These are just a few examples of our recent breakouts.
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Managing Editor’s Note: Today, we’re doing a special research spotlight and unlocking content from last week’s issue of our Near Future Report advisory…
In it, senior analyst Nick Rokke unpacked the circumstances around the panic-fueled “AI Fear Trade” and why, despite the volatility, we are more confident than ever about the trajectory of AI and the AI infrastructure buildout.
Since the beginning of last week, the iShares Expanded Software Sector ETF (IGV) rose 10% to its peak. And that’s despite the general markets falling due to the uncertainty around the situation in Iran. Our thesis is playing out, but we still think this trend will continue.
February delivered a powerful reminder of how emotional markets can become when a dominant trend like artificial intelligence emerges.
In the span of a single trading session, a former $3 million karaoke-machine company wiped $17.4 billion off the Dow Transports – an index tracking 20 key U.S. transportation stocks, like airlines, railroads, and trucking giants.
No, that’s not a typo.
A microcap stock with negative EBITDA issued a press release about its AI logistics platform… and shares of stable, multibillion-dollar trucking companies collapsed.
That tells you everything you need to know about the environment we’re in.
I want to make two points. They may seem contradictory at first, but both are true…
First, the AI infrastructure buildout is accelerating
Second, the “AI Fear Trade” has gone too far
The company at the center of the panic is now called Algorhythm Holdings (RIME). Until recently, it sold consumer karaoke systems… But in February, its SemiCab unit claimed its AI platform could reduce empty freight miles by as much as 70% and help customers scale volumes 300% to 400% without adding headcount.
Impressive claims. However, the announcement left us with many questions…
Most importantly, who are these customers? What do these contracts look like? And does this technology work at scale?
None of that mattered to the market, though. Trucking logistics companies plummeted on the day.
C.H. Robinson (CHRW) and Expeditors International (EXPD) both fell 14%.
Landstar Systems (LSTR) fell 16%, its worst day ever.
And RXO, Inc. (RXO) fell the most, ending down 23%.
These are all stable, profitable, multibillion-dollar businesses with decades of operating history.
And they were pummeled because a microcap with $1.7 million in quarterly revenue and negative EBITDA issued a press release.
Now, most of these have already bounced back, but be prepared for more volatility.
It’s probably just a matter of time until a scare hits a majority of publicly traded companies. For many companies, the drawdown will be temporary, but it will likely feel scary holding those companies at the time.
With the market stalling for the past few months, large institutions and hedge funds are using these headlines to scare the weak hands out of their positions. This allows them to enter positions at lower prices and generate alpha in a flat market.
Don’t be a panic seller.
The weekend after this news release, a financial research firm called Citrini Research released a thought piece on the future of AI. It was a fictional piece about how they think the future may play out… This fiction sent many companies lower last Monday.
And it should be noted that this firm is known for its short reports and was positioned to profit if the companies whose business models were questioned fell. This tweet sums up the results the best.
This story is stranger than fiction… And it’s the kind of reaction that occurs at the end of a large move.
Sell First, Ask Questions Later
Here at Brownstone Research, we deeply understand that AI advancements will transform the global economy. Entire business models will be dismantled. Middlemen will disappear. Labor productivity will surge. Margins will compress in some areas and explode in others.
That part is not up for debate.
However, what we’re seeing now isn’t disciplined forward-looking analysis. It’s panic.
The “AI Fear Trade” has turned into a sell-first, ask-questions-later stampede. Investors are dumping anything that might be exposed to automation risk.
We saw this first in software. The financial media recently labeled it the “SaaS-pocalypse.”
Personally, I’ve been calling for the death of SaaS since the summer of 2023. At that point, it was clear that the traditional per-seat SaaS model was vulnerable. If one AI system can do the work of five employees, why keep paying for five licenses?
That’s rational. And the market has responded accordingly. Former high-fliers like Adobe (ADBE), BILL Holdings (BILL), and HubSpot (HUBS) have all fallen more than 50% since then.
Now, many of these names trade at multi-year or even all-time low valuation multiples. And that’s despite still generating real cash flow and maintaining strong customer bases. When fear pushes valuations to extremes, it usually signals we’re closer to the end of a move than the beginning.
And we’re already seeing early signs of that shift.
Friend of Brownstone Research Jason Bodner has pointed out that institutional capital has quietly started flowing back into select software names. Not indiscriminately, but selectively.
The market is beginning to realize that not all software is created equal.
Jeff and I have had many conversations about this dynamic. Jeff told me that right now, “Institutional capital is struggling to understand the differences between distinct kinds of software companies and the impact of AI on those businesses’ free cash flows.”
That confusion is creating opportunities. Yes, legacy per-seat SaaS models will face pressure, but AI-native platforms like Palantir (PLTR) will thrive. Companies built with proprietary datasets like Tesla (TSLA) will have a competitive moat. And infrastructure and optimization layers that enable AI adoption, like Snowflake (SNOW), will also thrive.
Now, I’m not saying these are necessarily buys right now. But as examples of business models that can thrive in the AI age. These are very different businesses from a generic workflow automation tool charging per user. But the market is currently pricing them with the same brush.
That’s a mistake.
And now the fear is spreading beyond software.
We’ve seen sharp selloffs in real estate platforms, private credit firms, insurance brokers, and wealth managers. All simply because AI might streamline parts of their operations.
Yet many of these companies remain profitable, cash-generative, and in some cases, positioned to benefit from AI-driven efficiency gains.
This is how thematic panics evolve. First, investors identify real disruption. Then they price it rationally. Then they overshoot.
The S&P 500 sits just a couple of percentage points off its highs. But underneath that, the AI Fear Trade has created deep pockets of mispricing. That’s where we’re focused.
Because when investors are selling first and asking questions later, disciplined capital can step in and buy quality businesses at a discount.
And that’s exactly what we’re doing.
Because we are more confident than ever about the growth of the AI infrastructure buildout.
“I believe a March 16announcement from Nvidia will send hundreds of popular companies crashing… But if you’re prepared, you could use it to make up to more than 10 times your money. I’m sharing the details on Thursday, March 12, at 2 p.m. ET. You’ll get the name of a bullish pick and a bearish pick, just for attending.” – Jeff Brown Click here to register with a single click >>> (When you click the link, your email address will automatically be added to Jeff’s guest list.)
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Earnings Show Increased CapEx
Since the release of ChatGPT in late 2022, the world’s largest cloud providers have been forced to revise their capital spending plans higher, again and again. Not because they want to, but because they have to.
The latest capital expenditure (CapEx) guidance from earnings makes this clear:
Amazon: $200 billion in CapEx projected for 2026, versus $125 billion last year
Google: $175 to $185 billion, up from $91 billion in 2025
Meta: $115 to $135 billion for 2026, up from $72 billion in 2025
Microsoft: $110 to $120 billion in 2026, compared to $90 billion last year
Google is effectively doubling its capital spending. Amazon and Meta are close behind.
And we haven’t even included challengers like Oracle (ORCL), CoreWeave (CRWV), and Elon Musk’s xAI. Each of those is pouring tens of billions into AI compute capacity annually.
Here’s a chart of the growth of CapEx, as well as where Wall Street’s future projections are.
This clearly demonstrates how Wall Street remains behind on its projections of future CapEx spend. Do we seriously think that hyperscalers won’t increase spending in 2027?
I fully expect companies and analysts to update 2027 expectations throughout the year. All told, it’s reasonable to expect close to $1 trillion in spending next year as companies race to add data center capacity.
That number has rattled skeptics.
You’ll hear the usual chorus from non-technical commentators: There’s no guarantee of returns. This is speculative. It’s a bubble.
But they miss the point. As NVIDIA CEO, Jensen Huang, said during the NVIDIA earnings call last month…
In this new world of AI, compute is revenues. Without compute, there’s no way to generate tokens. Without tokens, there’s no way to grow revenues.
The more compute, the more revenue these companies make. Hyperscalers aren’t spending huge sums of money on speculation. They’re not gamblers. It’s reactive spending.
The clearest proof shows up in remaining performance obligations. RPOs are contracted revenue that hasn’t been recognized yet. Across Amazon, Google, and Microsoft, RPOs surged in late 2025.
Customers are locking in long-term cloud and AI capacity faster than these companies can physically build it.
Hyperscalers aren’t overbuilding. They’re behind.
As AI systems move from novelty to necessity. AI is now embedded into enterprise software, logistics, industrial automation, and research. And the compute intensity keeps rising. That means more servers, more networking, more semiconductors, and far more power.
The result is a supply-demand mismatch that won’t resolve quickly. Permitting, power hookups, transformers, and cooling aren’t problems you fix in a quarter.
The biggest gains are still ahead. This is when fortunes are made.
Stay focused. Stay invested.
Regards,
Nick Rokke Senior Analyst, The Bleeding Edge
P.S. Hello, Jeff’s Managing Editor here… I just want to remind you to sign up with one click to join us on Thursday for Jeff’s event.
We’re closing in on March 16… That’s when Jeff believes Nvidia is about to shake up the market… sending some popular tech stocks spiraling and others soaring.
There’s still time to go here to automatically add your name to the list… and to add your phone number to sign up for VIP and to collect a special report that spotlights one company Jeff believes is safe from the culling – Jeff’s Bulletproof AI Pick.
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Amprius (NYSE: AMPX) stock is likely to move higher — much higher — because its technical signals, backed by a robust fundamental outlook, converge with the single signal that matters most: trading volume.
An increase or decrease in trading volume signals whether the market is genuinely buying the stock.
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Without rising volume, even strong technical signals are more likely to fizzle out than translate into sustained gains for investors.
Trading volume is critical for price action because it reveals market conviction — a firmly held belief about a stock’s value.
Volume also validates trends, serves as a leading indicator of continuation or reversal, indicates liquidity, and signals institutional activity.
Amprius’ trading volume is significant for numerous reasons. Volume ramped alongside price in 2025 and 2026 as price broke out to fresh highs. That pattern appears on the daily and weekly charts and was beginning to show on the monthly chart — in early March, AMPX was already approaching record monthly volume.
Record-setting days and weeks have been logged. Trading volume on the day of AMPX’s fiscal Q4 2025 earnings release was more than four times the 30-day average and remained elevated the following day, producing a weekly spike with similar metrics.
Amprius Technologies Volume Spiked for a Reason
Amprius Technologies’ trading volume spiked for a reason: its Q4 earnings release unequivocally affirmed a robust outlook for this industry-disrupting stock. Amprius Technologies’ silicon-anode lithium-ion batteries deliver greater energy density and discharge capacity, enabling larger payloads and longer ranges for vehicle and system platforms across industries — and demand is increasing.
Key 2026 details are that Amprius’s contract-manufacturing strategy is working, production is ramping, demand is solid, and improved compliance with the National Defense Authorization Act opens the door to broader government and defense business. That led management to raise revenue guidance, and analysts’ “hyper-growth” forecasts may still be conservative.
Analyst and Institutional Trends Reveal Amprius Stock Is Being Accumulated
The analyst and institutional trends remain modest — coverage is light and institutional holdings are small — but three tailwinds are in place. First, analyst coverage has been increasing, boosting exposure and investor interest.
Second, sentiment is improving: four of the nine analysts tracked by MarketBeat issued updates after the Q4 release. Third, institutional investors are accumulating. While holdings are modest at roughly 5% as of early March, the trailing 12-month (TTM) flow is strongly bullish, with institutions buying about $6 of shares for every $1 sold.
Analyst sentiment is bullish as well. Coverage has risen nearly 30% over recent months, the consensus rating sits at Moderate Buy, nearly 90% of analyst recommendations favor Buy, and price targets are climbing.
The consensus projects about 12% upside from the key resistance level, but high-end targets in the low $20s imply roughly 30% upside — a level that could be reached by midyear.
Technical Signals Converge: Amprius Price Action to Head Higher
AMPX hit a critical juncture shortly after the earnings release, trading near resistance at the top of a trading channel. The channel top could cap near-term gains, but indicators on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts — including price action, volume, the stochastic oscillator, and MACD — are converging in a way that points higher.
AMPX is likely to break out of its channel, confirm the top as support, and continue to accelerate. It could quickly reach the high end of analysts’ expectations and then move higher, potentially testing resistance at all-time highs well before year-end. Catalysts for this move are already in place: upcoming news releases and earnings reports should add momentum. Given Amprius’s potential to disrupt global battery markets, AMPX stock could rise by 200% to 300% over the next year or two.
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“Before something new can enter your life, you must first make room by releasing what’s been taking up space.”
This week, consider what you’re ready to release. Maybe it’s physical clutter, mental worry, or emotional baggage you’ve been carrying. March is the perfect time for spring cleaning—not just your home, but your heart and mind too. When you clear out what’s no longer serving you, you create space for the blessings that are trying to find their way to you.MORE INSPIRATION
You’re always one blessing away from a brighter day… and a bigger life. May these stories, affirmations, prayers, and insights lift your spirits and inspire you to lift others.
We’re back for 2026! Welcome to The Pregame Lineup, a weekday newsletter that gets you up to speed on everything you need to know in baseball, while catching you up on fun and interesting stories you might have missed. Thanks for being here.
Pretty much everything has gone according to plan for Team USA through three games in the World Baseball Classic. With a win tonight versus Italy (9 p.m. ET on FS1), the Americans would run their record to 4-0 and clinch the top seed in Pool B, setting up a date in the quarterfinals with the Pool A runner-up.
Even with a loss, the Americans could still claim the top seed in their pool if Italy (2-0) loses on Wednesday against Mexico, which would create a three-way tie atop the standings that would be sorted out via tiebreakers. But Team USA would like not to leave anything up to chance.
Outside of some early offensive sluggishness versus Great Britain on Saturday, the USA has coasted through the Classic thus far. It has outscored opponents 29-9 while its starting pitchers — Logan Webb, Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes — permitted two earned runs on four hits and recorded 18 strikeouts in 11 combined innings.
Tonight, manager Mark DeRosa will hand the ball first to Mets young right-hander Nolan McLean. The 24-year-old had a splendid big league debut in 2025, logging a 2.06 ERA through 48 innings (eight starts). He will be supported by a lineup that scored 15 runsversus Brazil, found its groove in the middle innings against Great Britain and slugged a couple of homers in Monday’s thrilling winover Mexico.
Team captain Aaron Judge has hit two of the Americans’ four homers in the tournament, and he came through on defense as well versus Mexico. Red Sox phenom Roman Anthony provided a majestic three-run shotduring the win, and he, Judge and Schwarber all have OPS marks north of 1.100 through three games.
Italy starting pitcher and 11-year MLB veteran Michael Lorenzen will certainly have his hands full trying to tame that lineup. But the Italians’ offense has been potent in its own right. They have five home runs through two games, which means the espresso maker in their dugout has been mighty active. Italy owns a 1.140 team OPS despite an 0-for-7 start to the tourney from star first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Dante Nori, the Phillies’ No. 7 prospect, has picked up the slack with five hits and two dingers through his first seven at-bats.
If Italy beats the USA and Mexico, it would earn the No. 1 seed in Pool B while the Americans would be the runners-up. So, there is a lot at stake this evening.
There is another pivotal WBC game tonight: Canada (1-1) facing Puerto Rico (3-0) in Hiram Bithorn Stadium at 7 p.m. on Tubi. The Puerto Ricans can sew up the top spot in Pool A with a win, while Canada needs a win to maintain a shot at the top seed, though they’ll still need to beat Cuba on Wednesday to ensure they will advance to the quarterfinals.
However, the main event will be in Houston, with the top spot in Pool B on the line. The equation is simple for the USA: Win and you’re on to the next round. But that’s easier said than done versus Italy.
— Brian Murphy
MEANWHILE, AT CAMP …
It might be easy to forget amid all the thrills of the World Baseball Classic, but Spring Training is still in full swing. Here are some of the best stories to come out of Arizona and Florida over the past week:
• When you’re the 19-year-old No. 1 prospect in baseball, you might miss some everyday life lessons along the way. Enter the roommate.
• With a national audience watching on ESPN, Yankees top prospect George Lombard Jr. greeted Cy Young runner-up Garrett Crochet with a monster leadoff home run.
One of the things we love most about the World Baseball Classic is that everyone brings their absolute best while they represent their heritage. The passion, intensity and skill demonstrated by the finest players in the world has been inspiring throughout Pool Play.
That said, for our purposes in this section of the newsletter, what we’re actually referring to is the quality of their gear. If you’re a baseball style nut – like we are – then this is absolutely your event. We’ve been collecting our favorite cleats, gloves and bats right here, and we’ll be continuing to do that throughout the Classic.
For now though, here are three notable picks from Pool Play, as seen above:
Shohei Ohtani, Japan colorway of SO1
Ohtani has been notably conservative with his first signature cleats, either using a white/black and gold motif or Dodger blue, so it’s fun to see him branch out a bit.
Bobby Witt Jr., custom Team USA bat
The Royals dynamo has opened eyes with his Gold Glove defense, and his bat is just as sharp. We mean the literal bat, though he entered Tuesday hitting .333 with three steals.
Jazz Chisholm Jr., Union Jack glove Knowing what we do about how Jazz usually rolls – he’s known to design his own cleats, for example – we had high expectations. And to be certain, he absolutely exceeded them with both his amazing glove and a host of custom Air Jordans.
– Bryan Horowitz
SKENES-SANITY — THE SEQUEL
If last year is any indication, tickets for the Pirates’ home game on April 18 are going to be some of the hottest of the season. The reason is simple: All fans in attendance will take home a limited edition Paul Skenes Cy Young Bobblehead.
To be sure, every start by the Team USA ace, coming off four scoreless innings in a 5-3 victory over Mexico last night, is a can’t-miss affair. And while there’s no guarantee he’ll be on the mound for his giveaway night, the incredible collectible alone will certainly pack the park. So get your tickets before they’re gone >>
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RJ Hamster 