Three winners in a row to start the month of May and we are just getting started.
Friday’s alert surged +25% in 2 days.
Monday’s alert jumped +23% intraday.
And today’s alert is already pushing higher, up +6% so far as we continue to monitor it for further upside.
Congratulations to everyone who benefited from these moves.
Now it is time to focus on tomorrow – and this one caught our attention for good reason.
We have a new NASDAQ alert coming tomorrow morning, Wednesday at 9:30 AM ET.
This upcoming alert trades under 0.50 and has a history of high volatility, which has previously led to very big rallies.
We believe this new alert is an under-the-radar opportunity with a compelling chart setup.
In addition, the company recently announced several big announcements.
Low price. High volatility. Fresh catalysts. This is exactly the setup we look for.
Be ready tomorrow morning, Wednesday at 9:30 AM ET.
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DEEP DIVE
Hasan Piker’s Horrifying Vision For America
Don’t call him a “useful idiot.”
It was fashionable to be a communist in the 1930s. Intellectual and artistic circles adored the ideology, from the writers in New York to the budding celebrity hub of Hollywood. Many were card-carrying members of the Communist Party USA.
But this was all before Senator Joe McCarthy’s Red Scare, which, despite its modern retelling as a pure witch hunt, did attempt to uncover real communistsoperating inside the United States government. More importantly, it was before ordinary Americans knew the full details of the brutal repression happening in the Soviet Union under the banner of communism.
Some left the ideology entirely. Whittaker Chambers is the most famous example — a onetime Soviet spy who defected, named names, and became a conservative icon. Others kept the faith, convinced that real communism had simply never been attempted. They quietly dropped the label. “Progressive” and “democratic socialist” became popular replacements, often used interchangeably.
Those people — during their years of defending and promoting Soviet communism — were classic “useful idiots,” a phrase commonly attributed to Vladimir Lenin. The term describes someone manipulated into serving a hostile cause without understanding what they’re actually advocating for. The Soviets knew they had foreign admirers and regarded them as disposable pawns — useful for now, irrelevant later.
That term gets thrown around a lot today. Recently, it’s been aimed at Hasan Piker, a leftist online streamer who has become a surprising favorite of mainstream Democratic politicians and media figures. But there’s the problem with that label: calling someone a useful idiot is actually the most charitable interpretation available. The phrase implies naivety, strips away agency, and blames ignorance.
But Piker, the young, wealthy streamer — rarely seen without designer clothing — makes little effort to conceal his views. By his own words, Piker knows exactly which policies he supports and which regimes he defends — and he doesn’t seem troubled by either. Yet despite that, he continues to be welcomed and actively boosted by left-of-center politicians and media figures into the American mainstream.
That’s why it’s vital to examine: who is Hasan Piker, what does he actually believe, and what does the future he’s pushing for look like in practice?
Hasan Doğan Piker was born in New Jersey in 1991 to Turkish parents, but grew up in Istanbul and was raised Muslim. His father belonged to the Turkish business elite, serving as vice president of one of the country’s largest conglomerates — a company whose asset value has reached roughly $10 billion in recent years. (Piker has said his family lost its wealth by the time he reached college.)
His mother is a professor of art and architectural history at the New Jersey Institute of Technology. His uncle, Cenk Uygur, is more familiar to most readers — the longtime leftist commentator and founder of The Young Turks. Piker interned at his uncle’s media company before striking out on his own, eventually building one of the largest followings on Twitch through a shock-jock style of political commentary. (In 2019, during one of his seven-to-ten-hour streams, he told his audience: “America deserved 9/11, dude.”)
He attracts young leftists who find him cool, attractive, and willing to say boldly what they all believe. In 2019, during one of his seven- to ten-hour streams, he told his audience: “America deserved 9/11, dude.”
Streaming success was only the beginning. Piker has since found a warm reception from politicians and from foreign governments willing to have him carry their message. He has become a political operator in his own right, and his profile now reaches well beyond the streaming world.
_AUTHORITARIANISM_
In November, before his recent Cuba trip in defense of the communist regime there, he flew to Beijing. While there, he sat for an interview on Chinese state television and praised the country at length, telling viewers that much of what they’d heard about the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) from Western sources was inaccurate — rumors, misunderstandings, lies he wanted to clear up.
He was asked in another conversation whether any country in the world has implemented socialism in a form he admires. Piker passed over the obvious, socialist-lite, answers — Sweden, Denmark, Finland, the welfare states most American leftists point to — and offered an unexpected one. “China is probably the closest,” he said. He gestured at “plenty of issues within the Chinese system,” declined to identify any of them, and moved on to praise the country’s high-speed rail network.
Piker has compared the Chinese annexation of Tibet to the Union’s defeat of the Confederacy during the American Civil War, and suggested the result was a kind of civilizing improvement for the region. He has drawn the same parallel between Taiwan and the Confederate States.
Discussing China’s Uyghur camps in Xinjiang, he initially used the phrase “concentration camps” before correcting himself, settling on “re-education camps,” and adding that they “are all closed now.” Neither of those is true.
When he was pressed about the lack of LGBT rights in China — because he’s a liberal and is expected to care — Piker described the country as “gay as hell” and explained the CCP’s prohibition on gay dating apps as a kind of digital privacy measure.
It is worth pausing on what Piker is defending here. The Chinese state arrests citizens for symbolic protest — the now-famous blank sheets of paper held up during the 2022 protests being only one example.
During the pandemic, the CCP physically sealed residents to die inside their apartment buildings. The forced labor system in Xinjiang involves Uyghurs on an industrial scale. Hong Kong’s political opposition has been dismantled. Independent Taiwan exists today only because the United States and its allies have made an invasion costly enough to defer.
A common thread runs through all of his rhetoric. Piker offers loud, unembarrassed support for authoritarian and communist regimes that have used mass repression and violence as legitimate tools of statecraft. Paired with that is a steady contempt for the United States, which he describes as an imperial project that deserved the September 11 terrorist attacks, and whose economic system — capitalism — he believes, as Marx did, is a form of violence in itself.
Speaking earlier this year at the Yale Political Union, Piker told the audience that “the fall of the USSR was one of the greatest catastrophes of the 20th century.” The audience at Yale heard nothing about Soviet famine, the labor camps, the deportations of entire ethnic groups, or the political executions that defined the regime he was eulogizing.
During one of his livestreams, Piker described Mao Zedong as “one of the great leaders of this world.” Mao’s policies are responsible for tens of millions of deaths through famine, ideological purge, and forced collectivization.
The ugliest moment in his recent record involves a Vietnamese woman named Bach Hac. In a video that resurfaced last year, in a stream, Piker was viewing a BBC interview of Bach Hac, a refugee, describing what her family endured under the communist government in Vietnam. Piker’s response, captured on stream, was the following: “F*** you, old lady. Shut the f*** up, you stupid, idiotic old lady. Suck my d***, old lady. God d***, Yo, f*** this refugee.” The rest of the interview includes a child of Vietnamese refugees, retelling how the communists forced her father to spend his childhood living in the jungle.
Like his uncle, Piker spends an enormous amount of his airtime focused on Israel. He has refused to condemn Hamas — sayingthe group is “a thousand times better” than Israel — and has defended its actions on stream.
He has celebrated Democratic candidate Graham Platner, who has a Nazi tattoo on his chest, on the grounds that Platner had also defended Hamas. When one of his own viewers condemned the October 7 attack, Piker responded by calling her a “bloodthirsty, violent pig dog” and telling her to “suck my d***.”
Piker is direct about his own ideological position when asked. He defines communism as “the end stage … the final goal. It’s like the final evolution, a stateless, moneyless, classless society. A borderless society. We’ve never really had communism.” He treats the word “communist” as an accurate, even flattering, description of his views.
_MORALITY_
A vision this radical requires discarding the means for the sake of the ends. The Soviets told their subjects exactly that — you have to break a few eggs to make an omelet. Their suffering was the price of utopia. Piker operates on the same logic. He has set aside traditional morality in service of a higher purpose, and the rules the rest of us live by are, to him, obstacles to the better world he believes is coming.
Recently, The New York Times filmed a long group conversation that included Piker and New Yorker writer Jia Tolentino. Across that conversation, Piker said a series of things worth taking seriously rather than waving off as normal, if not hyperbolic, podcast banter.
He defended the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, arguing that Thompson had been responsible for what Piker called “a tremendous amount of social murder.” As in, Thompson had it coming because of the issues with our healthcare system. He said he would “steal a car” if he believed he could get away with it. He noted that stealing from “big corporations” was fine.
A free society depends on a baseline rule that individuals are not allowed to decide unilaterally which other individuals deserve to be killed, and which businesses deserve to be looted. Once that rule becomes negotiable — once executives become legitimately murderable on the basis of their alleged role in “social harm,” once shoplifting becomes ethical and private property has no value — this framework collapses.
Crucially, this moral framework that Piker chips away at is the bulwark that resists communism. A top-down forced collectivization that strips citizens of their private property, ownership, and freedom cannot happen unless Piker’s morality becomes the standard. That’s why he’s doing it, and it’s worth taking Piker at his word and asking what the country would actually look like if his politics were implemented.
_HIS AMERICA_
Start with the thing most young Americans take for granted: the ability to build a life on your own terms. Under the systems Piker admires, that disappears. In Mao’s China, you did not pick your career — the state assigned it. You did not choose where you lived; you were given housing where the party needed you. You could not start a business, because there were no businesses to start. The shop your grandfather built was confiscated. The savings your parents put aside were worthless. Whatever you had imagined for yourself was replaced by whatever the state had imagined for you.
In the Soviet Union, when Stalin ordered the collectivization of agriculture in the late 1920s, peasants who refused to surrender their land to the state were arrested, shot, or deported to Siberia. The kulaks — peasants whose only crime was farming a little better than their neighbors — were declared an enemy class and liquidated. Entire families were loaded onto trains and dumped in the Arctic to die. Their farms were absorbed into collectives whose mismanagement produced the famines that killed millions in the years that followed.
The same logic was applied to anyone who had built a middle-class life before the revolution. Shopkeepers, small manufacturers, priests, former officials, and their children were classified as lishentsy — the “deprived ones” — a legal category created in the early Soviet constitution that stripped them of basic rights of citizenship. They could not vote. Their children were barred from universities. They were denied ration cards during food shortages, denied access to public hospitals, denied housing, denied jobs in state enterprises, which by then meant nearly all jobs. They were systematically excluded from society until many of them starved, fell ill, or were swept up in later waves of arrests.
In Cuba, three generations have now grown up under the system Fidel Castro built. They have never known a free press. They have never voted in a real, meaningful election. They cannot criticize the government. The grandchildren of the men who built Cuba before the revolution inherited a country where ambition is pointless because the ceiling is set by the party. Just compare those who fled Cuba to America, and those who tragically stayed. Who’s better off?
This is what Piker is asking young Americans to sign up for.
_WARMLY EMBRACED_
If Piker were a marginal figure, none of this would matter. But he isn’t. Aside from his success in growing an audience online, Piker is being absorbed into mainstream American liberalism in real time, and the people doing the absorbing are not hiding it.
This month, New York Times columnist Ezra Klein published a piece in defense of Piker, originally titled “Hasan Piker Is Not the Enemy.” Pod Save America, the Crooked Media flagship podcast founded by former Obama White House staffers, has hosted Piker as a guest. He has appeared frequently across the broader Crooked Media network and was a featured guest at their live event, Crooked Con.
Politicians have moved into his orbit at a steady pace. Piker hosted Zohran Mamdani during Mamdani’s run for New York City mayor and was an invited guest at his victory party. He has interviewed progressive Representatives Ro Khanna (D-CA), Rashida Tlaib (D-MI), Ilhan Omar (D-MN), California gubernatorial frontrunner Tom Steyer, and New York congressional candidate Effie Phillips-Staley.
Earlier this year, he attended a campaign event for Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed. The question of whether to appear on his stream has become a recognizable signaling decision inside Democratic politics — a way for candidates to mark themselves as either willing to address the online Left or unwilling to legitimize him.
Beyond his own interviews, he guests on Voxpodcasts. He does Instagram appearances for The New Yorker. He has been profiled — admiringly — in Vulture, Cosmopolitan, Wired, The New Yorker, Variety, and GQ. The tone of those profiles is, almost without exception, soft. The interviewers are interested in his apartment, his relationship history, his physique, his clothes. They are mostly not interested in why a man who calls Mao a great leader is being positioned as the future of progressive media.
Are all of them useful idiots? Some, perhaps. Others, likely in agreement with Piker but have careers that require hiding their most extreme political views, certainly know what they’re doing. Either way, the answer doesn’t change much. Piker, simply put, does not have good intentions for this country or its people. And his mainstreaming into the Democratic Party reveals something about the party itself: its leaders are willing to platform fringe, radical elements, which should concern everyone. Let us know what you think →
Hasan Piker was supported by his wealthy family to spread his radicalism. The Young Turks, where he used to work, is funded by billionaires and venture capital.
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And it all starts with this Nobel Prize–winning formula.
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Everyone is talking about the AI bubble. Even people with no money in the markets are sounding the alarm.
Houston breaks down why in yesterday’s Daily below and what it means for the stocks sitting in your retirement account right now.
But here’s what most people aren’t talking about.
While the biggest tech stocks in the world swing violently on every earnings report, a handful of companies are quietly winning. They’re not the flashy AI names making headlines. They’re the ones building the infrastructure behind it all. The energy. The grid. The data centers.
And subscribers who got positioned in these stocks back in December are now outperforming the S&P 500 by 3x. One position already delivered a 139% win.
In case you missed it, here’s Big T’s Digital Asset Daily
You know it’s serious when the economic conversation spills over onto the usually “fun” side of social media.
A few days ago, a post crossed my Instagram feed with this warning: “The AI bubble is 17x larger than the dot-com bubble,” it read. “And 4x larger than the 2008 Financial crisis.”
People swarmed the comments. They wanted to know what happens to their savings… or the cash under the mattress… if the bubble pops.
“What if I’ve avoided AI this whole time?” one person asked. “How will it affect me?”
They’re not wrong to ask. If we look at the last two bubbles, the effects when they popped rippled beyond people’s stock accounts.
The dot-com crash contributed to an eight-month recession in 2001. By the spring of 2004, an estimated 403,300 jobs had been lost in the IT sector alone.
The effects of the 2008 crash were even deeper.
A Frontline article published in 2012 (four years after the stock market’s collapse) showed that:
There were still 12.5 million people out of work, not saving for retirement, and not contributing to the GDP.
The government had poured about $23 trillion into a host of programs and bailouts.
Real estate had lost roughly $7 trillion, stocks $11 trillion, and retirement accounts another $3.4 trillion.
The Census Bureau’s 2010 estimate said 46.2 million people were in poverty – the largest number in 52 years.
I’m not saying this to scare you. But with the AI bubble getting bigger each day, we can’t afford to bury our heads in the sand.
And what nobody mentioned in that discussion I read last week was the story we’ve been tracking in these pages. Yet it provides the clearest answer to the one question that kept coming up: What can I do about it?
One Market, Two Signals
On April 17, I wrote to you about the Crude Oil Civil War we’re seeing. You can read that full essay here. The short version is this: There’s a civil war happening in the crude oil markets, and most people don’t know it’s connected to the AI bubble.
What’s happening is that the “right now” price for physical oil is telling a very different story than the “future” price traders expect to pay in the months ahead.
You can see that in the chart below, which shows the gap (or “spread”) between physical oil prices and futures prices.
That gap hasn’t been this high since 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine.
What does it mean?
On one hand, the physical market is screaming “shortage.” Buyers need barrels NOW, and they’re paying anything to get them.
That’s because the Iran conflict has a chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz. That’s the narrow waterway through which roughly 20% of global oil supply passed before the war started in February.
On the other hand, traders are saying, “This is temporary. It’ll resolve soon.”
The problem is the market has been saying that for two months. And yet, as you can see, the gap is not really getting any smaller.
This matters because oil touches the price of everything we buy. The longer prices stay high, the more every airline, trucking fleet, chemical plant, and utility in the world will see its primary input cost rise.
And oil prices just hit fresh wartime highs on Friday.
Some of that exposure is hedged, but those hedges don’t last forever. It can take 6-12 months for the full effects to show up. By the time most people feel it, the damage is already done.
Why the “Smart” Money Is Trapped
The irony is that, at the exact moment oil is making historic moves, the institutions managing your retirement savings are legally handcuffed from owning it.
Take CalSTRS, one of the largest pension funds in America. It manages $368 billion in public equities. Between 2022 and 2025, it slashed its traditional (fossil fuels) energy weighting by 36% and moved $30 billion into low-carbon investments.
That’s exactly what I showed you on Wednesday. The “smart” money is being forced to follow ESG mandates in what could be one of the most profitable periods for oil.
Even when we zoom out to all of energy combined, it’s still one of the most underowned sectors in the market. In 2008, it represented 15% of the S&P 500.
Today, it sits at only 3.5%. Compare that to the IT sector, which represents an enormous 32% of the market.
That is a generational abandonment of energy in favor of tech. And history shows us what happens when an unloved sector gets an unexpected catalyst. It snaps back violently.
We saw this back in 2020, when energy hit a record-low weight of just 2% of the S&P 500. Most investors left it for dead after Covid lockdowns crushed oil demand.
That was a mistake. Energy went from the worst-performing sector in 2020 to the top performer in 2021. It gained 46% vs. the S&P 500’s 27%.
By 2022, energy was the only sector in the S&P 500 that finished positive, up 58%. Ten other sectors fell, and the broader index dropped 19%.
That’s a roughly 315% cumulative gain from the unloved bottom over two years, in the most hated sector in the market.
This time, with the physical oil market flashing stress signals, Daily Editor Teeka Tiwari believes we’ll see an even sharper snapback.
Just last week, Al Jazeera published a piece that asked, “When will the Strait of Hormuz be ‘safe’ for commercial shipping again?” The answer boiled down to: Not anytime soon. From that April 28 article:
About 2,000 ships remain stranded in the Gulf. Even if the strait reopens to all traffic, the United States has said it could take six months to clear mines it believes have been laid by Iran.
That is one reason maritime insurers cancelled “war risk” insurance for tankers traveling through the strait in March.
Al Jazeera reported this could push premiums up to 5% of hull value. Before the war, that number was only about 0.25%.
Hull value refers to what the ship itself is worth. Think of it like an insurance appraisal on the vessel, the same way your home has an appraised value before you can insure it. A 5% premium tells us insurers are still pricing the Strait of Hormuz like a war zone, not a shipping lane.
In other words, the crude market is only getting more fractured. And when oil sends mixed signals like this, it usually means the stress has not yet fully worked its way through the economy… and the household names in your retirement portfolio.
The “Paycheck” Strategy for This Market
This is where the oil story connects to the AI bubble.
If oil keeps rising, costs rise across the economy. That matters for every company. But it matters most for the companies already priced for perfection.
The first wave of AI gains went to the obvious names: Nvidia, AMD, Meta, Microsoft, and the rest of the high-flying tech giants.
But those stocks are now swinging violently. One day, investors are questioning whether AI companies will follow through on their promises. The next day, the same stocks are ripping higher.
We saw this with last week’s earnings. Meta and Microsoft beat analyst expectations, and yet they crashed 9% and 4%. Why? Because investors got spooked on AI spending.
That kind of volatility is exactly what we’d expect in a crowded trade. Teeka has been sounding the alarm on this since late last year. And in the January 6Daily, he wrote:
Right now, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla are trading at an average weighted earnings multiple of 56x. That means you have to be willing to pay up to $56 today for every $1 the company earns in a year.
These names are trading at more than 2.5x the entire S&P 500. If that’s not a red flag, I don’t know what is.
We’re not interested in chasing that. Instead, Big T believes the biggest winners from AI won’t necessarily be the flashy tech names everyone is buying today.
The real gains will come from blue-chip companies using AI to improve their margins, cut costs, and boost productivity.
That’s exactly what Teeka’s “Nvidia’s $16 Trillion Paycheck Program” is designed to do. It doesn’t involve buying a single share of Nvidia. It doesn’t involve chasing risky AI startups. And it doesn’t require you to guess which chatbot wins.
Instead, it focuses on a select group of blue-chip companies positioned to benefit from AI adoption while paying reliable dividends along the way. The next scheduled payout is May 15. You can learn more about it here before that deadline.
The bottom line is this: Even people with no money in the markets are starting to sound the alarm on the AI bubble. In times like these, you don’t want to play a high-stakes guessing game.
You want to own the companies built to win no matter what happens next… and get paid while everyone else is guessing.
The movement of basic materials stocks requires investors to keep a keen eye on the state of the economy to determine profitability. Raw materials such as plastic, steel, and lumber will always be in demand. Here are 7 stocks to take advantage of the growing demand!
The trading activity of members of Congress continues to draw attention from retail investors, with potential conflicts of interest based on timing of trades and committee assignments signaling red flags around the transactions. More Info ➔How We Zeroed in on a 2660-Bagger Stock – Ad
During market uncertainty, investors turn to dividend-yielding stocks. Benzinga offers latest analyst ratings & news on high-yield stocks in materials sector. More Info ➔What’s Going On With AMD Stock Monday?
Charlie Munger showed how a childhood marble strategy of only betting when he had the edge evolved into a lifelong investing philosophy. More Info ➔
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Moody’s calls it “the new oil.” Fox News calls it the “new arms race.” Elon Musk calls it “mind-blowing.” Demand is already doubling every 6 months.
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Managing Editor’s Note: Today, we’re handing the reins to our friend and colleague Jason Bodner.
Longtime Brownstone Research members may remember Jason as a regular contributor from years past. With a Wall Street resume that spans decades, Jason specializes in quantitative strategies that identify high upside, “outlier” stocks.
Today, he shows why the AI trade is becoming multi-faceted. The big question now isn’t how fast an AI can “think,” but how quickly it can “remember.”
Read on…
AI’s Biggest Bottleneck Is…
Jason Bodner
Contributing Editor, The Bleeding Edge
For the last two years, the AI story has been dominated by compute. Faster chips, bigger clusters, more GPUs.
That made sense. More intelligence requires more processing power. As Jeff has discussed in The Bleeding Edge before, AI compute is currently doubling roughly every six months – a pattern that is accelerating.
But something has changed. The focus is no longer solely on how fast AI can think. That problem is being addressed by photonics, fiber optics, and systems moving data near the speed of light.
The constraint today is different. We are now also limited by how fast AI can remember.
Intelligence Factories
AI systems don’t just compute. They constantly retrieve data. Every prompt, every model output, every training run depends on moving enormous amounts of information into the chip at the right time. That’s where things start to break.
Even the most advanced AI chips spend a meaningful amount of time idle, not because they lack power, but because they are waiting for data. That delay comes from memory, not compute.
A major driver is the rise of neoclouds. These are a new generation of specialized cloud providers built specifically for AI workloads, compared to traditional hyperscaler cloud solutions. Instead of running general applications, they are building massive GPU clusters for training and inference.
Think of them as factories for intelligence. And these factories require memory at every layer – fast memory to feed the chip, working memory for active datasets, and large-scale storage for everything else.
As these systems scale, memory demand does not grow gradually. It accelerates.
Larry Benedict’s hedge fund, Banyan Capital, generated $274 million in verified profits for clients like JPMorgan, the Bank of New York, the Canadian government, and Saudi National Commercial Bank. His fund went 20 straight years without a single losing year. The kind of record that earned Larry his own chapter in one of the legendary “Market Wizards” book series alongside Paul Tudor Jones and Ray Dalio. Now, on Thursday, May 7, at 8 p.m. ET, Larry’s sharing a method for pocketing a year’s worth of S&P 500 gains in one day… over and over again, without buying, selling or holding a single stock. Free. Click here to automatically reserve your seat. (When you click the link, your email address will be added to the event guest list.)
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The Memory Hierarchy
Memory is not one thing. It’s a hierarchy. At the top sits SRAM, or Static Random Access Memory. This is on-chip memory. It is effectively instant, but extremely small.
Next is DRAM and HBM. DRAM, or Dynamic Random Access Memory, sits close to the processor and delivers data quickly. HBM, or High Bandwidth Memory, goes further by stacking memory next to the chip to move large amounts of data at once.
Beyond that is NAND flash. This is non-volatile memory that retains data without power. SSDs use NAND to store active datasets and models. It is fast, but not immediate.
Further out are HDDs or Hard Disk Drives. These prioritize capacity over speed and store large volumes of data at lower cost.
Controllers manage how data moves between these layers, so the system does not stall.
Each layer has a role, and each runs at a different speed. The further the data is from the chip, the longer it takes to arrive. Data can now move at extraordinary speeds. The problem is getting it to the right place at the right time.
Memory does not deliver data in a steady stream. It arrives in bursts, at different speeds, from different layers. It resembles a workforce commuting from different parts of a city, all arriving at different times.
That is why performance does not scale perfectly. The chip is only as effective as the system feeding it.
The Memory Shock
Memory has always been cyclical.
Jeff Brown knows this better than anybody. Here’s how he described the phenomenon in the August 2020 edition of The Near Future Report:
Most forms of memory are considered to be commodities. If you can get the same density, processing rates, and power consumption, manufacturers typically go with the cheapest provider prices when supply is greater than demand.
When demand is high and supply is low, memory manufacturers enjoy high margins through higher pricing. The semiconductor industry then tends to overbuild production capacity, attracted by the high margin. Over time, supply exceeds demand, and margins drop.
That was true historically, but AI is introducing a new kind of memory demand shock. Building new capacity takes years and billions of dollars. Supply is concentrated among a small number of players. In memory, the big three are Micron (MU), Samsung, and SK Hynix.
Demand can surge within quarters. When that imbalance appears, prices do not gradually rise. They spike. We are already seeing it. DRAM prices rose approximately 50% in 2025. NAND pricing is recovering. Margins are expanding across the industry. Some executives are already signaling shortages extending years into the future.
Recent earnings tell the story.
When Micron reported Q2 earnings in March, the results were downright shocking. The company reported $12.20 earnings-per share (EPS). In Q2 of the previous year, that figure was $1.56. That’s nearly 7X growth… in one year.
Revenue is beating expectations, growth rates are accelerating, and guidance is aggressive and may still prove conservative. This is not a short-term bump. It is the early stage of a structural shift.
AI is increasing demand not just for compute, but for everything that supports it. Now, the focus is shifting to bottlenecks. And memory is one of the most critical.
Regards,
Jason Bodner Contributing Editor, The Bleeding Edge
P.S. Hi, Jeff’s managing editor here.
We hope you enjoyed this special issue from our friend and colleague, Jason Bodner. You’ll be hearing more from him soon, so be sure to stay tuned.
As a note, we also want to remind readers that our colleague over at The Opportunistic Trader, Larry Benedict, is broadcasting a special event this Thursday.
Markets have been volatile this year. It’s the sort of environment traders like Larry thrive in.
That’s why he’s unveiling his one-ticker strategy that gives people a shot at more gains in a single day than the S&P 500 typically delivers in an entire year, over and over again, without ever buying, selling, or holding a single stock.
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🧨Beat & Bleed: Palantir Nails Q1 By 38%, Gets Pistol Whipped Anyway As Chips Yeet Market to ATH’s…
Define “suffering from success”…
AK-47 (read: Palantir CEO Alex Karp) brought the manifesto, the receipts, and the swagger… and the market still mailed him a -7 magazine. For context, Q1 revenue ripped to $1.63 billion versus a $1.54 billion estimate. EPS came in at $0.33 versus $0.24… which clocks in at a 38% beat, all while revenue growth hit the companies highest ever at 85%. Oh, and Temu-Doc Brown raised the full-year guide to $7.64 billion. And investors STILL emptied the clip.
Y tho?
Well for one, Palantir trades at 46 times forward revenue while every other defense and AI peer trades 8 to 12. The Pentagon’s philosopher-CEO didn’t lose because of his numbers. He lost because, after a year-long parabolic run, his stock now needs to deliver this exact quarter every quarter until 2031 just to stand still. Translation: AK ran the table and the market said the table itself was the problem. Woof.
Meanwhile in stonk land, the rest of the screen was green. The chip aisle paced it as Intel popped 14%, Sandisk ripped 12%, and Micron tacked on 11%. The Nasdaq cleared 25,223 and the S&P punched through 7,272… both fresh ATHs, both set Friday and broken before lunch today. (Imagine being a Palantir investor today. Actually don’t.)
Elsewhere, Devon Energy got a love letter from Raymond James. Analyst John Freeman cranked the rating to strong buy from outperform and bumped the price target to $72… which is another 40% upside on top of the 40% Devon’s already done in 2026. The Coterra merger closes on or around May 7 with Freeman expecting asset sales after. In Raymond James’ own words: “DVN has embraced AI more than any other operator (including the majors).” Translation: Devon put the vibes in vibe coding.
Amongst today’s chaos, we also had a crypto exchange buy a 100-year-old share registry. Bullish (former NYSE President Thomas Farley’s new grift) is buying transfer agent Equiniti from private-equity Siris Capital for $4.2 billion ($1.85B debt + $2.35B stock). The headline reads “crypto goes legit.” The fine print says a Wall Street guy who left for crypto wrote a $4.2 billion check to buy back a regulated TradFi utility handling 20 million shareholders and $500 billion in annual payments. The deal closes January 2027. Stock popped 12%. The blockchain bros and the boomer share registries are now technically married… and their kids are going to be insufferable.
As for oil, it cracked. WTI dipped 4% to $101, Brent shed 3% to $109, on the back of Pistol Pete Hegseth’s Pentagon press conference declaring the ceasefire “certainly holds”. Never mind that Iran has fired on commercial vessels nine f*king times since the truce, lobbed 15 missiles at the UAE Monday, and the U.S. just sunk seven Iranian boats this week. Two American commercial ships made it through the Strait under Project Freedom escort. Hundreds of others are still bottled up in the Persian Gulf. Regardless, everything is fine, says the Pentagon.
Oh, and the loose ends from the bench are DuPont (+8%) and AB InBev (+8%) both posted clean quarterly beats while nobody was watching. So yeah… that was Tuesday for ya. Palantir crushed earnings and got crushed for it while the chip aisle yeeted the market to new ATH’s. Love or hate to see it. Depending on what you own. Until next time, friends…
If you read all of this, congrats for having a 10 second attention span (better than me). As always, here’s our heatmap for today.
PORTER & CO: “The Most Asymmetric Opportunity In The Market Today”
This Massive Financial Paradox Is A Screaming Buy
A boring “value” stock with $20 billion of a misunderstood asset that Wall Street isn’t accounting for could see upside as high as 25x.
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Karp Unloads “Best Software Ever” Speech as Palantir’s $1.5M Per Employee Stat Breaks the Internet
Are you not entertained?!?
Frodo Baggin’s favorite stock (read: Palantir) just dropped another earnings report… and it was so good we got another all-time-quote from its fearless leader, Alex Karp.
Many folks (my hand is up) thought that after Donnie Politics took the time to shoutout Palantir on Truth Social including putting the actual ticker symbol in the Tweet… that maybe Palantir was on the strugglebus.
So how good were Q1 numbers? Oh nothing crazy, Palantir only increased revenue 85%, posting the fastest growth since…
Elon Cuts a $1.5M “Oops Fee” to the SEC… Caps Off $44B Twitter Heist With a Parking Ticket
Number of days in a row that Elon’s been mentioned in the news involving a lawsuit: (infinity).
After years of both sides playing the longest fingerpointing game in history… Elon has finally wrapped up the lawsuit tied to his 2022 Twitter buying spree… and the grand total came out to a very intimidating $1.5 million. Which is, about how much his child support payments equal out to every week (for just one kid).
And in case you forgot, that’s on a $44 BILLION deal. (Go ahead and put Elon’s lawyer who negotiated this into the “Lawyer Hall of Fame” right next to…
Apple Gets Caught Sniffing Around Intel Behind TSMC’s Back, INTC Moons to New ATH’s
“Ain’t nuthin’ to f*k wit!” – Wu-Tang ClanLip-Bu Tan
Apple just got caught with one hand in Intel’s foundry and the other in Samsung’s, and TSMC is the wife about to find the receipts.
In short, Intel popped 14% today after a report announced that Cupertino is in “early-stage” talks with both companies to fab the main processors for U.S. devices, breaking seventeen years of near-total TSMC monogamy. Stock smashed through to a new all-time high…. Aaaaand just like that, the chipmaker that was being eulogized eight months ago is now up roughly 330% since Uncle Sam took his 10% stake last August.
For context, the receipts show zero orders placed (so far). The talks are “early-stage.” Apple “has concerns about using technology that is not made by” TSMC, per the same report. Cook flirted, the engineers are not yet impressed, and now we’re watching Intel add roughly $50 billion in market cap on what is, technically, vapor.
Doesn’t matter though. April was Intel’s best month in its fifty-five years on the Nasdaq (+114%). Nvidia wrote a $5 billion check in September. Lip-Bu Tan’s Intel just rebought its own…
Temu-Jeff Bezos is officially that guy who nukes 100 year old industries just for fun. In case you haven’t heard, Amazon launched Amazon Supply Chain Services yesterday with the goal of opening its logistics network to outside businesses for the first time.
Naturally, investors of UPS and FedEx gave up the ghost as shares cratered 9%-10% on both. Meanwhile, P&G, 3M, American Eagle, and Lands’ End were named as the launch customers. Bigly.
Friendly reminder, Carol Tomé (read: UPS CEO) has spent the last 18 months telling Wall Street that the plan at UPS was to pull AWAY from Amazon and chase higher-margin business. She cut 48,000 jobs in 2025. She announced another 30,000 in January. She called the whole thing the “Amazon glide-down.” Her exact words on the call: “2026 will be an inflection point.” Sure as hell was.
Now, Amazon’s bringing 80,000 trailers, more than…
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