Week Ending March 13th, 2026

Tuesday’s Market Moves

S&P 500 – 6,781.48 (-0.21%)

Dow Jones – 47,706.51 (-0.072%)

NASDAQ – 22,697.10 (+0.0051%)

Weekly Recap

OIL & MIDDLE EAST DEVELOPMENTS: During Monday’s session, oil briefly spiked above $100 per barrel before retreating after comments from Donald Trump suggested the conflict in Iran may be nearing an end, sparking a late-day rally in U.S. equities. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright claimed on social media that the U.S. Navy had successfully escorted a tanker through the Strait of Hormuz, though the post was later removed and the White House denied the statement. Investors closely monitored developments in the Middle East, with G7 ministers meeting on Tuesday to discuss a potential coordinated release of oil from strategic reserves after failing to reach agreement on Monday. Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser warned that further disruptions to global energy supply could prove “catastrophic” as tensions continue to escalate.

INTERNATIONAL MARKETS: Overseas, Asian markets moved sharply higher overnight amid optimism over a potential near-term de-escalation. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose nearly 3%, while Korea’s KOSPI Composite Index gained more than 5%. European markets also traded higher, supported by the pullback in oil prices. Despite recent gains, Japan’s Nikkei 225 is down nearly 8% month-to-date, Korea’s KOSPI has fallen more than 11%, and the EURO STOXX 50 is down over 5%. Bond yields edged up, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield starting the day around 4.12%, while gold advanced as the dollar weakened, with traders assessing the outlook for potential monetary easing.

CORPORATE EARNINGS & MOVERS: 

• Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) slipped despite reporting quarterly earnings that topped expectations, while its forward guidance largely matched analyst forecasts. 
• Shares of Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) surged 41% after reports that Novo Nordisk will distribute its weight-loss medications through the company’s platform. 
• Centene (CNC) fell as membership in some Affordable Care Act plans declined.
• CrowdStrike (CRWD) gained after a Morgan Stanley upgrade to “overweight.”
• Qualcomm (QCOM) dropped on a BofA Securities “underperform” rating. 
• Kohl’s (KSS) declined after missing quarterly revenue expectations, while cruise line stocks recovered from last week’s declines. 
• Gap Inc. (GAP) extended earnings-related losses.
• Rivian Automotive (RIVN) climbed following a TD Cowen upgrade and optimistic sales projections for its upcoming R2 SUV. 
• Defense contractors Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NOC) fell after Trump comments suggested the conflict could soon end. 
• Bitcoin rose modestly but remained below $70,000.

MARKET HIGHLIGHTS & ECONOMIC NEWS: 

• U.S. equity markets traded slightly higher on Tuesday, with oil prices holding just under $90 per barrel. 
• Existing home sales unexpectedly rose in February as lower mortgage rates improved affordability, though limited housing supply and geopolitical risks could slow recovery. 
• In legal news, a federal judge temporarily blocked Perplexity AI from scraping Amazon’s website, marking a key development in AI data-access disputes. 
• In corporate and tech moves, Meta Platforms acquired AI-agent social network Moltbook.
• Google expanded its Pentagon AI partnership with new agent tools.
• Nvidia made a major investment in Mira Murati’s Thinking Machines Lab to advance AI systems using Nvidia computing infrastructure.

_____________________________________________________________

“Buy land. They’re not making it anymore.”
— Mark Twain

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Notable Stocks

• Nvidia (NVDA)
• CrowdStrike (CRWD)
• Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
• Centene (CNC)
• Qualcomm (QCOM)

Weekly Notables

U.S. Existing Home Sales Rise as Lower Mortgage Rates Improve Affordability

U.S. existing home sales unexpectedly increased in February as declining mortgage rates and slower home-price growth brought buyers back into the market. However, limited housing supply could still restrain activity during the upcoming spring selling season. The report from the National Association of Realtors suggested early signs of improvement in the housing market, with affordability gradually strengthening. Notably, the share of first-time homebuyers reached its highest level in five years, highlighting renewed participation among new entrants to the housing market. Housing affordability has also become a key political issue ahead of the November midterm elections.

Google Expands Pentagon AI Partnership with New Military Agent Tools

Google is expanding its partnership with the U.S. military by introducing new tools that allow Pentagon personnel to build custom AI assistants for everyday administrative work. The move deepens the company’s role in defense technology at a time when the government is facing legal challenges from other AI firms over access to military systems. Google announced Tuesday that civilian and military staff will soon be able to create personalized AI agents through the Pentagon’s enterprise AI portal, GenAI.mil. The platform will provide access to a new tool called Agent Designer, enabling users across the Department of Defense to build digital assistants without requiring advanced programming skills.

Earnings Spotlight: Adobe (ADBE)

Adobe (ADBE) is set to report fiscal first-quarter 2026 results after the market closes on March 12, 2026. Analysts expect earnings of about $5.87 per share and revenue near $6.275 billion for the quarter, implying mid-single-digit top-line growth from a year earlier. Street estimates point to continued strength in subscription revenue, with analysts penciling in roughly $6.09 billion for the services that underpin Adobe’s recurring-revenue model. 

What’s Ahead

Inflation and its implications for monetary policy will be a central focus for investors this week. February consumer price index (CPI) data is due today, followed by personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data on Friday. Economists expect both headline and core CPI to rise 2.5% year over year, while headline and core PCE are projected to increase 2.9%. 

March 11: February CPI and core CPI and expected earnings from Campbell’s (CPB).
 

March 12: January factory orders, January housing starts and building permits, and expected earnings from Dollar General (DG), Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS), Adobe (ADBE), and Lennar (LEN).
 

March 13: January PCE, Q4 GDP second estimate, University of Michigan preliminary March Consumer Sentiment, and January Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
 

March 16: February industrial production, and expected earnings from Dollar Tree (DLTR).
 

March 17: Expected earnings from lululemon (LULU) and DocuSign (DOCU).

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More Reading from MarketBeat

GitLab Sell-Off Overdone: AI and Cash Flow Signal a Rebound

Author: Thomas Hughes. Date Posted: 3/4/2026. 

Key Points

• GitLab is well-positioned for the age of AI inference, as it enables superior outcomes at all stages of the software development lifecycle.
• Tepid guidance and a weak analyst response sent shares to long-term lows, where institutions are likely to buy.
• Cash flow is king in 2026, and GitLab has it, as evidenced by its inaugural $400 million share buyback authorization.
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Fears of slowing growth and AI disruption drove GitLab (NASDAQ: GTLB) shares to long-term lows in early March. That sell-off—overdone from the start—has pushed the stock into ultra-deep value territory, creating an attractive buying opportunity.

While AI-related worries have clouded the near-term outlook, the company continues to grow and is well-positioned for the AI inference era. Its platform and newer products embed AI functionality across the software lifecycle, improving efficiency and outcomes while maintaining security, compliance, and governance.

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Evidence of this positioning—and of a healthy outlook—appears in its cash flow and balance sheet, which supported an authorized share buyback. The company is cash-flow positive despite aggressive investment, expects improving cash flows, and plans to spend up to $400 million on repurchases.

That buyback represents roughly 10% of the post-release market cap, strengthening an already solid support base. Investors can reasonably expect GitLab to repurchase shares on price pullbacks, such as the early-March dip to record-low levels.

The balance sheet highlights a strong and strengthening capital position and improving shareholder value. At fiscal year-end, current assets rose across categories, with cash and equivalents well above liabilities. The company has no long-term debt, total liabilities are below equity, and equity increased about 27% for the year.

Valuation, Institutions, and Analysts Point to GTLB’s Robust Upside Potential

GitLab’s shares could double from their March lows based on consensus earnings estimates alone. Forecasts imply a high-teens to low-20s% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) through the middle of the next decade, placing the stock near 10x its 2035 consensus. In one scenario, the shares could rise at least 100% to align with broad market averages, or 200%+ to approach the multiples of established blue-chip tech peers.

Further evidence of GitLab’s value comes from institutional and analyst trends. Institutional investors, including public and private funds, own roughly 95% of the stock and have been net buyers.

MarketBeat data show institutions have been buying on balance for 13 consecutive quarters, with buying activity accelerating in 2025 and again in early 2026.

That creates a strong support base likely to remain a tailwind for the shares once a rebound gains traction.

Analysts reacted cautiously to GitLab’s fiscal Q4 2026 earnings report, but that response came against a high bar. MarketBeat tracked six revisions within 12 hours of the release: one downgrade, five price-target cuts, and one affirmation. Overall sentiment was only modestly affected.

Those six actions still imply a stance stronger than a broad Moderate Buy consensus; the price targets, while trimmed at the low end, average just below the broader consensus and imply roughly 65% upside.

GitLab Offers Mixed Guidance After Strong Report

GitLab delivered a solid fiscal year 2026 (FY2026) and Q4. The company reported $260.4 million in net revenue, up about 23.2% year-over-year and 320 basis points above consensus. Strength was driven by larger customers: revenue from large customers rose roughly 18% and from mega-sized customers about 26%, with an 8% increase across the broader customer base.

Net retention rate (NRR) was strong at 118%, and forward-looking remaining performance obligation (RPO) grew meaningfully—up 24% on a current-currency basis and 20% on a reported basis—suggesting durable growth ahead.

Margin dynamics were mixed but generally positive. Gross margin contracted by 200 basis points, but improvements in operating efficiency offset that impact. Adjusted operating marginexpanded by 300 basis points, helping drive a 42.8% increase in operating income. Higher spending did reduce adjusted EPS and free cash flow year over year; however, adjusted EPS of $0.30 beat estimates by $0.07, which undercuts a sell-the-news narrative.

Guidance was mixed: revenue guidance slightly missed consensus, while earnings guidance looked strong. The company expects more than 17% revenue growth this year and wider margins; management’s guidance for adjusted earnings was above consensus (and may be conservative). GitLab outlined five initiatives to drive growth, including expanding its go-to-market presence, accelerating client acquisition, optimizing pricing and packaging, executing its AI strategy, and other operational improvements.

Additional Reading from MarketBeat Media

These 3 Cash Flow Machines Provide Stability in Uncertain Markets

Reported by Nathan Reiff. Article Posted: 3/6/2026. 

Key Points

• Cash flow generation is a key attribute of stable companies, allowing them flexibility to not only maintain operations but also to grow and to return value to shareholders via dividends or buybacks.
• Gilead Sciences and AbbVie are two large biopharma firms with a compelling history of cash flow generation, helping to facilitate continued R&D and pipeline development, among other things.
• Visa converts about half or more of its revenue to free cash flow, capitalizing on its high-margin business to facilitate growth and dividend payments.
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When companies face difficult markets, cash flow becomes a critical factor in determining their ability to survive. If a firm cannot meet its near-term obligations with the cash it has on hand, it risks serious trouble. Equally important, strong cash flow enables longer-term planning—everything from expansion and acquisitions to strategic returns of capital to shareholders.

Cash flow is only one metric among many, but it may be particularly important for investors seeking companies that can remain steady amid broad market uncertainty in 2026. The three companies below are household names and major industry players that also have strong cash-flow histories to support their plans for continued growth.

Strong Free Cash Flow Yield and Commitment to Returning Value to Investors

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Anchored by top-selling drugs for COVID-19, HIV, certain cancers and more, Gilead Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: GILD) is one of the largest biopharma firms available to investors. The company generates compelling free cash flow relative to its share price—its free cash flow yield is around 6%.

Even better for investors, Gilead has committed to returning at least half of its free cash flow each year to shareholders. In 2025, including its dividend distributions, Gilead returned 63% of its annual free cash flow to stockholders.

Despite its scale and established position, Gilead has continued to grow. In Q4 2025, it beat analyst expectations for both earnings per share and revenue, propelled by legacy products and a robust pipeline. In 2026 the company expects at least four major commercial rollouts of new products, which should help diversify its revenue mix.

Gilead faces significant competition—especially in oncology, where some investors would like to see a larger contribution to total sales—but a large majority of Wall Street analysts have bullish ratings on GILD shares. Analysts also see roughly 6% upside potential even after the stock’s more than 28% rise over the past year.

Massive Dividend Growth Made Possible By Solid Cash Generation Power

Another major biopharma name, AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV), posts a free cash flow yield above 5%, which is strong for a company of its size and sector. While AbbVie operates across many therapeutic areas, one of its most compelling attractions for investors is its dividend.

AbbVie has a dividend yield that sits around 2.9%and has more than quadrupled its dividend distributions since the company’s spin-off in 2013.

Although the company reports a high dividend payout ratio—about 293%—which could concern some investors, that payout is underpinned by robust free cash flow. In 2025, for example, AbbVie generated nearly $18 billion in free cash flow while distributing roughly $11.7 billion in total dividends.

The company has demonstrated continued momentum, beating Wall Street expectations for both earnings and revenue in Q4 2025 and providing higher guidance at the time. Much of this growth has been driven by two leading drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, and AbbVie continues to invest heavily in R&D to expand its pipeline.

Excellent Cash Generation Capacity Amid Consumer Resilience

Payments giant Visa Inc. (NYSE: V) operates a high-margin business that generates substantial free cash flow, often converting roughly half of its revenue into free cash flow each quarter. With strong top-line performance—a 14.6% year-over-year revenue improvement in the latest period, for example—Visa is a reliable cash machine for many investors.

Despite macroeconomic headwinds such as tariffs and inflation, Visa’s payments volume and processed transactions continue to rise, reflecting resilient consumer spending. That strength has allowed Visa to increase its dividend while maintaining a manageable payout ratio; the company currently offers a yield of 0.83% with a payout ratio near 25.1%. It’s no surprise that analysts view Visa as a solid Buy, forecasting roughly 22% upside potential going forward.

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Quiet Outperformance From an Overlooked Dividend ETF

Written by Nathan Reiff on March 9, 2026 

Key Points

• With nearly 20% in returns in the last year and more than 5% year-to-date, DGRO is an ETF providing growth potential as well as strong dividend opportunities.
• The fund’s strategy stands out for its emphasis on dividend growth history, helping to ensure that it avoids dividend yield traps and rewards companies with stability and healthy cash flow.
• DGRO provides broad exposure to nearly 400 names across many sectors and industries, with an emphasis on financials, health care, and information technology stocks.
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When it comes to dividend stocks, it’s easy to be tempted by companies based on a ranking of the highest dividend yields. After all, dividend yield is a direct measure of the cash payout a company provides for investors relative to its price, and the higher the yield the more enticing the distribution is, right? In actuality, there are other factors to consider when selecting dividend names, and investors attuned to the history of a dividend’s growth—or lack thereof—may end up identifying more stable and successful investments.

Still, close monitoring of a potential dividend investment’s history of payouts and growth can be difficult to manage for investors looking to trade quickly, and there always exists the risk that a company will face unexpected challenges and have to make cuts to its distributions. To diversify dividend investments, it may help to consider a dividend-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF), which not only holds a larger group of dividend-paying companies but also does the work of selecting and balancing the portfolio. For a broad view of the potent dividend growth space, consider the iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: DGRO).

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Why DGRO’s Angle on Dividend Stocks Stands Out

DGRO is a passively managed fund tracking the Morningstar US Dividend Growth Index, which targets U.S. equities that have both a history of dividend growth and the potential to sustain that growth going forward.

It does this by identifying (from a broader pool of U.S. stocks) companies that have at least five years of uninterrupted growth to their annual dividends, with an earnings payout ratio below 75%.

Interestingly, DGRO’s index excludes companies in the top 10% of dividend yield before screening for dividend growth and payout ratio, perhaps a bid to avoid companies that falsely present a strong dividend case but are actually in trouble because their share price has collapsed.

In the end, DGRO holds roughly 400 positions in a set of companies broadly diversified by market capitalization and sector. The fund does lean toward financials stocks, health care names, and companies representing the information technology sector—together, these three categories represent about half of the total portfolio.

DGRO’s Performance, Portfolio, and Prospects Set It Apart

In the last year, DGRO has returned about 13%, a standout in the dividend space, where companies most commonly deliver value to shareholders via disbursements, not share appreciation. Even as the broader S&P 500 has remained in negative territory to begin 2026, DGRO has returned more than 2% year-to-date (YTD). Of course, investors can also expect a strong dividend from the fund, with a yield of nearly 2% in early March.

Looking more closely at DGRO’s portfolio, the fund takes a fairly broad view by not assigning any single position a very high portfolio weighting. Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), the massive energy firm and dividend aristocrat with a yield of 2.7% and a history of regular increases to payouts going back more than four decades, is the largest position, but it only occupies 3.6% of the portfolio. While most of the largest positions in DGRO’s basket are indeed well-known dividend stocks, it also contains lesser-known firms for added diversification.

Big-name dividend plays are not necessarily a bad thing, as the emphasis on dividend growth can help to ensure that the companies DGRO holds are likely to be stable even during broader market upheaval. A brief look at some of the other top holdings finds solid dividend stalwarts like Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), AbbVie Inc. (NYSE: ABBV), and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL).

For an annual fee of 0.08%, DGRO is not the absolute cheapest dividend fund on the market—the massive Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (NYSEARCA: VIG) with over $100 billion in assets under management (AUM) is an example of an alternative that comes in below that rate, with an expense ratio of 0.04%. However, DGRO has beaten VIG on both overall returns and dividend yield in recent periods. DGRO is a smaller fund with just about $39 billion in AUM, but its one-month average trading volume of 2.3 million eclipses its larger rival as well.

To be sure, there are plenty of other dividend ETFs available for investors looking to set up a passive income stream with minimal investment action, and investors would do well to consider multiple options before making a selection. 

Read this article online ›

Further Reading

• Credo Technologies Hits Bottom: Now Is the Time to Buy
• Most stock screeners check 2 things. Ours checks 6. (From TradingTips)
• 5 High-Yield Stocks That Could Help Cushion Market Volatility
• The biggest scam in the history of gold markets is unwinding (From Behind the Markets)
• 3 Giants Across Sectors Lift Dividends 15% or More
• Crypto’s Crash May Be Over—These 3 Picks Could Rebound Fast
• Worried About Volatility? These 3 ETFs Have You Covered

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No AI Bots. Just Real Signals. (From Market Pulse Today)

Quiet Outperformance From an Overlooked Dividend ETF

Written by Nathan Reiff on March 9, 2026 

Key Points

• With nearly 20% in returns in the last year and more than 5% year-to-date, DGRO is an ETF providing growth potential as well as strong dividend opportunities.
• The fund’s strategy stands out for its emphasis on dividend growth history, helping to ensure that it avoids dividend yield traps and rewards companies with stability and healthy cash flow.
• DGRO provides broad exposure to nearly 400 names across many sectors and industries, with an emphasis on financials, health care, and information technology stocks.
• Special Report: The Market Reset Is Coming—Here’s How to Read It Early(From Krypton Street)

When it comes to dividend stocks, it’s easy to be tempted by companies based on a ranking of the highest dividend yields. After all, dividend yield is a direct measure of the cash payout a company provides for investors relative to its price, and the higher the yield the more enticing the distribution is, right? In actuality, there are other factors to consider when selecting dividend names, and investors attuned to the history of a dividend’s growth—or lack thereof—may end up identifying more stable and successful investments.

Still, close monitoring of a potential dividend investment’s history of payouts and growth can be difficult to manage for investors looking to trade quickly, and there always exists the risk that a company will face unexpected challenges and have to make cuts to its distributions. To diversify dividend investments, it may help to consider a dividend-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF), which not only holds a larger group of dividend-paying companies but also does the work of selecting and balancing the portfolio. For a broad view of the potent dividend growth space, consider the iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: DGRO).

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Why DGRO’s Angle on Dividend Stocks Stands Out

DGRO is a passively managed fund tracking the Morningstar US Dividend Growth Index, which targets U.S. equities that have both a history of dividend growth and the potential to sustain that growth going forward.

It does this by identifying (from a broader pool of U.S. stocks) companies that have at least five years of uninterrupted growth to their annual dividends, with an earnings payout ratio below 75%.

Interestingly, DGRO’s index excludes companies in the top 10% of dividend yield before screening for dividend growth and payout ratio, perhaps a bid to avoid companies that falsely present a strong dividend case but are actually in trouble because their share price has collapsed.

In the end, DGRO holds roughly 400 positions in a set of companies broadly diversified by market capitalization and sector. The fund does lean toward financials stocks, health care names, and companies representing the information technology sector—together, these three categories represent about half of the total portfolio.

DGRO’s Performance, Portfolio, and Prospects Set It Apart

In the last year, DGRO has returned about 13%, a standout in the dividend space, where companies most commonly deliver value to shareholders via disbursements, not share appreciation. Even as the broader S&P 500 has remained in negative territory to begin 2026, DGRO has returned more than 2% year-to-date (YTD). Of course, investors can also expect a strong dividend from the fund, with a yield of nearly 2% in early March.

Looking more closely at DGRO’s portfolio, the fund takes a fairly broad view by not assigning any single position a very high portfolio weighting. Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), the massive energy firm and dividend aristocrat with a yield of 2.7% and a history of regular increases to payouts going back more than four decades, is the largest position, but it only occupies 3.6% of the portfolio. While most of the largest positions in DGRO’s basket are indeed well-known dividend stocks, it also contains lesser-known firms for added diversification.

Big-name dividend plays are not necessarily a bad thing, as the emphasis on dividend growth can help to ensure that the companies DGRO holds are likely to be stable even during broader market upheaval. A brief look at some of the other top holdings finds solid dividend stalwarts like Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), AbbVie Inc. (NYSE: ABBV), and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL).

For an annual fee of 0.08%, DGRO is not the absolute cheapest dividend fund on the market—the massive Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (NYSEARCA: VIG) with over $100 billion in assets under management (AUM) is an example of an alternative that comes in below that rate, with an expense ratio of 0.04%. However, DGRO has beaten VIG on both overall returns and dividend yield in recent periods. DGRO is a smaller fund with just about $39 billion in AUM, but its one-month average trading volume of 2.3 million eclipses its larger rival as well.

To be sure, there are plenty of other dividend ETFs available for investors looking to set up a passive income stream with minimal investment action, and investors would do well to consider multiple options before making a selection. 

Read this article online ›

Further Reading

• Credo Technologies Hits Bottom: Now Is the Time to Buy
• Momentum Trackers Just Lit Up — Here’s Why (From Stock News Trends)
• 5 High-Yield Stocks That Could Help Cushion Market Volatility
• 48-Hour Alert: This Signal Just Flashed on (TICKER) (From Daily Edge Report)
• 3 Giants Across Sectors Lift Dividends 15% or More
• Crypto’s Crash May Be Over—These 3 Picks Could Rebound Fast
• Worried About Volatility? These 3 ETFs Have You Covered

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This Month’s Exclusive Story

Insiders Are Loading Up on 3 Small Caps—1 Looks Most Compelling

Submitted by Thomas Hughes. First Published: 2/25/2026. 

Key Points

• Insider buying accelerated across Cineverse, Dorchester Minerals, and AirJoule into late 2025 and early 2026, but the setup differs sharply by name.
• Dorchester leans on yield and institutional support, Cineverse is insider-led with limited institutional backing, and AirJoule is a tightly held commercialization bet.
• The highest-upside scenario is paired with the highest execution risk, making position sizing and time horizon critical.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

Insider activity in Cineverse (NASDAQ: CNVS), Dorchester Minerals LP (NASDAQ: DMLP), and AirJoule Technology (NASDAQ: AIRJ) spiked in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, highlighting potential opportunities. But insider buying is only one factor — each company’s setup differs sharply, and the details matter.

Cineverse Insiders Double-Down on Double-Digit Holding

Cineverse is a small-cap, ad-supported streaming service focused on niche and non-mainstream entertainment. According to InsiderTrades data, six insiders made sizable purchases in early Q1 2026, raising total insider ownership to more than 13.25%. Buyers included the CFO, CTO and other C-suite executives — and notably, these insiders are the primary market participants showing meaningful interest.

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Analyst coverage is sparse but bullish on a limited basis: the available ratings imply more than 200% upside, though that view rests on only three ratings and only one recent update. Alliance Global Partners most recently reiterated a Buy but provided no price target. 

Institutions have not supported the stock. Data show just 8% institutional ownership and net selling as of early Q1. Contributing factors include tepid growth, an uncertain outlook and a lack of profitability. In 2026, the key drivers will be business traction, a credible path to profitability and an improving outlook. Risks include weak consumer demand and intense competition for streaming attention from dominant players such as Netflix and The Walt Disney Company. 

Dorchester Minerals, LP, A High-Yielding Stock With Institutional Support

Dorchester Minerals is an independent limited partnership holding royalty interests across major U.S. energy-producing regions. It is not a high-growth name, but it generates steady cash flow and dividends that vary with commodity prices and production. Two critical details for 2026 are its roughly 12% dividend yield and recent insider buying. Insiders — including the CEO, CFO and several directors — purchased shares in late 2025, helping to underpin the stock’s bottom. The insider group owns nearly 6% of the stock, and institutional activity further supports the market.

Institutional involvement is far greater here than with Cineverse: institutions own about 20% of the sharesand have been net buyers. Net institutional activity was bullish across all four quarters of 2025 and in Q1 2026, accelerating through the year and on pace to reach a multiyear high in early 2026. That creates a supportive tailwind, though it may not produce a dramatic price move without a clear catalyst. 

There is effectively no analyst coverage tracked by InsiderTrades to drive retail interest, leaving institutions as the dominant market force. Absent a catalyst, patient institutional holders may keep the stock range-bound. A primary risk is the variable nature of the dividend — payouts are tied to free cash flow and therefore sensitive to commodity prices and production. Potential catalysts include higher oil prices or increased production/demand. 

AirJoule Insiders Buy Ahead of Commercial Launch

AirJoule (NASDAQ: AIRJ) is an emerging-tech company with a proprietary system that harvests water and cools air more efficiently than common methods and without harmful refrigerants. A key market is data centers, which generate large amounts of heat and are sensitive to humidity. With data-center buildouts continuing and GPU-heavy systems increasing water-cooling needs, AirJoule could benefit from a dual tailwind as hyperscalers and other industries adopt its technology.

Insiders aggressively bought in Q4 2025 and increased activity in Q1 2026; they now own more than 40% of the shares, creating a substantial support base. Institutions hold most of the remaining float and have been accumulating as well. Analysts are generally bullish — four rate the stock a Moderate Buy and the consensus target implies nearly 200% upside. Potential catalysts include the expected commercial launch later this year. Execution risk remains, but it is being mitigated through partnerships and engagements with hyperscalers such as Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL)and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), as well as participation in the European Net Zero Innovation Hub for Data Centers. 

This Month’s Exclusive Story

Will the Super Mario Movie Make It Showtime for Nintendo Stock?

Submitted by Chris Markoch. First Published: 3/7/2026. 

Key Points

• Nintendo sold 15 million Switch 2 consoles in months, but NTDOY stock still needs a catalyst to break resistance.
• The upcoming Super Mario movie sequel could boost high-margin IP revenue and revive investor sentiment.
• Strong cash reserves and a dividend provide downside support as investors watch for a technical breakout.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

Mario and Luigi are two of the most iconic characters in the Nintendo Co. Ltd. (OTCMKTS: NTDOY) universe. The company is counting on their enduring popularity for the upcoming “Super Mario Galaxy Movie,” due out in April.

The film follows the 2023 “Super Mario Bros. Movie,” which surprised some observers by becoming a box-office hit and boosting Nintendo’s intellectual property (IP) sales.

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It’s not surprising, then, that Nintendo is hoping the sequel performs as well or better than the original. The movie’s release is scheduled nearly one year to the day after Nintendo launched its Switch 2 console.

In its most recent earnings report, the company highlighted cumulative global sell-through of 15 million Switch 2 consoles as of the fourth week of December 2025, making it the fastest-selling dedicated video game platform Nintendo has released.

The Year of Super Mario Becomes a Strategic Push

Before the movie hits theaters, Nintendo plans to release “Super Mario Bros. Wonder,” exclusively for the Switch 2. That is one of several initiatives tied to the 40th anniversary of Super Mario Bros.

This push aligns with Nintendo’s strategy to lean on IP as a steadier revenue stream to smooth the lumpiness of console sales. IP revenue still represents only a small portion of the company’s total sales. For example, in the first nine months of the company’s 2026 fiscal year, Nintendo reported $54.5 billion in IP-related revenue.

That amounted to roughly 3% of the company’s overall sales over that period. Still, IP is typically higher-margin revenue that can flow straight to the bottom line.

Tariffs, AI, and Geopolitical Risks Add Uncertainty

Even before the Switch 2 launched, Nintendo faced headwinds from tariffs and other trade costs. The company has mitigated some of those pressures by shifting some production to Vietnam.

Growing concern ahead of the recent report centered on a potential slowdown in Nintendo’s earnings, increasingly influenced by memory chip prices. Supporting that view, the company reported declining year-over-year operating margins through the first three quarters of its 2026 fiscal year.

On the positive side, the Switch 2 — like its predecessor — should enjoy a multi-year sales runway. Even with strong early sales, a large addressable market remains, and demand could be reinvigorated by the new Super Mario movie.

Another risk is how artificial intelligence (AI) will affect the gaming sector. There is concern that agentic AI could enable hobbyists to create games that compete with commercial titles, potentially reducing revenue for established publishers.

Some user-created content is inevitable, but many consumers will likely prefer professionally developed experiences. That positions Nintendo well, especially if it adopts AI to accelerate internal game development.

Since the earnings report, geopolitical tensions involving the U.S., Israel and Iran have raised the risk of shipping delays for the Switch 2, which is transported largely by sea.

NTDOY Stock Needs Technical Confirmation

Nintendo stock has been volatile over the past 12 months. The 52-week range for NTDOY is $13.05 to $24.92. The 52-week high coincided with a two-month surge that peaked in mid-August after the June release of the Switch 2. Since then, the chart has shown a bearish pattern, though it does not appear to be a falling-knife situation — the stock seemed to find a bottom around the earnings report.

When a turnaround might occur is unclear. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which has acted as resistance, stalled upward momentum in early March. Investors would want to see a breakout above that level on strong volume to confirm a reversal.

The best-case scenario for Nintendo is an improvement in the U.S. economy, which would lift consumer discretionary stocks broadly. For Nintendo specifically, consumers who delayed buying a Switch 2 could resume purchases. A swift, orderly resolution of geopolitical tensions and continued clarity around tariffs would also strengthen the company’s outlook.

That may take a quarter or more to play out. In the meantime, Nintendo pays a reliable dividend and holds over $15 billion in cash on its balance sheet, alongside a market capitalization of about $73 billion as of this writing.

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This Week’s Bonus Article

Archer Aviation: The Billion-Dollar Battleground 

By Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Article Posted: 2/24/2026. 

Key Points

• Major institutional asset managers have increased their equity stakes in Archer Aviation, demonstrating strong confidence in its aircraft’s commercial viability.
• The strategic manufacturing partnership protects the balance sheet by absorbing the significant capital costs of infrastructure development.
• A tightening supply of available shares, coupled with high short interest, creates a market setup where positive news could trigger upward momentum.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

Volatility has returned to the electric aviation sector with a vengeance, leaving many retail investors wondering if the flight path has permanently changed. Investors in Archer Aviation (NYSE: ACHR) have experienced significant whiplash over the last 30 days, watching the stock rally to nearly $9 in late January before sliding back to about $6.93 in late February.

To the untrained eye, this roughly 20% drop looks like a warning sign. Seasoned market watchers, however, know this dramatic round-trip isn’t random market noise — it’s the result of a high-stakes clash between two powerful forces.

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On one side, institutional investors are quietly accumulating millions of shares, betting on the company’s long-term prospects. On the other, short sellers are betting against Archer, alleging certification delays and alleging operational silence. The stock is now trapped in a defined trading range, waiting for a catalyst to break the deadlock.

That catalyst arrives this week. The market faces a binary window with two critical events: Joby Aviation’s (NYSE: JOBY) earnings report on Wednesday and Archer’s own financial update next Monday. How those two events play out will likely dictate the stock’s trajectory in the first half of 2026.

The BlackRock Backstop: A Floor for the Stock Price

While day traders react to scary headlines, the world’s largest asset managers focus on balance sheets. In late January, an SEC filing revealed a significant vote of confidence in Archer’s future: BlackRock Inc., the largest asset manager in the world, filed an amended Schedule 13G showing it has increased its passive stake in Archer to 8.1%.

For retail investors, this matters. BlackRock is not a venture-capital backer that chases moonshots — it is a risk-averse firm. For a company of BlackRock’s size to hold nearly 10% of a volatile, pre-revenue aerospace business suggests its internal due diligence contradicts the bearish narrative. Institutional investors generally have access to data, models, and management access retail traders do not. Their decision to buy during the dip implies they view the current price as a discount rather than a trap.

Backing this financial floor is Archer’s ongoing partnership with Stellantis (NYSE: STLA), arguably the company’s biggest competitive moat. Unlike some competitors forced to spend hundreds of millions building factories from scratch, Archer leverages Stellantis to absorb heavy capital costs for manufacturing infrastructure. That capital shield preserves Archer’s cash for certification and R&D. For many investors, the presence of BlackRock and Stellantis suggests that at sub-$7.00 levels the stock rests on a reasonably solid foundation.

The Price of Uncertainty: Fear as a Strategy

If institutional backing is so strong, why did the stock drop in February? The answer is market psychology. On Feb. 11, a short-seller report circulated alleging flight logs show no recent testing of the flagship Midnight aircraft and predicting FAA certification could slip to 2028, two years behind the company’s public timetable.

Markets hate uncertainty more than they hate bad news. Because Archer entered a quiet period ahead of its earnings release, management has been limited in what it can say publicly. That regulatory silence allowed the negative narrative to fester, prompting panicked retail selling and amplifying the move lower.

But this dynamic creates a classic market dislocation. Short sellers profit when prices fall, so they have an incentive to spread fear. That in turn sets a trap: if Archer can show on Monday that flight testing has continued on schedule, the basis for the sell-off collapses. Monday’s earnings call is now as much about defending the company’s integrity as it is about the financials.

Wednesday’s Warning Shot: Watching Joby Aviation

Before Archer takes the stage, investors should watch the competition. On Wednesday, Feb. 25, rival Joby Aviation reports earnings, and in emerging sectors the market leader often sets the tone for the entire group — a phenomenon traders call a sympathy trade.

If Joby misses revenue targets or announces certification delays, Archer could fall in sympathy before it even reports. A weak Joby report would bolster critics who argue the entire industry is stalled, so this is a real near-term risk.

That said, a divergence could work in Archer’s favor. Joby has recently faced headwinds, including a Sell initiation from Goldman Sachsamid valuation concerns. Joby currently trades at a premium, while many analysts view Archer as the value play. If Joby falters, capital might rotate from the expensive leader into the undervalued competitor — provided Archer can show execution is on track.

Monday’s Verdict: The $2 Billion Question

The main event is Monday, March 2, when Archer releases Q4 and full-year 2025 results. While headline algorithms will latch onto EPS, investors should treat that number cautiously. Analysts expect a loss of $0.24 per share — but profitability is not the immediate goal for a company in the certification phase.

The real signals will be two metrics: Cash Burn and Liquidity.

• Cash Burn: The whisper number is under $110 million for the quarter. Continued disciplined spending would be a strong positive.
• Liquidity: Management needs to show cash and available liquidity near $2 billion to demonstrate runway toward commercialization without immediate dilution.

Beyond the math, CEO Adam Goldstein must use the call to silence the bears. Investors will look for three specific confirmations to rebuild confidence:

• Flight logs: A clear update on Phase 4 testing to prove the aircraft is actively flying.
• Timeline: A firm rebuttal of the 2028-delay rumor and a reaffirmation of the company’s 2026 commercialization goal.
• Strategy: Progress updates on the new U.K. engineering hub and the NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) partnership to show global expansion and technical momentum.

The 17% Trap: A Coiled Spring

Tension between institutional buyers and short sellers has created a technical setup often described as a coiled spring. Short interest in Archer has risen to roughly 17% of the float — about 90 million shares sold short.

But the tradable float — the number of shares actually available to buy and sell — is smaller than headline figures suggest. BlackRock, Stellantis, and insiders hold large, typically non-trading positions, constraining available supply. That creates a risky posture for the bears.

If Archer rebuts the delay rumors Monday with credible, constructive news, short sellers could be forced to buy back shares to cover losing positions. With limited supply, that squeeze could quickly push the stock back into the $8.00–$9.00 range.

The Final Approach: Time to Choose a Side

Archer enters this week priced for imperfection at about $6.93. Downside is partially protected by institutional support from BlackRock and Stellantis, while upside is amplified by high short interest that could force a rapid cover if the company delivers positive news.

Volatility is all but guaranteed. Investors should watch Wednesday’s Joby report for early clues on the sector, but the decisive moment is Monday’s Archer update. If management executes and addresses the key concerns, institutional buyers will look prescient and the negative cloud around the stock could dissipate. This week is a time to watch the data, not the noise.

This Week’s Bonus Article

Unmanned Profits: The New Kings of the Modern Battlefield

By Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Article Posted: 3/6/2026. 

Key Points

• AeroVironment’s battle-proven loitering munitions have become an essential tool for modern ground forces, driving significant revenue growth.
• Kratos is pioneering the future of air combat with its high-performance, attritable aircraft, designed to serve as a powerful force multiplier.
• Red Cat’s strategic partnerships are rapidly expanding its capabilities into new defense domains, including counter-drone systems and maritime security.
• Special Report: [Sponsorship-Ad-6-Format3]

The 21st-century battlefield looks fundamentally different from how it was just a decade ago. The new calculus of conflict is no longer solely determined by the number of tanks or fighter jets a nation possesses. Instead, strategic dominance is increasingly won through the deployment of sophisticated, cost-effective, and often expendable unmanned systems. This technological pivot has been on full display in recent global conflicts, where swarms of intelligent drones have proven capable of altering the course of entire battles—delivering precision strikes and valuable intelligence without risking a single human life.

This paradigm shift has created a distinct opportunity for investors. While the entire defense sector has garnered attention, the most direct exposure to this trend is not found within the diversified portfolios of defense conglomerates. Rather, it lies with specialized, pure-play companies whose growth is directly tethered to the success of unmanned technology.

AeroVironment: The Battle-Tested Industry Standard

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AeroVironment (NASDAQ: AVAV) has solidified its position as an industry standard in the unmanned aerial systems (UAS) space. With deep, long-standing ties to the U.S. Department of Defense, the company is a foundational player whose technology is considered essential for modern infantry tactics. Its flagship product, the Switchblade family of loitering munitions, has become synonymous with the kamikaze drone concept, delivering precision kinetic effects that have proven highly effective on the front lines in Ukraine and other conflict zones. This real-world success is reflected in the company’s financials, with recent quarterly revenue up more than 150% year-over-year.

Recent stock volatility has been linked to headlines surrounding the U.S. Space Force SCAR program. A closer look, however, shows this is not a lost contract but a strategic renegotiation to establish a firm-fixed-price deal for a commercial product—something that could deliver more predictable, stable long-term revenue. In a clear signal of management’s confidence in future demand, AeroVironment announced a significant expansion of its manufacturing capacity. The move is designed to scale production for anticipated large orders, positioning the company to meet growing needs from the U.S. military and its allies for its proven systems.

Kratos: Building the High-Tech Future of Air Combat

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ: KTOS) is carving out a niche as a high-tech innovator focused on next-generation unmanned combat aircraft. The company is a market disruptor with a portfolio of high-performance, attritable jets, including the XQ-58A Valkyrie. These systems are designed to fly as loyal wingmen alongside manned fighter jets, acting as a force multiplier by scouting, deploying weapons, and drawing enemy fire—all at a fraction of the cost of a traditional aircraft. This strategy directly addresses the Pentagon’s need to generate mass against near-peer adversaries without breaking the budget.

This ambitious vision requires substantial capital, and investors have taken note, sending the stock up more than 200% over the past year. The company recently raised over $1 billion through a public offering. While such a move can create short-term pressure on the share price, it is best understood as a strategic decision to build a war chest. These funds are intended to scale production facilities, accelerate research and development, and strengthen the company’s balance sheet to win and execute multi-billion-dollar program-of-record contracts. Further diversifying its business, Kratos has also secured orders for advanced counter-drone systems, demonstrating capability on both the offensive and defensive sides of unmanned warfare.

Red Cat: The Agile Disruptor Seizing New Domains

Red Cat Holdings (NASDAQ: RCAT) is a smaller, more agile contender in the drone space, focusing on versatile small UAS for ground forces, such as its Teal 2 system, which provides critical night-vision capabilities for individual soldiers. The company has recently drawn investor attention not just for its drones, but for a forward-thinking strategy of integrating advanced third-party capabilities to rapidly expand its market reach. The stock’s year-to-date performance, up over 80%, reflects that enthusiasm.

A key driver of this performance is a strategic partnership with Allen Control Systems. The collaboration will integrate Allen Control Systems’ Bullfrog AI-powered autonomous weapon station onto Red Cat’s platforms. The move achieves two important objectives: it propels Red Cat into the lucrative Counter-UAS (C-UAS) market, and the initial integration will be on the company’s unmanned surface vessels (USVs), expanding Red Cat from a drone-only firm into a multi-domain technology provider for both air and sea. This strategic pivot meaningfully increases the company’s total addressable market and outlines a clear path toward accelerated growth.

Finding Your Fit in the Drone Sector

Understanding the distinct profiles of these three companies is key to aligning any potential investment with an individual’s financial strategy. Each offers a different level of exposure to the drone-warfare thesis.

• AeroVironment: The Established Leader. With a market capitalization of over $11 billion, AVAV presents a more mature investment profile. Its growth is tied to proven technology and the ongoing need for militaries to procure and replenish tactical loitering munitions.
• Kratos: The High-Tech Innovator. Valued at over $15 billion, Kratos offers a higher-growth profile centered on disruptive, next-generation systems. Its future depends on securing massive, long-term government contracts for its advanced attritable aircraft.
• Red Cat: The Agile Disruptor. With a market cap under $2 billion, RCAT represents a higher-risk, higher-reward opportunity. Its smaller revenue base is offset by the potential for rapid expansion as it penetrates markets such as C-UAS and maritime defense.

A Clearer View of the 21st-Century Battlefield

The notable growth shown by these specialized drone companies is not a fleeting trend but a reflection of a fundamental, enduring shift in military strategy. While large defense conglomerates offer stability, their size dilutes the impact of any single high-growth sector. For investors seeking direct exposure to the unmanned-systems revolution, the distinct profiles of AeroVironment, Kratos, and Red Cat provide a spectrum of compelling opportunities. Together, they represent a focused way to participate in the accelerating, technology-driven future of the defense industry.

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Further Reading: Elon’s about to mint $625B. Here’s how to ride along. (From Timothy Sykes)

Peter,

Which Hall of Fame player was the home plate umpire in a regular season game his team was playing?

Hint: #1 He is also in the Pittsburgh Pirates Hall of Fame and the Cincinnati Reds Hall of Fame.

Hint: #2 As a player, he once hit exactly nineteen triples in each of five consecutive seasons but never led the league in any of the five. The leader was different in each of those seasons.

Hint: #3 Just the year before that streak began, he led his league in triples. It’s the only black ink in his twenty-season major league career.

Wednesday’s question answered:

Q. Who hit more doubles on one season that any other National Leaguer?

Hint: #1 He was the first player to hit home runs in the All-Star game and World Series in the same season.

Hint: #2 He was Yogi Berra’s hero.

A. JOE MEDWICK  [SABR Bio]

– Ans. Medwick had 64 2B in 1936 in 677 plate appearances.

– #1 In the 1^st of his 10 All-Star appearances, 1934, Medwick homered in the 3^rd inning off Lefty Gomez. On 03-Oct, he homered in the 5^th inning of the 1^st game off Detroit’s General Crowder.

– #2 When advised to lay off bad pitches, Berra replied, “Joe Medwick’s still my hero.” Yogi grew up in St. Louis in the heyday of the Cardinal’s Gas House Gang.

FCR – George Curcio, DeLand, Florida

~ D. Bruce Brown

Horsehide Trivia | 8830 Sandrope Court  | Columbia, MD 21046 US

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