In short: A respected institutional adviser predicts gold could jump to around $20,000 an ounce… and one leading currency expert predicts a shocking $27,533 an ounce.
Here’s to our health, wealth, and a great retirement,
Dr. David Eifrig, MD, MBA Senior Partner, Stansberry Research CEO, MarketWise
Published by Stansberry Research.
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The Federal Reserve announced another 25 basis-point cut, along with the authorization of fresh Treasury bill purchases to expand its reserves.
The Treasury purchasing plan softened the blow when the central bank hinted at a possible pause in the rate-cutting cycle, with an outlook of just one interest rate cut in 2026.
Wall Street waited anxiously for Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference, and he suggested that the central bank has done enough to propel the labor market while leaving rates high enough to push inflation down to the 2% target.
“This further normalization of our policy stance should help stabilize the labor market while allowing inflation to resume its downward trend toward 2% once the effects of tariffs have passed through,” Powell said.
(Photo: Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images)
Powell talked about how difficult it is to navigate in the current environment. Unemployment moved higher to 4.4% in September — a jump from 4.1% in June. At the same time, the PCE index rose 2.8% in the year through September.
Naturally, the central bank sounded like it was inclined to leave rates unchanged for a while to bring both mandates to their targets.
The Fed also released its quarterly projections, and officials’ median projections showed one cut in 2026, and one in 2027. There’s a big division in the outlook, with seven officials seeing no cuts in 2026, while eight signaled at least two.
(Source: Federal Reserve / Bloomberg)
All in all, it sounded like a slightly hawkish cut.
The Treasury purchasing plan was the key that avoided an outsized reaction by the market. Over the next few months, the Fed will depend on incoming data to make decisions.
“The Fed emphasized that future moves will be data-dependent, shifting firmly to a meeting-by-meeting approach,” said Daniel Siluk, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.
“Chair Powell reinforced this stance in his press conference, noting that the Committee sees today’s cut as a ‘prudent adjustment’ rather than the start of a new cycle.”
Right now, traders will likely look at incoming economic data to try and gauge what the Fed might do in the first half of 2026. And, of course, President Trump’s next Fed Chair pick will play a big role in the market’s outlook on rates.
Down 75% from Highs: Why Trex at $35 Looks Like a Screaming Buy
Today’s Stock Pick: Trex Company, Inc (TREX)
After the Fed’s recent rate cut, the environment is looking better for small-cap stocks that rely on lower rates for a strong business cycle.
Trex is one of them.
It operates in the home improvement industry that relies on lower rates to drive spending activity.
Now, listen: We’re trying to go green in everything. And wood decks would require a lot of trees, which bucks the trend of sustainability.
What’s more, wood decks are painful to maintain.
Wood will rot, warp, and splinter. And you’ll need to paint or stain wood seasonally. And eventually, it will fade due to termites and age. Anybody who owns a wood deck will remember these splinters that can pierce your fingers or feet.
Trex is leading the revolution of using materials that are 95% recycled and reclaimed, like plastic bags, to create high-quality, attractive decks. In fact, they often look better than wood. And best of all, it requires virtually zero maintenance (except for regular cleaning) and lasts for 25+ years.
(Source: Trex)
And you can see how composite materials last longer than wood in the photo below:
As a result, consumers are switching to composite decks more than ever. Composite has about 25% of the market share in decking, as of the most recent quarter. And composite continues to take about 2% share from wood every year.
Trex CEO Bryan Fairbanks believes that composite would eventually hold about 45-50% of the market share*:*
“…we estimate composites account for approximately 25% of the total decking market but expect it will reach 45% to 50% in the future.”
Each 1% market share would add ~$80 million to annual composite sales. Using the average of 2% growth, the composite market could grow by $160 million each year from taking the market share from wood alone.
(Source: Trex)
Cost comparison: Wood is slightly cheaper upfront versus composite deck, but composite wood is two times cheaper to maintain over the 25-year lifecycle.
The long-term comparison is simply a no-brainer in favor of composite deck. It lasts longer and requires far less maintenance.
(Source: Trex)
Best of all, Trex thoroughly dominates this niche in composite decks. The company commands more than 55% of category web traffic through its sites – trex.com and decks.com.
(Source: Trex)
And it won multiple prestigious awards for top products, brand awareness, sustainability, fastest-growing business, and best mid-size companies.
(Source: Trex)
Sure enough, the company grew 101%, which is nearly two times faster than the repair & remodeling market in the same period.
(Source: Trex)
The company sees its 2025 revenue to be at $1.16 billion, which would be almost unchanged from its 2024 full-year revenue. The company is perfectly positioned to grow when the remodeling activity recovers, as the CEO said in the recent earnings call.
“I’m confident that our strategy for long-term growth positions us to realize significant gains as R&R spending recovers,” said CEO Bryan Fairbanks.
The stock is cheap: With its strong financials, dominant market share, and solid growth, Trex’s stock was formerly popular. But due to higher rates, the stock has been beaten down.
The price was at $140 in 2022, and it is now trading at $35 a share.
Its P/E ratio is just 19.
This is a good value since Trex is a rare company that is in the right trend, dominates its niche, and holds pricing power.
Bottom line: The decking industry is going through a massive change, and Trex is at the forefront of this industry. It is known as the “Apple of the composite deck,” where its products are generally accepted as the highest-quality ones in the market. So, this is a high-quality stock.
Power Metallic Mines Inc. (PNP)NF has just released blockbuster results from its Lion Zone at the Nisk Project, including 4.40 meters grading 12.18% copper (14.34% CuEqRec) within 20.40 meters of 2.91% Cu (3.58% CuEqRec). With gold breaking past $4,300 per ounce, silver over $50, and copper and battery metals surging, PNPNF sits at the intersection of booming precious metals and industrial mineral demand. The company’s fully funded 100,000-meter drilling program through 2026 aims to expand high-grade mineralization across Nisk, Lion, and Tiger zones, offering investors rare exposure to ethically sourced polymetallic resources.
Strategically located near Hydro-Québec power, the Nisk Project benefits from low operating costs, shallow deposits, and exceptional potential for carbon sequestration, aligning with green mining initiatives. As global supply constraints tighten and Fed rate cut expectations lift metals markets, PNPNF emerges as a potential North American leader in critical minerals and precious metals. Its high-grade deposits of nickel, copper, cobalt, PGEs, gold, and silver are strategically positioned to supply the green energy revolution while offering diversified exposure for investors. Backed by leading figures in mining and resource development, PNPNF benefits from strategic guidance and credibility in the global minerals market.
3 Reasons Casey’s General Stores Will Continue Trending Higher
Reported by Thomas Hughes. Date Posted: 12/10/2025.
Key Takeaways
Casey’s General Stores had a solid fiscal Q2, providing fuel for a potential 2026 rally.
Cash flow and capital returns underpin CASY’s price action.
Broad market support, including from institutions and analysts, and a tendency toward accumulation, are driving the action.
There are three reasons Casey’s General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) stock price will likely continue to trend higher despite valuation concerns. The stock isn’t cheap as of late 2025, trading at roughly 33 times its current-year earnings. Still, that price reflects a reliable growth trajectory, which could represent meaningful upside for long-term, buy-and-hold investors.
It is trading at about 10 times its 2035 earnings outlook, implying the potential for roughly 100% upside over the coming years. Below, we explore three reasons investors might expect the stock to trend higher in 2026—growth, cash flow and capital returns, and broad market support.
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Reason #1: Casey’s Revealed Momentum in Its FQ2 Report
Casey’s General Stores delivered a solid fiscal second quarter (FQ2), with earnings resultsshowing strength and momentum that are expected to carry through to year-end. Net revenue of $4.51 billion rose 14.2% year-over-year (YOY), slightly ahead of consensus, driven by new-store expansion and comp-store increases. Store count was up 9% YOY and 0.6% year-to-date (YTD), helped by last year’s acquisition of Fike’s.
Strength appeared in both the inside and outside segments, with total inside sales up 13%, inside comps up 3.3%, and fuel-gallon comps up 0.8%.
Within the inside segment, both grocery and prepared foods showed meaningful improvement, including margin expansion.
The company widened its fuel margin, which helped offset higher costs elsewhere and preserve overall profitability versus the prior year. That margin strength contributed to a 17.5% increase in EBITDA, a 14% rise in net income, and GAAP EPS of $0.33.
Notably, the $0.33 EPS was about 630 basis points above MarketBeat’s reported consensus forecast. These results support a stronger full-year profitability outlook, and operating momentum is expected to continue into 2026.
Reason #2: Casey’s Generates Healthy Cash Flows and Value
While Casey’s operates with the modest margins typical of the retail sector, its operational efficiency and balance sheet strength allow it to generate substantial free cash flow. In FQ2, positive cash flow helped strengthen the balance sheet, with assets growing faster than liabilities. Total liabilities stood at about 1.25 times equity, and shareholder equity is rising.
Shareholder equity increased roughly 8% YTD even as the company continued to return capital through dividends and buybacks.
Neither the dividend nor the buybacks are aggressive; they are disciplined and consistent. The 0.4% yield as of mid-December represents only about 10% of the earnings forecast and is expected to grow over time. The company is a Dividend Aristocrat and is on track to extend its streak toward 50 years and potential Dividend King status.
Share repurchases have been modest but steady, reducing the share count incrementally each quarter. Investors should note that Casey’s share count rose YOY earlier in the year because the company preserved capital ahead of the acquisition of Fike’s. Buybacks have since resumed, lowered the share count in FQ2, and are expected to continue in 2026.
Reason #3: Casey’s Has Broad Market Support
Beyond the earnings momentum and capital returns, broad market support has been an important tailwind for the stock’s longer-term appreciation. That support shows up in analyst coverage and institutional behavior.
Analysts who rate the stock a Moderate Buy have been nudging up their 2026 price targets, and that trend continued after the FQ2 release.
One notable update was a price-target increase from RBC to $591, above consensus and sufficient to drive a new all-time high. Institutions own roughly 85% of the shares and were net buyers in every quarter of 2026, purchasing about $2 for every $1 sold.
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Ratings changes for Broadcom, Broadcom, Anixa Biosciences, Olema Pharmaceuticals, Structure Therapeutics, Cytokinetics, lululemon athletica and more…Text “MarketBeat” to 68285 to get SMS breaking news alerts for stocks on your watchlist and other special reports. Learn More.
Market Swings Are Back—2 Options Plays to Watch Now (ad)Markets don’t like uncertainty — and this summer has delivered plenty of it. Political gridlock, legal disputes, and rising global tensions have fueled sharp swings across major indexes.
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Analyst RatingsMy MarketBeatAccount SettingsMarketBeat All AccessStock ListsStock ScreenerCalculatorsPremium ReportsBest Stocks to Buy in DecemberBNZI: Big Wins in Small-Cap AI (ad)AI-powered marketing platform Banzai International (NASDAQ: BNZI) just delivered a standout Q3, reporting $2.8 million in revenue (+163% YoY) and $11 million in ARR (+168%), while expanding gross margins to 82% and sharply reducing losses. With more than 90,000 customers — including Cisco, HP, and New York Life — BNZI is seeing accelerating adoption of its AI-driven tools like Curate, Demio, and Superblocks. Strengthened equity, a scalable recurring-revenue model, and strategic acquisitions position the company to capitalize on the $1.5 trillion marketing technology market as demand for automation surges.
$311.62 -0.81 (-0.26%) As of 12/12/2025 9:47 AM ET
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) announced a quarterly dividend on Tuesday, October 21st. Investors of record on Monday, December 8th will be paid a dividend of 0.21 per share by the information services provider on Monday, December 15th. This represents a c) dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 0.3%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Monday, December 8th.
Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) had its price target raised by JPMorgan Chase & Co. ( ) (analyst Doug Anmuth) from $340.00 to $385.00. They now have an “overweight” rating on the stock. This represents a 23.2% upside from the current price of $312.43.
$647.75 -4.96 (-0.76%) As of 12/12/2025 9:47 AM ET
Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) declared a quarterly dividend on Wednesday, December 3rd. Investors of record on Monday, December 15th will be given a dividend of 0.525 per share by the social networking company on Tuesday, December 23rd. This represents a c) dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 0.3%. The ex-dividend date is Monday, December 15th.
insider Jennifer Newstead sold 519 shares of Meta Platforms stock in a transaction that occurred on Tuesday, December 9th. The stock was sold at an average price of $664.16, for a total value of $344,699.04. Following the transaction, the insider directly owned 30,215 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $20,067,594.40. The trade was a 1.69% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available at the SEC website.
Citigroup (NYSE:C) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating. They now have a $124.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 10.2% upside from the current price of $112.52.Choice Hotels International (NYSE:CHH) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from an “underweight” rating to a “neutral” rating. They now have a $95.00 price target on the stock, down previously from $102.00. This represents a 4.8% upside from the current price of $90.68.Freddie Mac (OTCMKTS:FMCC) was upgraded by analysts at Wedbush from an “underperform” rating to an “outperform” rating. They now have a $13.35 price target on the stock. This represents a 21.5% upside from the current price of $10.99.Gaming and Leisure Properties(NASDAQ:GLPI) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating. They now have a $53.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $52.00. This represents a 22.1% upside from the current price of $43.41.Intercontinental Hotels Group (NYSE:IHG) was upgraded by analysts at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating.The current price is $139.31.Magnolia Oil & Gas (NYSE:MGY) was upgraded by analysts at Mizuho from a “neutral” rating to an “outperform” rating.The current price is $23.34.SoundHound AI (NASDAQ:SOUN) was upgraded by analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating. They now have a $15.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $13.00. This represents a 21.9% upside from the current price of $12.30.CLEAR Secure (NYSE:YOU) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating. They now have a $42.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $35.00. This represents a 4.2% upside from the current price of $40.31. VIEW MORE UPGRADES Companies Forced to Hand Over 90% of Profits (ad)Why Is Nobody Talking About What Just Happened at Mar-a-Lago?
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easyJet (OTCMKTS:ESYJY) was downgraded by analysts at Kepler Capital Markets from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating.The current price is $6.49.M&T Bank (NYSE:MTB) was downgraded by analysts at Truist Financial Corporation from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating. They now have a $217.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 6.0% upside from the current price of $204.75.Roblox (NYSE:RBLX) was downgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from an “overweight” rating to a “neutral” rating. They now have a $100.00 price target on the stock, down previously from $145.00. This represents a 9.5% upside from the current price of $91.29.Sociedad Quimica y Minera (NYSE:SQM) was downgraded by analysts at Citigroup Inc. from a “buy” rating to a “neutral” rating. They now have a $74.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 12.2% upside from the current price of $65.96. VIEW MORE DOWNGRADES This week’s 20x (missed it?) (ad)Less than 0.2% of investors know this market exists…
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British American Tobacco (NYSE:BTI) is now covered by analysts at Kepler Capital Markets. They set a “buy” rating on the stock.The current price is $56.81.Genpact (NYSE:G) is now covered by analysts at Susquehanna. They set a “neutral” rating and a $50.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 5.4% upside from the current price of $47.45.Huntington Ingalls Industries (NYSE:HII) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc.. They set a “buy” rating and a $376.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 13.9% upside from the current price of $330.03.Palatin Technologies(NYSEAMERICAN:PTN) is now covered by analysts at Laidlaw. They set a “buy” rating and a $60.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 135.1% upside from the current price of $25.52.Science Applications International(NYSE:SAIC) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc.. They set a “buy” rating and a $122.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 19.5% upside from the current price of $102.11.SouthState Bank (NYSE:SSB) is now covered by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co.. They set an “overweight” rating and a $115.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 20.4% upside from the current price of $95.54.Teledyne Technologies (NYSE:TDY) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc.. They set a “neutral” rating and a $567.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 8.6% upside from the current price of $521.87.Tyler Technologies (NYSE:TYL) is now covered by analysts at TD Cowen. They set a “buy” rating and a $650.00 price target on the stock. This represents a 41.5% upside from the current price of $459.51. VIEW MORE NEW COVERAGE
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Gold’s Breakout Above $4,000 Sparks a Historic Bull Market — And Scorpio Gold (OTCQB: SRCRF) Could Be at the Center of Nevada’s Next Multi-Million-Ounce Discovery.
Gold’s unprecedented surge past $4,000 per ounce in 2025 has ignited a powerful new bull market in precious metals. With inflation, global uncertainty, and central banks buying at record levels, some analysts now forecast gold could hit $5,000 by 2026.
In this environment, Scorpio Gold Corporation (OTCQB: SRCRF) is emerging as a standout junior explorer — backed by industry titans Ross Beaty and Eric Sprott, who together invested CAD$8 million to accelerate development of Scorpio’s 100%-owned Manhattan District Project in Nevada’s prolific Walker Lane Trend, just 15 km south of Kinross Gold’s 15-million-ounce Round Mountain Mine!
Scorpio’s 2025 Maiden Mineral Resource Estimate outlined 740,000 ounces of inferred gold grading 1.26 g/t, marking the first modern resource in this historic district. Combined with several high-grade historical zones totaling 303,949 ounces at 5.89 g/t, and new drill results still to come, the company is poised for significant expansion.
With world-class backers, record-breaking gold prices, and a district-scale asset in America’s premier mining jurisdiction, SRCRF could be one of the biggest breakout stories of this new gold supercycle.
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Dear Fellow Investor,
How to Spot Excessively Oversold Opportunities
In 2005, a bizarre and tragic incident made global headlines. According to USA Today, 450 sheep in a remote Turkish village jumped to their deaths after falling off a cliff. The cause wasn’t a predator, an earthquake, or a sudden shock.
It was one sheep.
One sheep wandered too close to the drop and fell. Another followed. And suddenly, hundreds—eventually more than 1,500—blindly followed the flock, piling over the cliff’s edge simply because the others were doing it. Many didn’t survive. The ones that did lived only because they landed on the massive pile of wool beneath them.
As odd as this sounds, it’s not a rare occurrence in nature. Herd mentality is a powerful force.
And traders fall for it every day.
Most investors buy because everyone else is buying. They sell because everyone else is selling. They chase headlines, social media hype, and emotional narratives. They jump when the market jumps, panic when the market panics, and often have no idea why they’re taking action at all.
It’s one of the costliest mistakes in all of investing.
Charles Mackay captured this phenomenon more than 180 years ago in his classic, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. He wrote: “Men… think in herds; they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.”
Even though he wrote those words in 1841, they apply just as much today—arguably more. Markets now move faster, information travels instantly, and fear spreads across screens in milliseconds. The more connected we become, the stronger herd mentality gets.
But here’s the good news: herd mentality is predictable. And if you know how to identify it, you can exploit it—just as some of the world’s most successful investors have done.
The Billionaire Blueprint for Exploiting Fear and Greed
Warren Buffett has repeated one of the most valuable market principles of all time:
“Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
Baron Rothschild famously advised investors to “buy when there’s blood in the streets.”
Sir John Templeton, who built one of the world’s most successful global mutual funds, bought stocks at the peak of pessimism—often when markets were in total panic.
Each of these investors made fortunes by identifying moments when the crowd was acting irrationally—and doing the opposite.
But there’s one key difference between their era and ours:
They relied primarily on fundamental analysis—studying earnings, valuations, and economic conditions.
We can combine that with technical analysis, giving us a more precise way to spot major turning points.
And that leads to one of the most profitable patterns in all of trading:
The Excessively Oversold Opportunity.
This is what happens when the herd has sold so aggressively—and so emotionally—that prices fall far below reasonable value. When sentiment collapses, panic replaces logic… and that’s exactly when smart investors step in.
Let’s look at Palantir (PLTR), which recently gave investors a textbook setup.
In early November, fears of an “AI bubble” sent shares tumbling from about $210 down to $147.56—a steep drop driven almost entirely by emotion. There was no collapse in earnings. No loss of major customers. No negative guidance. Just widespread fear that AI stocks had run up “too far, too fast.”
Investors panicked… and sold. Analysts piled in with gloomy predictions… and more sold. Momentum traders saw the drop… and sold.
But here’s the irony:
The AI bubble they were terrified of still doesn’t exist. AI adoption is accelerating, not slowing. And the companies powering it—including Palantir—continue to post strong fundamentals.
So what happened next?
As the panic faded, the stock rebounded sharply—rallying to $186.47.
The real question is: How could investors have spotted this oversold opportunity before the bounce?
The Four Indicators You Must Watch
The answer lies in four key technical pivot points. Each of these signals helps reveal when fear has reached an extreme:
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price moves.
When RSI dips to or below 30, a stock is considered “oversold.” Extreme drops toward that line often precede powerful reversals.
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
MACD shows momentum.
When it dips well below its mean or crosses into deeply negative territory, it signals that selling momentum is overstretched.
3. Williams’ %R
This indicator measures overbought/oversold conditions on a scale of 0 to -100.
When it falls below the -80 line, it indicates oversold conditions.
4. Full Stochastics
Like Williams’ %R, this is another momentum indicator.
When Full Stochastics dip below 20, selling pressure is approaching extreme levels.
Now here’s where it gets interesting.
When all four indicators reach these oversold lines at the same time, it’s often a major turning point.
From precision medical robotics to autonomous industrial systems, adoption is accelerating across healthcare, defense, and supply chain operations — and capital markets are responding.
• Commercial solutions already deployed in high-growth industries • Improving analyst sentiment and institutional inflows • Exposure to a robotics market expected to exceed $200B within this decade
With momentum strengthening across the sector, timing is becoming a competitive edge.
Around November 21, every one of these indicators flashed oversold:
RSI fell to the 30-line
MACD dropped sharply below its mean
Williams’ %R sank beneath -80
Full Stochastics plunged under 20
Even more important: when you zoom out and view these indicators across one or two years of price action, a clear pattern emerges.
Each time all four indicators hit extreme oversold levels simultaneously… PLTR bounced.
This is the power of studying the herd. This is how you identify irrational selling. This is how you exploit emotionally-driven panic.
Does It Work 100% of the Time?
Of course not.
No strategy in the market is perfect. There will always be false signals, unexpected news, and periods when the herd stays irrational longer than expected.
But here’s what this method will do:
Help you avoid panic selling
Put you on the right side of sentiment
Identify price levels the crowd has pushed too far
Give you objective confirmation that selling pressure is fading
Improve timing on entries and exits
Increase your odds of capturing major reversals
When combined with solid fundamentals—just as the great investors consistently demonstrated—these technical signals become even more powerful.
And we’re not talking about Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, or any of the memecoins you’ve already heard about.
This is something different. Something with massive upside potential that’s still flying completely under the radar.
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Are there any other lesser known oversold stocks that you’re buying right now? What other sectors of the market are you currently interested in? Hit “reply” to this email and let us know your thoughts!
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In uncertain environments, using the best available data for stock picking is critical. That also goes for figuring out which stocks to avoid.
As Marc explains in this classic essay, his one-of-a-kind Power Gauge system shines in this area…
Giving Jon Najarian a Great Call
By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics“Based on the bearish Power Gauge rating, I think the risk of a negative earnings surprise is too great.”
I said those words in 2012, as I was appearing for the first time on CNBC’s Fast Money Halftime Report.
On the panel next to me was Jon Najarian. I’m guessing you’ve heard of him…
The NFL-linebacker-turned-high-profile-trader had become a household name in the financial world by then. He would go on to sell his publishing and trading platforms, optionMONSTER and tradeMONSTER, to E-Trade just a few years later for $750 million.
Jon was at the peak of his financial career. And although I’d been making the rounds on CNBC, this was the first time we had crossed paths.
The stock we were talking about was online travel agency Priceline, which later changed its name to Booking Holdings (BKNG).
Priceline was one of Jon’s bullish trades at the time. And I had just told CNBC viewers that it looked too risky.
The thing is, I didn’t know anything about Priceline.
But I did have the Power Gauge to guide me. And that was all I needed…Recommended Links:
On December 16, legendary market veteran Marc Chaikin is officially sounding the alarm on the U.S. stock market… and will reveal the No. 1 step to take with your money BEFORE January 1 to protect yourself and prepare as hundreds of stocks could soon suffer swift, brutal sell-offs. The last time he issued a warning like this, the average investor went on to lose up to 44% of their portfolio in the months that followed. Before it’s too late, learn more here.
As one market veteran is now warning, if you want to protect yourself from the chaos surrounding the AI bubble – and potentially triple your money – you need to make this ONE move before January 1, 2026. Click here to learn more.As longtime readers know, the Power Gauge is the culmination of my life’s work.
It combines more than five decades’ worth of data-driven market research. And it packages everything I’ve learned about the markets into actionable information for every stock it processes.
So I didn’t need to know much about Priceline. I just typed in the ticker and got my report.
Immediately, I saw that Priceline was set up to release disappointing earnings. The Power Gauge made it clear.
Obviously, the interface for the Power Gauge has gotten more refined over the years. Here’s an example of another stock that the Power Gauge turned “very bearish” on recently…You’ve probably never heard of Kingsway Financial Services (KFS).
But that’s not important – because the Power Gauge has.
Each of these sliders is backed by data that can be further explored. And the data shows us that Kingsway is in a risky spot for investors right now.
That was the kind of setup I saw when I told Jon that Priceline looked like a no-go. The Power Gauge had provided me with the most important (and most relevant) information.
Again, Jon was excited about the stock. But he was a professional. And he was willing to reexamine his ideas.
The interview ended with Jon saying, “I’m going to take a harder look, since Marc Chaikin doesn’t like it.”
That was Monday, August 6, 2012. On Wednesday, the day after Priceline’s earnings, the Halftime Report did a highly unusual follow-up.
The host started by asking Jon, “Chaikin spooked you a little bit?”
“He did indeed. And I think… a lot of folks followed Mr. Chaikin. Those of us that picked up some cheap out-of-the-money puts… well, they worked out like a charm.
“Those puts went from like $1.80 last night to $15, $16,” Jon continued. “Again, great call by Marc Chaikin. And thanks, Marc, for helping me out.”
In short, the Power Gauge was right. Priceline missed earnings. And Jon listened to me, made a bet against the stock, and racked up big profits instead of taking major losses.
Now, one great call is just that – a single great call.
But it was only possible because I had the Power Gauge at my side.
The Power Gauge uses the best data available to help individual investors make consistently great calls. And my goal is to share that power with as many investors as I can.
Good investing,
Marc Chaikin
Editor’s note: Looking ahead to 2026, it’s critical that investors have the right data and tools at their disposal…
This coming Tuesday, December 16, Marc is going on camera for a big event. During it, he’ll explain why we’re likely to see a volatile ride ahead in 2026. To share the message, he’ll also be joined by a special guest who has essentially devoted his career to accurately timing the markets.
Marc and this special guest will also discuss a brand-new tool designed to safeguard your portfolio against the volatility we’re likely to see in 2026. That also includes a string of devastating “flash crashes” that could be headed for hundreds of popular stocks.
Also note that today’s edition of the Chaikin PowerFeed does not include the usual data from the Power Gauge below. Power Gauge users can still log on to the Chaikin Analytics platform to access our system’s most recent data.
Look forward to our usual PowerFeed format returning on Monday, December 15.
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For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call +1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.), 9 a.m. – 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice.
Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors.
Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation.
This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we’ve learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn’t make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It’s your money and your responsibility.
Identity politics have been merged into American law. This led to issues where race or gender were used to weigh guilt or innocence, and even the severity of punishment.
Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s new vaccine advisory panel recommends delaying the first vaccine that’s given to many children, the Hepatitis B vaccine that’s administered pretty much as soon as they’re born.
Restorative justice policies are being practiced in schools all over the U.S. Advocates say they break the “school-to-prison” pipeline by using compassion and accountability rather than punishment for offending students.
Amidst ongoing U.S. efforts to mediate a Russia–Ukraine peace and the release of a new U.S. national security strategy that has sent shockwaves through Europe, I’m sitting down with the foreign minister of Latvia, Baiba Braze, to get her unique perspective.
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By the late 1990s, Apple already had a reputation for brilliance.
Its engineers had built the Macintosh, helped spark the desktop-publishing boom, and redefined personal computing.
Then a designer named Jony Ive stepped forward – and took Apple’s products, and its business, to the next level.
Ive had a way of stripping an object to its essence. He sketched devices as if they were carved from a single block: clean lines, hidden screws, shapes so simple they felt inevitable once you saw them.
It was a new design language, and it ran through Apple’s most iconic products – the iMac, the iPod, the iPhone.
Ive showed how a great organization can become even greater when it partners with the right person at the right time.
And at TradeSmith, we’re making our own version of that leap.
We’ve had one of our strongest years ever – launching tools that track seasonality patterns in thousands of stocks… uncovering hidden value in the options market… and using AI to forecast short-term trading opportunities.
Now, we’re teaming up with one of Wall Street’s most respected “quant” investors, Marc Chaikin, for another important breakthrough.
Marc is a legend on Wall Street and a pioneer of the kind of data-driven analysis we excel at here at TradeSmith.
His first day on Wall Street was Oct. 7, 1966. Back then, the term “quant investor” didn’t even exist.
Today, Bloomberg and Reuters carry his Chaikin Money Flow indicator on their terminals. And hedge funds and banks around the world use it to spot shifts in institutional buying and selling pressure.
Thanks to the success of these tools, Marc has advised Steve Cohen, George Soros, and Paul Tudor Jones – guys who don’t return your call unless you bring a real edge.
Even more impressive, his public warnings about the 2020 crash, the 2022 bear market, and this year’s tariff shock all came before the damage hit. Now, he’s partnering with TradeSmith on what may be the most important prediction of his career.
Marc says 2026 will be the Year of the Bear, with an average stock market loss of about 20%. And he warns that popular AI-related stocks – the kind that are flying high now – could get hit even harder.
My mission as TradeSmith CEO is to make sure you have hedge-fund-level tools to help you spot opportunities and protect your downside risk.
So, together with Marc, my team and I are launching a set of new tools to help you lock in gains… and avoid sudden losses… in the type of market he sees coming.
It’s an advancement in investment tech that could save tens of thousands of dollars in potential losses when we reach the next market tipping point.
I’ll get into more details in a moment. First, more on what makes Marc the perfect partner for TradeSmith and why, after years of AI-fueled euphoria, he sees a bear market coming in 2026.
What I’ve uncovered about the true impact of President Trump’s tariffs and DOGE initiative has left me deeply troubled. As someone who worked inside the Federal Reserve system and managed billions for America’s wealthiest families, I recognize the warning signs others miss. I urge you to see my urgent message immediately. The window for preparation isn’t just closing – it’s slamming shut. Watching this may be the most consequential few minutes you spend this year.
The Perfect Partnership
At TradeSmith, our mission is to take the kind of software tools elite money managers use – and put them in the hands of everyday investors.
That’s why we built TradeStops 20 years ago. Instead of relying on emotions and gut feelings, it gave our subscribers a quantitative way to know when to sell their stocks based on their historical volatility.
It’s also why we released our Seasonality software, our suite of options tools, and our Predictive Alpha AI-powered trading model. We want to give regular folks the kind of edge Wall Street takes for granted.
And Marc’s career mirrors that mission.
In 1966, he started on Wall Street with nothing but a phone, a notepad, and a desire to understand what truly drove stock prices. And he went on to build something few others have: a quantitative system trusted across the industry.
Bloomberg and Reuters carry his Chaikin Money Flow on their terminals all over the world. Banks, hedge funds, and other institutional investors use it to measure where the big money is going and to react accordingly.
Later, Marc built the Power Gauge. It’s a 20-factor model that evaluates stocks the same way institutions do: by blending fundamentals, technicals, and real-world money flows.
Marc has also shared a series of timely predictions about the market with his more than 800,000 followers. And he’s helped them not only avoid big losses, but also capture big gains.
In early 2022, he sounded the alarm on the post-COVID bull run, just 90 days before stocks fell into a bear market.
In early 2023, he said stocks were about to kick off an extraordinary recovery and shoot up 20% or more – right before the S&P 500 gained 26% that year alone.
And earlier this year, he warned of a violent market shift, just before the S&P 500 plunged 19% following the Liberation Day tariffs.
Nobody has called the twists and turns of this market quite like Marc has.
He’s worked on Wall Street for 50 years, survived 10 bear markets, built three new indexes for the Nasdaq, and created his own quantitative indicator that’s still used on Wall Street. I don’t know any other investor who matches his record.
Now, he’s warning that another sudden drop is coming… one that will take a lot of bulls by surprise.
2026 – Year of the Bear
Marc says 2026 will be a tipping-point year for the stock market. Not because of valuations… or sentiment… or anything you’ll hear about on CNBC.
It’s because the stock market is entering a pattern that shows up again and again across more than a century of data. Based on his analysis, Marc puts the odds at 65% that this surprise downturn will begin by March 2026.
And his concern isn’t just about the broad market. It’s about how uneven the returns on individual stocks will become.
During the 2022 downturn, for example, the S&P 500 fell 20%. But because the stocks most investors were holding fell much farther, much faster, the average investor was down closer to 40%.
That’s why Marc believes 2026 requires a different kind of playbook. One built for fast markets, sharp reversals, and sudden breakpoints. One that lets you step out early to avoid losses – and step back in again after sharp drops, before the crowd gets back in.
That’s exactly what we designed our new sell-alert system to do.
A New Kind of Alert for a New Kind of Market
For years, I’ve pounded the table on the importance of using some form of stop loss.
If you’re not familiar with the term, a stop loss is a line in the sand you set below a stock’s highest price. If the stock falls through that line, you sell automatically. It’s designed to protect your profits and prevent a drop from turning into a portfolio-wrecking loss.
And the kind of “smart” stop losses we’ve developed at TradeSmith help you maximize your gains while keeping your winners from turning into losses.
They’ve helped tens of thousands of investors stay in winners longer and avoid catastrophic wipeouts.
But for the first time since I’ve been TradeSmith’s CEO, I’m telling you NOT to lean on our smart stops to protect you. They’re a powerful tool – but we didn’t engineer them for the kind of fast, reactive environment Marc expects in 2026.
Instead, we’ve created a new kind of “early-warning system” built specifically for volatility shocks, fast trend breaks, and tipping-point conditions Marc sees ahead.
It’s sensitive to even the slightest bearish tremor in a stock.
You can set one up to monitor every stock you follow. If one of them begins to experience abnormal short-term volatility, you’ll automatically be alerted.
In our backtests, you would have been able to get out of:
Freshpet (FRPT) before a 74% crash
Lifetime Brands (LCUT) before a 77% crash
Bloomin’ Brands (BLMN) before a 72% crash
Funko (FNKO) before an 86% crash
Rocky Brands (RCKY) before a 75% crash
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) before a 69% crash
The Buckle (BKE) before a 21% crash
Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) before a 49% crash
Shoe Carnival (SCVL) before a 42% crash
The Gap (GAP) before a 72% crash
QVC Group (QVCGA) before a 99% crash
And if Marc’s prediction about 2026 is as accurate as his past calls, next year will be mainly about playing defense. You’ve got to protect your capital and recognize the stocks in your portfolio that are going to cause you problems.
To do that effectively, you need a disciplined, quantitative approach. If you’re relying on your gut… news headlines… or “gurus” on social media to alert you to these drops, you’re not going to be able to keep up.
And you’re not going to know when the next tipping point is coming for the stock market, either.
Marc will walk you through the data he’s looking at that led him to make his bear market call for 2026. And I’ll be showing you the groundbreaking new technology we’ve designed, developed, and meticulously tested to help you position yourself for what’s ahead.
When you see what it can do for you… on any stock you own… you’ll understand it’s the best way to safeguard your holdings in 2026.
P.S. As a thank-you for joining us on Tuesday, Marc and I will be sharing the name and ticker of a stock we believe every investor in America should steer clear of after Jan. 1.We’ll also share the ticker of a stock we believe every investor should buy before Jan. 1.
And when you register, you’ll get immediate access to a trial version of our new sell-alert system. You can check on up to 10 tickers from your portfolio to see if it’s picking up on bearish tremors you should be aware of. Here’s that link again to secure your spot now.
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