We’re Living in 1998 Again


The trade plan hits your inbox at 6PM tonight.

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They sit down at 9:45 the next morning, wait for the trigger between 10AM and noon, and execute when it fires.

That’s the workflow that produced +189.2% on a $5,000 account over the last 12 months.

You also get Blake live every morning, the A.I. Accelerator on the Nasdaq, the Gold Accelerator, the Six-Week Mastermind, the Live Masterclass, monthly coaching calls, and Futures 101.

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Don here…

Semiconductors are 150 percent higher over the last twelve months. That puts the sector four standard deviations above its long-run mean.

Most traders see that statistic and run for the exits.

Gianni Di Poce pulled the historical comparisons this morning and the data tells a different story.

The same setup hit in 2003 and the sector tacked on another 21 percent over three months. When it appeared again in 2021, chips ran another 37 percent over nine months.

Gianni compares the current market to 1998 during the dot-com run. The melt-up has serious room before the reckoning arrives.

In today’s free session replay, you’ll discover:

  • Why the top 10 percent of households drive 50 percent of all consumer spending. This is the data that explains how the bull market continues even while sentiment craters for everyone earning under 100 thousand. The people moving markets are not the people losing sleep over groceries.
  • The historical signal behind the recent six-week win streak.Markets finish higher 90 percent of the time twelve months later after this setup. The average gain is 17 percent. The math favors more upside even when the rally feels stretched.
  • Why technology overtaking energy across every timeframe matters. Tech now leads on weekly, monthly, year-to-date, and one-year measures. Sector dominance like that precedes the parabolic phase of every major bull market.
  • The roaring twenties comparison that frames the rest of this decade. Gianni thinks technology could grow to 60 or 70 percent of the S&P 500 before the bubble pops. After that comes a lost decade where bonds become the asset of choice.

The bigger picture is about who actually owns the stocks. Wall Street has not reflected Main Street for decades.

The wealthy own equities and equities keep going up. The party continues as long as the structure holds.

Strength compounds before it breaks. Today’s session gives you the historical framework to read exactly where we are in the cycle.

→ Watch Gianni explain why we are in 1998 not 2000 and what that means for the rest of this decade

To your success, 

Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE


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Insiders Are Buying These 6 Stocks Aggressively

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Access the Report HereBy clicking the link above you will automatically opt-in to receive emails from TechnicalTrading and agree to Privacy PolicyTech is betting on a former executive in the race for California governor

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — One tech investor called him “the only sane” Democrat in the race for . Others have dumped millions to boost his campaign, even paying for a Super Bowl ad to introduce him to voters. He’s against a proposed that has the state’s wealthiest residents threatening an exodus. Continue Reading ➔15X Bigger Than SpaceX: Elon’s New Launch – Ad

While the rest of the market goes crazy for “the mother of all IPOs”, a new Elon Musk innovation is quietly being rolled out nationwide. It’s been 27 years in the making, and it could have a radical impact on how millions of people manage their money… and even collect Social Security. Here’s everything you need to know.Trump’s Image Of ‘Destroyed’ Iranian Ships, Scaramucci’s Call For Long-Term Reform And More: This Week In Politics

Trump, Gavin Newsom, Anthony Scaramucci, and Neil deGrasse Tyson were among the figures driving major political news. Continue Reading ➔Jim Cramer Says No To This Industrial Stock: It Is Up ‘Way Too Much’

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The Iran War could reshape your retirement portfolio. Markets are already reacting as U.S. oil exports surge and energy stocks soar. On May 15, Trump is expected to invoke a little-known law that could ignite a massive boom in oil, gold, silver, and critical metals. See why some believe it could unlock $100T in new wealth.Top 3 Financial Stocks That Could Lead To Your Biggest Gains In May

Opportunity to buy undervalued financial stocks with RSI below 30. SPFI (-8%), KFS (-13%), TCBX (-6%) all have low RSI values and recent price drops. Continue Reading ➔Cathie Wood Dumps Another $3 Million In AMD Stock As Ark Invest Trims For Third Day Running, This Is the AI Stock She Is Buying Instead

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Automation is transforming every industry. From factories to AI-driven robotics, a few companies are leading the charge. Discover 3 robotics stocks positioned to benefit from the rapid rise of automation. 

See the Top 3 Picks.By clicking the link above you will automatically opt-in to receive emails from TechnicalTrading and agree to Privacy PolicyHow To Earn $500 A Month From AT&T Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings

AT&T has an annual dividend yield of 4.24% ($1.11 a year). Here’s how you can figure out how to earn $500 per month from the telecom stock. Continue Reading ➔What’s Going On With Archer Aviation Stock Monday?

ACHR stock climbs as short interest drops to 14.16%. Investors rally behind Archer Aviation prior to Monday’s Q1 earnings report. Continue Reading ➔You Missed Out on Nvidia’s 700% Bull Run. Don’t Miss Out on This One. – Ad

Wall Street living legend Marc Chaikin has returned with his #1 Stock Pick for 2026. This is his highest conviction pick to survive an increasingly dangerous U.S. stock market. And if you’re thinking it’s NVDA, TSLA, or the Mag 7, you’re dead wrong. Continue Reading ➔Nvidia Tops $5 Trillion Market Cap As AI Boom Lifts Intel, AMD And Chip Stocks: ‘Own It, Don’t Trade It,’ Says Jim Cramer

Nvidia surged past a $5 trillion valuation as AI-driven demand and strong Intel earnings fueled a broad semiconductor rally. Continue Reading ➔Federal Reserve faces unorthodox leadership change: Warsh enters, Powell remains

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Trump’s pick to lead the Federal Reserve, , has said he wants to bring “regime change” to the central bank, but if confirmed by the Senate he will find a Fed already transformed by the . Continue Reading ➔Trump Calls Off Talks: ‘They Can Call Us Any Time They Want’

President Trump told Fox News on Saturday that envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will no longer be heading to Pakistan for talks with Iran. Continue Reading ➔4 High Quality Stocks with Growing Dividends

Two companies, KLAC and AGX, stand out from the post-Iran-war rebound. With high Quality Scores and strong financials, they earned their gains. Continue Reading ➔AMD CEO Lisa Su Got Asked ‘Do You Speak English’ At A Formula One Race Where The Chipmaker Was Sponsoring Ferrari: Here’s How She Handled That

Lisa Su went from an awkward 2018 Formula One interview to leading AMD through a nearly 4,000% surge into a $665 billion tech giant. Continue Reading ➔Why Is Rocket Lab Stock Soaring Friday?

Rocket Lab (RKLB) surges 6% premarket after topping Q1 estimates and forecasting strong Q2 growth. Get the latest earnings and analyst data. Continue Reading ➔

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Volatility Signals Point to Correction

Monday, May 11, 2026

The Greatest Year I Have Ever Seen At This Firm

Blake Young just closed 12 months of live trading with 453 winning trades, 11 winning months out of 12, and a $5,000 account compounded to $14,459 in net profit.

In 25 years at this firm I have never put a track record like that in front of you, and Blake walks through every month of it in the replay.

He also breaks down the March 12th trade, the morning the Dow dropped 739 points and his account still finished green before lunch.

The door shuts Thursday when he starts working with the next group of traders, so the receipts and the system are only on the table until then.

👉 WATCH BLAKE’S FULL REPLAY HERE

Don here…

Brandon Chapman just flagged a volatility signal screaming correction.

The VIX 3-month to VIX ratio hit 1.2 today. Skew is sitting at 130.

Together those readings point to a 5% to 10% correction in the S&P 500 within the next 30 days.

Brandon walked through the catalyst lineup tonight. CPI hits Tuesday. PPI prints Wednesday. Core retail sales land Friday.

Then NVIDIA reports earnings next week.

That report is the real pivot point. Dispersion rocketed up today back to the same levels we saw heading into Mag Seven earnings.

Here is what Brandon is watching in tonight’s video:

  • SPY 740 is a massive call wall holding price down. Brandon bought a 740/738 put spread for 50 cents and sold it for a buck. He doubled his money intraday as price reversed off the gamma level.
  • VIX expiration Wednesday and monthly expiration Friday set up a volatility expansion. Brandon expects the real move to accelerate after NVIDIA reports next week.
  • Options flow is turning bearish in cyclicals and financials. Nike saw 8,700 contracts bought on the June 5th 42 puts. Whirlpool printed 13,000 contracts on the September 18th $30 puts.
  • Wells Fargo and JP Morgan are absorbing put pressure. XLF is sitting on support and a break opens the door back to 49.

Brandon’s downside math on a post-NVIDIA unwind is a 5% drop on the S&P, 10% on the Mag Seven, and 20% on NVIDIA itself.

👉 Click here to watch Brandon break down the gamma walls and the trades he is lining up

To your success,

Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE

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Disclaimer: Neither TheoTrade or any of its officers, directors, employees, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors is, in such capacities, a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. TheoTrade does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. TheoTrade is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does TheoTrade agree to direct your brokerage accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. Nothing contained in our content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, or endorsement of any particular security, other investment product, transaction or investment. Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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The one ticker at the heart of the Trump Fed Takeover

 FinStrategistStrategic financial insights, macroeconomic trends, and clear investment strategies for growth-oriented investors.The one ticker at the heart of the Trump Fed Takeover – Ad

Larry Benedict generated $274 million in profits for his clients by knowing where money flows when the Federal Reserve shifts. He says Trump’s Fed Takeover is triggering the most significant shift in U.S. markets in nearly 20 years. He’s already identified the one ticker he expects billions to flood into… and he’s giving away the name for free. Get the full details before the window closes.Who was invited to dinner with King Charles: Justices, business leaders and Palm Beach friends

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Musk called Nvidia’s GB300 “the best AI computer” after Anthropic partnered with SpaceX to expand Claude AI using 220,000 Nvidia GPUs. Continue reading ➔JPMorgan: We’re at 120% Debt-to-GDP [Your Plan B] – Ad

The U.S. national debt just crossed $38 trillion. JPMorgan warned we’re at 120% debt-to-GDP. Greece collapsed at 130%. Most people make one of two mistakes: staying 100% in dollars hoping the Fed figures it out, or panic buying gold and crypto with no strategy. I created the ABN System instead – a three-phase framework that protects and grows wealth in any market condition. Get Your Plan B (Before the Dollar Breaks)Joby Aviation, Celestica, Snap, Rambus, And Nvidia: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors’ Radars Today

U.S. stocks finished Monday on a mixed note, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipping 0.1% to 49,167.79. Continue reading ➔Nvidia Could Generate More Cash Than Apple, Microsoft Combined — BofA Says It’s Time To Pay Shareholders

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Get The Top StocksBy clicking the link above you will automatically opt-in to receive emails from SmartMoneyTrading and agree to Privacy PolicyRocket Lab, Super Micro Computer, eBay And More: 5 Stocks Investors Couldn’t Stop Buzzing About This Week

Retail investors talked up five hot stocks this week (May 4 to May 8) on X and Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets: AMD, EBAY, SMCI, UBER, and RKLB. Continue reading ➔How To Earn $500 A Month From AT&T Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings

AT&T has an annual dividend yield of 4.24% ($1.11 a year). Here’s how you can figure out how to earn $500 per month from the telecom stock. Continue reading ➔The SpaceX Window Is Closing Fast? – Ad

Tesla’s early investors saw massive gains – before most had access. This presentation highlights a potential upcoming IPO and a way to gain early exposure. See the setup, why it’s drawing attention, and how everyday investors can prepare ahead of the announcement. Get the free “SpaceX” ticker now.Pete Hegseth Tightens Pentagon Grip As Political Appointees Take Control: Report

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth removed Navy Secretary John Phelan after allegations of a “land grab” over military procurement decisions. Continue reading ➔Nvidia Tops $5 Trillion Market Cap As AI Boom Lifts Intel, AMD And Chip Stocks: ‘Own It, Don’t Trade It,’ Says Jim Cramer

Nvidia surged past a $5 trillion valuation as AI-driven demand and strong Intel earnings fueled a broad semiconductor rally. Continue reading ➔Copper Is Dead, Glass Is King: Inside Nvidia’s $500M Bet On Fiber Optics

Jensen Huang warns copper’s limitations in AI factories, backs Corning with $500 million to build new plants and create 3,000 jobs. Continue reading ➔Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Rocket Lab, Palantir, Beyond Meat — And Nasdaq And S&P 500 Continue Climbs

Benzinga examined the prospects for many investors’ favorite stocks over the last week — here’s a look at some of our top stories. Continue reading ➔Jeff Bezos’s $500 Million Superyacht Reportedly For Sale As Seattle Seahawks Hit The Market

A report says Jeff Bezos is selling his $500 million superyacht. Could the sale have a sports related significance? Continue reading ➔New data on 2022 China plane crash suggests cockpit struggle and fuel cut

Newly released data suggests that someone intentionally cut off the fuel to both engines of a China Eastern Airlines jet and there was a struggle over the controls before the plane , killing all 132 people aboard. Continue reading ➔

Information, charts, or examples contained in this email are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management. This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising and partner offers for which we may receive affiliate compensation. We only send these offers to those who have opted into our newsletter.

If you wish to no longer receive these offers, click on the unsubscribe link at the bottom of this email. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons, we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account.

The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices, or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended in this email and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct, or truthful.

If you use, act upon, or make decisions in reliance on information contained in this email or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates, and agents without fault.

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Caterpillar and Deere Positioned to Benefit From Weak Dollar

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NOT buy any SpaceX IPO shares until you read THIS (From Weiss Ratings)


Dollar at a 3-Year Low: 3 Exporters Quietly Printing Money

Written by Chris Markoch on May 9, 2026 

A stack of U.S. hundred-dollar bills on a desk overlaid with a red downward-trending stock chart.

Key Points

  • A weaker U.S. dollar is creating pricing advantages for exporters like Caterpillar and Deere.
  • Nucor benefits as falling dollar strength makes imported steel less competitive in the U.S. market.
  • Infrastructure spending, reshoring, and data center construction add long-term growth catalysts beyond currency trends.
  • Special ReportThese AI stocks could go to zero. Here’s why. (From InvestorPlace)

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) is down about 10% since it reached $109.64 in early January 2025. As of May 6, the greenback is trading at a level that investors haven’t seen since 2022. It’s important for investors to answer two questions. Why is it happening and how can they profit from this move?

The first question is simple, but nuanced. However, knowing the why makes the question of how to profit simple to answer.

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Why Is the Dollar Falling?

A key reason for the dollar’s decline is the Trump administration’s focus on restructuring the global trade system. The idea is that the U.S. dollar has been overvalued for decades, leading to chronic trade deficits and the erosion of U.S. manufacturing to countries like China.

Supporting that thinking, the U.S. goods trade deficit hit a record $1.2 trillion in 2024. That was 175% larger than in 2000.

That’s a structural reason for the dollar’s slide. But there are other reasons. First, the Federal Reserve began lowering interest rates at the end of 2024. This has reduced the attractiveness of U.S. debt.

Second, resilient global growth has dampened demand for dollar assets as a safe haven. Here’s how that works. Foreign central banks and institutional investors have been selling U.S. Treasury bonds (dollar-denominated assets) to raise capital to deploy in their own markets.

When foreign holders sell Treasuries, they receive dollars—and when they convert those dollars back into their home currencies to invest locally, it puts downward pressure on the dollar and upward pressure on their own currency.

Analysts anticipate the next few years will see a secular bear market for the dollar, driven by investors diversifying away from dollar-denominated securities and by central banks reducing their Treasury holdings.

Let These 2 Blue-Chip Stocks Do the Heavy Lifting

One area that investors could consider building a position to benefit from this dynamic is heavy machinery and industrials. Both of these markets are getting a lift in the United States due to the onshoring of manufacturing, the data center buildout, and the need to rebuild national infrastructure.

The United States also exports over $57 billion in machinery each year. Companies in this space are already seeing benefits.

Take Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) for example. Nearly half of the company’s revenue comes from outside North America. That makes the benefit of a weaker dollar self-explanatory. 

Pricing equipment in a company’s local currency becomes meaningfully cheaper without Caterpillar having to sacrifice margins.

And as the company’s Q1 2026 earnings report made clear, the long-term bull case is also rooted in the United States. Caterpillar is seeing heavy demand for its heavy equipment to build out data centers, and to modernize the nation’s infrastructure.

Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) is in a similar position. The company generates about 40% of its revenue outside the United States. It has a particularly strong presence in Latin America, which accounts for over $5.5 billion in annual sales.

The dollar tailwind is also helping Deere navigate a cyclical downturn that began in its 2024 fiscal year. DE has already absorbed most of that bad news, and the company is likely to see additional benefits as precision agriculture technology, Deere’s biggest long-term bet, continues to attract buyers regardless of where the dollar trades.

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This Steel Stock Stands Out

Nucor Corporation (NYSE: NUE)tells a different but complementary story. As the largest steel producer in the United States, Nucor doesn’t generate the overseas revenue that Caterpillar and Deere do. Its advantage from a weaker dollar is more indirect.

Steel is a globally traded commodity priced in dollars. When the dollar falls, U.S.-produced steel becomes cheaper for foreign buyers and more competitive against imports on the domestic market.

Foreign steel arriving in American ports, often from cheaper producers in Asia and Europe, becomes relatively more expensive in dollar terms. That gives Nucor a pricing cushion that doesn’t require it to cut costs or chase volume.

What makes Nucor particularly attractive here is its efficiency story.

The company uses electric arc furnaces powered by recycled scrap steel—a process that is far cheaper and more flexible than the traditional blast furnace model used by most global competitors.

The longer-term demand picture is also building quietly. Data centers require enormous amounts of structural steel. So does grid expansion, bridge replacement, and the kind of industrial reshoring the current administration is actively trying to accelerate. Nucor is already one of the primary domestic suppliers of rebar—the reinforcing steel that goes into essentially every large construction project in America,

Could the Dollar Reverse Course?

There’s a belief by some economists that the flight away from U.S. Treasuries will create demand for the dollar. For example, according to J.P. Morgan, each 1-percentage-point decline in foreign holdings relative to GDP, which equates to roughly $300 billion in Treasuries, would push yields higher by more than 33 basis points. That means if and when these same countries need to rebuild dollar reserves or re-enter U.S. assets, the buying pressure could be significant.

If that’s the case, the currency tailwind for these stocks could reverse. However, each name has a bull case beyond the dollar that makes them attractive choices to hold in a long-term portfolio.

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Further Reading: [Watch] FREE STOCK PICK for Elon Musk’s Starlink SuperIPO(From Paradigm Press)

Hidden in Tesla’s Filing: A $12 Billion “Super Startup”

May 11, 2026 

Pull up Tesla’s most recent SEC filing. Page 5. 

And you’ll see a single line showing $12 billion in revenue from a brand-new “super startup Elon Musk has been quietly incubating inside Tesla. 

This new “super startup” has nothing to do with cars or robots or space or AI…

But it sits at the center of what Blackstone calls “a $23 trillion investment opportunity.” 

And on July 22, Elon is expected to pull back the curtain and reveal exactly what he’s building. 

But Adam O’Dell already knows… and he reveals it all in this urgent video.Claim Your Free Access.

📊 BONUS: BONUS: MU up 38%. Same chart. Different decade.

Micron’s 38% Week Has Me Looking at Applied Materials Thursday 

The memory supercycle bull case is real. That’s not the same as the valuation being right.

MU closed at $746.81 Friday. Up 38% on the week — best weekly gain since December 2008, when the stock was trading below five bucks. In December 2008 the only buyers were people who thought it couldn’t get worse. They were right, and the trade was obvious in hindsight. What’s less obvious is what you do with a stock that’s up 124% year-to-date and now carries an $840 billion market cap going into a week where the equipment company reports Thursday.

The bull case is real. Micron told investors last quarter that demand for high-bandwidth memory far exceeds what they can currently supply. SanDisk posted Q3 revenue up 251% year-over-year. SK Hynix is letting hyperscalers pre-fund dedicated production capacity rather than building on spec. The DRAM ETF launched in April and gained roughly 90% before most people realized it existed. Order books stretch into 2027. None of that is manufactured narrative. I’m not dismissing those numbers.

What I keep coming back to is 1999. Cisco Systems was the most valuable company in the world. The networking buildout was real — fiber infrastructure spending was genuinely exploding, enterprise capital was flowing, Cisco’s revenues were real. The gap between what the buildout required and what it could actually return — that part turned out to be fiction. I’m not saying memory in 2026 ends the same way. I’m saying the chart looks familiar, the sentiment looks familiar, and the question is different from whether the demand is real.

The argument for why this cycle is different is supply discipline. Memory manufacturers burned through three down-cycles — 2015, 2018, 2022 — and learned something. SK Hynix isn’t building speculatively. Micron is allocating capacity to committed customers rather than racing ahead of demand. That structural change is real and it matters to the duration of the upcycle. But supply discipline at the company level and a rational valuation at $840 billion are two different conversations, and the market is only having one of them right now.

“Order books stretched to 2027 is exactly what fiber company CFOs were saying in 1999. Most of that backlog was never shipped.”

Tom Lee has been bullish on memory all year. Goldman Sachs just upgraded the sector last week — and Goldman’s upgrades have historically tended to mark the midpoint of moves, not the beginning. Cathie Wood’s ARKK started accumulating SanDisk last month. When those three line up on the same trade, I don’t add. I watch what the equipment companies are reporting. Which is why Thursday matters more than the next two Micron headlines combined.

What Applied Materials Tells You Before the Market Does

Applied Materials reports Thursday May 14 after the close. AMAT sells the equipment that builds the chips. They see the order book before anyone else — what foundries are actually committing CapEx to, what HBM tooling timelines look like, whether the demand stretching into 2027 is backed by purchase orders or by phone calls someone can walk back. The equity market usually figures out what AMAT already knows about six months later.

I’ve been wrong calling cycle tops before. In March 2020 I said the COVID rebound was moving too fast and missed two months of the most aggressive V-shaped recovery I’d seen. The memory supply-demand fundamentals are genuinely the best they’ve looked in this company’s history. But 38% in a week, $840 billion market cap, going into an earnings report from the company that can confirm or crack the demand thesis — that’s not the moment I’m comfortable adding on the open Monday. The bond market is telling you something too. Watch the 2-year this week.


What to watch: Applied Materials (AMAT) reports Thursday May 14 after the close. Watch specifically for HBM tooling order language and the Q3 revenue guidance range. If AMAT confirms demand integrity through 2027 with committed purchase order language, the Micron thesis gets real validation. If the guide softens — even if just the tone around 2027 visibility softens — the market won’t take six months to reprice this.

— David Mercer, Senior Market Analyst


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Why I’m Only Down $100 Today

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Why I’m Only Down $100 Today

By Prof. Jeffrey Bierman, CMT

Hey trader,

My long positions got destroyed today.

Home Depot is in freefall…Procter & Gamble dropped $4 from $174… 

Consumer staples are down 5% across the board…and pharma is down another 5% to 10%.

My account is down $100 on $100,000.

Luck didn’t help me avoid the carnage.

It comes from one number I watch all day, and one rule I will not break for anybody.

Read the rest and you will know the exact number, the ceiling and floor I keep it inside, and the move I make the second a long starts bleeding.

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This Hidden Signal Has a 40-Year Trader Paying Attention

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This Hidden Signal Has a 40-Year Trader Paying Attention

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BY MICHAEL SALVATORE, EDITOR, TRADESMITH DAILY

In This Digest:

  • Why junk bonds may prove to be the canary in the coal mine
  • A 40-year options trading veteran is ready to launch the most ambitious challenge of his career
  • Our AI-powered Signals system flagged a critical-element trade ahead of a record copper run

Another Sunday, another “almost-deal” with Iran…

Iran submitted its formal response to the latest U.S. peace proposal yesterday afternoon. Last night, President Trump rejected it… calling it “totally unacceptable.”

As I write, traders are mostly shrugging at the news. The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 are unchanged heading into the week. Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, is above $104 a barrel – well off last week’s lows around $96.

If you’ve been following this saga, you’re probably shrugging, too. We’ve seen peace deals unravel repeatedly for months now. The flat open suggests the same confusion we’ve been dealing with the whole time.

And good luck if you’re trying to trade stocks based on Iran war headlines. It’s like running on a treadmill – you’re putting in a whole lot of effort not to go anywhere.

But one trader stopped running on the news treadmill four decades ago.

And right now, he’s watching one key warning signaling the end of the miraculous recovery rally.

It comes from 40-year trading veteran Jeff Clark…

Jeff Clark first cut his teeth as an options trader in the early 1980s.

By 23, he was managing money for some of the wealthiest families in Northern California.

By 42, he had built and sold his own brokerage firm and “retired”… Not from trading, but from the client meetings and strategy sessions that bored him to tears.

He started sharing his ideas with a small group of like-minded traders. And not long after, he started running The Short Report as one of the most popular analysts at Stansberry Research.

Over the past decade, Jeff’s started up his own outfit under the Jeff Clark Trader banner. And last year, he joined us here at TradeSmith.

We brought Jeff on not just for his expertise in the options markets and his technical know-how, but because he knows how to spot the early signs of a shifting trend.

Take Jeff’s recent look at the high-yield corporate bond market – better known as junk bonds. These are bonds issued by companies with weaker credit ratings, so they pay higher interest to compensate investors for the extra risk.
Jeff has been pointing his subscribers to one specific junk bond ETF for the past two weeks: the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG).

Here’s what he told his readers in a recent issue of Market Minute, his free morning column:

High-yield corporate bonds enjoyed a fantastic rally in April. The iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) gained 3% from its bottom in late March to its mid-April high. That’s a phenomenal move for a bond fund.

[The] action in high-yield bonds leads the action in the stock market by anywhere from two days to two weeks. That’s because junk bonds show us investors’ appetite for risk.

In a “risk-on” environment – where investors are willing to chase prices higher – high-yield bonds rally first. When the environment shifts to “risk off” and investors start pulling money out of the markets, junk bonds are among the first assets to get sold.

Jeff goes on to point out HYG has been declining for the past two weeks. The short-term trend has now turned bearish – with the average price of HYG over the past couple of weeks now lower than it was a few weeks back.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 keeps hitting new highs.

Jeff has seen this divergence before. The last time it showed up was in mid-February, when HYG started rolling over while the S&P held near its top. That was the early warning for the March stock market decline.

According to Jeff, junk bonds are giving us that warning once more.

That doesn’t mean Jeff is heading for the exits.

Quite the opposite – this is exactly the kind of market he’s spent 40 years learning to trade.

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Jeff’s “12 Trades to $1 Million Challenge” goes live Thursday…

By his own admission, Jeff is a conservative, low-risk options trader.

That means he likes to use options to generate income and make small, controlled speculations. He also likes to take profits off the table rather than let them ride.

That approach has kept him in the game for over 40 years.

But Jeff’s noticed something about the current market that has him willing to attempt something he’s never tried before.

He calls it a “market disruption window.”

These are rare stretches when the normal rules of the market temporarily break down. Stocks move 20% or 30% in a single session. Sectors reprice overnight. Companies that should be steady become volatile. Companies that should be punished start ripping higher.

We’ve been living inside one of these windows for months. The early 2026 selloff. The April rip higher. The Iran headlines whipping markets in both directions. The AI repricing that’s wiped hundreds of billions off software stocks in single sessions.

These windows are awful times to be a buy-and-hold investor – especially if you own the unlucky stocks that get caught in the crossfire. Even if you’ve got the stomach to hold through such a bout of volatility, it’s not comfortable.

But Jeff thrives in disruption windows like this.

In fact, Jeff identified just two prior windows in his trading record where conditions looked like this.

In both, he ran win streaks long enough that someone rolling a single $5,000 stake from one trade into the next would have ended up with seven figures.

The first was during the 2023 banking crisis. In just nine trades, following his guidance would’ve turned $5,000 into $1.3 million.

The second was during the AI repricing of 2025. Twelve trades would’ve turned $5,000 into $2.6 million.

Jeff thinks another one of those windows is set to start today. And the first warning out of the junk bonds sounds to him like the starting gun.

Now, Jeff will be the first to tell you that the odds of hitting the full $1 million target are low even in the best conditions, and any trading carries real risk of loss.

But the pattern is consistent enough – and the conditions in front of us close enough – that he wants to attempt the same thing again.

This time, on purpose, with readers alongside him.

He’s calling it the 12 Trades to $1 Million Challenge. The goal: Roll a small starting stake from one well-timed options trade into the next, no more than 12 trades total, in six months or less.

Jeff is going live with the full plan onThursday, May 14 at 10 a.m. ET. He’ll walk through the strategy, the two prior streaks trade by trade, and the specific setups he’s watching right now.

This is the only time he plans to walk through the full strategy publicly. After Thursday, the playbook stays inside the Challenge.

You can reserve your seat right here, free of charge.

I advise you to attend, and especially to sign up for our free VIP reminder service. Once you do, you’ll get access to Jeff’s free convergence and divergence tool as well as access to his exclusive Delta Direct blog until the day of the event, so don’t wait.

Our AI Signals system flagged a critical-element trade just before this run-up…

Now, while Jeff watches the bond market for warning signs, our AI-powered Signals system has been finding plenty of high-probability trades on the long side.

Just last Monday, May 4, we covered one of Signals’ top setups heading into the week: mining giant Freeport-McMoRan (FCX).

Quick refresher on how Signals works: Our AI-powered trading system doesn’t analyze balance sheets, read earnings reports, or follow news headlines. It scans stocks’ historical data for tiny anomalies – and finds statistical connections between them that no human analyst would catch.

Think of it like a thumbprint. Every great trade has one – a unique alignment of technical indicators, price patterns, and market conditions that has shown up before. When those factors line up again, the system flags a high-probability setup.

The signal that fired on FCX was a Sprint signal. It triggers when a stock pulls back briefly during an otherwise strong uptrend – the kind of dip that creates a lower-risk entry before the next leg higher. It exits automatically once the stock rises 6% or after 21 trading days, whichever comes first.

We highlighted the trade because the backdrop was unusually clean. Freeport is one of the world’s largest producers of copper, gold, and molybdenum – and molybdenum is a key catalyst in petroleum refining, used to remove sulfur from heavy crude oil.

Freeport is one of the few major Western producers of it – so when demand for refining heavy crude rises, demand for Freeport’s molybdenum tends to follow.

Earlier this spring, the U.S. capture of former Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro reopened the door for Venezuelan oil exports. And Venezuelan crude – while first known for being vast in quantity – is also some of the heaviest, most sulfur-rich oil on the planet. That gives molybdenum demand a clear tailwind.

On top of that, copper itself was setting up for a record run.

Since the signal fired, FCX is up more than 11%. The trade hit its 6% target and is now considered closed.

That’s how the system is built to work: a precise entry, a defined exit, and a clean close when the target is hit.

But the broader story behind the trade is just getting started.

TradeSmith CEO: This copper move is “glacier-like”…

This weekend, TradeSmith CEO Keith Kaplan posted on X about the broader copper trade — and why he believes the move is far from over.

In his post, Keith pointed out that copper just broke to record highs as supply constraints in Chile collide with demand from AI buildout, power grid upgrades, electric vehicles, and renewable energy. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) is now up 51% since Keith first recommended it back in September.

His point is that critical resource markets like copper don’t move in short bursts. They move in multi-year megatrends. As Keith put it:

Critical resource markets trend big. Their moves often last 5+ years and produce hundreds of percent in gains because supply takes a decade or more to come online. You cannot code a copper mine into existence. This is a glacier-like megatrend.

Mining legend Robert Friedland says humanity will need to mine as much copper over the next 18 years as it has over the past 10,000 years to sustain even modest economic growth.

Stocks like Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Southern Copper (SCCO), and Teck Resources (TECK) are all riding the same wave higher.

Keith posts insights like this regularly on X – unfiltered, ahead of the news cycle, direct from the CEO of one of the most data-driven investing platforms in the business.

Follow him at @KeithTradeSmith to see what he’s watching before it shows up anywhere else.

To building wealth beyond measure,

Michael Salvatore signature

Michael Salvatore
Editor, TradeSmith Daily

A New AI Gold Rush Is Starting in Finance

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Eric Fry's Smart Money

Eric Fry
Editor, Smart Money

WEEKLY ROUNDUP

A New AI Gold Rush Is Starting in Finance

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Hello, Reader.

Vines are often a visual symbol of overgrowth. They can wrap around a building’s exterior, growing and clinging to worn, cracked stone, creating fractures that let further destruction in.

In a similar way, AI is gradually weaving itself into daily life — reshaping how we research, how businesses operate, and ultimately how markets are structured.

That shift is accelerating with the rise of agentic AI, or what I call A-AI: systems capable of independently completing tasks, making decisions, and executing workflows with minimal human involvement.

We’re already seeing agentic AI’s vine-like tentacles reaching into critical areas, including financial institutions.

But overgrowth isn’t always destructive. Sometimes, it signals transformation.

Last week, both Anthropic and OpenAI announced plans to deploy agentic AI specifically for financial services.

OpenAI announced its collaboration with accounting firm PwC to build AI agents aimed at streamlining processes and meeting increasing demands in financial services. OpenAI says the goal is to build AI systems that can automate repetitive financial work, analyze information across multiple platforms, and help human teams make faster decisions.

By combining Codex and Workspace Agents with PwC’s finance expertise, OpenAI plans to roll out AI systems that can handle complex tasks across departments. The AI company presents this as a practical strategy for applying AI in real-world scenarios.

For its part, Anthropic announced the creation of 10 new AI agents specifically designed for banks and financial services companies. These agents will handle basic financial tasks like drafting credit memos and building pitchbooks.

Jonathan Pelosi, who leads Anthropic’s financial services division, says the company wants to narrow the gap between rapid AI development and the financial sector’s ability to adopt the technology effectively.

These finance-focused AI announcements came just before Anthropic partnered with Fidelity National Information Services to create AI-driven software that helps banks monitor accounts for any signs of financial crimes, making the process more efficient and secure.

We are witnessing AI become stronger, smarter, and faster. Its vines continue to creep along walls, reshaping entire business structures – this time, in financial services.

And I’ve identified one fintech company that’s already leveraging agentic AI to its advantage in the A-AI era, which I’ll share below.

But first, let’s take a look at what we covered here at Smart Money last week.

Smart Money Roundup

MAY 10, 2026

Warren Buffett Can’t Make This Trade. You Can.

For nearly 50 years, quant investing legend Louis Navellier has built his reputation by identifying fast-growing companies before Wall Street fully catches on. Lately, Louis has been focused on one area of the market he believes could become especially important over the next several years: smaller-cap growth stocks positioned to benefit from a new Fed cycle and expanding AI-driven infrastructure spending.

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MAY 9, 2026

3 AI Stocks to Buy Immediately

There are still a handful of companies that look like Nvidia in late 2022 and SK Hynix in mid-2025. These firms produce crucial AI data center components and are underpriced simply because Wall Street hasn’t yet realized what shortages are about to happen from AI data center demand. Click here to learn more.

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The #1 Iran Trade: Turning $111 Oil Into a 770% Winner

Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has pushed oil to $111 a barrel. Citi says it could hit $150 by June. Many folks are rushing to buy oil stocks. But there’s a smarter play. Jonathan Rose, a 25-year market pro, just bagged a 770% gain by using one simple tool that flags big potential moves before the news hits. In fact, this same tool has helped him record 98% average gains* across his last 117 straight trade recommendations. Click here for Jonathan’s favorite way to trade oil shocks in 2026.

MAY 7, 2026

This Tiny AI Stock Exploded Higher… Here’s How to Spot the Next One

The biggest future AI winners will likely be smaller, under-the-radar infrastructure companies solving real bottlenecks before Wall Street fully notices them – similar to how Bloom Energy quietly surged more than 1,100% as AI data-center power demand exploded.

Louis Navellier says the key is finding companies with improving fundamentals and early institutional buying before the broader market catches on to the next phase of the AI buildout. Read more here.

MAY 6, 2026

Xerox Is an AI Trap — This Company Is a Better “Match”

In this Wednesday Smart Money, we’re looking at a stock that highlights the limits of legacy tech companies struggling to adapt as A-AI accelerates. Then, I’ll break down an AI Applier that is successfully leveraging A-AI to strengthen its core business and gain a competitive advantage. Read on here.

How to Profit From A-AI

Block Inc. (XYZ) helps merchants transact over $200 billion annually. Its point-of-sale systems are found everywhere from farmers’ markets to national retail chains.

Thanks to Block’s sizable multi-year spending on both capital investments and acquisitions, the company has become one of the world’s leading fintech companies.

And the company has expanded to:

  • Peer-to-peer payments
  • Small business software
  • Buy now, pay later
  • E-commerce
  • Crypto

And now, AI.

Block recently made a controversial decision to cut a large portion of its workforce while aggressively adopting AI tools internally

Three months after that high-profile layoff announcement, Block reported gross-profit growth accelerating to 27% from 24%. First-quarter gross profit reached $2.9 billion, topping Wall Street expectations of $2.8 billion.

Chief Financial Officer Amrita Ahuja said that growth was driven in part by the company’s ability to develop and launch products more quickly.

And its internal AI tools are speeding up this workflow. The company’s open-source AI agent framework, called Goose, helps employees automate work and workflows.

Block has been prepared for this agentic AI shift.

Back in December, Block, OpenAI, and Anthropic, along with several other big tech players, launched the Agentic AI Foundation (AAIF) under the Linux Foundation. The group was created to help companies build open-source AI agents that can work together using shared standards.

And the idea is for AI agents from different companies to work together using shared rules and protocols, similar to how the internet runs on open standards.

Anthropic contributed MCP (Model Context Protocol), which helps AI agents connect to tools and data. OpenAI contributed AGENTS.md, a format that tells coding agents how to behave inside software projects. And Block contributed Goose.

The next wave of AI winners will be the companies reorganizing themselves around AI agents.

Block is trying to position itself as one of the first major companies built around that model.

But it isn’t the only one I’ve identified. Click here to learn my No. 1 pick in the agentic AI era, free of charge.

Regards,

Eric Fry's signature

Eric Fry
Editor, Smart Money

P.S. A new Fed regime is taking shape, and on May 13 at 1 p.m. Eastern, Louis Navellier will break down why this shift could trigger the next major wave of stock market winners. He’s identified 53 under-the-radar stocks already attracting institutional money… and when you sign up, you’ll get the full list, along with a free pick during his presentation. Save your spot here.

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Is the AI bubble about to burst?

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Dear Member,

Everyone is screaming that AI is in a bubble and ready to pop …

But I beg to differ.

Because here’s what the “bubble” crowd gets dead wrong …

AI isn’t in danger of slowing down because people lost interest. 

It isn’t in danger of slowing down because the technology failed.

It’s in danger of slowing down because AI is being starved.

In fact, there’s a giant bottleneck that threatens to strangle the entire industry.

And it’s exactly why Elon is making his historic move right now …

I’m sure you heard about it — SpaceX is going public.

But here’s the thing …

This isn’t just another tech IPO.

This is Elon’s master plan to save the entire AI industry from collapse.

An endeavor so huge, I call it Elon’s “Project Unlimited” …

Because it has to do with the largest private infrastructure project in American history …

Built to shatter AI’s bottleneck once and for all.

And when it happens, AI won’t just recover …

My research tells me it’s going to explode into the stratosphere.

The wealth we’ve seen created in AI so far? I believe it will look like a warm-up.

And one little-known company is at the very heart of Elon’s critical mission.

To find out more …

Including the fascinating details about this company — and how to position yourself before it’s too late …

Click here now.

Michael Robinson
Weiss Ratings

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