentiment than by fundamentals at the company.
Qualcomm’s history matters here. The last time the stock reached similar oversold conditions, in April of last year, it later rallied as much as 70% over the following months. That doesn’t guarantee a repeat, but it shows that extreme pessimism about Qualcomm’s prospects has been proven wrong before.
A Frustrating Stock to Follow
There are plenty of reasons to remain skeptical even with the stock deeply oversold. Qualcomm has a long-standing reputation for frustrating investors: it has lagged larger peers and failed to sustain breakouts just when optimism was building. That track record is one reason the recent trend break should be taken seriously.
At the same time, the current selloff appears unusually disconnected from fundamentals. There has been no fresh earnings miss, no guidance cut, and no new negative development specific to the business. Instead, the stock seems to have been swept up in a broader risk-off move that punished equities across the board in recent sessions.
That disconnect shows up in analysts’ positioning. Citigroup, RBC, and Mizuho have all issued Neutral-equivalent ratings in the past month, yet even their cautious price targets sit around $180. With the stock trading below $155, it’s clear that several analysts view the selling as overdone.
What Bulls Need to Watch
For this to become a genuine opportunity rather than a trap, the price action and technicals need to stabilize. The first step would be for Qualcomm to stop the bleeding and consolidate near the $150 level. Signs of selling exhaustion — such as the RSI turning higher or a bullish MACD crossover — would strengthen the case that downside momentum is fading.
Until those signals appear, caution is warranted. Broken trends take time to repair, and Qualcomm has burned investors before with false starts. Still, when a stock with solid long-term fundamentals becomes this oversold without a clear catalyst, it deserves attention.
For investors who believe in Qualcomm’s longer-term potential and can tolerate volatility, this may be a reasonable entry point — you may just have to accept some short-term pain.
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When Nvidia commits $2 billion to expand AI data center capacity through CoreWeave, it tells us everything we need to know about where the artificial intelligence gold rush is heading.
Alphabet’s upcoming earnings report arrives at a critical juncture for the company’s artificial intelligence narrative. The market has been waiting to see concrete evidence that Google’s massive…
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When Goldman Sachs returns to the bond market barely a week after closing what reports indicate was a record-breaking debt sale for a Wall Street bank, you know something fundamental is shifting…
He turned PayPal from a tiny, off-the-radar startup… to a massive $64 billion giant. Then, he did it again with Tesla… which is up more than 19,500% since 2010. For perspective, that turns $100 invested into almost $20,000! And now, Elon could be set to do it for the third and final time… with what might be his biggest breakthrough yet. And for the first time ever, you have the rare chance to profit BEFORE the upcoming IPO.
Constellation Brands finds itself in an interesting position that value-oriented investors should find compelling. The beverage giant behind Corona, Modelo, and various wine and spirits brands has seen its stock…
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In September 1977, NASA launched Voyager 1 into the outer solar system. This spacecraft, which is still active today, carried unique and precious cargo…
A collection of music on a Golden Record.
The 90-minute compilation was designed to convey the diverse richness of Earth’s cultures. It was, essentially, humanity’s “message in a bottle” to the universe – and any other beings that might be out there.
It featured classical music, from Bach, Beethoven, and Mozart; popular songs, like Chuck Berry’s “Johnny B. Goode”; and traditional music from around the world, including a Navajo chant, Azerbaijani bagpipes, and a Peruvian wedding song.
The image below shows the Golden Record, including etched instructions to any extraterrestrials out there.
I share this story not to focus on the feats of space travel, but to impart a key lesson about the importance of diversification.
Like the Golden Record, your portfolio should feature a diverse set of companies.
Consider this: Several of the Magnificent Seven companies are set to report their quarterly earnings this week. Although these companies remain immensely profitable, the cost of creating competitive AI infrastructure is massive and rising, while the ultimate payoff is becoming less certain and immediate.
Much of Big Tech is priced for perfection. And when expectations are that high, there is little room for error, and even less room to grow. So, it is time to adjust to a world where the Mag 7 stocks do not produce robust cash flow and fat profit margins as reliably as they did in the past.
Now is the time to diversify away from richly valued tech and toward resilient, real-world value.
To be sure, many of the stock market winners of the next decade will emerge from technology breeding grounds like Silicon Valley. But many winners will also spring from non-tech locales – either because they are enabling AI, applying AI, or possess a durable immunity to it.
A balanced portfolio, therefore, should feature companies that are successfully riding the AI wave, as well as companies that the wave cannot ever wash away.
They are enterprises that produce physical products or services that AI cannot replace.
Take agriculture companies, for example. No matter how sophisticated AI becomes, humans will want to eat avocados and bananas – and AI can’t grow or pick them.
Now, AI Survivors are easy to overlook. That is why I detail several of them in my free AI Survivors broadcast.
I strongly suggest diversifying your portfolio by putting your money to work outside of traditional AI stocks. You can think of it as creating your own “Golden Portfolio”… without having to launch anything into space.
And this past week here at Smart Money, we talked about several other ways you can diversify your portfolio, including investing in foreign stocks and commodities like copper.
Take a look below, and then I’ll share an upcoming opportunity in AI, national security, and U.S. industry.
Anthropic recently rolled out Claude Cowork, a new AI agent that turns the Claude AI assistant from a chat-only helper into a more actions-oriented digital collaborator. It is able to perform tasks at a level that signals AGI’s imminent arrival.
Beginning tomorrow, we could see the market’s biggest move of the year. That’s the newest prediction from the man who warned about the 2025 crash 3 months before it unfolded. According to his disturbing Jan. 28 evidence, you have just hours to prepare for an event that could sweep the market and open the most lucrative trading opportunity in two decades. By tomorrow, click here for details, including 2 free recommendations.
Market moves are not purely random or headline-driven. Instead, there are recurring windows – measurable, testable, and historically reliable – that quietly shape returns year after year.
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This company is the lifeblood of AI data centers, yet almost no one has caught up with the story. Their hardware is so essential that the data center industry uses enough of it to stretch around the world 8 times – in a single building! So, if you own Nvidia stock now, you might be well-served to sell those shares and check out this under-the-radar play instead. Or if you missed the boat on Nvidia, this is a rare second chance to target tremendous profit potential as AI data centers spring up in every corner of the world. Get my full take on this exciting play right here…
As headline geopolitical tensions cool, the underlying pressures on the greenback remain. So, Tom Yeung shares how declining global confidence in the U.S. dollar – driven by geopolitical tensions and a slowing U.S. economy – could trigger further depreciation.
To carry out Trump’s Executive Order #14196 initiative, the administration will have to partner with a handful of U.S. companies that control the “reserve accounts” sitting on trillions of dollars’ worth of untapped natural resources. Louis Navellier has spent months digging into this – and he’s identified three companies that have already been granted “emergency status” and fast-track approvals. He believes their shares could skyrocket once new capital starts moving into the sector. See the three stocks that Louis expects to be the biggest winners as this plan rolls forward.
The U.S. has quietly shifted from free-market globalism to a government-directed mobilization to win the AI race. This echoes past moments like the Manhattan Project and Apollo Program, where Washington partnered with private industry, cleared obstacles, and moved massive capital to achieve strategic dominance.
While NASA launched Voyager 1 around 50 years ago for space discovery, the U.S. government recently launched the “Genesis Mission,” aimed at accelerating U.S. scientific discovery and innovation using AI.
The Genesis Mission is meant to mobilize American industry across six sectors: AI, quantum computing, nuclear energy, biotech, semiconductors, and advanced manufacturing.
My InvestorPlace colleague Luke Lango believes significant new contracts and government investments will be announced as the Genesis Mission progresses, which will cause the stocks receiving those investments to see significant bullish moves.
Luke’s network of Silicon Valley insiders positions him to identify the eight best plays set to profit from this mission – before Wall Street catches on.
These are the companies that will receive significant backing from the government, and where the Genesis Mission resources will make a meaningful impact on their revenues and profits.
Tomorrow, Tuesday, January 27, Luke Lango is hosting a free Genesis Missionbroadcast – and it’s focused on the next major catalyst tied to AI, national security, and U.S. industry.
The link to this special event will be sent directly to your inbox. And I’d strongly recommend watching it as soon as it hits your inbox… this is the kind of event investors talk about after the window closes.
Regards,
Eric Fry Editor, Smart Money
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