www.podbean.com/ei/pb-ef5jd-1a6c1aa

Something unusual is happening beneath the surface of the stock market.

On TV, everything still looks fine.

The news says “buy.” The indexes look safe.

Below the surface, a war is starting.

Big money is fleeing one group of stocks…

And piling into another.

This kind of split has only happened a handful of times in the last 125 years.

Each time, one side of the market eventually broke down hard.

But the other side? It made people very, very rich.

10x… 20x… even 30x winners.

We are at that breaking point right now.

I’m going on camera to show you exactly which side is which.

[Watch Now]

Stay sharp,

JC Parets, CMT
Founder, TrendLabs

Wednesday’s Featured News

The AI Land Grab: Why SMCI’s Drop Is Your Gain

By Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Publication Date: 2/25/2026. 

Key Points

• Super Micro Computer continues to deliver record-breaking revenue growth as demand for artificial intelligence hardware infrastructure accelerates globally.
• Management is executing a strategic land grab to secure a massive customer base that will rely on their ecosystem for the next decade of computing.
• Super Micro Computer is pivoting to monetize high-margin liquid-cooling solutions that are essential for operating next-generation AI processors.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

Fear can cloud judgment on Wall Street. Over the past few months a wave of caution has gripped the artificial intelligence (AI) hardware sector. Investors increasingly worry that the “picks and shovels” trade—the strategy of buying companies that build the physical infrastructure for AI—is coming to an end. As a result, stock prices across the sector have slipped on anticipation of slower spending.

Yet a closer look at the numbers tells a different story. There is a sizable disconnect between market sentiment and business reality, and nowhere is that more obvious than with Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI).

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As of late February, Super Micro shares are trading in the $30–$32 range, well below their 52-week highs and signaling deep investor skepticism. Still, the company recently reported a record quarter, with revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 reaching $12.68 billion.

That represents a staggering 123% increase year over year.

The company is not shrinking; it is expanding rapidly. The gap between this outsized revenue growth and the falling stock price has created an unusual situation: investors are fleeing because profit margins have tightened, but they may be missing the broader strategy. This margin compression appears not to be a sign of failure but a deliberate land grab aimed at securing a dominant position in the next decade of AI infrastructure.

The Cost of Dominance: Why Margins Are Down

To assess the opportunity, investors must first acknowledge the bad news. In the most recent quarter, Super Micro’s gross margin fell to 6.4%. Gross margin measures the percentage of revenue remaining after the direct costs of manufacturing goods. Historically, Super Micro has posted margins closer to 12% or higher, which helps explain the heavy selling pressure on the stock.

Context matters. The decline isn’t the result of inefficient factories or wasteful spending; it stems from a fierce pricing battle with Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL). Both companies are aggressively competing to win large contracts from hyperscalers—the massive cloud and AI builders that are rapidly scaling their data centers.

To put the magnitude of these deals in perspective, one customer accounted for 63% of Super Micro’s revenue last quarter. To secure such contracts against a giant like Dell, Super Micro chose to sharply lower prices—a classic land-grab tactic.

Why Sacrifice Profit?

Accepting lower profits now can lock in a large and sticky customer base for the future. This strategy makes sense for three reasons:

• Stickiness: Once complex server racks and systems are installed, switching vendors is costly and disruptive.
• Scale: More than $12 billion in revenue in a single quarter provides the cash flow to expand manufacturing and logistics quickly.
• Duopoly potential: Aggressive pricing pressures smaller competitors out of the market, narrowing competition to a few large suppliers—principally Super Micro and Dell.

The Razor and Blade Model: Monetizing the Cooling

If servers are being sold at thin margins, where will the profits come from? The answer is a familiar business model: the razor-and-blade approach. Sell the base product cheaply (the server) and monetize the complementary, higher-margin products and services over time.

For Super Micro, the “blades” are its Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS). The company is shifting beyond just selling server chassis to offering the full ecosystem required to operate them.

As AI accelerators from NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)and AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) grow more powerful, they generate enormous heat. Traditional air cooling can’t keep pace, pushing data centers toward Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC)—an area where Super Micro has expertise.

The Profit Pivot

While servers themselves may carry low margins today, the infrastructure required to cool and power them is significantly more profitable.

• The tech: Liquid cooling systems, coolant distribution units (CDUs), power distribution shelves, and management software.
• The margins: Management says DCBBS products have gross margins north of 20%.
• The growth opportunity: In the first half of the fiscal year, these solutions contributed roughly 4% of total profit; management expects to at least double that contribution by the end of calendar 2026.

This pivot is central to the bullish case: Super Micro has already installed the servers, and it is well positioned to upsell higher-margin cooling, power and management solutions to the same customers.

A $10 Billion Signal: Why Inventory Is Gold

Bearish investors have also flagged the company’s balance sheet, where inventory has swollen to $10.6 billion. In many businesses, large inventory can signal waning demand and the risk of markdowns.

But the AI hardware market is currently defined by scarcity—not surplus. There is a global shortage of advanced components, and having inventory on hand is a competitive advantage. Holding roughly $10 billion in ready-to-ship hardware allows Super Micro to fulfill orders faster than competitors waiting on parts. That speed-to-market is valuable for clients racing to deploy and iterate AI models.

The Roadmap Ahead

The inventory build also signals preparation for an upgrade cycle expected later in 2026:

• NVIDIA: The launch of the Vera Rubin platform.
• AMD: The rollout of Helios solutions.

These next-generation chips should trigger another wave of system replacements and expansions. By accumulating inventory now, Super Micro is positioned to ship updated systems immediately. Management has raised full-year revenue guidance to at least $40 billion, indicating confidence that this inventory will convert into sales rather than sit idle.

A Discounted Leader: Valuation Meets Opportunity

The easy-money phase of the AI hardware trade is over; the market has moved from hype to execution. Investors are demanding evidence that companies can manage costs while sustaining growth.

With shares depressed, Super Micro’s valuation looks more attractive relative to its growth. The price-to-earnings ratio has fallen to about 23x—a typical multiple for a steady manufacturing business—yet the company is delivering revenue that more than doubled year over year.

Analysts have taken note. Firms such as Rosenblatt Securities have maintained Buy ratings with price targets near $55, implying meaningful upside from the current ~$30 level.

Risks around margins and the costly competition with Dell are real. But the underlying growth story remains intact. Super Micro is building the physical backbone of the AI economy. For investors willing to look past short-term noise and wait for the higher-margin infrastructure strategy to play out, the current sell-off could represent a rare discount on an industry leader.

Wednesday’s Featured News

The Aging of America Could Make HCA Healthcare a Long-Term Winner

By Nathan Reiff. Publication Date: 3/8/2026. 

Key Points

• HCA Healthcare has strong earnings growth, volume gains, and adjusted EBITDA gains, among other metrics, revealing strong fundamentals despite coming up short of analyst revenue estimates last quarter.
• The company’s 2026 guidance suggests room to grow in several areas, though threats remain.
• HCA’s recent rally may leave little room for short-term growth, but the stock could appeal to investors with longer-term healthcare demand trends in mind.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

Shifting demographics in the United States mean adults at retirement age or older will outnumber minors sometime in the coming decade, and that growing population will drive substantially higher healthcare spending. That shift creates a significant opportunity for investors who can take a long-term view and position themselves for an expected, multi-year increase in medical-care demand.

HCA Healthcare (NYSE: HCA) stands to be a primary beneficiary of this trend because of its large network of hospitals, surgery centers, urgent-care locations and other facilities. The company is already seeing robust demand and utilization, and investors focused on long-term sector dynamics may find HCA increasingly compelling.

A Mixed Earnings Report Masks Fundamental Strengths

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HCA’s latest earnings report for Q4 2025 was mixed, similar to results reported by many other healthcare firms. The company comfortably beat analyst expectations for earnings per share (EPS), posting $8.01—an improvement of almost 29% versus the consensus of $7.37.

Revenue growth of 6.7% year over year (YOY), however, came in a bit softer than expected. Analysts had forecast quarterly revenue of $19.7 billion; HCA reported revenue roughly $158 million below that figure. The slower momentum reflected several headwinds, including policy shifts, the expiration of premium tax credits and changes in uninsured rates.

Despite those pressures, HCA’s results highlight important underlying strengths. The company recorded its 19th consecutive quarter of volume growth, adjusted EBITDA rose 11% YOY, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 80 basis points. Patient utilization is at record levels—about 47 million patient encounters in 2025—helping to boost operating cash flow by roughly 20% for the full year.

Signs of Potential From HCA’s Guidance

HCA’s forward guidance may appeal to prospective investors. For 2026, management expects revenue of $76.5 billion to $80 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $15.55 billion to $16.45 billion. Diluted EPS is projected at $29.10 to $31.50.

The company also plans to deploy capital: it raised its 2026 CapEx outlook to as much as $5.5 billion and authorized a $10 billion share-repurchase program. Current shareholders are being rewarded with a higher payout as well—HCA increased its quarterly dividend by 8.3%, to $0.78 (a yield of about 0.54% and a payout ratio near 10.15%).

Management is banking on continued improvement in admissions to support the outlook. Same-facility admissions improved 2.4% YOY in the quarter, and same-facility revenue per equivalent admission rose 2.9%. For 2026, HCA expects equivalent admissions to increase another 2% to 3%.

The Risks Remaining For HCA

HCA’s momentum does not eliminate risks. Executives expect adjusted EBITDA to be pressured by an estimated $600 million to $900 million in 2026, in part due to changes to health insurance exchanges. State supplemental payments are another headwind: the company anticipates a $250 million to $450 million decline in supplemental net benefits for the year.

To counter these impacts, HCA has launched a $400 million resiliency program aimed at revenue integrity, capacity management and cost discipline—leveraging AI and digital investments where possible. How effective those initiatives will be remains to be seen.

Still, Wall Street appears reasonably confident in HCA’s ability to navigate a challenging environment. Analysts expect the company to grow earnings by more than 12% next year, and roughly two-thirds of the 25 analysts covering the stock currently rate it a Buy or equivalent. Several analysts have already raised price targets or reiterated bullish ratings in 2026.

Shares are up nearly 14% year-to-date in 2026, which may limit near-term upside. But as HCA positions itself for an anticipated long-term increase in healthcare demand, it could represent an attractive opportunity for long-term investors.

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From Our Partners: [How To] Invest Pre-IPO In SpaceX With $100! (From Paradigm Press)

How One Small Metals Firm Landed a Global Giant

It’s rare to see a small company move this fast.

In just two years, this North American explorer secured a partnership with $116B Rio Tinto, acquired four major properties, and began drilling for the metals that fuel both energy independence and defense readiness.

Learn why this fast-moving company is gaining serious momentum >

Just For You

The Copper Shortage Is Coming—These 3 Miners Are Ready

Authored by Chris Markoch. Article Published: 3/8/2026. 

Key Points

• Aging global copper mines and rising electrification demand could create a structural copper supply shortage.
• Small-cap miners with operating assets or near-term projects may benefit most from rising copper prices.
• Taseko Mines, Talon Metals, and Arizona Sonoran Copper offer different ways for investors to gain exposure.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

Fear sells. But seeing a headline about a copper shortage should excite investors, not scare them—particularly those with a long-term outlook for basic materials stocks, including mining companies. The advanced age of many copper mines strengthens the case for several small-cap copper miners.

Here’s the situation: copper mines, no matter how productive, have a limited productive life. Many of the world’s largest copper mines are also among the oldest. That doesn’t mean they will stop producing, but over time each mine yields less copper per ton of rock moved.

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That coming supply shortfall coincides with growing demand for copper, which creates opportunities for smaller miners that can bring new supply online.

Even under a “friendly” administration, permitting and building new mines is difficult, expensive, and time-consuming. Companies with existing operations or advanced projects therefore have a structural advantage—one that can drive rising asset valuations.

Small-cap stocks have been out of favor, but that is likely to change as investors seek growth in a lower-rate environment. Here are three names investors may want to consider.

Taseko Mines Expands Production in Tier-1 Jurisdictions

First up is Taseko Mines Ltd. (NYSEAMERICAN: TGB), a Vancouver-based Canadian miner. The company already operates the Gibraltar project in British Columbia, one of Canada’s largest open-pit copper producers. Taseko is guiding for output of 110–115 million pounds in 2026, up from roughly 99 million pounds in 2025.

Adding to the bullish outlook, Taseko has started copper production at its Florence in-situ copper project in Arizona, another Tier-1 jurisdiction. On March 2, the company announced it had harvested its first copper cathodes from the Florence project. This is the first new copper production from a greenfield facility in the United States since 2008.

Management expects Gibraltar’s higher-grade Connector pit to deliver stable production through at least 2029. If that proves accurate, it will give the company time to ramp up Florence production, which strengthens Taseko’s long-term appeal.

TGB stock recently closed near $7.50, above the consensus price target of roughly $5—but that estimate is based on just two analysts. Institutional ownership is low, though it has risen over the last two quarters. If Taseko meets its production targets, analysts will likely revise their estimates upward.

Talon Metals Offers High-Risk, High-Reward Potential

Talon Metals Corp. (OTCMKTS: TLOFF) is a small company with significant upside potential. The company’s leading project, the Tamarack projectin Minnesota, is a joint venture with Rio Tinto (NYSE: RIO). For investors, access to a major miner’s technical expertise and financial backing adds a measure of assurance.

Talon also operates the only nickel mine in the United States, the Eagle Mine and Humboldt Mill in Michigan, which connects the company to the battery and EV supply chain. Talon has secured an extension from Rio Tinto’s Kennecott subsidiary to complete a feasibility study and additional spending to earn up to 60% ownership, with a key environmental review milestone expected in the first half of 2026.

TLOFF stock has been an outstanding performer, gaining more than 990% over the last 12 months. It is also up more than 45% in 2026. The stock recently closed near $6.25, roughly 6.5% above the consensus price target of about $5.84.

Arizona Sonoran’s Acquisition Highlights Copper Value

Growth for small-cap miners can come organically or through acquisition. That latter path is illustrated by Arizona Sonoran Copper (OTC: ASCUF), which is being acquired by Hudbay Minerals (NYSE: HBM).

Arizona Sonoran controls 100% of the brownfield Cactus copper project in Arizona, and the acquisition will give Hudbay full control of that asset.

Combined with Hudbay’s Copper World asset, the deal creates the third-largest copper district in North America and establishes a major hub for U.S. copper production. Cactus could add roughly 103,000 tonnes of annual copper production once developed, with proven and probable reserves of 5.3 billion pounds of copper over a 20-year mine life.

Both companies’ boards have approved the agreement, which is expected to close in the second quarter of this year. That approval may dampen direct investment interest in ASCUF stock ahead of closing; after the deal is finalized, each ASCUF share will be exchanged for 0.242 of a common share of HBM stock.

Just For You

AI Panic Hits Wall Street: 3 Financial Stocks on Sale

Authored by Dan Schmidt. Article Published: 2/27/2026. 

Key Points

• AI disruption fears hit the financial sector this month following news of automated tax planning tools and mass unemployment scenarios.
• While the fears of AI disruption have merit, the selloff is likely overblown and more related to a rerating of overpriced stocks.
• Many of the stocks caught in the crossfire now look attractive on valuation grounds, which could be an opportunity for value-seeking investors.
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It feels like there’s a new AI-related crisis every month. February was no different: announcements of AI tax-planning tools helped trigger a selloff in an already jittery market. Sector rotations have picked up, and high-multiple stocks have been punished for even minor stumbles. But this particular selloff looks overblown, creating potential opportunities to buy quality companies that have suddenly gone on sale.

Why Financial Firms Sold Off—And Why It’s Overblown

Two shockwaves hit the financial sector in the last three weeks, knocking down the share prices of many large-cap companies. The first came from a fintech firm called Altruist, which launched a tax-planning tool in its AI platform called Hazel. Hazel can now automate many tasks of a tax advisor, such as collecting and reviewing 1040s, 1099s, 1098s and other IRS forms and financial statements, turning hours of tedious work into minutes of number crunching.

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A second, more speculative panic hit the market toward the end of February when Citrini Research published a piece titled The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis. The article laid out a mass-displacement scenario for white-collar workers by 2028 that envisioned 10% unemployment and a 40% market decline. Despite a preface noting the piece describes a hypothetical scenario rather than a prediction, the report helped spark roughly a $300 billion equity wipeout, including a 20% two-day loss for International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM).

AI disruption is a legitimate long-term concern, but these two events produced outsized short-term moves that look exaggerated. Many stocks that plunged won’t be materially affected by Hazel, and the Citrini scenario represents the view of a single firm. Nervous markets often seize on headlines as an excuse to sell, and these stories likely gave investors a reason to hit the sell button. That downside panic, however, has created attractive entry points for several solid financial firms.

The three stocks below were all hit during the selloff, but a closer look suggests their businesses remain fundamentally strong despite AI-driven headlines.

Charles Schwab: Core Businesses Unaffected By Tax-Planning Software

Charles Schwab Corp (NYSE: SCHW) fell nearly 8% in a single day after the Hazel announcement, but the decline appears to be collateral damage: tax planning is a relatively small part of Schwab’s business. Most of the company’s revenue comes from asset-management fees and interest on client cash. Schwab reported record revenue in 2025, including 19% year-over-year growth in Q4 2025, and it projects 9.5%–10.5% revenue growth for 2026 with a net interest margin in the 2.85%–2.95% range.

Schwab has a solid balance sheet, expanding margins and technical signs of a momentum reversal. The stock’s decline was arrested near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests downward pressure is easing. A move back above the 200-day SMA would likely rekindle bullish momentum.

S&P Global: Soft Guidance Could Be a Buying Opportunity

S&P Global Inc. (NYSE: SPGI) can’t entirely blame headlines for its roughly 20% decline over the past month. The company posted solid earnings and revenue in its Q4 2025 report, and its AI initiatives continue to expand. Still, the market reacted negatively to relatively light 2026 guidance, and the stock fell about 9% after the release. Combined with the Hazel headlines, that created additional selling pressure, though S&P Global’s ratings and fund services are unlikely to be derailed by these short-term concerns.

SPGI has been the hardest hit of the three names here—months of gains were erased in a few weeks—but its technical setup points to a potential rebound. The RSI is beginning to recover after falling into oversold territory, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) looks close to a bullish cross. The stock’s more than 3.4% gain on Tuesday—its second-largest daily rise this year—suggests selling pressure may be easing.

Raymond James: AI Could Be a Tailwind for the Independent-Advisor Model

Raymond James Financial (NYSE: RJF) slid nearly 9% after the Hazel news, but that reaction misunderstands the firm’s model. RJF’s independent advisors are more likely to adopt AI tools like Hazel to enhance their offerings rather than lose business to them. Raymond James is building its own proprietary AI platform called Rai, and after the selloff the stock trades at about 13 times forward earnings and 1.9 times sales.

RJF shares did break below the 50-day and 200-day SMAs during their drop, but the selling hasn’t been as severe as with SPGI and SCHW, and the longer-term uptrend remains intact. Last summer’s Golden Cross still leaves the 50- and 200-day SMAs in a bullish alignment, and the RSI has only returned to the lows seen in October and December. Despite the headlines, the stock isn’t in correction territory, and its recent excursion below the 200-day SMA was brief.

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Is your Social Security and Medicare strategy built for today’s retirement?

For years, the conventional wisdom on Social Security was simple: wait until 70 to maximize your benefit, pick a Medicare plan at 65, and revisit it occasionally.

But the retirement landscape in 2026 looks different. Longer life expectancies, rising healthcare costs, and a flood of conflicting advice from financial media have made these decisions feel far more complicated—and the stakes far higher.

That’s why we’re offering our free guide¹ to help you navigate Social Security and Medicare with clarity, not guesswork. You’ll learn:

• Why the “claim at 62 vs.70” Social Security debate misses the point
• How to think through the claiming decision based on your specific situation
• A breakdown of Medicare’s structure and your main coverage options
• The Medicare trends retirees should know in 2026
• Plus, how both these decisions fit into a broader retirement income and investment strategy

Talk to a Zacks Wealth Advisor today. 

¹ Zacks Investment Management reserves the right to amend the terms or rescind the free Looking To Retire In 2026? Your Guide to Social Security and Medicare Decisions That Matter offer at any time and for any reason at its discretion.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting, or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and opinions given in this document without seeking the services of competent and professional investment, legal, tax, or accounting counsel. Publication and distribution of this document is not intended to create, and the information and opinions contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors, or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Any projections, targets, or estimates in this document are forward looking statements and are based on the firm’s research, analysis, and assumptions. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Recipients should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed in this document.

Certain economic and market information contained herein has been obtained from published sources prepared by other parties. Zacks Investment Management does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Further, no third party has assumed responsibility for independently verifying the information contained herein and accordingly no such persons make any representations with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided herein. Unless otherwise indicated, market analysis and conclusions are based upon opinions or assumptions that Zacks Investment Management considers to be reasonable.

Any investment inherently involves a high degree of risk, beyond any specific risks discussed herein.

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Is your Social Security and Medicare strategy built for today’s retirement?

For years, the conventional wisdom on Social Security was simple: wait until 70 to maximize your benefit, pick a Medicare plan at 65, and revisit it occasionally.

But the retirement landscape in 2026 looks different. Longer life expectancies, rising healthcare costs, and a flood of conflicting advice from financial media have made these decisions feel far more complicated—and the stakes far higher.

That’s why we’re offering our free guide¹ to help you navigate Social Security and Medicare with clarity, not guesswork. You’ll learn:

• Why the “claim at 62 vs.70” Social Security debate misses the point
• How to think through the claiming decision based on your specific situation
• A breakdown of Medicare’s structure and your main coverage options
• The Medicare trends retirees should know in 2026
• Plus, how both these decisions fit into a broader retirement income and investment strategy

Talk to a Zacks Wealth Advisor today. 

¹ Zacks Investment Management reserves the right to amend the terms or rescind the free Looking To Retire In 2026? Your Guide to Social Security and Medicare Decisions That Matter offer at any time and for any reason at its discretion.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting, or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and opinions given in this document without seeking the services of competent and professional investment, legal, tax, or accounting counsel. Publication and distribution of this document is not intended to create, and the information and opinions contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors, or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Any projections, targets, or estimates in this document are forward looking statements and are based on the firm’s research, analysis, and assumptions. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Recipients should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed in this document.

Certain economic and market information contained herein has been obtained from published sources prepared by other parties. Zacks Investment Management does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Further, no third party has assumed responsibility for independently verifying the information contained herein and accordingly no such persons make any representations with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided herein. Unless otherwise indicated, market analysis and conclusions are based upon opinions or assumptions that Zacks Investment Management considers to be reasonable.

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Dear Reader,

The Iran conflict just exposed something most people missed.

America holds a monopoly over the single material every enemy nation needs to build advanced technology.

Semiconductors. AI chips. Military electronics.

Telecommunications. Drones.

None of it gets made without this material — and 80% of the world’s supply comes from one tiny North Carolina town.

For years, we’ve handed it over freely.

That’s about to end.

Trump is expected to ban all exports — cutting off China, Iran, and every hostile nation overnight.

The New Yorker warns: “Without it, the global economy might well unravel.”

When Trump pulls that trigger, foreign tech infrastructure collapses. And every major chipmaker is forced to rebuild on American soil.

Morgan Stanley estimates the reshoring boom could trigger a $10 trillion economic transformation.

A handful of U.S. companies are positioned to capture most of it.

See the full story here.

To Your Profits,

Adam O’Dell
Chief Investment Strategist, Money & Markets

Special Report

After Cooling Off, On Holding May Be Ready to Sprint Higher

Reported by Thomas Hughes. Article Posted: 3/6/2026. 

Key Points

• On Holding’s Q4 2025 results showed strong, broad-based growth across channels, categories, and regions.
• Fiscal 2026 guidance came in light, but analysts largely view it as conservative and still expect outperformance.
• Analyst sentiment and institutional activity suggest support near key technical levels and potential upside.
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On Holding’s (NYSE: ONON) share price has struggled amid fears of slowing growth, valuation concerns, and the impact of tariffs, but the selling appears to be abating. Q4 2025 results were strong, with growth holding up across channels and categories. While 2026 guidance fell short of consensus, the company is forecasting another solid year and analysts expect outperformance.

The analysts’ response suggests the guidance miss may have been deliberate; On Holding often sets conservative targets and then exceeds them. The company expects to sustain a roughly 20%+ growth pace in the coming year, driven by strengths across segments and retail categories.

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Data from MarketBeat shows coverage rising and sentiment firming: 25 analysts cover the stock and there is an 84% buy-side bias toward the Moderate Buy rating. The price target remains bullish and steady despite the March revisions, implying roughly 40% upside from a key support level. That critical support target is the long-term exponential moving average near $41.30, where the stock has found support in prior periods.

Support is also visible in analysts’ trends and institutional activity. Coverage, price targets and institutional holdings have all trended higher. Institutions accumulated ONON shares in three of four quarters in 2025 and in the first two months of Q1 2026, ramping activity to record levels even as the price retreated. That accumulation points to a solid base and a tailwind that could drive the stock higher over time. The main question is timing — and the rebound could begin before mid-year. If guidance proves conservative, the next visible catalyst is Q1 2026 earnings in mid-May.

On Holding Tanks on Robust Results and Growth Outlook

On Holding’s Q4 was as solid as they come, with revenue rising about 34%, slightly ahead of consensus. Strength came from a 31% increase in wholesale and a 30% rise in higher-margin direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales, supported by 21% growth in core shoes, 38% in apparel and 117% in accessories. Regionally, Asia-Pacific (APAC) led with an 85% increase, followed by a 21.3% gain in the Americas and a modest 2.5% rise in EMEA (Europe, Middle East & Africa).

The margin story is mixed but ultimately constructive. Net income margin declined more than expected due to aggressive investment and foreign-exchange (FX) headwinds, but that was offset by record gross margins and a 31.8% increase in EBITDA. The stock weakness in early March stemmed from guidance that missed expectations, which stoked fears of slowing growth and margin pressure in the retail space.

On Holding Builds Value for Investors

There are no red flags on On Holding’s balance sheet. The company is well-capitalized and holds net cash versus debt. Shareholder equity rose about 17% in 2025 and is expected to continue increasing. On Holding has prioritized reinvesting in growth rather than returning capital to shareholders, but it appears on track to return capital in coming years.

Key catalysts for 2026 include strong apparel sales that support durable revenue and margins, continued focus on DTC channels, and improving brand awareness. On engages top athletes and leverages its premium positioning to tell targeted stories that motivate consumers. DTC is a double-edged sword — it can boost growth and margins while risking friction with wholesale partners, as Nike’s experience illustrates. Other risks include FX headwinds and the potential for slowing growth.

Price action has been mixed since the release. The report triggered a sharp sell-off that, in turn, spurred buying. Since then, the stock has met resistance near the short-term 30-day exponential moving average (EMA), which could cap near-term gains. Over the longer term, ONON looks positioned to rebound and could accelerate higher once the recovery starts.

Just For You

The Copper Shortage Is Coming—These 3 Miners Are Ready

Author: Chris Markoch. Published: 3/8/2026. 

Key Points

• Aging global copper mines and rising electrification demand could create a structural copper supply shortage.
• Small-cap miners with operating assets or near-term projects may benefit most from rising copper prices.
• Taseko Mines, Talon Metals, and Arizona Sonoran Copper offer different ways for investors to gain exposure.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

Fear sells. But a headline about a copper shortage should excite investors, not frighten them—especially those with a long-term outlook on basic materials stocks, including mining companies. The advancing age of many copper mines strengthens the case for several small-cap copper miners.

Copper mines, no matter how productive, have finite lives. Many of the world’s largest mines are also among the oldest. That doesn’t mean they will stop producing, but each will generally yield less copper per ton of ore moved.

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That looming supply shortfall is occurring at the same time the world needs more copper, not less. That mismatch is where opportunities can emerge for small-cap miners.

Even under a friendly administration, permitting and building new mines is difficult, costly and time-consuming. That gives companies with existing operations or near-term projects a built-in advantage—one that can lead to rising asset valuations.

Small-cap stocks have been out of favor, but that may change as investors search for growth in a lower-rate environment. Here are three names to consider.

Taseko Mines Expands Production in Tier-1 Jurisdictions

First up is Taseko Mines Ltd. (NYSEAMERICAN: TGB), a Vancouver-based Canadian miner. The company already operates the Gibraltar project in British Columbia, one of Canada’s largest open-pit copper producers. Taseko is guiding for output of 110–115 million pounds in 2026, up from roughly 99 million pounds in 2025.

Adding to the bullish outlook, Taseko has started copper production at its Florence in-situ project in Arizona, another Tier-1 jurisdiction. On March 2, the company announced it had harvested its first copper cathodes from the Florence project—the first new copper production from a greenfield facility in the United States since 2008.

Management expects Gibraltar’s higher-grade Connector pit to deliver stable production through at least 2029. If that holds, it should give the company time to ramp up Florence, enhancing Taseko’s long-term appeal.

TGB stock recently closed near $7.50, above the consensus price target of roughly $5, though that target is based on just two analysts. Institutional ownership is low but has increased over the last two quarters. If Taseko meets its production goals, analysts will likely revise their targets upward.

Talon Metals Offers High-Risk, High-Reward Potential

Talon Metals Corp. (OTCMKTS: TLOFF) is a small company with sizable upside. Its leading project, the Tamarack project in Minnesota, is a joint venture with Rio Tinto (NYSE: RIO). Access to a major miner’s technology and balance sheet should provide investors with additional confidence.

Talon also operates the Eagle Mine and Humboldt Mill in Michigan, currently the only nickel mine in the United States, linking the company to the battery and EV supply chain. The company secured an extension from Rio Tinto’s Kennecott subsidiary to complete a feasibility study and additional spending to earn up to 60% ownership, with a key environmental review milestone expected in the first half of 2026.

TLOFF stock has been an incredible performer, gaining more than 990% over the last 12 months. It’s also up over 45% in 2026. The stock recently closed near $6.25, about 6.5% above the consensus price target of roughly $5.84.

Arizona Sonoran’s Acquisition Highlights Copper Value

One of the ways small-cap miners grow is through acquisition—and that’s the case with Arizona Sonoran Copper (OTC: ASCUF), which is being acquired by Hudbay Minerals (NYSE: HBM).

Arizona Sonoran controls 100% of the brownfield Cactus copper project in Arizona. The acquisition will give Hudbay full control of the Cactus project.

Combined with Hudbay’s Copper World asset, the deal will create the third-largest copper district in North America and establish a major hub for U.S. copper production. Cactus could add roughly 103,000 tonnes of annual copper production once developed, with proven and probable reserves of 5.3 billion pounds of copper over a 20-year mine life.

Boards of both companies have approved the agreement, which is expected to close in the second quarter of this year. That may discourage direct investment in ASCUF shares today, but once the deal is finalized each ASCUF share will be exchanged for 0.242 common shares of HBM stock.

Thank you for subscribing to DividendStocks.com’s daily newsletter for dividend and income investors that covers ex-dividend stocks, new dividend declarations, dividend stock ideas, and the latest market news.

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Today’s Featured Content: Trump Did What!?!? (From InvestorPlace)

Dear Reader,

In 2008—nine months before the Great Financial Crisis—JC Parets warned his hedge fund clients and business partners the market was rolling over.

He did it again in 2018.

And again in 2020.

Then in 2022—while markets were collapsing live on Fox Business—he looked straight into the camera and told Maria Bartiromo:

“We’ve hit bottom. It’s time to buy.”

The reaction? Disbelief.

Even Maria gave him that look.

The clip later went viral on X.

But then…

Homebuilders surged 60%. Nvidia exploded 669%. MicroStrategy climbed 1,245%.

What sounded outrageous in the moment… became one of the most profitable calls of the decade.

Now—after more than 800 days of silence—JC is back.

And what he’s saying today may be even more consequential.

If you have money in the market… you’ll want to hear this.

All the best,

Pete Campbell
Publisher, TrendLabs

P.S. 13 billionaires — including Warren Buffett and Jeff Bezos — have already shifted their money.

Just For You

Meta and Rocket Lab Insiders Sell Shares—So Why Is Wall Street Buying?

Reported by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Article Published: 3/3/2026. 

Key Points

• Institutional investors continue to pour capital into Meta Platforms and Rocket Lab despite high-profile insider selling by executives.
• Meta Platforms continues to demonstrate operational efficiency with strong revenue growth and healthy profit margins that attract smart money.
• Rocket Lab maintains a massive backlog of government contracts, which provides long-term revenue visibility and stability for shareholders.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

It’s a confusing time for retail investors. Markets are trading near record highs, companies are reporting massive revenue gains, and excitement around technology and space exploration is palpable. Yet a troubling trend has emerged in the headlines: the people running these successful companies — CEOs, CFOs, and COOs — are selling stock at an aggressive pace.

When executives sell millions of dollars worth of shares, alarm bells naturally ring. Investors worry the insiders know something the public does not. Is the top in? Are growth prospects slowing? Watching a chief financial officer dump stock can feel like seeing the captain put on a life vest while assuring passengers the ship is unsinkable.

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But panic is rarely a profitable strategy. While insider selling creates fear, a deeper look at the data often reveals a counter-signal: institutional accumulation. Hedge funds, pension funds, and investment banks frequently buy the same shares executives are selling. This divergence between individual profit-taking and institutional conviction can offer opportunities for investors who know where to look.

Zuckerberg’s Team Cashes Out, But Wall Street Buys In

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) has been a dominant market force, with its stock trading around $655 as of early March 2026. That level represents a significant rally from prior years, driven by the integration of artificial intelligenceand robust advertising revenue.

Recent filings show Meta’s executives taking substantial chips off the table. In Feb. 2026 alone, CFO Susan Li sold roughly $35 million of stock, and COO Javier Olivan executed multiple sell orders throughout the month. In total, eight insiders have sold over the past 12 months, with no insider buys recorded. To an outsider, seeing senior leadership reduce holdings can look like a lack of confidence.

Understanding Rule 10b5-1 Trading Plans

It’s important to understand how these trades are often executed. Many of the sales occurred under Rule 10b5-1 trading plans — pre-scheduled arrangements that automatically sell stock at set times or prices and are typically established months in advance.

• Legal protection: These plans shield executives from insider trading allegations. They can’t simply decide to sell based on nonpublic information because the sale schedule was likely set well before any recent developments.
• Diversification: Executives are frequently paid in stock. Selling is the only practical way to convert that paper wealth into cash for taxes, real estate, or portfolio diversification.
• Rational behavior: With the stock near all-time highs, locking in gains is a normal part of financial planning and does not necessarily signal a bearish outlook on the company’s future.

Fundamentals Override Insider Fears

While insiders sell, the smart money is often buying. Data from the last 12 months shows a net institutional inflow of more than $100 billion into Meta stock. Recently, billionaire investor Bill Ackman reportedly acquired a multi-billion-dollar stake, arguing the company remains undervalued despite its rally.

Institutions are focusing on fundamentals rather than the optics of insider trades:

• Earnings beat: In late Jan. 2026, Meta reported earnings per share (EPS) of $8.88, well above estimates of $8.16.
• Revenue growth: Revenue rose 23.8% year-over-year, showing that the company’s core advertising engine is accelerating.
• Margins: Despite heavy AI infrastructure spending, Meta maintained net margins above 30%, indicating operational efficiency.
• Valuation: Trading at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) near 27.90, Meta’s valuation is reasonable for a company growing revenue at over 20%.

For Meta’s institutional investors, the thesis is straightforward: Meta is a cash-flow machine with a dominant position, and the current price looks like a stepping stone to higher valuations rather than an endpoint.

Blast Off: Why Institutions Are Chasing a Space Stock

The insider selling versus institutional buying dynamic is even more pronounced at Rocket Lab USA (NASDAQ: RKLB). The aerospace company saw its stock surge from the mid-teens to over $70 in a year, creating sizable liquidity events for leadership.

In Dec. 2025, CEO Peter Beck sold more than $140 million in stock, and CFO Adam Spice sold over $100 million in Jan. 2026. Those are large figures that can spook retail investors.

Context matters. Rocket Lab’s leadership spent years building the company from a startup to a $37 billion industry player. For founders and early executives, selling after a roughly 400% run-upcan be a life-changing financial event. It often reflects the realization of past success rather than a loss of faith in the company’s future — if they thought the company was doomed, they likely would have sold much earlier at lower prices.

Why Wall Street Loves Rocket Lab

Wall Street clearly doesn’t view these insider sales as a red flag. Institutional ownership in Rocket Lab has climbed to nearly 72%. Over the past 12 months, institutions bought $4.96 billion in shares while selling only $1.51 billion. Major funds like Vanguard and Baillie Gifford are absorbing much of the supply created by insiders.

Institutions are buying based on three key catalysts:

• Massive backlog: Rocket Lab sits on a $1.85 billion backlog, providing multi-year revenue visibility. Much of this work comes from the Space Development Agency (SDA), so revenue is supported by government contracts.
• Record revenue: The company closed 2025 with record revenue of $602 million, validating its business model.
• Strategic position: Rocket Lab has effectively cornered the small-to-medium launch market outside of SpaceX.

Even the recent Neutron rocket delay to Q4 2026 — caused by a manufacturing defect in a tank test — hasn’t stopped accumulation. Analysts view the delay as a temporary setback. The size of the SDA contracts and the company’s satellite production capabilities keep the long-term growth narrative intact.

The Bigger Picture: Wealth Transfer

When evaluating names like Meta Platforms and Rocket Lab, it’s easy to get swept up in dramatic headlines. Insider selling makes for attention-grabbing stories, but it rarely tells the whole picture. Executives sell for personal reasons; institutions buy for profit.

The divergence we see today is a classic case of wealth transfer: insiders are cashing out on a decade of growth, while institutions position for the next decade.

Actionable takeaways:

• Meta Platforms: The “AI fatigue” narrative appears to be mostly noise. Strong institutional support suggests the stock remains appropriate for long-term portfolios.
• Rocket Lab: The large backlog and the company’s dominant position in the space economy outweigh the optics of insider selling. Institutional accumulation implies the Neutron delay may be a buying opportunity rather than a reason to exit.

Ultimately, while insiders may be taking profits, the market’s largest players are betting heavily that the rally is far from over. Following the flow of institutional capital often provides a clearer signal of value than reading into the tax planning or diversification decisions of a few executives.

Investors seeking long-term growth may want to keep Meta Platforms on their watchlist for potential dips caused by insider-selling headlines, while aggressive growth investors might view Rocket Lab’s pullback as an entry point given the strong institutional support and $1.85 billion backlog.

More Reading from MarketBeat

ZIM’s $35 Buyout: An Arbitrage Play With a Solid Floor

Written by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Publication Date: 3/9/2026. 

Key Points

• The company demonstrated significant operational strength by posting a surprise profit despite challenging market conditions.
• A pending all-cash acquisition by a major shipping line has created a clear and significant valuation gap for the company’s shares.
• The deal includes a well-defined plan to secure regulatory approval, increasing the likelihood of a successful transaction completion.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

In a global shipping industry defined by geopolitical crosscurrents and economic uncertainty, identifying value requires focusing on companies that demonstrate operational resilience and clear catalysts. While market volatility has kept many investors on the sidelines, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (NYSE: ZIM) has emerged with a compelling case.

ZIM recently navigated a challenging market to post a surprise fourth-quarter profit, underscoring a healthy business model. More significantly, ZIM is at the center of a multibillion-dollar acquisition that creates a sizeable valuation gap, presenting a noteworthy situation for investors watching the transportation and logistics sector.

A Surprise Profit in Choppy Waters

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A company’s ability to generate profit during market normalization is a strong indicator of fundamental health. For the fourth quarter of 2025, ZIM delivered an earnings surprise that defied expectations. ZIM reported a net profit of $0.32 per share versus the consensus analyst estimate of a $1.01 per share loss. This outperformance reflects ZIM’s strategic and operational discipline.

This bottom-line strength came even as record-high freight rates cooled. ZIM’s quarterly revenue was $1.48 billion, and the average freight rate per twenty-foot equivalent unit (TEU) settled at $1,333. Turning a profit in this environment points to a proactive operational strategy.

One key driver of this efficiency is ZIM’s fleet modernization program, which focuses on integrating newer, more cost-effective and fuel-efficient liquefied natural gas (LNG) vessels. These ships use cleaner fuel and are designed for greater efficiency, helping ZIM lower voyage costs and protect margins.

This operational strength is supported by a complex macro backdrop. Ongoing geopolitical tensions and disruptions in the Red Sea have forced many carriers to reroute vessels around the Cape of Good Hope. These longer transit times effectively absorb excess global shipping capacity, creating a functional floor for freight rates and preventing a market collapse.

ZIM’s performance shows its ability not only to withstand these headwinds but also to leverage its efficient fleet to benefit from resulting market stability. For investors, this proven profitability provides a solid fundamental backstop, reducing downside risk as ZIM moves toward the next major chapter in its corporate story.

A $35 Cash Buyout and the Valuation Gap

While ZIM’s operational health is impressive, the most significant catalyst shaping its investment profile is a pending acquisition by German shipping giant Hapag-Lloyd (OTCMKTS: HPGLY). On Feb. 16, 2026, the two companies announced a definitive agreement under which Hapag-Lloyd would acquire ZIM for $35 per share in an all-cash transaction. The deal values ZIM at roughly $4.2 billion and reframes its valuation for the foreseeable future. The move is expected to strengthen Hapag-Lloyd’s market position, particularly on trans-Pacific routes where ZIM is well represented.

This acquisition creates a classic merger arbitrage scenario. The strategy involves buying the stock of a company being acquired to profit from the spread between the current trading price and the acquisition price. With ZIM’s stocktrading around $28 per share, a clear valuation gap exists. If the deal closes as planned, this spread represents a potential upside of more than 20% from current levels. That potential return is tied to the successful completion of the transaction rather than future freight rates or earnings.

As an additional return, ZIM has declared a fourth-quarter dividend of $0.88 per share, payable to shareholders of record in late March 2026. ZIM has not yet declared an ex-dividend date for the quarter. Investors should note the merger agreement restricts future special dividend distributions, putting the primary focus on the $35 acquisition price as the main driver of shareholder returns.

In effect, the buyout offer acts as a strong magnet for the stock price. The central question for investors is no longer the direction of the shipping market, but the likelihood that the acquisition will close.

A Clear Path to Merger Completion

In any cross-border acquisition, regulatory approval is a critical checkpoint. For the Hapag-Lloyd–ZIM merger, the most significant issue involves the Golden Share held by the State of Israel. Israel relies heavily on maritime trade for economic stability and national security, and the Golden Share gives the government special rights to protect strategic shipping interests and vital supply chains.

Rather than leaving this as a potential deal breaker, the companies built a proactive solution into the agreement. To secure regulatory approval and address Israel’s national security concerns, the deal includes formation of a new, independent Israeli entity called New ZIM. FIMI Opportunity Funds will acquire the Golden Share from the state and operate New ZIM, which will maintain a dedicated fleet of 16 modern vessels to service critical trade routes, ensuring Israel’s supply chain integrity remains intact after the acquisition.

Hapag-Lloyd has also committed to providing commercial support to New ZIM, facilitating a stable operational transition. This clear and functional structure was designed to satisfy regulatory requirements from the outset. By addressing the primary potential roadblock directly, the companies have materially increased the likelihood the deal will close, strengthening the case for the merger arbitrage opportunity.

Why ZIM Warrants Investor Attention

ZIM Integrated Shipping’s recent performance confirms its status as a resilient, efficient operator in a complex global market. The surprise fourth-quarter profit demonstrates a fundamental strength that underpins the company’s current valuation. That operational health is a de-risking factor as shareholders focus on the pending all-cash acquisition by Hapag-Lloyd. The structured plan to resolve Israeli regulatory concerns creates a clear path toward deal completion.

For investors, the situation presents a unique convergence of factors. The company’s proven profitability supports the investment thesis, while the fixed $35-per-share buyout offer provides a defined upside. Investors interested in merger arbitrage may find the current spread in ZIM shares compelling. The combination of a fixed-price cash buyout and solid underlying performance offers a well-defined risk-reward profile worth monitoring.

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Today’s Featured Link: Before Tomorrow’s Open: 3 Quiet Setups You Should Review (Click to Opt-In)

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Right now, my open positions is at a multi-year low… normally I have 25+ positions open. Not right now.

Keep your sizing small…

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I’ve used this indicator for decades, including calling the crash of 2008 live on CNBC.

Grab the free gift from me sharing my top indicator… plus, it’ll get you access to my weekly watchlists as we navigate this choppy market.

Add this indicator to know when you can size up your positions, 

Scott Redler
Co-Founder of T3 Live & Editor of Power Plays

Disclosures
Scott Redler Positions Disclosure as of 2026-03-03 at 10.14.38 AM

Wednesday’s Featured Content

Amprius Stock Price Gets Amped by Hyper Growth Outlook

Written by Thomas Hughes. Published: 3/5/2026. 

Key Points

• Amprius Technologies is on track for hypergrowth and outperformance in 2026 as manufacturing and demand trends collide.
• Ramping production and full-NDAA compliance unlock the door to accelerating government demand.
• AMPX batteries can disrupt the battery market, offering superior performance and energy density, enabling larger payloads and longer ranges.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

It has taken time, but Amprius Technologies’ (NYSE: AMPX) strategy execution is starting to pay off, amplifying its hypergrowth outlook. Among the key takeaways from its Q4 2025 earnings report was better-than-expected guidance pointing to another year of solid gains.

Management expects revenue growth to slow, but still remain above a 70% year-over-year pace; the guidance also appears conservative.

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Follow-on contracts, new customers, improved execution, an expanding manufacturing footprint, and full compliance with the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) position the company well.

Other details included a one-time charge related to the discontinued lease of a Colorado facility. Originally intended to serve as Amprius’ manufacturing base, the company has since shifted to a contract manufacturing model for its advancedbatteries, relying on third-party manufacturers.

The one-time charge clarifies the company’s obligations and improves cash-flow visibility as it strengthens its outsourced manufacturing base. Three South Korean battery manufacturers and one U.S.-based manufacturer were recently added to the network, putting the company on track for full NDAA compliance and accelerating government business this year. 

Amprius Accelerates its Profitability Outlook in 2026

Amprius Technologies reported an electrifying quarter: revenue rose more than 137% year-over-year (YOY), beating consensus by over 1,000 basis points (bps). Growth was driven by new and existing customers and strong execution, with client and contract wins pointing to continued momentum in 2026. 

Another catalyst was margin improvement. Gross margin widened by 4,500 bps to 24% (positive), driving a 365% YOY increase in gross profit (also positive) and the company’s first quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA.

The company is still burning cash, but losses contracted sharply and are expected to improve in coming quarters. Analysts currently forecast an inflection to adjusted profits in Q1 2027, though it could occur by the end of 2026; management is guiding toward positive adjusted EBITDA.

Analysts Point to 60% Upside Potential and Long-Term Highs

Analysts have been slow to update estimates after Amprius’ Q4 results, but the bullish trends leading into the report are likely to strengthen in its wake.

Data show coverage increasing to nine analysts on a trailing-twelve-month (TTM) basis, sentiment firming to Moderate Buy with an 88% buy-side bias, and price targets rising.

The consensus price target implies more than 30% upside from the pre-release closing price, while the high-end range — set by Northland Securities last year and reaffirmed by Needham in January — suggests an additional ~25% upside is possible. 

Institutional ownership offers another catalyst. Institutional interest remains light at roughly 5% as of early March, but the trend is strengthening. Institutional buying spiked in Q4 2025 and remained strong in Q1 2026, providing a tailwind for the stock.

This increase in ownership is noteworthy given the spike in short interest in late 2025 and early 2026, which set the market up for potential short-covering rallies or a short squeeze. 

No Red Flags in AMPX’s Balance Sheet: Green Flags in Its Price Action

Amprius’ balance sheet shows no red flags. The company is well-capitalized, reports net cash relative to total liabilities, and increased shareholders’ equity in 2025. Equity grew by nearly 50%, leaving leverage at ultra-low levels and positioning the company to continue executing its strategy.

Looking ahead, the cash balance may decline in coming quarters, but additional capital raises appear unlikely at this point. Without the need to build its own manufacturing capacity, management can focus on development, marketing, and sales — another factor suggesting potential outperformance in the year ahead. 

The stock’s price action also shows positive signals. Monthly, weekly, and daily charts converged with bullish indicators following the release. While periodic pullbacks are possible, those dips may present buying opportunities.

Long term, the stock may sustain upward momentum for many quarters — potentially several years — with technical projections suggesting a baseline target of $30.

This Month’s Bonus Content

Qualcomm’s Robotics Push Could Be Bigger Than the Market Thinks

Authored by Sam Quirke. First Published: 3/5/2026. 

Key Points

• Qualcomm’s CEO flagged robotics as a major growth opportunity, projecting the segment will “start to get scale within the next two years.”
• Analysts at Wells Fargo and Loop Capital recently upgraded the stock and raised price targets to $185, citing easing pressures and emerging growth drivers.
• The chipmaker’s push into automotive, IoT, and edge AI is starting to show traction—robotics could become the next pillar of its diversification strategy.
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Shares of Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) were trading just below $140 early in the week, down approximately 25% from their January high. While they had been under pressure since before Christmas, much of the recent decline followed weak forward guidance in the company’s latest earnings report.

The tech giant has posted modest gains since its early-February low, but the move looks more like consolidation than the start of a major comeback. For many investors, Qualcomm still carries the perception of being overly dependent on smartphones at a time when the broader semiconductor industry is being defined by data-center artificial intelligence demand.

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Yet a new narrative may be quietly forming that challenges that assumption.

Qualcomm’s New Growth Story Beyond Smartphones

In comments earlier this week, Qualcomm’s CEO Cristiano Amon pointed to robotics as a major opportunity for the company’s next phase of growth. Speaking about the evolution of AI-enabled devices, Amon said he expects robotics to “start to get scale within the next two years.”

That remark may not seem revolutionary on its own, but it fits into a broader shift in Qualcomm’s strategy. The company has spent the past several years diversifying beyond smartphones, building new revenue streams in automotive chips, Internet of Things (IoT) devices, and edge AI computing. Robotics could become the next extension of that push.

Qualcomm has already introduced specialized processors designed for robotics systems, applying the same architecture principles that made its Snapdragon chips dominant in mobile devices. The idea is simple: robots, industrial machines, and autonomous systems require the low-power, high-performance computing Qualcomm provides. If robotics adoption accelerates over the next decade, that positioning could prove extremely valuable.

Why the Market Has Been Skeptical on QCOM

Despite the long-term opportunity, the market has remained cautious on Qualcomm—and for good reason. The company’s fortunes have historically been tied closely to smartphone demand, and the global handset market has struggled to regain momentum in recent years.

Weak guidance last month did Qualcomm no favors, reinforcing the perception that the company remains vulnerable to cyclical slowdowns in mobile devices. That narrative has weighed heavily on the stock, especially as investors pour capital into companies seen as clearer beneficiaries of the generative AI boom. The result has been persistent underperformance relative to many of its tech and semiconductor peers.

Analysts Are Starting to Shift Tone

The overall analyst consensus on Qualcomm remains a Hold, but recent commentary has become slightly more constructive. Wells Fargo lifted its rating from Underweight to Equal Weight last week, and Loop Capital went one step further by re-rating the stock to Buy. Both groups also raised their price targets to $185, implying more than 30% upside from current levels.

The view is that several of the pressures that weighed on Qualcomm in recent quarters are beginning to ease just as new growth opportunities are emerging. The company’s expanding data-center ambitions and its potential role in the AI inference market are additional reasons some analysts are more bullish heading into the rest of the year.

Those shifts may seem modest, but they matter because Qualcomm has spent much of the past year fighting a narrative that it’s been left behind in the AI race. If robotics, alongside automotive chips and edge AI platforms, begin contributing meaningfully to revenue growth, that narrative could change quickly.

A Diversification Strategy Taking Shape

Part of the reason analysts are becoming more constructive is that Qualcomm’s diversification strategy is starting to show tangible progress. The company expects its reliance on Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) to decline over time while its other segments expand steadily.

At the same time, Qualcomm has been investing heavily in AI-related technologies, including acquisitions aimed at strengthening its presence in data centers and high-performance computing.

These initiatives point to a common objective: reducing Qualcomm’s dependence on smartphones and building a broader semiconductor platform story. Robotics, if Amon’s timeline proves accurate, could become the next pillar of that strategy.

Qualcomm Robotics Traction Could Shift Investor Sentiment

If Qualcomm begins demonstrating real traction in robotics over the coming quarters, investors may reassess the company’s long-term growth profile. For now, the stock’s behavior suggests the market is still waiting for proof. Qualcomm’s shares have stabilized since early February but have yet to mount a decisive recovery. That cautious price action reflects the tension between a weak near-term outlook and what could be a compelling long-term opportunity.

Investors should watch for the stock to consolidate around the $140 level or higher as confirmation that bulls are regaining control. A steady run of higher lows in the weeks ahead would go a long way toward confirming that the market is willing to back Qualcomm’s evolving growth story.

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TUESDAY, MARCH 10 Today’s Earnings Announcements

CompanyCurrent PriceConsensus EPSActual EPSBeat/MissConsensus RevenueActual RevenueYoY Revenue GrowthReportABMABM Industries$41.32$0.87$0.83($0.04)$2.24 thousand$2.19 thousand6.1%→CTOSCustom Truck One Source$5.72$0.07$0.09$0.02$528.18$584.761.4%→KSSKohl’s$15.86$0.86$1.07$0.21$0.00$5.08 thousand-3.9%→LEGNLegend Biotech$18.63($0.17)$0.01$0.18$306.30$310.2164.2%→RAPPRapport Therapeutics$30.79($0.65)($0.72)($0.07)$0.00$0.00→STGWStagwell$5.97$0.29$0.30$0.01$807.44$813.482.4%→UNFIUnited Natural Foods$37.59$0.51$0.62$0.11$7.95 thousand$8.11 thousand-2.6%→YALAYalla Group$6.63- $0.21- $83.86$0.00→Iran Conflict Reveals Trump’s Most Powerful Weapon (ad)

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MONDAY, MARCH 9 Yesterday’s Earnings Announcements

CompanyCurrent PriceConsensus EPSActual EPSBeat/MissConsensus RevenueActual RevenueYoY Revenue GrowthReportBETABETA Technologies$20.80($0.47)($2.02)($1.55)$11.13$6.69152.3%→CASYCasey’s General Stores$675.05$2.94$3.49$0.55$3.92 thousand$4.08 thousand.3%→CNSWFConstellation Software$2,157.53$29.20$24.64($4.56)$3.18 thousand$3.15 thousand→DNTHDianthus Therapeutics$82.16($0.97)($1.43)($0.46)$0.57$0.40→DRVNDriven Brands$10.28$0.29$0.30$0.01$457.33$459.50→HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise$21.90$0.59$0.65$0.06$9.30 thousand$9.31 thousand18.4%→KFYKorn/Ferry International$62.46$1.22$1.28$0.06$725.04$692.457.2%→LULufax$2.39($0.03)($0.22)($0.19)$724.89$761.36→MTNVail Resorts$133.68$6.06$5.87($0.19)$1.08 thousand$1.11 thousand-4.7%→SBETSharplink Gaming$7.54($0.05)$0.06$0.11$13.31$17.19→SEPNSepterna$28.15($0.23)($0.24)($0.01)$24.12$20.44→VOYGVoyager Technologies$28.64($0.36)($0.37)($0.01)$46.65$0.0023.7%→ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services$28.78($1.01)$0.32$1.33$1.48 thousand$1.54 thousand→New signals detected in today’s scan. Access the report now (ad)

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