Predicting this season’s stats leaders

Monday, March 23

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TOP NEWS

Juan Soto, Cal Raleigh, Shohei Ohtani, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Aaron Judge

Opening Day Power Rankings: Who can unseat the Dodgers?

It should come as little surprise that the two-time defending champions lead the Power Rankings heading into Opening Day, but which teams will challenge them for the top spot? 

MLB

The most important thing each team learned at camp

Minor League Baseball

Top prospects shine in Spring Breakout spotlight

Phillies

Ace lefty Sánchez, Phillies agree to new 6-year deal through 2032

Yankees

Gil the odd man out as Yanks open ’26 with 4-man rotation

Dodgers

Dodgers option Kim to Triple-A, clearing way for Freeland

Mets

Kimbrel will not make Mets’ Opening Day roster after bumpy spring

Brewers

Brewers’ prospects light up Statcast in impressive Spring Breakout

Trade

Yankees trade Vivas to Nationals for their No. 27 prospect

Baseball

Strike 3 overturned on challenge leads to HR on next pitch 

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PERSONALIZE STORIES

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STAFF PICKS

Andrés Muñoz, Bobby Witt Jr., Chandler Simpson, Paul Skenes, Shohei Ohtani and Elly De La Cruz

Experts predict all of this season’s stats leaders

Who will lead each league in all the major statistical categories this year? We asked 57 MLB.com staff members to weigh in, and here is who they picked.  

4 lessons learned so far about ABS

After more than a month of seeing the ABS Challenge System in action, players shared some of their takeaways as they prepare to use it during the regular season.

The result of an ABS challenge is shown on a scoreboard

10 players who need to step up after injuries

Injuries happen every spring, and these players now have an opportunity to make an impact in important roles for their clubs.

Eric Lauer, Coby Mayo, Chase Burns, Mauricio Dubón, Bryan Abreu and Brandon Sproat

Spring Training doubleheader on MLB Network

Catch the Orioles and Nationals at 1 p.m. ET (available in both markets) and the Royals and Rangers at 8 (available in Royals’ market).

Logos for Spring Training and MLB Network

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SCOREBOARD

STL 3
HOU 2

BOS 6
PIT 3

ATL 3
MIN 7

PHI 2
NYY 6

TB 1
TOR 14

NYM 3
MIA 4

WSH 1
BAL 8

CIN 2
CLE 8

MIL 0
CHC 12

ATH 5
COL 6

SEA 4
CWS 2

LAD 13
LAA 5

AZ 11
SD 1

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F1® Store: Japanese Race Specials have landed

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Into the Extreme: Exploding Rates and Cracking Internals

Friday, March 20, 2026

Don here…

Gold just breached the lower edge of its expected move for the third straight week. That kind of liquidation in metals only happens when major banking institutions need to raise capital.

The S&P 500 sold off nearly 2% on triple witching Friday. Interest rates exploded. Bonds tanked alongside equities. And gold dropped over two and a half standard deviations below its expected move.

Every asset class sold off at the same time. That tells you something is broken in the financial plumbing.

Here is what really concerns me. The S&P 500 is only 7% off all time highs. A correction does not even begin until 10%.

Nvidia, the largest constituent in the S&P 500, has shown virtually no sell side activity. If mutual fund holders were liquidating, Nvidia would be getting crushed. The fact that it is holding up means the real selling has not even started yet.

The VIX is elevated but not making new highs. I call this the scary movie proposition. The first time you see it, you scream. The third time, you already know what is coming. The market has seen this film before, and that means true capitulation is still ahead of us.

Financials finished the day nearly flat while the S&P 500 dropped almost 2%. In a real capitulation event, everything sells. The lack of correlation across sectors tells you we are not there yet.

Meanwhile, the 10 year yield jumped a full tenth of a percent in a single session and is approaching 4.5%. Money is not flowing from equities into bonds. It is leaving both.

Here is what I walked through in tonight’s video:

  • The S&P 500 has now stayed inside the expected move for 10 consecutive weeks, an anomaly that signals violent moves are directly ahead
  • Gold is in liquidation territory at 2.5 standard deviations below expected move, the kind of selling that only comes from banks raising capital
  • Tesla butterflies I bought for 50 cents closed at $1.18 and $1.50, returning over 140% in 24 hours
  • A Toll Brothers spread bought for $2.75 closed at $6.00, a 100% return in roughly a month
  • Volatility futures are in backwardation but only by a single point, meaning the fear premium has room to expand significantly

Click here to watch me break down the sell side activity, the metals liquidation, and exactly where the next violent move is coming from

To your success,

Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE

P.S. Tuesday at 1PM, I’m doing a special encore of my latest 0DTE webinar. You may think you know how to trade 0DTE options. But I promise you, what I’ll explain will blow your mind. 

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Get closer to the action: Tickets available now

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These are the aces to watch on Opening Day

The Lineup: Pregame Edition

Friday, March 20

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Opening Day starting pitcher matchups

Welcome to The Pregame Lineup, a weekday newsletter that gets you up to speed on everything you need to know for today’s games, while catching you up on fun and interesting stories you might have missed. Today’s edition was written by David Adler.

The aces are coming. 

MLB just unveiled the full slate of Opening Day starting pitchers. (Well, almost all of it … the Brewers and Padres are still TBD.) And it’s a good one. 

We’ve got Paul Skenes. Tarik Skubal. Garrett Crochet. Max Fried. Yoshinobu Yamamoto. And a whole lot more. 

Most importantly, we’ve got some must-see pitchers’ duels to kick off the 2026 season next week. 

Here are four of the best Opening Day starting pitcher matchups: 

1) Paul Skenes (Pirates) vs. Freddy Peralta (Mets)
Thursday, 1:15 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock)

As the Pirates put it when they announced Skenes as their Opening Day starter yesterday: “Duh.” Skenes is the reigning NL Cy Young Award winner, one of the best pitchers on the planet and just got done dominating for Team USA at the World Baseball Classic. And on the other side, Peralta is making his debut as the Mets’ new ace after their blockbuster trade for him this offseason. 

2) Max Fried (Yankees) vs. Logan Webb (Giants)
Wednesday, 8:05 p.m. ET (Netflix)

Fried was terrific in his debut in pinstripes in 2025, and now he gets the ball for his first Opening Day start as a Yankee after three with the Braves. But his opponent is just as accomplished. Webb has become a perennial Cy Young contender, and he led the National League with 224 strikeouts last season.

3) Zac Gallen (D-backs) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Dodgers)
Thursday, 8:30 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock)

Yamamoto closed out the 2025 World Series, and now the Dodgers’ postseason hero will start L.A.’s quest for a three-peat in 2026. He’s only the sixth pitcher in the divisional era(that’s since 1969) to go from World Series closer to Opening Day starter, following Chris Sale, Madison Bumgarner, Josh Beckett, Scott McGregor and Mike Torrez. That’s pretty cool. Yamamoto will be opposed by a three-time top-10 Cy Young finisher in Gallen, who’s no stranger to this NL West rivalry. 

4) Cole Ragans (Royals) vs. Chris Sale (Braves)
Friday, 7:15 p.m. ET (MLB.TV , BravesVision, Royals.TV)

The last 2026 Opening Day matchup is one of the best as two ace southpaws take the mound. Sale, the 2024 NL Cy Young Award winner, is making his eighth career Opening Day start and second straight with Atlanta. Ragans, who was limited by injury last season but had 223 strikeouts in an All-Star 2024 season, is making his third straight Opening Day start for Kansas City.  

MUST-SEE PROSPECT MATCHUPS THIS WEEKEND

Spring Breakout matchups to watch

Spring Breakout is now in full swing, with six games yesterday, four more today and six more coming over the weekend. 

If you want to follow along with the prospect showcase, here’s the full schedule and results.

And before we send you off to the games, here are three highlights of the first day of action … and three of the best prospect matchups to watch this weekend. 

Spring Breakout Day 1 highlights 

1) Miguel Sime Jr.’s triple-digit heat 

It was Sime, an 18-year-old pitching prospectfor the Nationals, vs. JJ Wetherholt, the No. 5 overall prospect in baseball.  

Advantage: Sime. 

The young right-hander dialed it up to 100.8 mph to strike out the Cardinals’ top prospect in his overpowering Spring Breakout outing. Sime threw nine fastballs at 100-plus mph in one inning on the mound and topped out at 101.9 mph.  

2) Emmanuel Rodriguez’s frozen ropes 

Rodriguez, one of four Twins prospects in MLB Pipeline’s Top 100 at No. 74, was just ripping the ball at Spring Breakout. The 23-year-old slugger smoked a 115.6 mph single and a 113.2 mph triple in his game yesterday against the Phillies prospects. 

That 115.6 mph base hit was harder than any ball hit by a Minnesota player in the big leagues last season. And the last time a Twins player had two hits 113 mph or harder in the same game was all the way back in 2021, when Miguel Sanó and Nelson Cruz did it.

3) Joshua Báez’s blast 

MLB’s No. 87 prospect crushed the hardest home run of Spring Breakout Day 1. The 22-year-old Cardinals slugger teed off on 6-foot-8 Nationals pitching prospect Yoel Tejeda Jr. for a 112.7 mph, 412-foot homer. The Cards only hit two home runs harder than that all of last season. 

Prospect matchups to watch at Spring Breakout this weekend 

Today: Konnor Griffin (MLB No. 1) vs. Max Clark (MLB No. 10) — Tigers vs. Pirates, 7:35 p.m. ET 

Two top-10 overall prospects going head to head, including MLB’s No. 1 overall in Griffin, who already looks like a future franchise cornerstone for the Pirates.  

Tomorrow: Ethan Holliday (MLB No. 24) vs. Kayson Cunningham (AZ No. 2) — Rockies vs. D-backs, 7:30 p.m. ET 

This game features two promising young shortstops from the 2025 Draft class. Ethan, the younger Holliday at 19 years old, was the No. 4 overall pick by the Rockies. The 19-year-old Cunningham was selected 18th overall by the D-backs. 

Sunday: Jesús Made (MLB No. 3) vs. Leo De Vries (MLB No. 4) — Brewers vs. A’s, 4:05 p.m. ET 

Spring Breakout is going to end with a bang, as two top-five overall prospects face off. The 18-year-old Made is following in Jackson Chourio’s footsteps as another Brewers international prospect sensation. The 19-year-old De Vries was the centerpiece the A’s got back in their Mason Miller trade. 

WELCOME BACK TO THE GHOST FORK

Kodai Senga

We all want to see Kodai Senga and his Ghost Fork haunting hitters again. And Senga finally looks like his old self.

Senga — who was an All-Star as a rookie in 2023 but was derailed by injuries over the last two seasons — has been awesome again for the Mets this spring. 

As Juan Soto put it: “That’s our ace.”

The results are sparkling: Senga has a 1.86 ERA and 11 strikeouts in 9 2/3 innings through three outings, including a lights-out start against the Astros yesterday.

And the stuff looks its best since 2023. Senga’s fastball is averaging 96.2 mph at Spring Training, a mile-and-a-half per hour harder than it did in 2025. He’s topped out at 98.9 mph. And his signature forkball is sharper, too, at 83.7 mph this spring compared to 82.5 mph last season. 

Remember, a healthy and sharp Senga is up there with the top pitchers in the league, and the Ghost Fork is one of baseball’s nastiest pitches. This is the Senga we need in 2026.

HOW DID MERRILL HIT THIS PITCH? 

An animated GIF of Jackson Merrill hitting a ground-rule double

Padres star Jackson Merrill had one of the craziest hits of the spring yesterday. He somehow smacked a ground-rule double off a pitch at his eyes.

That swing is insane. How did he stay on top of that pitch? 

Here’s another look at how ludicrously high the ball was when Merrill teed off on it, courtesy of the MLB Gameday App. It’s Pitch No. 4, alllllllllllll the way up there. That’s well over four feet off the ground — the highest pitch hit for an extra-base hit this Spring Training. 

A pitch-by-pitch look of Jackson Merrill's at-bat via Gameday

DAILY WALKOFF

Daily Walkoff

Put your baseball brain to the test with Daily Walkoff, where you can find 30 brand-new trivia puzzles every day, one for each team. Play Daily Walkoff >>

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🏎️ IMSA Returns to Lime Rock Park in 2027 – Join the Righthanders at their Spring Kickoff!

NEWS: IMSA Returns to Lime Rock Park Sept 23 – 25, 2027

JOIN THE RIGHTHANDERS CLUB – Spring Kickoff + Autocross March 28th

LIME ROCK DRIVERS CLUB: Get your SCCA Race License with LRDC

🏎️ New Track Program – Intro to Racing 

Do you have your 2026 tickets yet? – Event Tickets & Passes on Sale Now 

AutoX Club – More Track Time for Less

NEWS: IMSA Returns to Lime Rock Park in 2027

IMSA will return to Lime Rock Park September 23–25, 2027.

The event will mark the beginning of a multi-year agreement between Lime Rock Park, IMSA and FCP Euro, bringing the premier North American sports car racing organization back to the legendary Connecticut circuit.

FCP Euro will continue as the entitlement sponsor, with the race officially named the FCP Euro Northeast Grand Prix.

The 2027 FCP Euro Northeast Grand Prix will feature two of IMSA’s highly competitive championships, the Michelin Pilot Challenge and the VP Racing SportsCar Challenge, with additional support series to be announced at a later date.

Click the button below to read more about IMSA’s 2027 return to Lime Rock Park & hear from IMSA President John Doonan, FCP Euro’s Kyle Bento, & more!LEARN MORE – IMSA Returns to Lime Rock Park

Be A Part of Our Events & Join the Righthanders Club!

Spring Kickoff Meeting March 28th at 10am – First 5 RSVPs Invited to Participate in Righthander’s Autocross Session (must attend meeting)

The Righthanders Club is a group of dedicated individuals with a passion for racing and a desire to be involved at Lime Rock Park. The Club is a volunteer organization that works together to assist the staff at Lime Rock Park execute the details of each event.

They’ll be hosting their Spring Kick-Off Meeting at LRP on Saturday, March 28th at 10am. If you’ve ever wanted to get involved at Lime Rock Park, swing by & learn more about the Righthanders Club! 

The first 5 participants to RSVP & attend the meeting will be invited to join the Righthander’s Autocross session that afternoon, taking place immediately following the meeting. Click the button below to learn more & RSVP today!LEARN MORE & RSVP – Righthanders Club Kickoff Meeting

LIME ROCK DRIVERS CLUB

Race in our In-House Race Series with Lime Rock Drivers Club

Contact Simon or Jason to learn more about membership & start your journey with the club.

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NEW TRACK PROGRAM

Intro to Racing 

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of our Intro to Racing program, a structured entry point onto the main circuit designed specifically for novices and first-time track drivers. Participants use their own street cars and progress through a supervised curriculum that combines classroom instruction and on-track experience.

Intro to Racing is a five-hour program that combines classroom sessionswith paced laps, coached stop-box exercises and controlled open lapping. Instructors review safety procedures, vehicle dynamics, racing lines and flag communication before drivers apply those lessons on track.

Click the button below to learn more & register for an Intro to Racing today!LEARN MORE & ENTER – INTRO TO RACING

Secure Your Summer of Speed in 2026 – Tickets & Passes On Sale Now

From NASCAR trucks roaring through the Berkshires, to the return of the Trans Am Memorial Day Classic, to a refreshed Historic Festival weekend and an elevated MiataCon, you won’t want to miss 2026 at Lime Rock Park!

Click the button below to learn more & secure your 2026 at The Park today.SHOP NOW – 2026 Tickets & Annual Passes

AutoX Club 

Save big on the 2026 Autocross season on the FCP Euro Proving Grounds

Whether you’re looking to compete in the 2026 AutoX Shootout or just interested in testing your car’s limitson the FCP Euro Proving Grounds, the AutoX Club gets you more track time for less.

The AutoX Club offers $3,000 of track time for $1,500. Autocross events run from April to November, giving you more than enough opportunity each month to improve your lap time.

Click the link below to read more about membership benefits & get yours today!LEARN MORE – AutoX Club

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