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These Small Caps Just Hit Critical Inflection Levels (From Market Crux)

3 Large Cap Stocks Announce Big Buyback Boosts Amid +20% Falls

Written by Leo Miller on January 28, 2026 

Article Highlights

• Automatic Data Processing, CoStar Group, and Paychex all expanded buyback capacity after steep share-price declines.
• Each authorization equals a meaningful slice of market cap, suggesting management confidence at current levels.
• CoStar stands out for pairing a large repurchase plan with updated forward commentary as it ramps investment.

Several large-cap stocks just issued big-time buyback capacity increases. These buyback boosts come as all three stocks have taken huge tumbles over the past several months, down 20% or more from their highs. The combination of these factors suggests that management teams at these companies may view their shares as undervalued. 

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Slow Hiring Hurts ADP, Fires Back With Big Repurchase Plan

First up is Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ: ADP). Since hitting an all-time closing high near $321 in June of 2025, ADP shares have retreated significantly, dropping 20%. The company’s fiscal Q1 earnings report was strong, but its shares still fell by almost 7% the day following. (Note that ADP’s fiscal year and calendar year are not aligned). 

ADP beat estimates on sales and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and forecasted steady growth going forward, combined with margin expansion. However, the company indicated weakness in the job market.

In aggregate, ADP clients did not increase their headcount last quarter, suggesting a weak hiring environment. 

ADP often charges customers per employee, so this is a headwind for the company.

However, it is possible that ADP believes the sell-off in its shares is overdone.

On Jan. 14, the company announced a $6 billion share buyback program. This program is very sizable, equal to around 5.8% of the company’s $104 billion market capitalization.

This gives the company a significant ability to lower its outstanding share count, spreading its value over fewer shares. With the buyback program and the Jan. 28 earnings report as potential near-term catalysts, this is a stock to watch going forward. 

CoStar Tanks as Battle With Zillow Heats Up

CoStar Group (NASDAQ: CSGP) is a $28 billion data, analytics, and marketplace software provider for the commercial real estate industry. The company has made moves to challenge Zillow Group’s (NASDAQ: ZG) dominance in the residential real estate marketplace through its websites, like Homes.com.

CoStar hit its 52-week closing high back in August of 2025 near $97, a figure that was just a few dollars below its all-time closing high from 2021. Since then, the stock has lost 32% of its value, with a notable 10% loss coming after CoStar’s latest earnings. The company also beat estimates on sales, adjusted EPS, and even boosted its full-year 2025 guidance.

CoStar is investing aggressively to compete with Zillow, allocating significant resources toward artificial intelligence tools. This seems to have scared off many investors, as these investments will weigh on margins.

With shares down big, CoStar announced a $1.5 billion share buyback program on Jan. 7. This is equal to 5.4% of the company’s market capitalization, a signal of management confidence going forward. Notably, the company also increased its 2026 guidance and said that investment would moderate during the year.

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PAYX Approves $1B Buyback With Shares Down +30%

Paychex (NASDAQ: PAYX) is another company in the payroll, human resources, and benefits solutions space. However, Paychex tends to focus more on small and medium-sized businesses, while ADP’s clients are often much larger. Like ADP, Paychex hit its 52-week and all-time closing high back in June of 2025, trading near $157. Shares have moved steeply in the opposite direction since, down around 32%.

The stock’s biggest stumble came after its earnings report in late June, when shares dropped almost 10% in one day. The firm met or exceeded estimates on sales and adjusted EPS. However, around $146 million in costs related to Paychex’s acquisition of Paycor caused non-adjusted operating income to fall by 11%. Additionally, hiring market uncertainties have put pressure on the stock, as they have on ADP.

On Jan. 16, Paychex announced a $1 billion share repurchase program, a potential sign that management sees value in the stock. The program is equal to a solid 2.6% of Paychex’s $38 billion market capitalization.

Notably, the company repurchased $290 million in shares over the past 12 months. Thus, the company has the capability to greatly increase its buyback spending pace now.

Watchlist Add: CoStar

These three names are all flashing confident signals to investors through their new buyback authorizations. Among this group, CoStar is particularly interesting. The company has already established itself as a stalwart in the commercial real estate space. The possibility of doing the same in retail would make the firm a very formidable force. The company’s huge buyback announcement and updated guidance are encouraging signs.

Read this article online ›

Further Reading

• Northrop Grumman Flashed a Buy Signal—And the Market Backed It Up
• Washington Thinks They Own Your Bank Account (From Priority Gold)
• United Parcel Service Transitions to Growth: Accumulation Begins
• Ends Soon: Download the Overnight Income Project (From ProsperityPub)
• Mega-Cap Earnings Could Decide the Tech Sector’s Next Big Move
• Bank of America’s Rock-Bottom P/E and 25% Upside Potential
• 3 European Stocks Built to Shrug Off Tariffs

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Microsoft Drops After Earnings—Why the Bull Case Holds

Written by Chris Markoch on January 29, 2026 

Key Takeaways

• Microsoft stock plunged after earnings despite beating estimates, as investors reacted to heavy AI infrastructure spending.
• Azure’s 39% growth and continued demand signal Microsoft is investing aggressively to secure long-term leadership.
• Analysts still see roughly 40% upside, suggesting the sell-off may be a buying opportunity rather than a trend reversal.

Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) was one of the first “Magnificent 7” stocks to report earnings this season. Despite beating on the top and bottom lines, concerns about the return on investment from Microsoft’s robust capital expenditures (CapEx) plans have sent the stock plummeting.

In fact, MSFT stock was down about 11% in midday trading on Jan. 29, the day after the report. That was the largest intraday loss since March 16, 2020—a wild reversal of fortunes for a stock that was trading at an all-time high (ATH) just three months prior to the earnings report.

Microsoft reported earnings per share (EPS) of $4.14 on revenue of $81.27 billion. Both numbers were higher than expectations for EPS of $3.86 on revenue of $80.28 billion. However, investors believe that much of Microsoft’s growth is already reflected in the stock price. Even year-over-year (YOY) growth of 39% in its Azure cloud computing business wasn’t good enough to spark a rally.

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Microsoft Is Playing a Long Game

Microsoft and other hyperscalers have become the poster children for the “AI bubble” narrative. Companies like Microsoft, Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) and Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) are spending billions to build data centers to house the servers, chips, and other pieces of infrastructure needed to meet demand from artificial intelligence (AI).

The concern is that the AI applications at the top of the AI stack may never develop as expected. If that’s the case, then all this spending will prove to be an unnecessary drag on corporate profits for these technology stocks. 

What gets lost in this “circular debate” about circular financing and future growth is that Microsoft is playing a long game. And it’s telling investors exactly what the likely outcome will be.

The company is committing to its current and future capital expenditure spending for one reason. It can’t build fast enough to meet demand.

That’s a similar story to the one investors are hearing from companies like NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO). 

The takeaway is that MSFT stock may look very different for traders and investors. Traders have likely already positioned for earnings volatility and the institutional reaction that follows.

But for investors, this does not seem like a time to panic.

Analysts Are Still Bullish on MSFT Stock

The day after earnings, the headlines say analysts are lowering their price targets for MSFT stock.

That’s true, but context matters. In many cases, the revised targets are still well above the Street’s consensus price target of $597.41, which implies about 40% upside from the stock’s price as of this writing.

That doesn’t guarantee a 40% return. But it suggests Wall Street still sees meaningful upside even after trimming expectations. In that light, the earnings sell-off looks more like a timing issue than a broken thesis.

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MSFT Stock Drop Is More Likely a Pause Than a Reversal

In midday trading the day after the earnings report, MSFT stock showed signs that the sell-off was abating. Having said that, timing a stock’s reversal is tricky in any environment, and especially after a market-moving event, like the company’s earnings report.

That means that Microsoft may still have further to fall. However, MSFT stock was up approximately 10% in the five trading days prior to earnings. The sell-off has erased those gains and pushed the stock down to levels not seen since May 2025.

That’s where the opportunity may lie. Microsoft stock is now flashing strong oversold signals. That supports the idea that the price actionfollowing the report is more of a pause to the recovery than a reversal.

Read this article online ›

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January 30, 2026  |  Read Online  |  Send Feedback

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Trump Issues Warning to Canada

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California Pipeline Closes, 100 Trucks Hit Roads: What Happens Next?

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This Beaten-Down Coffee Giant Is Eyeing a Recovery

By Ethan Goldman, junior analyst, Chaikin AnalyticsDon’t call it a comeback quite yet, folks…

Starbucks (SBUX) is still in dire straits. The coffee giant’s stock is down nearly 14% over the past year.

But its latest quarterly report earlier this week showed signs of a possible turnaround…

Of course, at the helm of this change is none other than Brian Niccol.

Regular readers will recall that in August 2024, Starbucks announced that Niccol would be joining the company as CEO.

And he brought more than just savvy marketing skills…

Remember, Niccol successfully turned around other fast-food names at Yum Brands (YUM). He also got the burrito chain Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) back on its feet before he went to Starbucks.

From the day Chipotle announced that Niccol would be joining the company to the day it announced his departure, CMG shares soared an incredible 927%.

It’s easy to see why investors are searching for the first signs of Starbucks’ revival. No one wants to miss more stock gains crafted by Niccol.

So let’s take a closer look today. And we’ll see what the Power Gauge thinks, too…Recommended Links:

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The ‘Smart Money’ Places New Bets on Starbucks’ Stock

On Wednesday, Starbucks reported earnings for the first quarter of its 2026 fiscal year. The company touted year-over-year growth of 3% in net revenue for its North America segment.

Now, the company saw its operating margins and income shrink. Starbucks says that this was due to two factors…

The first was labor investments to support its “Back to Starbucks” plan. You see, Starbucks is putting its money where its mouth is. The company knows it needs to invest in itself in order to change.

And the second factor was inflationary pressures. Starbucks said this was due to higher than usual coffee pricing and tariffs.

To be clear, Starbucks also missed its earnings per share (“EPS”) estimates by about 5% for the quarter.

That said, this was the closest Starbucks came to beating expectations in the past four quarters. And the earnings misses have been shrinking over the past three quarterly periods.

Meanwhile, the Power Gauge has picked up on some changes in the stock. You’ll see what I mean in the chart below…As I said earlier, Starbucks’ stock has been struggling in recent months.

But earlier this month, Starbucks’ relative strength versus the broad market jumped higher. And so did its Chaikin Money Flow – which measures the so-called “smart money” activity on Wall Street. Institutional investors started piling into the stock.

You see, on January 15, Starbucks announced a new goal for its coffeehouses in America. The company said it planned to add at least one “coffeehouse coach” to nearly every U.S. store by the end of the year.

As regular readers will recall, Starbucks customers felt the company had “lost its way”…

In 2024, Bloomberg reported that about 8% of customers waited between 15 and 30 minutes to get their orders. It’s no surprise that those kinds of wait times would drive folks to other options. 

Starbucks’ leadership knew that couldn’t last. The coffeehouse coach is meant to train and support both partners and leaders when they need it most.

The plan to expand this role seems to have excited the smart money on Wall Street. As I said, institutional investors started scooping up Starbucks’ stock in the wake of the announcement. 

It’s the second and largest surge of smart-money buying activity in six months. And thanks to these big investors, Starbucks’ relative strength ticked into positive territory for the first time since last April.

Now, this may sound like Starbucks’ recovery is in its past. But the Power Gauge says that isn’t the case…

Starbucks gets a “neutral-” overall rating in our system right now. This rating happens when a “bearish” or worse stock is trading above its long-term trend line.

Put simply, the Power Gauge has picked up on some positive signs recently. But those aren’t enough to save the stock’s overall rating. Our system still sees plenty of red flags “under the hood.”

Of course, there’s a lot that could go wrong before the stock takes off. But for now, the smart money sees something in part of Niccol’s “Back to Starbucks” plan. 

The Power Gauge says that it’s too early to bet on a full-on recovery just yet. However, I’ll have an eye on Starbucks for some stronger positive signals in our system. Keep the stock on your radar.

Good investing,

Ethan Goldman

Market View

Major Indexes and Notable Sectors  # HLD:    BULLISH    NEUTRAL    BEARISHDow 30

+0.02%719 4S&P 500

-0.2%113263 124Nasdaq

-0.6%2750 29Small Caps

+0.03%631947 311Bonds

+0.02%Communication Services

+2.6%00 0

— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks are more Bullish than Large Cap stocks. Major indexes are mixed.*  *  *  *

Sector Tracker

Sector movement over the last 5 daysEnergy+3.27%Communication+3.05%Utilities+1.45%Information Technology+1.37%Materials+0.97%Real Estate+0.56%Industrials+0.22%Consumer Staples-0.17%Financial-0.48%Consumer Discretionary-1.17%Health Care-2.82%*  *  *  *

Industry Focus

Health Care Equipment Services93421

Over the past 6 months, the Health Care Equipment subsector (XHE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -0.09%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #17 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 1 slot over the past week.Indicative StocksAORTArtivion, Inc.ZBHZimmer Biomet HoldinBAXBaxter International*  *  *  *

Top Movers

GainersLUV+18.7%RCL+18.65%META+10.4%NCLH+10.25%CCL+8.46%LosersLVS-13.96%URI-12.86%FSLR-10.18%MSFT-9.99%NOW-9.94%*  *  *  *

Earnings Report

Earnings SurprisesIP 
International Paper Company Q4 $-0.08 Missed by $-0.33DOW 
Dow Inc. Q4 $-0.34 Beat by $0.17WY 
Weyerhaeuser Company Q4 $-0.09 Beat by $0.04HIG 
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. Q4 $4.06 Beat by $0.84VLO 
Valero Energy Corporation Q4 $3.82 Beat by $0.55*  *  *  *

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Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation.

This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we’ve learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn’t make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It’s your money and your responsibility.

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Hello Peter Anthony Hovis,

The Changing of the Guard

The air in the financial districts turned heavy today as a months-long game of political musical chairs appeared to reach its crescendo.

Investors, who had spent the better part of the year trying to decipher the future of U.S. monetary policy, found themselves reacting to a sudden shift in the winds blowing from the White House.

The day began with a flurry of speculation that Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor known for his historically disciplined stance on inflation, had become the frontrunner to succeed Jerome Powell.

This wasn’t just idle chatter; the rumor mill kicked into high gear following reports that Warsh had visited the White House on Thursday.

Kevin Warsh (Photo: Tierney L. Cross/Bloomberg)

As the news spread, the bond market—the often-sober sibling to the more excitable stock market—suffered a sudden bout of nerves.

Treasury yields pushed higher as traders began to price in the possibility of a “Warsh Fed.” While President Trump has openly signaled his desire for a leader who will cut rates “further and faster,” the market’s memory of Warsh is one of a hawk who prioritizes policy discipline over easy money. Sean Callow, a senior analyst at ITC Markets, summed up the tension perfectly, noting that whatever may be said now, Warsh has a long hawkish history that markets haven’t forgotten, which pushed the dollar and yields upward.

The equity markets didn’t escape the turbulence.

The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq were already under pressure following a disappointing earnings signal from Microsoft, which suffered its worst drop in years. The added uncertainty of a leadership transition at the world’s most powerful central bank provided little comfort. President Trump, speaking at a premiere for the documentary “Melania,” confirmed he would make his formal announcement on Friday morning.

The weight of that looming decision felt palpable across trading floors, especially as betting markets like Polymarket saw the odds of a Warsh nomination leap to over 85%.

In the world of alternative assets, the narrative of “digital gold” faced a brutal reality check.

While traditional gold reached staggering heights near $5,600 earlier in the day before experiencing a “flash crash” and settling lower, Bitcoin suffered a far more consistent rout. The leading cryptocurrency slumped to fresh two-month lows, sliding toward $81,000.

For many, the breakdown in Bitcoin’s correlation with gold during a period of geopolitical upheaval was telling. Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, observed that cryptocurrencies no longer appeared to be the alternative to fiat money or the hedge they were once claimed to be.

As the sun set on today’s session, the financial world remained in a defensive crouch, waiting for the President’s Friday morning reveal.

The shift in sentiment was underscored by $4.8 billion in outflows from Bitcoin ETFs over the last three months, a streak that suggests the appetite for high-risk “digital havens” is being eclipsed by a return to traditional safety—or simply the safety of cash.

With liquidity expected to be lower over the weekend, analysts like Adam McCarthy at Kaiko are warning that the slide could continue, with a break below $80,000 looking increasingly likely if the bearish mood persists.

The Digital Backbone of China’s Industrial Heartland

Today’s Stock Pick: Full Truck Alliance (YMM)

In the sprawling industrial heartland of China, where over 30 million trucks crisscross highways carrying everything from fresh produce to factory components, Full Truck Alliance is powering the marketplace.

It is the digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to keep the logistics industry humming.

(Source: Full Truck Alliance)

Besides matching orders, truckers can buy fuel, purchase trucks, secure insurance, and even access credit without ever leaving the app. Gas station operators pay to be featured. Truck manufacturers get sales leads. Highway toll operators tap into the network. Each of these revenue streams compounds the platform’s profitability while deepening user lock-in.

(Source: Bloomberg)

The business was good in the second quarter. Revenue climbed 10.8% year-over-year to RMB 3.36 billion (roughly $450 million), while net income surged 64.2%.

(Source: Full Truck Alliance)

The platform is large and growing: Full Truck Alliance is a big player. Just look at the second quarter’s volume numbers. An average of 3.16 million shippers posted orders on the FTA platform each month, matched with 4.34 million active truckers who fulfilled shipping orders over the trailing twelve months.

All in all, the platform facilitated 60.8 million fulfilled orders during the quarter alone, representing a 22.3% jump from the previous year.

(Source: Full Truck Alliance)

However, this is NOT just about volume.

It’s about network effects, which is a classic Silicon Valley playbook.

As more shippers join the platform seeking trucks, more truckers sign up seeking loads. As the trucker base expands, the platform becomes even more attractive to shippers who need reliable, quick matches.

It’s a virtuous cycle that’s extraordinarily difficult for competitors to replicate.

(Source: Full Truck Alliance)

More importantly, some estimates suggest Full Truck Alliance controls approximately 60% of the digital freight matching market in China.In a country where the road transportation market was worth an estimated $1.5 trillion in 2023, even a modest slice represents enormous opportunity.Best of all, the company’s gross profit margins hover near 90%, a testament to the capital-light nature of the business model. Unlike traditional logistics companies weighed down by trucks, warehouses, and fuel costs, Full Truck Alliance simply facilitates matches and takes a cut. It may create a strong operating leverage for the company.Bottom line: Full Truck Alliance is trading at a forward P/E ratio around 14. The valuation is solid when we consider that analysts have set average price targets around $10 per share.

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View in your browser #MYTRILOGYLIFE Encanterra® Encanterra Leaderboard Jan 30, 2026     Featured Events Dancing with the Encanterra StarsSat, Jan 31 7:00 PM – 9:00 PM  Other: Mallorca Event Center    

Who doesn’t love a good dance competition?! The Utah Ballroom Dance Company will be bringing their Dancing Pros to Encanterra, pairing our Members with these professional dancers to entertain and compete to be crowned winner of Dancing with the Encanterra Stars on Saturday, January 31st at 7:00pm. Doors open at 6:00pm….View EventTribute Concert, featuring Keith Ormrod, a Tribute to Kenny ChesneySat, Feb 7 4:00 PM – 5:30 PM  Other: Algarve    

We are keeping the country music vibe going with our Tribute to Kenny Chesney on Saturday, February 7th, at 4:00pm, featuring Keith Ormrod and the Left of Center Band. Grab your boots and hats and scoot on down to the Algarve for a great night of music and dancing.

Kenny Chesney is an American country sing…View EventComedy Night at the ClubTue, Feb 10 7:00 PM – 9:00 PM  Mallorca Events Center Room A    

Comedy at the Club has been a hit with our Members for a long time, have you been to one yet? Join us on Tuesday, February 10th at 7:00pm in the Mallorca Events Center. 

The comedians are superb, each bringing their own personal and unique style of comedy to the Club. And what is better than a night of laughter! Get r…View EventJukebox Bingo | Pinks & Reds NightThu, Feb 12 5:00 PM – 7:30 PM  Other: Mallorca Events Center    

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New Credit Card Payment Policy

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From our partners at SmallCaps Daily

Gold Breaks Above $5,500 as Trust Becomes the New Currency — and Why Small-Cap NASDAQ Company SMX Is Emerging as the Infrastructure Play Behind the Precious Metals Rally!

As Gold and Silver Trade at Record Levels, SMX Is Positioning Itself as the Verification Backbone of a New Enforcement-Driven Metals Economy

Gold has surged to a record high above $5,500, and silver continues to trade near historic levels, driven by geopolitical risk, expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, and persistent currency pressure.

Yet beneath the price action, a deeper structural shift is unfolding. Precious metals are no longer judged solely on scarcity and demand — they are now evaluated on verifiability.

Origin, custody, recycled content, and ESG compliance have moved from optional disclosures to enforceable requirements.

As gold rallies into this new era, companies built for transparency under scrutiny stand to matter more than ever. One of them is SMX (NASDAQ: SMX).

Gold’s Rally Is About More Than Price — It’s About Proof

Gold and silver have returned to the center of global capital flows as safe-haven assets, but today’s environment is fundamentally different from past cycles. Regulators, refiners, industrial users, and institutional investors are demanding verifiable proof of origin and custody, not reconstructed narratives.

Traditional paper-based systems struggle under audits, inspections, and cross-border enforcement. In precious metals, trust is no longer assumed — it is tested. This shift is creating a new kind of infrastructure demand, and it is exactly the environment SMX was designed for.

What Makes SMX Different: Infrastructure, Not Hype

SMX is a small-cap NASDAQ company quietly building something far more durable than a sustainability add-on. Its mission is to become a global standard for material verification, connecting physical materials directly to blockchain-enabled digital identities. Using patented molecular identity technology, SMXembeds an invisible, chemical-based “barcode” directly into materials themselves — including gold and silver. That identity travels with the material through refining, handling, recycling, and resale, creating continuous, tamper-resistant verification that does not rely on trust, paperwork, or intermediaries.

Silver as the Proving Ground

Silver is one of the most demanding environments for verification. It is heavily traded, tightly regulated, custody-sensitive, and intolerant of error. Substitution risk, undocumented recycling, and custody gaps are not theoretical — they carry real financial and legal consequences.

SMX’s technology was built for precisely this level of scrutiny.

Verification persists through repeated handling and inspection, making silver not just a use case, but a proving ground. SMX has designed its platform to pass where traditional systems fail.

Gold: Where Regulation, ESG, and Provenance Converge

Gold faces mounting pressure from ethical sourcing mandates, carbon accountability, recycled content requirements, and geopolitical oversight. As enforcement tightens globally, proof can no longer be retroactively assembled — it must exist at the material level.

SMX enables gold to carry its verified history from origin or recycling through refining and downstream use. Because identity is embedded directly into the metal and recorded on blockchain, verification is always present. As regulation escalates, systems that already meet enforcement standards gain relevance without needing to pivot.

From Verification Tool to Verification Platform

Most companies treat verification as a feature. SMX treats it as infrastructure.

The same core technology applies across precious metals, plastics, textiles, agriculture, electronics, and non-ferrous metals. Each deployment strengthens the platform and reduces friction for the next, allowing SMX to expand horizontally rather than chasing one-off verticals. This is how infrastructure scales — quietly, steadily, and with rising switching costs.

Why Regulation Is Becoming SMX’s Largest Catalyst

Markets shaped by regulation do not reward speed; they reward endurance. Enforcement does not arrive all at once, but once it does, participation requires compliance. SMX was built for inspection, not persuasion.

By embedding proof directly into materials, it aligns naturally with enforcement-driven markets where liability follows the supply chain. As sustainability rules shift from voluntary reporting to mandatory compliance, entire markets become addressable almost overnight.

A Trillion-Dollar Circular Economy Opportunity

The global circular economy is estimated at $4.5 trillion, and SMX is positioning itself as a foundational enabler. By allowing materials to carry verified data on origin, recycling history, and carbon impact, SMX transforms verification from a compliance cost into a measurable asset.

The platform even enables carbon and plastic credits to be directly linked to physical materials, aligning sustainability goals with economic incentives.

Why Investors Are Paying Attention Now

SMX is not an early-stage concept. Its technology has been operational at national scale for more than a decade,originally developed by the Israeli Atomic Energy Commission and deployed by the Israeli government.

Its leadership team brings deep experience in commercialization and global execution. While blockchain has already produced multiple billion-dollar companies at the digital layer, SMXrepresents a different opportunity: blockchain embedded directly into the physical economy, where materials like gold and silver demand absolute certainty.

The Bottom Line

As gold breaks above $5,500 and silver continues its historic run, markets are demanding more than belief — they are demanding proof.

SMX does not need to convince the market of its relevance; it is already aligned with where regulation, enforcement, and capital are moving. From precious metals to plastics, SMX is turning verification into infrastructure. And infrastructure, once embedded, tends to last.

As gold and silver rally into a new enforcement era, SMX is becoming necessary — not optional! Start your research right away!

Special Report

5 Stocks to Buy in February: Last Year’s Winners Aren’t Done Yet

By Thomas Hughes. Publication Date: 1/29/2026. 

Summary

• Many of 2025’s top-performing stocks remain well-positioned for 2026 as key trends continue to strengthen.
• Analysts broadly expect double-digit upside for these names, with several positioned to challenge or set new highs.
• Forward expectations may still be conservative, leaving room for a cycle of outperformance and upward revisions as catalysts play out.

2026 is well underway and off to a bullish start. The S&P 500 and other major indices are ending January at record highs, and the Russell 2000 (INDEXRUSSELL: RUT), which tracks small-cap stocks, is leading the charge. The main point: the sector rotation seen over the past 18 months is accelerating. While tech and big tech remain central to the outlook, leadership is broadening to include a wider range of names and risk profiles. Five stocks that led in 2025 still have momentum heading into 2026—and February could offer better entry points.

Advanced Micro Devices Approaches NVIDIA-Like Inflection

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) is ending January up more than 25% from its early-month lows. The move, which confirms support at last year’s key resistance level, reinforces the growth outlook implied by the MI450 launch. That launch, scheduled for later in the year, could produce an NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)-like outcome: a triple-digit surge in datacenter revenue and potentially systemwide growth.

Buy AES Immediately (Ad)

A widely followed Wall Street analyst is highlighting AES Corp (AES) as a stock to watch right now, based on signals from his proprietary Power Gauge system. The model tracks factors like momentum, financial strength, and institutional activity across thousands of U.S. stocks.

He breaks down the full reasoning in a short briefing, including why AES is showing unusual strength at this stage of the market.See the full analysis here

Based on forecasts, the stock appears to be trading at a deep discount to analysts’ estimates, which may be conservative. Sentiment is nevertheless bullish, with numerous January coverage initiations, a firming Moderate Buy rating, and rising price targets. Sentiment trends suggest the stock could reach the high end of the range—roughly 35% upside as of early 2026—and that high-end targets may be raised further by year-end.

Amprius Technologies Cements Production Capacity Ahead of Q4 Release

Amprius Technologies (NYSE: AMPX) is up about 50% from recent lows as investors prepare for its Q4 FY2025 earnings release, slated for late March. The report is expected to confirm a strengthening order pipeline, ramping production, and a clearer pathway to profits.

Recent news includes the addition of three South Korean battery manufacturers to its production alliance, putting Amprius ahead of schedule and well on track to meet its goals for cost reduction and lower cash burn. Analysts are optimistic, rating the stock a Moderate Buy with roughly 35% upside toward the critical resistance level near $12. 

Credo Technologies Pulls Back Into Buying Opportunity

Credo Technologies (NASDAQ: CRDO)is pulling back, presenting a clear buying opportunity. The retreat runs counter to accelerating operational results and improving analyst trends. MarketBeat data show that coverage increased significantly over the trailing 12 months, sentiment firmed to Buy from Moderate Buy, and price targets trended higher.

The stock is up about 5% month-over-month in January, while consensus estimates are up nearly 200% year-over-year, implying roughly 70% upside, with many forecasts targeting the high end of the range. A potential catalyst is the Q3 FY2026 report, scheduled for early March. Credo remains central to advanced datacenter technology, AI and model inference, which should support continued strength.

Bloom Energy Blossoms Under Data Center Demand

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) makes low-emission, high-efficiency fuel cells that are well-suited for targeted applications, including data centers where traditional grid connections can be a constraint. Its technology enables quick, lower-cost deployment and operations. While not ideal for the largest sites, rising demand is driving revenue growth and improving margins.

Bloom Energy accelerated sequential and year-over-year growth to more than 50% in Q3 and is expected to sustain high double-digit growth into Q4 FY2025 and 2026. Profit growth should outpace revenue, supporting a rapidly improving analyst outlook. The 26 MarketBeat-tracked analysts currently rate the stock as a Hold, but coverage has increased substantially over the past year, sentiment is firming (verging on Moderate Buy), and the consensus price target has risen sharply—by roughly 400%. Though it has lagged the market, January forecasts point to about 20% upside this year.

Applied Digital Breaks Out After Solid Results

Applied Digital (NASDAQ: APLD)delivered Q2 FY2026 results that the market clearly welcomed, with revenue nearly doubling year-over-year and beating consensus estimates. The strong quarter reinforced a bullish outlook that includes the completion of its second campus, expected to start coming online this year.

The second campus is largely sold out, and new contracts—such as one with CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) —suggest demand will require a third campus sooner rather than later. Analysts reacted positively, with coverage initiations, upgrades, and price-target increases pointing toward the high end of the range and implying as much as 50% upside from the breakout point. 

Thank you for subscribing to The Early Bird, MarketBeat’s 7:00 AMnewsletter that covers stories that will impact the stock market each day.

This email content is a sponsored message provided by SmallCaps Daily, a third-party advertiser of The Early Bird and MarketBeat. 


This message is a paid advertisement for SMX (NASDAQ: SMX) from SmallCaps Daily and Interactive Offers. MarketBeat Media, LLC receives a fixed fee for each subscriber that clicks on a link in this email, totaling up to $25,500. Other than the compensation received for this advertisement sent to subscribers, MarketBeat and its principals are not affiliated with either SmallCaps Daily or Interactive Offers. MarketBeat and its principals do not own any of the stocks mentioned in this email or in the article that this email links to. Neither MarketBeat nor its principals are FINRA-registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. The content of this email should not be taken as advice, an endorsement, or a recommendation from MarketBeat to buy or sell any security. MarketBeat has not evaluated the accuracy of any claims made in this advertisement. MarketBeat recommends that investors do their own independent research and consult with a qualified investment professional before buying or selling any security. Investing is inherently risky. Past-performance is not indicative of future results. Please see the disclaimer regarding SMX (NASDAQ: SMX) on Interactive Offers’ website for additional information about the relationship between Interactive Offers and SMX (NASDAQ: SMX).


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Read More: Ticker Revealed: Pre-IPO Access to “Next Elon Musk” Company (From Banyan Hill Publishing)

Here’s What Happens When Washington Decides It Can’t Lose

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For the first time in decades, the U.S. government is no longer standing on the sidelines of innovation – it’s actively directing it.

In today’s Friday Digest takeover, our technology expert Luke Lango explains why 2026 may look like a national mobilization, with Washington actively funding, fast-tracking, and steering the buildout needed to win the AI race.

This shift goes far beyond regulation. The government is now shaping outcomes – backing critical supply chains, clearing bottlenecks, and accelerating infrastructure tied to AI dominance.

In his essay below, Luke introduces the framework he’s using to track this transition, and highlights where the most compelling opportunities are emerging.

But today’s essay is just the start. For Luke’s full deep dive – including more detail on the specific stocks he believes could benefit most – you can watch his free Genesis Mission broadcast right here.

Enough introduction. I’ll let Luke take it from here.

Have a good evening,

Jeff Remsburg

In the early 1940s, Americans couldn’t explain why obscure chemical firms were suddenly flush with cash or why Washington cared about desert towns in New Mexico.

And in the early 1960s, few investors understood why the government was pouring billions into rockets, primitive computers, and aerospace firms most people had never heard of.

But a small group did understand. They recognized the signs of a national mobilization, positioned early, and reshaped their wealth.

That same pattern is unfolding again today.

Most investors are trying to play 2026 with a 2019 rulebook. That world is gone. The era of frictionless globalism is over.

We’ve entered a new phase where the U.S. government isn’t just regulating markets… it’s fast-tracking permits, steering contracts, and funding critical buildouts toward winning the AI race against China.

When Washington decides it can’t afford to lose, it stops debating… and starts building.

That’s how we built the atomic bomb first.

That’s how we beat the Soviets to the moon.

And that’s how we’re now responding to China’s push for AI dominance.

That’s why my team and I just released a free broadcast focused on what I believe is the most important government-backed investment opportunity of our lifetime… and the narrow window opening beforeWall Street fully connects the dots.

Below, I’ll show you the framework — and the six bottlenecks investors should be watching right now.

Because events like this don’t feel obvious until after the opportunity has passed.

Recommended Link

Investing Legend Hints the End May be Near for These 3 Iconic Stocks

Futurist Eric Fry says Amazon, Tesla and Nvidia are all on the verge of major disruption. To help protect anyone with money invested in them, he’s sharing three exciting stocks to replace them with. He gives away the names and tickers completely free in his “Sell This, Buy That” broadcast. Click to stream now…

From Free Markets to National Mobilization

For decades, when it came to the private sector, the prevailing belief in Washington was simple: Set fair rules, then get out of the way. The “invisible hand” would take care of the rest.

That invisible hand optimized for cheap labor, global efficiency, and short-term profits – but not national resilience. The result was a hollowed-out manufacturing base and a growing dependence on foreign rivals for the materials and technologies that now define economic and military power.

For a while, it looked like a win. Cheap goods. Higher margins. Faster growth.

That illusion has collapsed.

The U.S. has entered a new era of national mobilization. The government is setting the priorities, clearing obstacles, and backing companies that advance American AI dominance.

If a company helps achieve that goal, it gets fast-tracked approvals, government cash, and policy support.

That’s the new reality.

Over the past year, Silicon Valley has accepted that the next era is about building the modern equivalent of the Manhattan Project or Apollo Program.

In return, Washington has stopped pretending that decade-long approval processes and fragmented regulation are compatible with winning the race that will shape the next era.

This also explains why geopolitics suddenly feels louder: Supply chains are now strategy.

America has three nonnegotiable needs: massive energy, enormous quantities of raw materials, and unprecedented computing power.

And it doesn’t have enough of any of them.

So the government is acting accordingly… using diplomacy, industrial policy, and national security tools to secure energy supplies, stabilize material flows, and accelerate infrastructure buildouts. In effect, the U.S. government is helping secure the inputs AI needs: power, materials, and compute.

The 2010s investor playbook — capital-light, consumer-first growth — doesn’t fit this market. We are entering a period defined by heavy capital spending, physical constraints, and state-backed demand.

The strategy now is to own the choke points — the materials, power systems, infrastructure, and technologies that this new system cannot function without, and cannot scale fast enough on its own.

To that end, I have identified the 6-Layer AI Bottleneck Playbook.

1. The Raw Materials Layer: You can print money, but you can’t print copper — and you can’t code lithium. The physical inputs required for this buildout are in short supply. We face a 10-million-ton copper deficit over the next decade.

The Play: Own Western copper, lithium, and uranium. The ground itself is now a strategic asset.

2. The Power Layer: AI is an energy vampire. Big Tech is being forced to build its own power generation, bypassing the public grid entirely. The only solution for 24/7, carbon-free, massive-scale power is nuclear.

The Play: Own the existing nuclear fleet and the fuel cycle. They hold the keys to the energy source that fits the mission profile.

3. The Infrastructure Layer: A rack of Nvidia Blackwell chips runs so hot it would melt a standard server room. We have to retrofit the entire internet with liquid-cooling plumbing. We need new switchgear, new transformers, and massive new physical shells.

The Play: Own the companies that manage heat and physical power distribution. The “plumbers” of the AI age are about to become kings.

4. The Compute Layer: It’s no longer just about getting a raw GPU. It’s about “packaging” – the incredibly complex process of stitching the GPU and memory together on silicon. Further, the U.S. government is actively pushing American-designed custom silicon to reduce reliance on generic chips.

The Play: Own the packaging monopoly and the leaders in U.S.-designed custom silicon.

5. The Memory Layer: An AI chip without memory is useless. The new HBM (high bandwidth memory) chips are stacked vertically like skyscrapers on a microscopic scale. The manufacturing yield is terrible, and the entire global supply is sold out until 2027.

The Play: Own the domestic memory producers that have cornered the market on the high-end supply.

6. The Networking Layer: When you connect 100,000 GPUs together, copper wires are too slow. You need light. The insides of datacenters are switching from electrical cables to fiber optics and lasers.

The Play: Own the masters of optical interconnects and low-latency switching.

The Train Is Leaving

Look, I understand why this feels unsettling…

But if we lose the AI race to China, nothing else matters.

That’s why we’ve begun moving trillions of dollars – from both private coffers and the public purse – to the six bottlenecks listed above. The government is using a firehose to blast away regulatory hurdles and using its military to secure the supply lines.

In moments like this, the market rewards those who understand what’s happening and position themselves before execution begins.

Which is why I hope you’ll check out my new free broadcast.

During that event, I dig much deeper into this shift… breaking down what’s really happening behind the scenes, why this moment mirrors past mobilizations like Manhattan Project and Apollo Program, and how investors should be positioning as the next phase unfolds.

History shows where the real wealth is created.

The countdown has already begun.

Check out my new free broadcast here.

Sincerely,

Luke Lango
Editor, Early Stage Investor
Senior Investment Analyst, InvestorPlace

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Don’t Miss This 270-Day Investing Window (Wall Street Probably Will)

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Editor’s Note: After decades in the markets, you start to recognize when something is real – not because it’s being shouted on cable news, but because capital is already starting to move.

I see that firsthand when I spend time around investors, policymakers and business leaders – whether in Washington or at places like Mar-a-Lago – where the conversation has shifted away from whether the government should act and toward where it’s already acting.

Right now, the U.S. government isn’t just talking about AI, supply chains and national security. It’s setting timelines, identifying chokepoints and in some cases backing companies directly. Those are signals experienced investors learn not to ignore.

Below, my InvestorPlace colleague Luke Lango breaks down how this dynamic is taking shape through the Genesis Mission – why only a handful of pressure points truly matter in 2026, and how a very specific government timeline is already beginning to direct capital toward them.

Luke expands on these ideas in a free Genesis Mission broadcast for investors who want a clearer view of what’s forming and how fast it’s moving.

The American free market has officially closed for renovation.

And when it reopens, it won’t look anything like the one we once knew.

We are sprinting toward a corporate-state hybrid that looks less like 1980s Wall Street and more like 1942… when Detroit stopped making Buicks and started building B-24 bombers.

But instead of building planes, we’re building AI data.

And the Trump administration isn’t just supporting companies. It’s buying equity in them.

In just the past few months, the White House has taken…

• A 10% stake in Intel Corp. (INTC) by converting CHIPS Act grants…
• A 15% position in rare earths supplier MP Materials Corp. (MP)…
• A 10% stake in Trilogy Metals Inc.(TMQ)…
• And a 10% stake in Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC).

After MP announced its partnership with the Department of Defense on July 10, 2025, the stock shot up 100% in just seven days. From peak to trough over the past six months, MP gained close to 230%.

Now, take a look at TMQ before and after the Trump administration invested $35.6 million in the company:

From October 6, when the government invested in TMQ, to October 14, the stock shot up 407%! Even if you missed that initial surge, it’s still up 200%-plus since.

Then there’s LAC stock, which saw a surge of 140% a mere day after reports emerged that the Trump administration was seeking a 10% stake in the miner. From peak to trough, LAC surged nearly 230%.

But these gains in these companies were just the appetizer.

The main course is the Genesis Mission.

So, let’s dig into what the Genesis Mission is… why I believe it’s the single most important investment theme of 2026… why traditional analysis will fail you here…

And how to position your portfolio beforethis transformation becomes obvious to everyone else.

Because once it does, the easy money will be gone.

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That’s when Nvidia’s silent partner could shock the world… And make a lot of people wealthy in the process. Nvidia and this partner are developing a new tech that, according to the CTO of Cloudera… “Is set to overshadow AI as the next major technological revolution.” Click here to get the details.

America’s Manhattan Project for AI Dominance

On November 24, President Trump signed an executive order launching the Genesis Mission. The financial media (still obsessing over quarterly earnings and Fed policy) referred to it as an “AI initiative.”

But the Genesis Mission isn’t about building a better chatbot. It is the Manhattan Project for AI.

It’s an acknowledgment by the White House that “letting the market decide” is how you lose a war to a command economy like China.

China doesn’t wait for a startup to secure funding to build a fusion reactor. It just builds it. Nor does it rely on market forces to secure its antimony supply. It seizes the mines instead.

That’s why the Trump administration has looked at Beijing and said, “Fine. Two can play at that game.”

Led out of the Department of Energy, the Genesis Mission will do the following:

• Centralize Scientific Data
  • The DOE is nationalizing the world’s largest scientific datasets.
• Weaponize AI
  • These datasets are being fed into massive, state-run AI models trained on government supercomputers to solve physics and engineering problems that would normally take decades.
• Compress Timelines
  • The goal is to shrink 10 years of research and development into 10 months.
• Pick Winners
  • The government will identify the companies critical to this mission, fund them, provide them with the AI, and – crucially for investors like us – likely buy equity in them.

This is a total mobilization of the U.S. industrial base. And it is targeting six strategic industries.

Only Six Sectors Matter in 2026

The Genesis Mission identifies six specific industries that will determine whether America remains a superpower or becomes a vassal state.

These are the only sectors that matter in 2026:

1. Biotechnology – AI-trained scientific foundation models to compress drug and materials discovery from years into months.
2. Critical Materials – AI-driven discovery, mining, and processing of rare earths, lithium, uranium, and antimony.
3. Nuclear Fission and Fusion – Reliable, 24/7 energy to power AI supercomputing at national scale.
4. Quantum Information Science – Solving problems classical AI cannot: optimization, simulation, cryptography.
5. Semiconductors and Microelectronics – Domestic control of the chips that run AI, robotics, and defense systems.
6. Advanced Manufacturing (Robotics and Automation) – Robotic labs and automated factories that turn AI designs into physical output.

This is the modern Manhattan Project. And Washington has already pressed “go.”

Your 270-Day Investment Window

The White House is not wasting time here.

The Genesis Mission executive order sets an aggressive timeline with specific deadlines, starting from November 24, 2025:

• 60 Days (Q1 2026):
  • The Secretary of Energy must submit a list of at least 20 specific challenges to solve within those six industries.
• 90 Days (approx. February 22):
  • Identify all available supercomputing and cloud resources that can be added to the platform.
• 120 Days (approx. March 24):
  • Identify the initial datasets and models to be used.
  • Develop a security plan for bringing in data from outside the government (e.g., universities and businesses).
• 240 Days (approx. July 22):
  • Review capabilities for “robotic laboratories” and automated manufacturing facilities.
• 270 Days (approx. Aug. 21):
  • Go Live: The “American Science and Security Platform” must demonstrate “initial operating capability” for at least one of the identified challenges.
• 1 Year (November 24, 2026):
  • The secretary must submit a full report on progress, user engagement, and scientific outcomes.

As far as Washington goes, that’s an all-out sprint…

The Only Trade That Matters in 2026

The U.S. government is no longer a referee. It’s an activist investor.

And now we know its playbook:

1. Identify a strategic bottleneck inside one of the six pillars.
2. Back the company that solves it — with grants, contracts, regulatory fast-tracking, and often equity.
3. Let the market reprice the stock violently.

We’ve already seen this pattern with Intel, MP, Trilogy Metals, and Lithium Americas… all of which doubled or tripled quickly after federal cash moved in.

And the Genesis Mission expands that playbook across six entire industries.

Essentially, it’s a government-issued roadmap showing exactly where trillions of dollars in U.S. capital are about to flow.

Just like the Manhattan Project… just like the Apollo Program… the government is building a national fortress — and selecting the companies that will form its foundation. Those companies will define the next cycle.

That’s why the smartest strategy for 2026 isn’t stock-picking based on macro guesses or Fed-watching…

It’s about aligning your portfolio with the Genesis Mission’s six industrial pillars. Ignore the noise about interest rates, GDP prints, or consumer sentiment. In 2026, there is only one balance sheet that truly matters: the federal government’s.

And Washington is preparing to deploy staggering sums – through grants, guaranteed contracts, regulatory fast-tracks, and direct equity stakes – into a very specific set of industries and companies.

Will you be positioned before the capital floods in… or will you be chasing headlines after the easy money is gone?

Because this is no longer theoretical. Here’s just one example…

The National Nuclear Security Administration has issued a Request for Information titled “Transformational AI Capabilities for National Security.” Execution is underway. Contracts are being shaped. Funding priorities are being finalized.

This confirms what insiders already knew: This is a production program, not a research project.

If you want to understand how the Genesis Mission will unfold… which companies Washington must back first… and where the real asymmetric gains are forming before institutions move…

Watch my free Genesis Mission briefing now.

Once the contracts are announced and the capital hits, the market won’t wait for you.

Miss it and you’ll spend the next decade reading about gains you could have positioned for today.

Watch my broadcast today to get prepared for what’s coming.

Sincerely,

Luke Lango
Senior Investment Analyst, InvestorPlace

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RACE REPLAY: ARCA Menards Series Debut at Lime Rock Park

Secure your Summer of Speed – 2026 Tickets & Passes on Sale Now 

AutoX Club – $3,000 of tracktime for $1,500

Own Your Race Day HQ at Lime Rock Park’s Condominium Garages

RACE REPLAY: ARCA Menards Series Debut at Lime Rock Park

Stock cars are on our mind with the NASCAR Clash kicking off the season at Bowman Gray this weekend, so we’re running it back to last summer with the ARCA Menards Series debut at Lime Rock Park! 

Don’t forget, ARCA Menards returns to LRP on Friday, July 10th for the Lime Rock Park 100!

Click the link below to catch the full race replay thanks to NASCAR Regional.WATCH NOW – ARCA Race Replay

Secure Your Summer of Speed in 2026 – Tickets & Passes On Sale Now

From NASCAR trucks roaring through the Berkshires, to the return of the Trans Am Memorial Day Classic, to a refreshed Historic Festival weekend and an elevated MiataCon, you won’t want to miss 2026 at Lime Rock Park!

Click the button below to learn more & secure your 2026 at The Park today.SHOP NOW – 2026 Tickets & Annual Passes

AutoX Club 

Save big on the 2026 Autocross season on the FCP Euro Proving Grounds

Whether you’re looking to compete in the 2026 AutoX Shootout or just interested in testing your car’s limitson the FCP Euro Proving Grounds, the AutoX Club gets you more track time for less.

The AutoX Club offers $3,000 of track time for $1,500. Autocross events run from April to November, giving you more than enough opportunity each month to improve your lap time.

Click the link below to read more about membership benefits & get yours today!LEARN MORE – AutoX Club

Own Your Race-Day Home at Lime Rock Park

If Lime Rock is already your second home, make it official.

Step out of your garage and onto the circuit. The Owner’s Lounge and trackside Condominium garages give you a true home base at Lime Rock Park; secure storage, direct track access, and a private place to unwind between sessions.

A limited number of non-loft units are still available, featuring:

• Spacious 20’ x 40’ bays – Comfortably fits 4 cars with lifts

• True track access – Drive straight from your garage to pit lane.

• Exclusive owner perks – private Owner’s Lounge with balcony and trackside viewing, Lime Rock Drivers Club incentives, plus private bathrooms

Call 860.435.5000 ext. 116 or email jen@limerock.com to schedule a private tour.SCHEDULE A TOUR – GARAGES

Lime Rock Park | 860.435.5000 | limerock.com

Shop The Lime Rock Park Store | limerockgear.com

Join Lime Rock Drivers Club | limerockclub.com

Cater Your Event | limerock.com/catering

Buy & Sell Your Car | limerock.com/classifieds

VIEW AS WEBPAGE: View as Webpage

Connect with us @limerockpark

Lime Rock Park | 60 White Hollow Road  | Lakeville, CT 06039 US

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