The Best Way to Invest in Gold

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Editor’s Note: A small, $6 gold mining stock has been quietly setting up for what could be the biggest move in the past 25 years.

That’s why Chief Income Strategist Marc Lichtenfeld is targeting 100% returns in the short term… and possibly 1,000% or more over the next 24 to 36 months.

The next few days could be crucial.

Click here to see why.

– James Ogletree, Senior Managing Editor

MARKET TRENDS

The Best Way to Invest in Gold

Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club

The price of gold is about $1,000 off of its all-time high, which was reached in January.

That gives investors who are bullish an opportunity to get in before it climbs again and makes a new high.

There are lots of ways to own gold.

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You could buy physical gold like bars or coins, but then you have to keep it somewhere.

Coins are a little easier to store if you have a bank vault, though you have to pay for it every year. A home safe would probably do the job as long as it can’t be moved or broken into.

Bars are a little tougher to store. If you have a meaningful amount, then you need a sizable vault or safe.

You can pay to have them stored somewhere, but then you don’t physically have them, which is often the point of owning the actual metal.

Another option is the SPDR Gold Trust(NYSE: GLD). This ETF is backed by physical gold, and its objective is to track the price of gold bullion. Despite its expenses, it is a pretty good proxy for the price of gold.

However, there’s a better way to take advantage of an anticipated surge in gold: owning shares of gold miners.

Here’s why…

A miner has fixed costs to pull the gold out of the ground. If it costs $1,500 an ounce to mine the gold and gold costs $3,000, the miner makes $1,500. But if gold rises to $4,000, a 33% increase, the miner’s profit is now $2,500, or 67% higher. If gold reaches $6,000, or a 100% increase, the miner’s profit is $4,500, or 200% higher.

If all things remained equal, that should move the stock price of the miner sharply higher than the price of the metal. If gold rose 100% and the company’s earnings rose 200%, the stock should increase at a 2-1 ratio to the price of gold.

In reality, investors pay for earnings growth, so it’s likely that the miner’s valuation would increase even more.

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If the stock were trading at 10 times earnings when gold was at $3,000, perhaps it would trade for 15 times earnings when gold rises to $6,000 and the company’s profits have tripled, boosting its outperformance even more.

This is why gold miners – especially smaller ones that suddenly see their profits soar – take off in gold bull markets.

The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) is a way to get exposure to mining stocks.

It tends to hold larger stocks. The average market cap among its holdings is $48 billion.

Its largest holdings are the gold mining giants you are probably familiar with, such as…

  • Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM)
  • Newmont (NYSE: NEM)
  • Barrick Mining (NYSE: B).

Those three stocks make up 30% of the portfolio.

If you prefer to go smaller, you can invest in the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDXJ).

This portfolio has an average market cap of $9 billion, so we’re not talking real small cap stocks.

The top three holdings are…

  • Alamos Gold (NYSE: AGI), which has a $16 billion market cap
  • Equinox Gold (NYSE: EQX), with an $11 billion market cap
  • Coeur Mining (NYSE: CDE), whose market cap is $18 billion.

To get the maximum leverage, I believe you want to go even smaller.

Do keep in mind, though, that the small junior miners have more risk. These are speculative stocks that have the potential to soar, but make sure you can handle the elevated risk.

When researching junior gold miners, look for companies that are already profitable with healthy balance sheets. That should increase your profits if gold rises and reduce your risk if it doesn’t.

If you like the idea of physical gold, there’s nothing wrong with it. Physical gold can give peace of mind.

But if big profits are what you’re after, look to the miners – especially the smaller ones – to take advantage of the next move higher for gold.

Good investing,

Marc

P.S. There’s an exclusive group of junior gold miners that don’t rise in tandem with the price of gold.

Instead, they wait.

They coil like a spring while gold grabs all the headlines… and then – for reasons I explain here – they start running higher.

Much higher.

It’s all part of a repeatable and predictable pattern I’ve discovered that I call “The Gold Stock Lag.”

If you want the opportunity to exploit this situation… just click here to see my full presentation.

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Published by RJ Hamster

I was born on 6 August 1956 in San Francisco, California to Janet and (the late) Richard Hovis. I grew up in Santa Monica, California where I attended elementary, junior high school, and high school (graduating in 1974), in addition to involvement in sports and recreation (Little League +, the Boy’s Club ++). Further, it was in elementary school – St. Augustine’s By-the -Sea Parish School that I found, and made the choice to truly journey with God. I attended Arizona State University from 1974 to 1977 – seeking to become an architect, however, I was not accepted, and, as such, I graduated with a Liberal Arts degree. Upon graduation from Arizona State University, I attended Cal Poly San Luis Obispo and studied City and Regional Planning at the Master’s level. I successfully completed one (1) year in a two (2) year program – I did not complete the Master’s degree in City and Regional Planning – due to personal reasons. I returned to Santa Monica where I started (October 1979) my career as graphic designer with Exxon Company, USA. I spent five years with Exxon Company, USA. While working with Exxon Company, USA I was accepted into architectural school – Sci-Arc in Southern California, however, I did not attend preferring to stay with Exxon.. In 1982 I married Laura Flosi and in April 1983 we had our one and only child – Lauren Alain Hovis – a gift from God. We moved to Phoenix, Arizona in 1984 from Los Angeles, where I went to work as a graphic designer with Kitchell CEM (from 1985 -1987). From 1987 – 1995 I was an independent contractor, and a registered representative in mortgage finance, financial management, graphic design, and drafting. Further, I attended the University of Phoenix and successfully obtained a Master’s in Business Administration (MBA) in 1982. I was also a member of the Scottsdale Jaycees, where I became very involved in community events and projects. In 1994, I accepted a cartography position with the Defense Mapping Agency in Reston, Virginia. As such, I relocated from Phoenix to Reston. In 1998, I was accepted and worked as a Visual Information Officer with the Central Intelligence Agency. In 2002, I worked as a Support Officer until my retirement (due to a need for shoulder surgery) in September 2018. Away from my Federal Government service, I have been involved in various organizations and activities in Northern Virginia. In November of 2011, I married Rebecca Ouellette in Santa Monica, California. I reside in San Tan Valley, AZ with my two hamster - Jess and Timothy, our fish, our lizard - RJ Lizard., and our cats - Pearl and Grey. As to hobbies, I enjoy playing sports, attending sporting events, mentoring individuals from financial management to hamsters, building models, photography, travel, multimedia design, managing partner for RJ Hamster, and jazz – smooth jazz to a samba or a bossa nova. Love and God Bless, Peter – aka RJ Hamster Jo hi

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